Daily Market Updates

Jan 02 – Daily Market Update

Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Global risk appetite is firm to start the year, with technology leadership back in focus and commodities diverging. Below is a concise look at what’s moving markets and what to watch next. Market snapshot (as of 06:25 am ET) S&P 500 futures: 6936.2   Nasdaq 100 futures: 25736.25 US 10-year Treasury yield: 4.155% (-1 bp) Broad dollar index: +0.10% WTI crude (front-month): 57.40 What’s driving the tone Tech-led risk-on: Enthusiasm around artificial intelligence and semiconductor demand is lifting global equities. US futures are higher, and European benchmarks are testing new highs, while Asia’s session benefited from upbeat headlines tied to chips and AI infrastructure. Metals bid, oil softer: Precious metals are extending last year’s strong run, while industrial metals are firmer on hopes for improving manufacturing demand. Crude is weaker as ample supply and cautious demand expectations outweigh headline risks. Yields edge down: US Treasuries are slightly firmer in early trading, reflecting cooler inflation trends and expectations that major central banks will have room to ease later this year if growth moderates. Equities US: Mega-cap tech and semiconductor names are pacing gains in premarket trading, with data center suppliers and AI-adjacent hardware/software names outperforming. Cyclical sectors are mixed as investors balance the growth impulse from tech with still-tight valuations across parts of the market. Europe: Broad strength across large caps, with chip equipment, industrials, and select financials firm. A softer oil tape is a mild headwind for energy shares. Asia: High-beta tech and internet groups led advances. Select listings connected to AI chips and cloud infrastructure drew strong interest, underscoring ongoing capital expenditure plans tied to compute and networking. Rates and credit US Treasuries: The 10-year yield is hovering near 4.16%, down modestly on the session, with the curve little changed. Markets continue to price a gradual path toward easier policy later in 2026, contingent on labor and inflation data. Credit: Primary issuance is expected to reopen as the calendar turns, with spreads remaining tight versus long-run averages—a sign of healthy risk appetite but a reminder that compensation for credit risk is slim if growth disappoints. FX The dollar is marginally stronger versus a broad basket as rate differentials remain supportive. High-beta currencies are stable to firmer on improved equity sentiment, while commodity FX is capped by softer crude. Commodities Energy: Crude is under pressure amid signs of comfortable supply and uneven demand growth. Refining margins are mixed; product cracks vary by region as winter demand patterns take hold. Metals: Gold and silver extend gains, supported by lower real yields and ongoing diversification flows. Industrial metals such as copper and aluminum are firmer on hopes of steady capex in electrification, grid, and data center build-outs. Sectors and themes to watch AI and semiconductors: Momentum remains concentrated in compute, memory, and power/cooling infrastructure tied to data centers. Watch for updates on capacity expansions, supply constraints, and pricing power along the chip supply chain. EVs and autos: Delivery and production updates are in focus. Investors are watching how US and Chinese manufacturers navigate pricing, inventory, and model cycles, as well as how software/autonomy roadmaps influence valuation. Energy: Policy headlines and OPEC+ signals remain near-term catalysts, but physical balances and inventory trajectories are driving price action day to day. Macro and policy backdrop Inflation is trending lower from prior peaks, helping central banks pivot toward a more flexible stance. That said, policymakers remain data dependent, and the timing/scale of any rate cuts will likely hinge on labor market resilience. Fiscal support varies by region, with targeted measures aimed at growth and industrial policy. Trade frictions and regulatory shifts remain watchpoints for cross-border flows and supply chains. The day and week ahead Data: Manufacturing surveys, early reads on global PMIs, and high-frequency labor indicators will shape rate expectations. Later in the week, look for minutes and speeches from key central banks for guidance on the pace of any 2026 policy recalibration. Corporate: A steady stream of trading updates and guidance resets is expected as companies exit blackout windows. Watch capex commentary tied to AI infrastructure, grid upgrades, and logistics. Positioning thoughts Equities: Leadership remains narrow; consider balancing AI beneficiaries with quality cyclicals and defensives to mitigate concentration risk. Fixed income: With yields off the highs and inflation easing, selectively extending duration may improve portfolio ballast, while staying discerning in lower-quality credit where spreads are thin. Commodities and FX: Expect episodic volatility around policy and geopolitics; risk management and diversification remain key. This material is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 –

Jan 02 – Daily Market Update Read More »

