Energy Markets

January 26 – Daily Market Update

26 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad Market Update Overview Risk appetite softened to start the week as investors balanced haven demand with a busy slate of central bank meetings and corporate earnings. Precious metals rallied, natural gas spiked on extreme weather, the dollar eased, and Japanese equities underperformed following recent volatility in local rates. Market snapshot (as of 05:11 am ET; levels subject to change) Spot gold: 5084.96 (+1.95%) NYMEX natural gas: 6.21 (+17.74%) S&P 500 futures: 6928.5 (-0.25%) Nikkei 225: 52885.25 (-1.79%) What’s driving markets Haven bid lifts gold: Bullion’s latest surge reflects a mix of softer dollar, ongoing geopolitical unease, and demand for portfolio hedges amid uncertain policy paths. Lower real yields and continued diversification flows from global reserve managers have also supported prices. Energy price spike: US natural gas jumped on widespread cold weather, stronger heating demand, and pockets of supply disruption. The move puts utilities, independent gas producers, and weather‑sensitive industries in focus, while airlines monitor operational impacts. Dollar retreats, yen firms: The greenback slipped for a third session as traders assessed interest‑rate differentials and potential policy signaling. The yen’s rebound keeps markets attentive to possible official measures to curb excessive FX volatility. Equities tread carefully: US equity futures are slightly lower as investors await mega‑cap tech results and key policy decisions. In Asia, Japan lagged amid rate‑market swings; broader regional performance was mixed. European trade opened cautiously with defensive tilts evident. Policy and politics: A US government funding deadline looms, adding another layer of near‑term uncertainty to the macro backdrop. This week’s key events Central banks: The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave rates unchanged, with guidance on balance‑sheet policy and the path of cuts in focus. Other decisions and updates are due across Canada, Brazil, and parts of Asia and Europe. Data watch: Global releases include measures of consumer confidence, manufacturing activity, inflation, labor conditions, trade, and orders. In the US, durable goods, jobless claims, producer prices, and regional manufacturing surveys will help refine growth and inflation narratives. Earnings: A heavy reporting calendar spans technology, financials, industrials, and consumer sectors. Results and guidance from large‑cap platforms and payments networks will help set the tone for profit growth, capex, and AI‑related demand through mid‑year. Asset class highlights Commodities: Gold’s momentum underscores ongoing demand for hedges. The natural gas rally tightens winter margins and could add short‑term volatility to power markets. Industrial metals remain sensitive to AI‑driven demand expectations and China growth signals. Currencies: A softer dollar aided commodities and select EM FX, while the yen’s strength and intervention watch dominated G10 headlines. FX volatility remains elevated into central bank meetings. Rates: Sovereign curves are choppy as investors weigh policy paths against growth risks. Moves in Japanese government bonds continue to ripple across global duration, reinforcing the need to monitor cross‑market correlations. Credit: Primary issuance remains active, with spreads broadly stable. Any sustained uptick in rates volatility or shutdown headlines could test risk appetite near‑term. Sectors to watch Precious metals miners on bullion strength. Energy: natural gas‑levered producers and utilities; weather risk for airlines and logistics. Technology and semiconductors ahead of major earnings. Defense, aerospace, and industrials tied to order backlogs and supply‑chain normalization. Consumer discretionary for signs of demand resilience into spring. Risk considerations Policy uncertainty around US funding and fiscal negotiations. Rate‑sensitive volatility tied to central bank decisions and guidance. Weather‑related disruptions affecting energy and transportation. Geopolitical developments and FX intervention risk. House view With policy, earnings, and macro data colliding in a single week, expect higher‑than‑usual headline sensitivity. Many investors are emphasizing liquidity buffers, diversified hedges, and disciplined rebalancing while awaiting clearer signals on growth, inflation, and the timing of rate cuts. Important information This material is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Market prices and data are subject to change. Consider your financial circumstances and objectives before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. 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January 21 – Daily Market Update

