Market Updates

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February 18 – Daily Market Update

18 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily A broad look at global markets and what’s driving sentiment today Market snapshot (as of 6:16 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: around 6897 (+0.5%) Stoxx Europe 600: roughly 627 (+1.0%) US 10-year Treasury yield: near 4.07% (+1 bp) Nikkei 225: about 57144 (+1.0%) Bitcoin: around $67300 (-0.5%) Global overview Equities are firmer to start the day as dip-buyers step back in following last week’s tech-led swings. Europe is extending gains with broad participation across cyclicals and financials, while Japan continues to outperform as earnings and corporate-reform themes underpin sentiment. In the US, index futures are stabilizing after a choppy stretch, with investors leaning into quality balance sheets and secular growers but staying selective in higher-duration, AI-exposed names. Rates, FX and credit US Treasuries are little changed, with the 10-year hovering just above 4%. Traders are balancing resilient growth data with a “higher-for-longer” policy backdrop, keeping the front end anchored and term premium in focus. The dollar is broadly steady versus major peers, with attention on upcoming US data and global PMIs. The euro and pound are range-bound; the yen remains sensitive to rate differentials and policy expectations. Credit markets remain orderly. Investment-grade spreads are steady, and primary issuance windows remain open, though pace and pricing discipline vary by sector. Commodities and digital assets Oil is trading in a tight band as supply headlines and demand indicators offset. Refined product cracks and inventory trends remain key near-term drivers. Precious metals are steady to slightly firmer ahead of central bank updates, with haven demand and rate expectations in the mix. Crypto is mixed, with bitcoin consolidating near the mid-$60Ks as flows rotate across large-cap tokens. Market drivers to watch Policy and central banks: Minutes from major central banks and speaker calendars may refine the timing and pace of any 2026 policy adjustments. Markets still expect patience, with inflation progress and labor rebalancing in focus. Earnings season: Another busy stretch across technology, industrials, consumer and energy. Guidance on capital spending, AI-related costs, and pricing power will likely steer factor performance and sector rotations. Macro data: Global flash PMIs, US housing trends, jobless claims, and inflation updates from key economies will shape growth and disinflation narratives. Positioning and flows: After recent factor whipsaws, watch for rotations between megacap growth, defensives and cyclicals. Options hedging, systematic re-risking, and buyback windows may amplify intraday moves. Equities: what’s working Quality bias: Solid balance sheets, consistent free cash flow and visible demand pipelines continue to command premiums. Select cyclicals: Industrials, travel/leisure and parts of energy show resilience where backlogs and pricing support margins. Tech dispersion: Ongoing divergence within semis, software and hardware. Execution and unit-economics matter more than topline AI narratives. Fixed income: key themes Range-bound yields: Barring a material surprise in growth or inflation, rates likely remain in a broad range as markets await clearer guidance. Carry over convexity: Investors continue to favor high-quality carry and laddered duration, while keeping dry powder for volatility-driven opportunities. Credit discipline: Spreads are fair to full in many segments; security selection and covenant quality remain in the spotlight. Portfolio considerations Keep diversification broad across styles and regions given cross-currents in policy, growth and earnings. Balance equity risk with duration that matches liability needs; consider barbell approaches in both equities (quality + selective cyclicals) and fixed income (short carry + intermediate core). Maintain a clear risk framework: use defined stop levels, hedge event risk selectively and review liquidity buffers. The day ahead Data: Global PMIs, US housing indicators and weekly labor figures over the coming sessions. Policy: Central bank minutes and appearances that could fine-tune rate-path expectations. Earnings: Updates across tech, consumer, industrials and energy—watch guidance on capex, AI spend, pricing and demand elasticity. Note: This commentary is a general market update for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. 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February 17 – Daily Market Update