Dec 30 – Daily Market Update

Dec 30 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Morning Briefing At a glance Equities: US stock futures were little changed in early trade, Europe opened modestly higher, and most Asian benchmarks advanced with Hong Kong outperforming. Bonds: The US 10-year yield held near the low 4% area, steady on light year-end volumes. Commodities: Precious metals firmed after recent volatility, while industrial metals extended gains on supply concerns. Energy prices were mixed. FX: The US dollar was broadly range-bound against major peers, with select Asian currencies edging higher. Market overview Global markets are navigating the final stretch of the year with subdued volatility and thin liquidity. With few fresh catalysts on the docket, price action is being driven largely by rebalancing, positioning clean-up, and year-end window-dressing. Equities are consolidating near recent highs, sovereign yields are stable, and commodities are finding support as investors reassess the growth and policy backdrop heading into the new year. Equities US: Futures indicate a flat open as investors balance resilient earnings expectations against lingering macro and geopolitical uncertainties. Leadership remains concentrated but breadth has been improving, with a gradual rotation into cyclicals and select defensives. Europe: Stocks edged higher, supported by financials and industrials. The region continues to benefit from cooling inflation trends and the prospect of easier policy later in the cycle, though growth differentials versus the US remain in focus. Asia: Markets were mixed to higher, with Hong Kong leading on strength in technology and health care. Mainland China sentiment is cautious but stabilizing; elsewhere in the region, export-oriented markets benefited from firmer semiconductor and AI-related demand. Fixed income Treasuries: The curve was little changed, with the 10-year yield hovering just above 4%. Rate volatility has eased notably compared with earlier in the year as investors coalesce around a gradual policy-easing narrative, though the timing and pace remain data-dependent. Global rates: Core European yields drifted lower, while UK gilts were steady. In credit, spreads are tight versus historical averages, reflecting improved risk appetite and limited new issuance late in the year. Currencies The dollar traded in narrow ranges. High-beta FX was mixed, while select Asian currencies ticked higher on improved risk sentiment. Markets continue to weigh the path of US policy easing versus divergent central bank stances elsewhere. Commodities Precious metals: Gold recovered after a recent pullback as real yields steadied and safe-haven demand persisted into year-end. Silver tracked the move higher. Industrial metals: Copper extended a multi-week advance amid ongoing supply concerns and resilient end-demand linked to electrical infrastructure and data center build-outs. Energy: Crude prices were range-bound, with participants monitoring inventories, OPEC+ discipline, and any year-end shipping or geopolitical disruptions. Macro and policy watch Growth and inflation: The US economy continues to slow from a strong pace while maintaining signs of underlying resilience. Disinflation progress has allowed markets to pencil in policy easing next year, but central banks have kept a data-dependent tone. Geopolitics: Headlines remain a swing factor for risk sentiment, particularly around Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Energy and shipping lanes are key watchpoints. Policy outlook: Markets are pricing a cautious shift toward lower policy rates over the coming quarters. Communication from major central banks will be scrutinized for any pushback against the pace of cuts implied by futures. Positioning and flows With liquidity thin, intraday moves can be exaggerated. Rebalancing from balanced and target-date funds, as well as tax-loss harvesting and performance-chasing into year-end winners, may influence closing prints this week. Investor tone remains moderately risk-on, supported by expectations for earnings growth and lower rates, but hedging activity has increased around key index levels. The day ahead Data: A light calendar into the holiday period; any surprises in labor, housing, or sentiment indicators could move rates and beta. Corporate news: The pipeline is quiet, though AI- and semiconductor-related updates continue to draw attention. Technicals: Major US indices are consolidating just below recent highs; dips have been shallow, with buyers stepping in near short-term moving averages. What we’re watching into the new year Earnings breadth: Whether profit growth broadens beyond mega-cap technology remains central to the durability of the rally. Policy timing: The start, speed, and magnitude of global rate cuts will shape cross-asset performance and sector rotation. Supply chains: Any renewed bottlenecks could support industrial metals and rekindle goods-price pressures. Credit conditions: Funding costs, default trends in high yield, and issuance windows are important late-cycle signals. Markets are ending the year in a constructive but cautious stance. Equities are holding gains, yields are stable, and commodities are firmer. With catalysts scarce in the final sessions, positioning and liquidity will likely dictate near-term moves. Looking ahead, the interplay of earnings, disinflation, and measured policy easing remains the core driver of cross-asset returns. Note: This publication is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and

Dec 30 – Daily Market Update Read More »

Dec 29 – Daily Market Update

Dec 29 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update As year-end approaches in a holiday-shortened week, global markets are trading with a risk-trimming tone. Liquidity is thinner than usual, rebalancing flows are active, and headline sensitivity remains elevated across rates, commodities, and mega-cap technology. Market snapshot (as of 05:35 am ET; data provider times may vary) S&P 500 Futures: 6964 Stoxx Europe 600: 588.6 Nikkei 225: 50526.92 Spot Silver: 75.2 Bitcoin: 87888.95 Note: Market data may be delayed. Levels are for illustration and not tradeable quotes. What’s driving the tone Equities: US equity futures are modestly softer, led by a pullback in large-cap growth after an extended multi-quarter run. Europe is little changed, and Japan eased as investors continue to assess the path of domestic policy normalization and currency dynamics. Commodities: Precious metals are volatile with silver giving back part of recent outsized gains as profit-taking and position squaring set in. Industrial metals remain broadly supported by tightness narratives and infrastructure demand expectations. Digital assets: Major tokens are firmer after a choppy December, with interest supported by ongoing institutional product development and year-end positioning. Policy backdrop: Investors are parsing central bank communications for early-2026 guidance. In the US, attention is on recent meeting minutes and incoming labor and manufacturing signals. In Asia, policy normalization debates continue to shape rate and FX expectations. Geopolitics: Ongoing developments in key regions continue to influence defense, energy, and safe-haven flows. Markets are quick to reprice sector exposures on new headlines. Asset class roundup US: Futures softer with tech-heavy segments underperforming pre-market; defensives mixed. Year-end rebalancing and tax considerations are adding noise to intraday moves. Europe: Benchmark indices are flat to slightly lower. Cyclicals are uneven; defense-related names and select resources are showing higher beta to headlines and commodity swings. Asia: Japan declined; broader Asia mixed. Currency-sensitive exporters and rate-sensitive domestic sectors are diverging as local bond yields and FX adjust. Rates and FX: Core yields are contained in subdued holiday trading; curve moves are modest. The dollar is broadly steady, with yen and euro traders focused on policy-path differentials and growth surprises. Commodities: Silver is retracing after a rapid ascent; copper remains resilient. Energy benchmarks are rangebound as traders weigh inventory trends against growth and geopolitical risk. Crypto: Price action is constructive but volatile into year-end; flows remain headline dependent and liquidity can be patchy around holidays. Today’s focus and near-term watchlist US: Pending home sales, regional manufacturing signals, and weekly energy inventories will help shape the near-term growth and inflation narrative. FOMC minutes later in the week are a key read for policy tone and balance-sheet nuances. Europe: Preliminary inflation and growth indicators continue to inform the pace and timing of 2026 policy adjustments. Asia: Manufacturing and services PMIs, along with select CPI prints, guide the discussion on domestic rate paths and currency stability. Market mechanics: Expect thinner liquidity, wider bid-ask spreads, and potentially outsized moves around the European and US session overlaps. Quarter- and year-end portfolio rebalancing can create transient price dislocations. The week ahead (holiday-adjusted) Early week: Housing and manufacturing readings in the US; select labor and inflation updates in Latin America and Europe. Mid-week: Major PMIs in Asia; US policy minutes; weekly jobless claims; several markets observing early closes. Late week: Regional manufacturing and retail data in Europe and Asia; most markets shut for New Year’s Day. Themes to monitor into 2026 Earnings durability vs. elevated valuations in mega-cap growth. The path of disinflation and real rates, and implications for duration and equity multiples. Supply-demand balances in key commodities after sharp fourth-quarter moves. Currency realignments as policy paths diverge. Liquidity conditions and the impact of tighter financial conditions on lower-quality credit. Risk management considerations Holiday trading can amplify volatility; use limit orders and be mindful of execution in thin markets. Diversification and position sizing are critical amid cross-asset correlations that can shift quickly. For longer-term investors, focus on fundamentals and cash-flow resilience rather than short-term price swings. Housekeeping and disclaimer This publication is a general market update intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 29 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 29 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates December 24, 2025 Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates December 23, 2025 Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market… Read More Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 –

