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january 14 – Daily Market Update

14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as of early US morning) S&P 500 futures: 6972.5 (-0.42%) Stoxx Europe 600: 610.96 (+0.09%) Nikkei 225: 54341.2 (+1.48%) China CSI 300: 4741.9 (-0.40%) Bitcoin: 94935.56 (+0.92%) Global overview US: Equity futures edge lower as investors weigh a firmer labor backdrop against shifting interest-rate expectations. Options and rates pricing continue to lean toward a prolonged Fed pause, with markets trimming the odds of near-term cuts after resilient employment data. Europe: Regional benchmarks are modestly higher, led by defensives and select growth names. Focus remains on earnings season and sovereign funding conditions as governments ramp up issuance. Asia: Japan outperformed with the Nikkei setting fresh records amid optimism around policy support and corporate profitability. Mainland Chinese shares eased following steps to curb leverage in stock trading, tempering a powerful recent rally. Commodities Precious and industrial metals extended an early-year surge, with several benchmarks notching new highs. Tailwinds include: Expectations that global financial conditions will remain supportive even if the Fed stays patient. A bid for portfolio diversifiers amid geopolitical unease and concerns over sovereign debt loads. Improved sentiment toward manufacturing demand, including investment tied to data centers, electrification and automation. Ongoing supply frictions at mines and smelters that keep inventories tight. While momentum is strong, positioning has become crowded, leaving the complex sensitive to shifts in the dollar, policy signals, or evidence of demand cooling. Rates and currencies US rate markets reflect a higher-for-longer narrative relative to earlier assumptions, with some participants positioning for no additional policy easing this year. The debate now centers on how long the Fed can hold policy steady while inflation trends lower only gradually. The US dollar is broadly steady, limiting commodity tailwinds but not reversing them. European yields remain range-bound as investors monitor issuance and fiscal trajectories. Corporate and sector highlights Select megacap technology, semiconductor, and AI-adjacent infrastructure names remain in focus as capital expenditure plans for computing and power build-outs continue to scale. Auto and EV shares are mixed on shifting expectations for new model launches and profitability timelines. Consumer and luxury names are steady to firmer in Europe on optimism around wearable tech and premium accessories. Large European defense suppliers continue to explore primary listings and capital-raising options amid elevated demand visibility. In the US, major banks are set to report, offering a read on net interest income, credit normalization, deposit trends, and capital return plans. Policy and macro themes The central-bank outlook has become more nuanced: resilient jobs data reduce urgency for additional easing, but inflation progress remains key. Market-implied paths now cluster around a longer pause scenario with a narrower distribution of potential cuts. Policy headlines tied to elections and regulatory priorities are adding idiosyncratic risk, particularly for financials, defense, and consumer credit. Expect periodic volatility as proposals surface, even without immediate legislative traction. In Asia, selective regulatory tightening in equity financing aims to stabilize recent rapid gains, while pro-growth signals in Japan continue to underpin risk appetite. Digital assets Bitcoin gained modestly, extending a steady start to the week. Flows remain driven by broader risk sentiment and positioning rather than a single catalyst. What we’re watching Bank earnings for guidance on credit quality, charge-offs, and capital deployment. Corporate updates from AI, cloud, and power-equipment ecosystems for evidence of sustained capex. Any shifts in Fed communications or data that alter the implied rate path. Developments in Asian equity-market regulation and their impact on trading leverage and turnover. Primary issuance and IPO pipelines in Europe, notably in industrials and defense. Thoughts for investors Broader cross-asset leadership is constructive, but crowded trades in metals and AI-linked thematics increase the premium on risk management. With policy risk rising into an election-heavy year, sector diversification and attention to headline sensitivity are prudent. In rates, the distribution of outcomes has tightened around “steady for longer,” raising the importance of carry, curve positioning, and relative value rather than big directional bets. Disclosure This material is a general market commentary for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, asset class, or strategy. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. january 13 – Daily Market Update January 14, 2026 14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More january 13 – Daily Market Update January 13, 2026 13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market… Read More Jan 12 – Daily Market Update January 12, 2026 12 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily Your… Read More Jan 09 – Daily Market Update January 9, 2026 09 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Market at a… Read More Jan 08 – Daily Market Update January 8, 2026 08 Jan 26 – Daily

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Jan 06 – Daily Market Update