17 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad Market Update US equity futures point lower with technology leading declines as Wall Street returns from the holiday. European shares are broadly flat, while trading in Asia was mixed and thinned by Lunar New Year closures. Precious metals are softer, crude is edging down, and digital assets are under pressure. Market snapshot (as of 06:12 am ET; levels subject to change) Nasdaq 100 Futures: 24617.25 (-0.75%) Stoxx Europe 600: 618.46 (-0.01%) Nikkei 225: 56566.49 (-0.42%) Spot Gold: 4922.87 (-1.39%) Bitcoin: 67837.88 (-1.45%) Global macro and policy United Kingdom: The latest labor figures showed unemployment ticking up and pay growth easing. Interest-rate markets increased expectations for additional Bank of England cuts by year-end, weighing modestly on sterling and supporting gilts. Europe: Policymakers continue to discuss ways to deepen the euro’s global footprint. While largely a long-run initiative, it underscores a push to strengthen financial resilience and liquidity in euro-denominated markets. Japan: Government bond yields fell further following a well-received auction, extending the recent rally and reinforcing a lower-volatility backdrop for local rates. Commodities and geopolitics: Oil prices drifted lower as traders monitored diplomatic developments in the Middle East alongside steady supply dynamics. Equities: what’s moving AI-driven swings continue to ripple across sectors. Recent headlines have triggered broad, sometimes indiscriminate selling in industries perceived as vulnerable to automation. That has been followed by sharp rebounds as investors differentiate likely winners from names with more durable cash flows. Expect elevated dispersion and ongoing factor rotations. Corporate highlights: Leisure and travel: A major cruise operator advanced in early trading amid reports of an activist building a significant stake. Media and entertainment: Large-cap media names moved on talk that deal discussions could be revisited after a revised proposal. Health care: A diversified life-sciences company reportedly neared a multibillion-dollar purchase of a medical-technology firm; potential knock-on effects were seen across diagnostics peers. Japan financials: Shares in a leading brokerage’s parent slipped after local regulators began a probe into the unit’s activities. Shipping and logistics: Container shipping rallied after a takeover agreement valued a target at roughly $4.2 billion. Materials: Gold and silver miners traded lower alongside weakness in underlying metals. Earnings on deck: Medtronic (pre-market); Palo Alto Networks and Cadence Design Systems (after the bell). Investors will focus on guidance quality, margin resilience, and any commentary on demand normalisation into mid-year. Rates, FX and credit US Treasuries: Yields are steady to slightly lower as participants balance slower inflation progress with moderating growth signals. Curve shape remains sensitive to incoming data and central bank communications. Europe rates: Gilt yields fell on softer UK labor momentum; bunds were little changed in early dealings. Foreign exchange: The dollar is mixed. Sterling eased on shifting BoE expectations; the euro was broadly stable; the yen firmed modestly in tandem with the JGB rally. Cross-asset volatility remains below recent peaks but above last year’s lows. Commodities and digital assets Gold slipped as real yields firmed and risk sentiment stabilized after last week’s swings. Industrial metals remain underpinned by ongoing interest in energy transition supply chains, even as short-term positioning looks crowded. Crude benchmarks softened amid headline risk and range-bound fundamentals. Bitcoin traded lower, mirroring broader risk-on/risk-off dynamics and profit-taking after recent gains. The takeaway Markets are navigating a push-pull between resilient earnings leadership and periodic de-risking tied to AI narratives, M&A headlines and evolving central bank paths. Expect choppy sessions, higher dispersion within sectors, and a renewed emphasis on balance-sheet strength and pricing power. Near term, watch labor and inflation prints in major economies, guidance from today’s earnings slate, and any signals on policy timing from central bank speakers. House view for clients Maintain diversified exposure across regions and styles, with an eye on quality balance sheets and consistent free-cash-flow generation. Use volatility to rebalance toward long-term targets; consider staggered entry points rather than single-date allocation shifts. Ensure risk controls are in place around event-heavy periods. Important information This material is a general market update for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market data are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. 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February 17 – Daily Market Update Read More »

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February 16 – Daily Market Update 