Dec 29 – Daily Market Update Read More »

Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates

Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Overview Global markets are treading lightly into the holiday period. Equity futures in the US are little changed after a strong year-to-date run, European benchmarks are marginally firmer in thin trading, and Asia was mixed with mainland China edging higher. Bond markets are calm as traders wind down risk and liquidity thins. The US dollar remains softer on the year, while precious metals are firm as investors balance geopolitics and the prospect of further policy easing in 2026. Several exchanges are operating on shortened schedules around Christmas. Equities US: Futures are flat to slightly lower as investors weigh year-end rebalancing, a lighter data calendar, and a strong seasonal backdrop. The broader index remains near record territory after multiple weeks of gains. Europe: Stocks are fractionally higher in holiday-thinned volumes. Defensive sectors and select financials are supported by stable yields; cyclical exposures are mixed. Asia: Mainland China stabilized with a modest uptick, while other regional markets delivered a mixed performance amid cautious risk-taking. Rates US Treasuries are steady with the curve little changed. With few catalysts before year-end, ranges may remain tight, though liquidity could amplify intraday swings. Core European yields are broadly stable; peripherals are tracking risk sentiment. Currencies The dollar index is lower year-to-date, reflecting a shift toward a gentler policy trajectory and improving risk appetite. High-beta and commodity-linked currencies have firmed on the margin, while safe-haven FX is subdued. Commodities Precious metals extended gains, supported by geopolitical unease, softer real yields, and continued diversification flows. Industrial metals are holding recent advances on improving supply-demand expectations into the new year. Crude prices are range-bound as supply dynamics and growth expectations offset each other into year-end. ETFs: A blockbuster year, with a note of caution US-listed ETFs are closing the year with standout net inflows, robust primary market activity, and elevated secondary trading. Product launches accelerated across both broad beta and thematic exposures. The backdrop—rising equities, easing-rate expectations, and active sector rotation—has been a tailwind for both equity and fixed income ETFs. Liquidity and tax efficiency continue to attract both retail and institutional users. Looking into next year, expect a more discerning environment: fee competition, product differentiation, and higher scrutiny on niche themes. If volatility picks up, flows may consolidate into core, low-cost exposures and high-quality bond sleeves. Corporate highlights (broad) Year-end dealmaking remains active with selective asset sales and bolt-on acquisitions across energy, healthcare, and infrastructure, underscoring ongoing portfolio optimization and balance-sheet discipline. Index changes and periodic reconstitutions are driving stock-specific flows. Buyback authorizations and insider purchases continue to offer signals on corporate confidence but effects are idiosyncratic. Geopolitics and regional themes Hopes for de-escalation in parts of Eastern Europe have supported regional assets, though positioning remains cautious given headline risk and uncertainty around the contours of any agreement. Developments in Latin America are contributing to commodity and FX volatility; policy continuity and fiscal signals will be closely watched in early 2026. Policy watch Debate around the appropriate inflation target framework has resurfaced in policy circles. While any formal change would be a multi-year process, markets are sensitive to signals on the tolerance band around inflation and the path for real rates. Into January, attention turns to the next set of inflation and labor data, and to central bank communications that could refine the pace and timing of potential rate cuts. What we’re watching next Liquidity and rebalancing effects through the final sessions of the year Early-January data on jobs, wages, and inflation expectations Q4 earnings season previews, with a focus on margins, capex discipline, and AI-related spend Credit market tone as new-issue windows reopen China’s policy signals and growth stabilization efforts Portfolio considerations (not investment advice) After a strong run for risk assets, consider balance across quality, duration, and liquidity. Core fixed income can provide ballast if growth slows more than expected. If volatility normalizes higher, systematic rebalancing and option-based hedges may help manage drawdowns. Within equities, earnings resilience and balance-sheet strength remain key differentiators; within credit, dispersion argues for careful issuer selection. Calendar (abridged) Holiday-shortened sessions in several major markets Light data slate into year-end; fuller macro calendar resumes in early January This publication is for information only and is not a recommendation or investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Please consider your objectives and risk tolerance and consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates December 24, 2025 Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates December 23, 2025 Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market… Read More Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 –

Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Read More »

Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates

Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market Update Overview US equity futures are flat to slightly higher after a strong recent stretch, with investors waiting on the next round of US growth and sentiment data. European equities are firmer in early trading, led by industrials and health care, while energy lags alongside softer crude. In Asia, performance was mixed: export- and tech-linked markets fared better, while Japan underperformed as the yen strengthened. The dollar is softer versus the yen following fresh signals from Japanese authorities about curbing disorderly currency moves. Gold remains well supported near record territory, while Bitcoin is modestly lower. Top themes shaping the session Data watch: Investors are focused on US growth revisions and consumer confidence for further clues on the timing and depth of 2025 rate cuts. Labor, housing, and spending data later this week will round out the macro picture into year-end. Cyclical rotation: Expectations for cooling inflation, potential policy easing, and relief from lower energy prices are encouraging a gradual shift toward economically sensitive areas such as financials, industrials, transport, and select consumer names. Leadership has broadened beyond mega-cap technology in recent weeks. Currency dynamics: The yen firmed after policymakers reiterated readiness to address excessive currency swings. With US yields consolidating and intervention risk top of mind, FX volatility could remain elevated into quarter-end. Policy and geopolitics: Traders continue to monitor headlines around trade, shipping routes, and regional tensions, all of which can influence energy, transport, and defense shares. Digital assets in focus: Institutional interest in crypto-related services is re-emerging as parts of the regulatory landscape take shape, even as spot prices consolidate. Equities United States: Futures suggest a cautious open as investors digest strong year-to-date gains and await macro catalysts. Breadth has improved, with cyclicals and small/mid caps catching a bid, while large-cap tech remains supported by earnings durability and AI demand. Participation may thin into the holiday period, raising the potential for outsized moves on incremental news. Europe: Broad gains led by industrials and health care. Retail and consumer discretionary are mixed, with balance sheets and holiday-season commentary in focus. Energy trails as crude eases. Asia-Pacific: Japan’s benchmarks slipped as a stronger yen weighed on exporters. Korea and Taiwan outperformed on continued demand along the AI and semiconductor supply chain. Hong Kong and mainland China were mixed, with policy support expectations offset by ongoing property and growth concerns. Rates US Treasuries are steady ahead of growth and sentiment prints. The front end continues to reflect expectations for rate reductions next year, while the long end consolidates after the autumn rally. Auction dynamics and year-end liquidity conditions are important near-term drivers. European sovereigns are little changed; traders are weighing softening inflation trends against cautious central bank guidance. Foreign exchange The dollar is broadly steady but weaker against the yen following official rhetoric about curbing excess volatility. The euro is range-bound. Emerging-market FX is mixed, tracking risk sentiment and commodity moves. Commodities Crude oil is modestly lower as supply resilience and demand worries offset geopolitical risk. Gold is firm near highs, supported by lower real yields, diversification flows, and geopolitical hedging. Industrial metals are mixed; China growth signals and global manufacturing trends remain the swing factors. Digital assets Bitcoin and major tokens are slightly lower, continuing a consolidation phase after a strong multi-month advance. Headlines around institutional participation and evolving regulation remain key to sentiment. Corporate and sector roundup Health care: Weight-management and metabolic therapies are again in focus following regulatory developments, supporting select pharma and biotech names. Renewables: Offshore wind projects remain under scrutiny amid permitting and regulatory reviews, weighing on some developers. Shipping and logistics: Deal interest and capacity discussions are buoying select carriers; transport and logistics also benefit from the cyclical rotation theme. Defence and aerospace: Contract wins and funding visibility continue to support the group against a backdrop of elevated geopolitical risk. Retail: Balance-sheet health and holiday traffic are under the microscope; credit conditions are diverging across traditional and online models. Financials: Banks and brokers are benefiting from improved risk appetite, steepening tendencies in the curve, and a potential pickup in trading activity. The day ahead: what we’re watching United States: Growth revision, consumer confidence, housing updates, energy inventories, and Treasury supply. Europe: Confidence surveys and central bank speakers. Asia: Inflation prints and policy commentary from Japan and China later in the week. Cross-asset: Year-end liquidity, rebalancing flows, and potential currency intervention headlines. Risk radar Policy path uncertainty: The pace and timing of rate cuts could shift with incoming data. Geopolitical developments: Energy supply routes and regional tensions may introduce episodic volatility. Liquidity conditions: Thinner year-end trading can amplify market moves. Currency swings: Elevated FX volatility—particularly in USD/JPY—can spill over into global risk assets. Desk view Market tone is constructive but selective. Participation is broadening beyond mega-cap leaders, with cyclicals drawing interest as disinflation progresses. We favor maintaining diversification across styles and regions, watching FX volatility and liquidity into the final trading days of the year. This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets are volatile and subject to change without notice. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on

Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Read More »

Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates

Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad Market Update A calmer tone is setting in as the holiday week gets underway. US equity futures are firmer with technology leading, European benchmarks are little changed, and Asia finished broadly higher. Safe-haven demand and rate-cut expectations are keeping precious metals supported, while government bond yields are edging up but remain contained. Market snapshot (as of 05:46 am ET; indicative) Nasdaq 100 futures: 25711.00 Stoxx Europe 600: 586.3 US 10-year Treasury yield: 4.165% Spot gold: up 1.6 % at a record high Nikkei 225: 50402.39 Opening take Equities: Technology strength is helping US futures retrace recent weakness, with global risk appetite improving. Europe is trading in a narrow band on lighter volumes ahead of holiday closures. In Asia, markets most exposed to the AI cycle outperformed, and Japan extended gains to fresh highs. Rates: Treasury yields are slightly higher into a data-heavy Tuesday, but the curve remains rangebound as investors balance disinflation progress with the timing and pace of policy easing in the year ahead. Commodities: Gold and silver are marking fresh peaks on a mix of geopolitical caution and softer real-yield expectations. Copper remains elevated on tight supply and structural demand themes. Crude oil is firmer amid ongoing supply headlines and geopolitical risk. Regional roundup United States: Risk-on tone is concentrated in mega-cap tech and the broader AI ecosystem, with sentiment aided by resilient earnings expectations into next year. Cyclical pockets remain sensitive to the rates path and growth signals from incoming data. Europe: Headline indices are modestly softer as defensives lag and traders pare exposure into the holiday. Energy and basic resources are underpinned by commodity strength, while rate-sensitive segments fluctuate with bond moves. Asia-Pacific: Gains were led by Japan and Korea on chip- and AI-related momentum. Select China-linked assets stabilized as policymakers continue to support growth and pockets of real estate credit stress see incremental relief. Credit and FX Credit spreads are steady near recent tights, reflecting benign default expectations and healthy demand for quality carry. The US dollar is broadly stable; most major pairs are confined to recent ranges in thin pre-holiday trading. Corporate currents Deal activity in software and data services remains a feature as sponsors and strategics pursue scale and recurring revenue exposure. Defense, space, and dual-use technology names continue to attract attention amid rising government outlays and a shift toward agile, software-enabled systems. Semiconductor supply chains remain in focus as high-bandwidth memory and data center build-outs drive order visibility for 2026. Themes to watch AI and productivity: Market leadership remains concentrated, but investors are watching for broader earnings diffusion as capex is monetized. Policy path: Markets are pricing easing in 2026; any upside surprise in inflation or labor tightness could complicate timing. Commodities and inflation mix: The rally in precious metals and industrial inputs is supportive for miners but could rekindle cost concerns if sustained. Positioning and sentiment: Strategist targets for major US benchmarks are tightly clustered, signaling confidence but also a risk of consensus crowding. The week ahead (key highlights; holiday-adjusted) Monday: US—Chicago Fed National Activity Index. Tuesday: Europe—new car registrations. US—Q3 GDP update, November industrial production, durable goods orders, consumer confidence. Wednesday: Mexico—unemployment; Taiwan—industrial production; US—initial jobless claims. Early close for US and many European markets (Christmas Eve). Thursday: Christmas Day—markets closed in the US, Canada, and most of Europe. Friday: Japan—Tokyo CPI, unemployment, industrial production, retail sales. Boxing Day closures across the UK, Canada, Australia and parts of Europe. Sector check Tech: Leadership intact; focus on AI infrastructure, memory, and cloud spend visibility. Materials: Precious metals and copper strength spotlight miners with quality balance sheets and low-cost assets. Energy: Crude sensitive to headlines; integrateds and services watched for capital discipline and free cash flow. Financials: Stable credit backdrop supportive for lenders and insurers; rate path remains the swing factor for net interest margins and valuations. Consumer: Confidence data and holiday spending updates will inform the durability of services demand into the new year. Risk management note Liquidity is typically thinner into year-end, which can amplify moves around data releases and headlines. Diversification and disciplined rebalancing remain important as markets transition into 2026 with elevated expectations for both earnings growth and policy support. This commentary is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 – Daily Market Updates December 19, 2025 Dec 19 – Daily Market Updates Market Snapshot (early US… Read More Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates December 18, 2025 Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad… Read More Dec 17 – Daily Market Updates December 17, 2025 dec 17

Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Read More »