06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk appetite stayed resilient overnight. Asia extended its New Year upswing, led by Hong Kong, as investors rotated toward markets with lower valuations and improving growth signals. Europe opened slightly firmer, while US equity futures were broadly flat. The US dollar remains soft against major peers, a trend many investors expect could continue if global growth broadens and US rate differentials narrow. Crypto eased from recent highs, while industrial metals stayed supported. Macro and policy Washington signaled potential support for private-sector efforts to rebuild Venezuela’s oil sector following the recent change in leadership. Markets are assessing implications for heavy crude supply, US Gulf refiners, and the medium‑term path of sanctions policy. Beijing introduced tighter controls on shipments to Japan with potential military end‑use, keeping attention on supply-chain security in electronics and advanced manufacturing. Investor surveys continue to show optimism on US equities after multiple strong years, with growing debate about market leadership and the durability of AI‑related trades. Equities Asia: Rotational buying into North Asia and Hong Kong persisted, aided by discounted valuations and policy hopes. Mainland China shares were mixed, with defensives and exporters relatively steady. Europe: Stocks edged higher at the open, with miners and industrials benefiting from firm metals prices. Energy shares were supported by geopolitics and crude’s bid. US: Futures were little changed. Semiconductors remain in focus after updates from leading chipmakers on data‑center roadmaps and AI hardware competition. Select analog and embedded-chip names outperformed after upbeat guidance. M&A chatter in enterprise software added to single‑name dispersion. Commodities Copper extended its rally after clearing a major psychological threshold on the global benchmark, supported by tight refined supply, robust power-transition demand expectations, and talk of potential US trade measures on refined metal. The move has favored diversified miners and select smelter plays, while raising input‑cost questions for capital goods makers. Crude traded with a modest bid as markets weighed Venezuela headlines alongside ongoing shipping and geopolitical risks. Product cracks and heavy‑sour differentials remain areas to watch if flows shift. Gold was steady, balancing lower real yields against firmer risk sentiment. FX and rates The dollar drifted lower on a trade‑weighted basis. Higher‑beta FX and select Asia EM currencies benefited from improved risk tone and carry. Sovereign yields were little changed in early trading. Primary markets were active: global dollar bond issuance just posted its busiest session in roughly a year, signaling healthy risk appetite and favorable funding windows. Digital assets Bitcoin eased modestly after recent gains. Broader crypto performance was mixed, with market attention rotating to liquidity conditions and regulatory developments. Key themes we’re watching Leadership and breadth: Can cyclicals and non‑US markets take the baton if mega‑cap tech momentum cools? AI supply chain: Intensifying competition in accelerated computing, with implications for GPU vendors, memory, networking, and data‑center power infrastructure. Commodities tightness: Copper’s squeeze highlights the interplay of trade policy, inventories, and capex cycles across miners and manufacturers. Policy and geopolitics: Energy policy toward Venezuela, Asia export controls, and shipping lanes remain key swing factors for commodities and global trade. Funding conditions: A robust start for primary debt markets supports the soft‑landing narrative; watch for duration appetite and pricing as issuance continues. The day ahead Data and events: Focus remains on global PMIs, US labor and inflation updates later this week, and central bank speakers for guidance on the timing and pace of policy easing. Earnings: Early-cycle updates from chipmakers, cloud/data‑center suppliers, and select consumer names will inform views on 2026 growth and margins. Portfolio considerations Diversification across regions and factors can help if leadership rotates. For equities, watch the balance between quality growth and cyclicals tied to industrial activity and metals. In credit, strong new-issue demand favors active selection on structure and covenants as spreads remain tight. Commodity users may consider hedging strategies given copper and energy volatility. This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Markets are volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. Market levels referenced are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 06 – Daily Market Update January 6, 2026 06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk… Read More Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 30 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 30 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Morning… Read More Dec 29 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 29 – Daily