21 january 2026 – Daily Market Updates Daily Markets Briefing Market Snapshot (as of 06:16 am EST; values may be delayed) S&P 500 Futures: 6842 (+0.18%) Stoxx Europe 600: 600.03 (-0.46%) US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.281% (down ~0.01) Nikkei 225: 52774.64 (-0.41%) Spot Gold: 4866.3 (+2.16%) Overview US equity futures are stabilizing after a sharp risk-off session, while Europe trades softer and Asia finished mixed. Government bond yields are easing at the margin as investors reassess growth and policy expectations, and safe-haven bids remain evident in precious metals. Weather-driven energy dynamics and a busy corporate earnings slate are in focus. Equities United States: Futures indicate a modest rebound following the largest S&P 500 pullback in several months. The tone remains headline-sensitive with investors weighing earnings updates, policy chatter from global forums, and the path for growth-sensitive sectors. Market breadth and factor rotations bear watching after a burst of volatility. Europe: The region’s benchmark is lower, led by consumer and health care laggards, while select luxury and industrial names outperform on company-specific updates. Energy and utilities see support from higher fuel price expectations into a colder weather pattern. Asia: Japanese stocks slipped as recent rate and currency volatility kept risk appetite in check, though losses were contained by a pullback in long-dated yields. Other major regional markets were mixed, with pockets of strength in technology and internet names. Rates and Credit US Treasuries: The 10-year yield is edging lower, reflecting a small bid for duration after yesterday’s equity selloff. The curve remains sensitive to incoming growth data, earnings guidance on capex and labor, and evolving central-bank rhetoric. Global sovereigns: Longer-maturity Japanese bonds recovered some ground after a volatile stretch, helping to soothe broader rate jitters. European core yields are steady to slightly lower, with peripheral spreads broadly contained. Credit: Investment-grade and high-yield spreads widened modestly with the equity drawdown but remain within recent ranges. Primary issuance is active into earnings season, with investors selective on leverage and interest coverage profiles. FX and Commodities Gold: The metal extends gains on haven demand and lower real-yield impulses. Flows into precious metals remain supported by diversification and geopolitical hedging. Energy: Natural gas prices are elevated as forecasts point to an intense cold spell across key North American demand and production hubs. Winter reliability and storage draws are back in focus for utilities and upstream names. Crude is firmer but range-bound as supply discipline and demand seasonality offset growth and policy uncertainties. FX: The dollar is mixed against majors, with rate differentials and risk sentiment driving intraday swings. Yen and select European currencies are stable after the latest moves in global bonds. Corporate Highlights Airlines: A leading US carrier posted better-than-expected quarterly results, lifting the group on improving revenue trends and disciplined capacity plans. Investors are watching commentary on business travel and fuel hedging into late winter. Media and Streaming: A major streaming platform is under pressure premarket after issuing a cautious outlook and pausing buybacks amid higher content and integration spending. Markets are parsing visibility on subscriber growth, pricing, and cash-flow timing. Consumer Staples: A large packaged-food company is weaker after a significant shareholder registered stock for potential sale, reviving focus on portfolio mix, pricing power, and margins. Health Care, Financials, Insurance: Several bellwethers report before the US open. Watch loan growth and deposit costs for financials, medical device and pharma pipelines in health care, and catastrophe loss trends for insurers. Europe: A diagnostics firm rallied on reports of strategic review considerations, while a UK luxury brand gained after signs of early progress in a turnaround plan. Key Drivers to Watch Earnings season: Guidance on 2026 capex, AI-related spend, operating leverage, and margin durability is likely to set the tone for sector rotations. Macro and policy: Remarks from global policy gatherings, central-bank speakers, and upcoming data on growth and inflation will shape rate expectations and the risk premium across assets. Weather and infrastructure: The impending cold snap may ripple through energy markets, midstream logistics, and short-term industrial output. Market structure: Elevated options activity and systematic flows can amplify intraday volatility; monitor positioning, skew, and realized vs. implied vol. Takeaways for Investors Quality bias and liquidity discipline remain important as markets navigate cross-currents from policy headlines, earnings dispersion, and winter energy dynamics. Balance duration and equity risk: modest duration exposure can buffer equity drawdowns if growth scares resurface, while selective cyclical exposure can benefit from resilient demand pockets. Focus on cash flow visibility: companies demonstrating pricing power, cost control, and clear capital-return frameworks may be rewarded as the bar for guidance rises. Calendar (near term) US corporate earnings: Health care, financials, industrials, and tech updates throughout the week. Global data: Preliminary manufacturing and services readings, housing indicators, and weekly labor prints in the US. Policy watch: Central-bank commentary and fiscal headlines from global forums. Disclosure This material is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Market data are subject to change and may be delayed. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high

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