Dec 19 – Daily Market Updates

Dec 19 – Daily Market Updates Market Snapshot (early US hours) US equity futures: slightly higher Europe: largely flat Japan: solid gains, led by exporters Dollar-yen: stronger, trading around the mid-157s Bitcoin: firmer Key drivers today Japan’s policy shift: Japan’s central bank lifted its policy rate to the highest level in decades and signaled that further normalization remains possible. Japanese 10-year government yields pushed higher and the move spilled into global rates. The yen weakened as guidance was viewed as gradual rather than aggressive. Year-end positioning: US stocks are edging up as investors lean into the typical late-December tailwind, with flows still favoring equities on expectations for easier financial conditions in the year ahead. Europe’s policy backdrop: The EU advanced additional financial support for Ukraine via joint issuance, underscoring ongoing fiscal coordination. European equities are mixed with defensives balancing cyclicals. AI spending debate: Markets continue to sort out winners and laggards from the AI investment cycle. Hardware and memory remain bid as capacity builds, while some software names face questions about pricing power and product disruption. Crypto and risk tone: Digital assets are broadly firmer alongside a mild “risk-on” tone, although liquidity is thinning into the holidays. Across asset classes Equities: Asia outperformed, led by Japan. Europe is near unchanged as investors digest higher yields and regional headlines. US futures point to a modestly positive open with semis and AI-levered infrastructure names in focus. Housing-related shares remain sensitive to guidance and the rate path, while consumer discretionary is mixed on uneven China demand signals. Rates: Global government bond yields nudged higher after Japan’s move. US Treasury yields are a touch firmer with the curve little changed. Into year-end, supply is light, and rebalancing flows may drive pockets of volatility. FX: The dollar is stronger versus the yen on divergent rate trajectories; the euro is steady. Commodity FX is mixed, tracking oil and broader risk appetite. Commodities: Crude holds a softer tone amid ample supply and stable inventories. Gold is range-bound as higher nominal yields offset safe-haven interest. Industrial metals trade mixed with China activity data in focus. Digital assets: Bitcoin and major tokens are higher, with options activity and year-end positioning adding to intraday swings. Corporate and sector highlights Tech hardware/infrastructure: AI-related capex continues to channel toward memory, storage and networking, keeping select suppliers in favor. Software: Some subscription-based names face valuation and product-cycle questions as AI-native tools reshape demand. Consumer: Global sportswear and lifestyle brands are navigating uneven China recovery and brand-mix headwinds. Transportation and logistics: Guidance updates remain a swing factor as firms balance cost controls, aircraft/fleet constraints and macro-sensitive volumes. Housing: Builders’ outlooks reflect affordability challenges and cautious buyers, though any dip in mortgage rates could stabilize sentiment. What we’re watching Central banks: Follow-through from Japan’s policy shift; any guidance from major central bank speakers before the holiday lull. Macro data: US housing, consumer, and inflation inputs over the next several sessions; European confidence surveys; Asia trade and production figures. Market mechanics: Year-end rebalancing, quarter-end options positioning and lower liquidity can amplify moves into the holiday period. Geopolitics: Energy flows, shipping routes and European policy developments remain key risk markers. Strategy thoughts The late-year grind higher has broadened participation beyond mega-caps, with international equities making relative gains this year. Still, elevated valuations in select growth segments keep execution risk in focus, especially around AI return-on-investment timelines. Higher global yields post-Japan could challenge duration-sensitive assets near term, though an orderly repricing with contained inflation expectations would be manageable for equities. Within equities, balance quality growth exposure with cyclical beneficiaries of easing financial conditions; in credit, emphasize higher-quality issuers given tight spreads. Levels and themes to keep on the radar US 10-year yield: Bias modestly higher after Japan’s move USD/JPY: Supported while policy divergence persists Oil: Range-bound with a slight downside skew on supply Gold: Sideways as real yields and dollar offset haven demand Crypto: Elevated volatility into options expiries and holidaysNote: Market levels referenced are directional and may have moved since publication. Disclosure This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates December 19, 2025 Dec 19 – Daily Market Updates Market Snapshot (early US… Read More Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates December 18, 2025 Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad… Read More Dec 17 – Daily Market Updates December 17, 2025 dec 17 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates December 16, 2025 Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: A Broad,… Read More Dec 15 – Daily Market Updates

Dec 19 – Daily Market Updates Read More »

Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates

Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad Market Update As of 05:45 a.m. ET S&P 500 Futures: 6807.7 Stoxx Europe 600: 581.00 WTI Crude (front-month): $56.00 Nikkei 225: 49001 Bitcoin: 87283 Opening take Global equities are attempting a steadier start with US futures modestly higher and Europe in the green, while Asia lagged on profit-taking. Tech remains the primary swing factor for risk sentiment, with cyclical leadership flipping back and forth as investors weigh earnings durability against macro data and central bank guidance. Energy is supported by firmer crude, and crypto continues to climb as risk appetite improves. Macro diary United States: A key inflation update is due at 8:30 a.m. ET. Markets will parse the core trend, shelter dynamics, and goods disinflation for clues on the timing and pace of any future policy easing. Labor indicators and housing reads later in the week round out the growth picture. Europe: Major central bank decisions and fresh projections are in focus. The policy tone around inflation progress, growth assumptions, and guidance for the coming quarters will be pivotal for rate expectations and bond curves. Asia: Sentiment remains sensitive to global tech demand signals and domestic growth impulses, with currency moves and export orders under close watch. Equities US: Futures indicate a rebound attempt after recent tech-led volatility. Under the hood, leadership continues to rotate: semiconductors and AI-linked names are stabilizing, while defensives and quality factors have outperformed during downdrafts. Breadth remains a key metric—sustained gains likely require participation beyond a handful of mega caps. Europe: Broad indices are firmer, with gains in consumer and industrial names offsetting softness in health care. Rate-sensitive segments may ebb and flow with central bank headlines. Asia: Japan underperformed as investors locked in gains following a strong run. Elsewhere in the region, performance was mixed, mirroring the global risk tone. Rates and currencies Sovereign yields are little changed ahead of inflation data and central bank decisions. Curves remain finely balanced between disinflation progress and resilient growth pockets. The dollar is mixed on the day, with moves largely contained as traders await policy signals. Sensitivity to data surprises remains elevated across G10 FX. Commodities and crypto Crude oil is firmer, supported by risk-on sentiment and ongoing supply considerations. Attention stays on inventories, mobility trends, and producer guidance. Industrial metals are steady to slightly higher, with investors weighing capex cycles against global manufacturing momentum. Bitcoin extends recent gains, reflecting improved risk tolerance and ongoing flows into digital assets. Strategy check: what’s driving positioning now Growth vs. policy: Incoming inflation data and central bank communication will shape the path for policy rates. A stickier inflation mix could keep financial conditions tighter for longer; a softer print would support duration and risk assets. Factor rotation: After a powerful advance in high-momentum and AI-adjacent names, positioning risk is elevated. Periodic rotations into quality, cash-flow stability, and lower-volatility profiles have offered ballast during pullbacks. Earnings execution: With valuations above long-term averages in several markets, delivery on revenue growth, margins, and capex discipline remains critical for sustaining multiples. Global backdrop: Geopolitics, trade policy, and supply chain resilience—especially around energy, semiconductors, and critical materials—remain latent sources of volatility. 2026 watchlist: themes to monitor AI payoffs and pacing: Investment remains heavy; timelines for monetization and productivity gains are the swing variables for margins and capex returns. Valuation concentration: Market leadership is narrow; broadening participation would reduce downside asymmetry. Inflation path: Services inflation, wages, and policy-sensitive components are the key tells for the rate trajectory. Growth mix: Household resilience, corporate balance sheets, and credit conditions will define how long the current expansion can run. Policy and geopolitics: Election cycles, tariff discussions, and regional tensions can quickly alter risk premia. What could move markets next Upside inflation surprise: Could lift yields and weigh on long-duration equities while supporting the dollar. Downside inflation surprise: Likely supportive for risk assets, duration, and rate-sensitive sectors. Central bank rhetoric: Any shift in guidance around the speed or extent of future easing will ripple across curves, FX, and equity factor leadership. This material is provided for broad market commentary only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market data may be delayed or subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates PhillipCapital DIFC Research TeamDecember 18, 2025 Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad… Read More Dec 17 – Daily Market Updates PhillipCapital DIFC Research TeamDecember 17, 2025 dec 17 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates PhillipCapital DIFC Research TeamDecember 16, 2025 Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: A Broad,… Read More Dec 15 – Daily Market Updates PhillipCapital DIFC Research TeamDecember 15, 2025 Dec 15 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad…

Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates Read More »

Dec 17 – Daily Market Updates

dec 17 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Briefing Markets at a glance (indicative levels around 6:21 a.m. ET; data may be delayed) S&P 500 futures: 6879.20 Stoxx Europe 600: 582.00 China CSI 300: 4579.85 Bitcoin: 86789 WTI crude (front-month): 56 Opening take Global risk sentiment is constructive. US equity futures are modestly higher, European benchmarks advance, and mainland China outperformed overnight as enthusiasm around domestically listed tech names lifted broader indices. Energy is back in focus with crude rallying on renewed supply-risk headlines, while gold is firmer as real-rate expectations ease. The macro calendar is comparatively light today ahead of tomorrow’s delayed US inflation print, keeping moves measured and liquidity thin into year-end. Macro and policy United States: With the November CPI report due tomorrow, implied index swings have compressed relative to the outsized moves seen during the peak inflation-fighting period. Investors are placing more weight on signals of cooling labor demand and broader growth moderation as they assess the path for policy in 2025. Europe and UK: Inflation continues to drift lower into major central bank decisions. Markets expect cautious guidance as policymakers balance disinflation progress against lingering growth headwinds. Asia: China’s equity rebound remains a key focus as domestic tech and AI-linked listings draw capital. In Japan, attention stays on bond-market functioning and the gradual normalization debate. Equities Leadership and breadth: Energy and materials are bid on higher oil and steady precious metals. Defensives remain supported by lower real yields, while growth leadership is intact but more selective as investors reassess AI-linked earnings durability. Housing and consumers: A cautious tone from a large US homebuilder on orders, deliveries and margins underscores affordability challenges and supply constraints; peers could trade in sympathy. Technology and AI: The semiconductor cycle remains the market’s barometer for AI infrastructure demand. A closely watched memory maker reports after the close, with positioning elevated after a strong year-to-date run. Large platforms continue to explore deeper chip partnerships and alternative silicon, aiming to diversify supply beyond incumbent providers. Media and airlines: Deal headlines are driving dispersion. A major studio’s stance on a proposed transaction has knock-on effects across streaming partners, while renewed consolidation talks among low-cost carriers keep the airline complex in play. Health care and listings: Positive late-stage clinical updates in immunology are boosting select biotech names. In primary markets, a sizeable medical-supplies IPO coming to market is stoking hopes for a more active sponsor-backed issuance pipeline into next year. Fixed income and FX Rates: Treasury yields are little changed with the 10-year anchored ahead of CPI. The curve remains sensitive to incremental labor data and inflation revisions, while year-end balance-sheet constraints may dampen liquidity. Credit: Spreads are steady amid healthy primary issuance. Corporate borrowers tied to secular growth themes continue to access funding at favorable terms. Currencies: The dollar is rangebound; EUR and GBP edge firmer on softer inflation trajectories, while JPY stability reflects a cautious approach to policy normalization. Commodities Energy: Crude oil climbs on supply and geopolitical developments, with energy equities catching a bid. Inventory data and any incremental guidance from producers remain near-term catalysts. Precious metals: Gold is supported by lower real-rate expectations and seasonal hedging flows. Agriculture: Weather disruptions and trade frictions keep select soft commodities, including coffee, elevated relative to long-term averages. Digital assets Crypto markets are consolidating after a powerful multi-quarter advance. Spot ETF inflows have cooled, liquidity has thinned, and correlations to US equities have weakened, leaving prices more sensitive to positioning and derivatives funding dynamics. The day ahead — what to watch Data: US housing indicators and weekly energy inventories today; US CPI tomorrow. Policy: Central bank decisions in Europe and the UK later this week; select emerging-market meetings on deck. Earnings: Consumer staples before the bell; semiconductors and select software and internet names after the close; additional consumer and industrial results through the week. Strategy snapshot Into CPI, expect tempered index moves but higher single-stock dispersion tied to guidance and positioning. Quality growth remains supported by stable to lower real yields; energy benefits from improving commodity momentum; defensives offer ballast if data noise rises. Maintain diversification and be mindful of year-end liquidity conditions. Use volatility around macro prints to adjust exposures rather than chase gaps. Note: Market levels above are indicative and provided for reference only. This material is a general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 17 – Daily Market Updates PhillipCapital DIFC Research TeamDecember 17, 2025 dec 17 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates PhillipCapital DIFC Research TeamDecember 16, 2025 Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: A Broad,… Read More Dec 15 – Daily