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Dec 29 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Dec 29 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update As year-end approaches in a holiday-shortened week, global markets are trading with a risk-trimming tone. Liquidity is thinner than usual, rebalancing flows are active, and headline sensitivity remains elevated across rates, commodities, and mega-cap technology. Market snapshot (as of 05:35 am ET; data provider times may vary) S&P 500 Futures: 6964 Stoxx Europe 600: 588.6 Nikkei 225: 50526.92 Spot Silver: 75.2 Bitcoin: 87888.95 Note: Market data may be delayed. Levels are for illustration and not tradeable quotes. What’s driving the tone Equities: US equity futures are modestly softer, led by a pullback in large-cap growth after an extended multi-quarter run. Europe is little changed, and Japan eased as investors continue to assess the path of domestic policy normalization and currency dynamics. Commodities: Precious metals are volatile with silver giving back part of recent outsized gains as profit-taking and position squaring set in. Industrial metals remain broadly supported by tightness narratives and infrastructure demand expectations. Digital assets: Major tokens are firmer after a choppy December, with interest supported by ongoing institutional product development and year-end positioning. Policy backdrop: Investors are parsing central bank communications for early-2026 guidance. In the US, attention is on recent meeting minutes and incoming labor and manufacturing signals. In Asia, policy normalization debates continue to shape rate and FX expectations. Geopolitics: Ongoing developments in key regions continue to influence defense, energy, and safe-haven flows. Markets are quick to reprice sector exposures on new headlines. Asset class roundup US: Futures softer with tech-heavy segments underperforming pre-market; defensives mixed. Year-end rebalancing and tax considerations are adding noise to intraday moves. Europe: Benchmark indices are flat to slightly lower. Cyclicals are uneven; defense-related names and select resources are showing higher beta to headlines and commodity swings. Asia: Japan declined; broader Asia mixed. Currency-sensitive exporters and rate-sensitive domestic sectors are diverging as local bond yields and FX adjust. Rates and FX: Core yields are contained in subdued holiday trading; curve moves are modest. The dollar is broadly steady, with yen and euro traders focused on policy-path differentials and growth surprises. Commodities: Silver is retracing after a rapid ascent; copper remains resilient. Energy benchmarks are rangebound as traders weigh inventory trends against growth and geopolitical risk. Crypto: Price action is constructive but volatile into year-end; flows remain headline dependent and liquidity can be patchy around holidays. Today’s focus and near-term watchlist US: Pending home sales, regional manufacturing signals, and weekly energy inventories will help shape the near-term growth and inflation narrative. FOMC minutes later in the week are a key read for policy tone and balance-sheet nuances. Europe: Preliminary inflation and growth indicators continue to inform the pace and timing of 2026 policy adjustments. Asia: Manufacturing and services PMIs, along with select CPI prints, guide the discussion on domestic rate paths and currency stability. Market mechanics: Expect thinner liquidity, wider bid-ask spreads, and potentially outsized moves around the European and US session overlaps. Quarter- and year-end portfolio rebalancing can create transient price dislocations. The week ahead (holiday-adjusted) Early week: Housing and manufacturing readings in the US; select labor and inflation updates in Latin America and Europe. Mid-week: Major PMIs in Asia; US policy minutes; weekly jobless claims; several markets observing early closes. Late week: Regional manufacturing and retail data in Europe and Asia; most markets shut for New Year’s Day. Themes to monitor into 2026 Earnings durability vs. elevated valuations in mega-cap growth. The path of disinflation and real rates, and implications for duration and equity multiples. Supply-demand balances in key commodities after sharp fourth-quarter moves. Currency realignments as policy paths diverge. Liquidity conditions and the impact of tighter financial conditions on lower-quality credit. Risk management considerations Holiday trading can amplify volatility; use limit orders and be mindful of execution in thin markets. Diversification and position sizing are critical amid cross-asset correlations that can shift quickly. For longer-term investors, focus on fundamentals and cash-flow resilience rather than short-term price swings. Housekeeping and disclaimer This publication is a general market update intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 29 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 29 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates December 24, 2025 Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates December 23, 2025 Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market… Read More Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 –

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Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: A Broad, Unbiased Look at Global Markets At a glance (as of 06:22 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: 6,864.25 (-0.24%) Stoxx Europe 600: 581.41 (-0.19%) Hang Seng: 25,235.41 (-1.54%) Bitcoin: 86,986.56 (+0.92%) WTI crude (front-month): 55.80 (-1.80%) Global mood Risk appetite eased to start the day as investors await a key US labor update. Equity futures in the US are a touch softer, Europe is modestly lower, and Asia ended mixed with notable weakness in Hong Kong. The dollar remains subdued near recent lows, oil extends its slide on signs of ample supply, and digital assets are firmer. What’s driving the session US labor print in focus: Markets are positioning cautiously into today’s employment report, which will shape expectations for the trajectory of interest rates into year-end and early 2026. A cooler jobs backdrop would reinforce the view that policy easing can proceed without reigniting inflation pressures; a hot reading would challenge that narrative and could steepen the front end of the curve. Europe mixed as growth and policy diverge: European equities are treading water with defensives and income-oriented shares outperforming cyclicals. Softer UK labor signals and moderating wage growth have strengthened the case for near-term policy easing by the Bank of England. Asia skews lower: Chinese and Hong Kong benchmarks remain under pressure amid lingering growth concerns and a pullback in tech-heavy segments. Regional performance was uneven, with select exporters and energy importers cushioned by lower oil. Oil drifts lower: Crude extends losses as supply indicators and risk-off positioning weigh. Refining margins and inventories remain in focus; energy equities may lag broader benchmarks if crude stays capped. Equities US: Futures point to a mild pullback after a strong multi-week run. Breadth and leadership remain in focus: recent sessions have seen participation broaden beyond mega-cap tech, a constructive sign for durability of the uptrend. Into the data, expect lighter volumes and intraday swing risk. Europe: Benchmarks are slightly negative with rate-sensitive sectors mixed. Lower yields have supported parts of the market, but earnings revisions and policy signals remain the key swing factors. Asia: Hong Kong led declines; mainland shares were weaker, while Japan and parts of ASEAN were more resilient. Lower energy prices helped transport and power-heavy pockets of the market. Fixed income and FX Rates: Front-end yields are anchored ahead of the data, with the curve sensitive to any shift in labor demand and wage dynamics. Markets continue to price a path toward easier policy over the next year, but the pace remains data dependent. FX: The dollar is hovering near multi-week lows as rate cut expectations firm and growth differentials narrow. Sterling is steady with BoE expectations skewing dovish on softer labor signals; the euro is range-bound. Commodities Energy: WTI trades below $60, adding to recent declines on evidence of comfortable supply and cautious demand assumptions. If the trend persists, it could ease headline inflation but weigh on energy capex and sector earnings momentum. Metals: Industrial metals are mixed amid cross-currents from China growth headlines and a softer dollar. Precious metals are little changed as investors balance lower yields against shifting risk sentiment. Digital assets Bitcoin is firmer, extending an upward bias as broader risk sentiment stabilizes and liquidity improves. Volatility remains elevated relative to traditional assets; position sizing and risk controls remain crucial for crypto exposure. Earnings and corporate themes Consensus earnings view: Street expectations continue to imply resilient profit growth over the coming quarters, with improving breadth beyond the largest technology names. The durability of margins, capital spending discipline, and a modest pickup in cyclical sectors are central to that outlook. Sector narratives: Autos and mobility are recalibrating electric-vehicle plans toward profitability and capital efficiency. Payments and fintech remain focused on licensing, compliance, and product expansion to drive engagement. IT services and consulting are emphasizing cost control and AI-enabled productivity to support margins. Structural watch: Europe’s long end European fixed income is preparing for portfolio shifts tied to pension and liability-hedging changes in parts of the region. Any rebalancing away from long-duration hedges could affect curve dynamics and relative-value relationships across maturities. Market depth is typically thinner into year-end, so execution and liquidity planning are key. Today’s key risks and watch list US employment report (08:30 a.m. ET): Jobs growth, unemployment rate, and wage trends will guide rate-path pricing and equity factor performance. Central bank signals: Messaging from major central banks this week will shape front-end rates, FX, and equity leadership. Liquidity/volatility: Year-end conditions can amplify moves; be mindful of wider bid-ask spreads and gap risk around data releases. Portfolio considerations Balance: Maintain diversified exposure across styles and regions; avoid concentration risk into binary macro events. Quality bias: In a slower growth, lower-yield setup, balance cyclicals with resilient cash flow and strong balance sheets. Duration and hedging: Consider whether current rate levels align with your duration targets; reassess hedges around key data. Market levels recap (06:22 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: 6,864.25 (-0.24%) Stoxx Europe 600: 581.41 (-0.19%) Hang Seng: 25,235.41 (-1.54%) Bitcoin: 86,986.56 (+0.92%) WTI crude (front-month): 55.80 (-1.80%) This publication is a general market update for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, asset class, or strategy. Market data may be delayed. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital

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