Dec 17 – Daily Market Updates Read More »

Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates

Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: A Broad, Unbiased Look at Global Markets At a glance (as of 06:22 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: 6,864.25 (-0.24%) Stoxx Europe 600: 581.41 (-0.19%) Hang Seng: 25,235.41 (-1.54%) Bitcoin: 86,986.56 (+0.92%) WTI crude (front-month): 55.80 (-1.80%) Global mood Risk appetite eased to start the day as investors await a key US labor update. Equity futures in the US are a touch softer, Europe is modestly lower, and Asia ended mixed with notable weakness in Hong Kong. The dollar remains subdued near recent lows, oil extends its slide on signs of ample supply, and digital assets are firmer. What’s driving the session US labor print in focus: Markets are positioning cautiously into today’s employment report, which will shape expectations for the trajectory of interest rates into year-end and early 2026. A cooler jobs backdrop would reinforce the view that policy easing can proceed without reigniting inflation pressures; a hot reading would challenge that narrative and could steepen the front end of the curve. Europe mixed as growth and policy diverge: European equities are treading water with defensives and income-oriented shares outperforming cyclicals. Softer UK labor signals and moderating wage growth have strengthened the case for near-term policy easing by the Bank of England. Asia skews lower: Chinese and Hong Kong benchmarks remain under pressure amid lingering growth concerns and a pullback in tech-heavy segments. Regional performance was uneven, with select exporters and energy importers cushioned by lower oil. Oil drifts lower: Crude extends losses as supply indicators and risk-off positioning weigh. Refining margins and inventories remain in focus; energy equities may lag broader benchmarks if crude stays capped. Equities US: Futures point to a mild pullback after a strong multi-week run. Breadth and leadership remain in focus: recent sessions have seen participation broaden beyond mega-cap tech, a constructive sign for durability of the uptrend. Into the data, expect lighter volumes and intraday swing risk. Europe: Benchmarks are slightly negative with rate-sensitive sectors mixed. Lower yields have supported parts of the market, but earnings revisions and policy signals remain the key swing factors. Asia: Hong Kong led declines; mainland shares were weaker, while Japan and parts of ASEAN were more resilient. Lower energy prices helped transport and power-heavy pockets of the market. Fixed income and FX Rates: Front-end yields are anchored ahead of the data, with the curve sensitive to any shift in labor demand and wage dynamics. Markets continue to price a path toward easier policy over the next year, but the pace remains data dependent. FX: The dollar is hovering near multi-week lows as rate cut expectations firm and growth differentials narrow. Sterling is steady with BoE expectations skewing dovish on softer labor signals; the euro is range-bound. Commodities Energy: WTI trades below $60, adding to recent declines on evidence of comfortable supply and cautious demand assumptions. If the trend persists, it could ease headline inflation but weigh on energy capex and sector earnings momentum. Metals: Industrial metals are mixed amid cross-currents from China growth headlines and a softer dollar. Precious metals are little changed as investors balance lower yields against shifting risk sentiment. Digital assets Bitcoin is firmer, extending an upward bias as broader risk sentiment stabilizes and liquidity improves. Volatility remains elevated relative to traditional assets; position sizing and risk controls remain crucial for crypto exposure. Earnings and corporate themes Consensus earnings view: Street expectations continue to imply resilient profit growth over the coming quarters, with improving breadth beyond the largest technology names. The durability of margins, capital spending discipline, and a modest pickup in cyclical sectors are central to that outlook. Sector narratives:  Autos and mobility are recalibrating electric-vehicle plans toward profitability and capital efficiency. Payments and fintech remain focused on licensing, compliance, and product expansion to drive engagement. IT services and consulting are emphasizing cost control and AI-enabled productivity to support margins. Structural watch: Europe’s long end European fixed income is preparing for portfolio shifts tied to pension and liability-hedging changes in parts of the region. Any rebalancing away from long-duration hedges could affect curve dynamics and relative-value relationships across maturities. Market depth is typically thinner into year-end, so execution and liquidity planning are key. Today’s key risks and watch list US employment report (08:30 a.m. ET): Jobs growth, unemployment rate, and wage trends will guide rate-path pricing and equity factor performance. Central bank signals: Messaging from major central banks this week will shape front-end rates, FX, and equity leadership. Liquidity/volatility: Year-end conditions can amplify moves; be mindful of wider bid-ask spreads and gap risk around data releases. Portfolio considerations Balance: Maintain diversified exposure across styles and regions; avoid concentration risk into binary macro events. Quality bias: In a slower growth, lower-yield setup, balance cyclicals with resilient cash flow and strong balance sheets. Duration and hedging: Consider whether current rate levels align with your duration targets; reassess hedges around key data. Market levels recap (06:22 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: 6,864.25 (-0.24%) Stoxx Europe 600: 581.41 (-0.19%) Hang Seng: 25,235.41 (-1.54%) Bitcoin: 86,986.56 (+0.92%) WTI crude (front-month): 55.80 (-1.80%) This publication is a general market update for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, asset class, or strategy. Market data may be delayed. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital

Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates Read More »