16 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Briefing As of 6:50 a.m. ET Equities: European benchmarks edged higher, with the region-wide gauge hovering near 620, up roughly 0.3%. Currencies: The US dollar index was marginally firmer, near 1,182 on a broad trade-weighted basis. Commodities: WTI crude traded just under $63, slightly higher on the session; gold eased about 0.7%. Digital assets: Bitcoin hovered around $68.6k, down modestly. Macro and market context Risk tone: Global equities started the week on a constructive note despite thin liquidity across parts of Asia due to Lunar New Year holidays and North American holiday closures. Participation is lighter, but dip-buying interest remains evident in select tech, industrials and consumer names. Rates backdrop: After a strong week for sovereign bonds driven by renewed wagers on policy easing later this year, traders are now focused on a dense run of growth and inflation data that could recalibrate the path of rate expectations. AI narrative, two-way risk: Markets continue to grapple with the balance between productivity upside from artificial intelligence and the near-term drag from heavy capital outlays. That tension is visible in equity factor performance (infrastructure and security favored over certain application layers) and in credit markets, where hedging demand has picked up around large capex spenders. Expect dispersion within tech to remain elevated. Overnight movers and themes Europe: Cyclical and quality-growth pockets led early gains. Select materials shares underperformed after broker actions, while parts of the UK small/mid-cap software space lagged following deal headlines that removed a potential bid premium. Defensive sectors were mixed as bond yields steadied. Energy and commodities: Oil was broadly steady as supply discipline and a measured demand outlook offset each other; gold softened alongside a slightly firmer dollar. Industrial metals remained rangebound pending fresh China activity signals. FX: The dollar ticked higher against a basket of majors, while several high-carry emerging-market currencies were relatively resilient amid stable commodity prices and subdued volatility. The week ahead — key indicators and events Monday: North America: US markets closed for Presidents’ Day; Canada closed for Family Day. Latin America: Brazil closed for Carnival (through Feb. 17). Asia: Several markets closed or operating on shortened schedules for Lunar New Year. Tuesday: Europe: Germany’s inflation updates and sentiment surveys; UK labor market figures. US: Regional manufacturing pulse. Asia: Mainland China closed for Lunar New Year. Wednesday: Europe/Asia: France inflation; Japan trade balance. UK: CPI inflation. US: Housing starts, industrial production, leading indicators, core durable goods. Earnings: Mix of global miners, ratings/analytics, and chip-related bellwethers. Thursday: Europe: Euro-area consumer confidence. US: Weekly jobless claims, advanced indicators, trade, pending home sales. Earnings: Large-cap retail, diversified industrials, and resources. Friday: Europe/Asia: Euro-area PMIs, Japan CPI, UK retail sales. North America: Canada retail sales; US personal income/spending with PCE inflation, GDP update, new home sales, manufacturing PMI, and consumer sentiment. Policy watch: US legal and policy developments remain on the radar for potential implications to trade and tariff expectations. Strategy watch — what we’re tracking Tech dispersion: Investors continue to differentiate between AI “enablers” (compute, data infrastructure, observability, cybersecurity, cloud platforms) and areas where automation may compress pricing power. Expect continued rotation within software and services as spending priorities evolve. Credit hedging: As capex cycles swell at mega-cap platforms and select hyperscale-adjacent players, appetite for downside protection in credit has increased. Monitor spreads and hedging costs as leading indicators of stress or confidence in return on investment. Rates and duration: A heavy slate of growth and inflation data could challenge last week’s bond rally. A hotter PCE or firm PMIs would likely nudge front-end yields higher; a downside surprise would reinforce soft-landing hopes. FX and EM: Carry and commodity support have steadied several emerging currencies relative to G-7 peers. Watch terms-of-trade shifts if oil and base metals break out of recent ranges. Quick take by asset class Equities: Breadth remains a focal point. Participation outside of the largest tech names has improved in fits and starts, but durability likely hinges on confirmation from earnings revisions and macro surprises. Fixed income: The balance between disinflation progress and growth resilience remains tight. The next PCE print is pivotal for validating or challenging current rate-cut timelines. Commodities: Crude is pinned between disciplined supply and a cautious demand outlook; volatility may rise around inventory data and growth prints. Precious metals remain sensitive to real yields and the dollar. Crypto: Consolidation persists after a strong multi-month run; flows and regulatory headlines remain key swing factors. Housekeeping and market closures US: Closed today for Presidents’ Day. Canada: Closed today for Family Day. Asia: Multiple markets closed or on reduced hours for Lunar New Year through midweek. Brazil: Markets closed for Carnival through Feb. 17. Key risks to monitor Data surprises on inflation and growth that shift the policy path. Earnings guidance tied to AI spending payback periods. Geopolitics and trade policy developments. Liquidity pockets around holiday-thinned sessions. This material is a general market update for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments

February 16 – Daily Market Update  Read More »

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Weekly Global Market News – february Week 3

Weekly Global Market News – February -Week 3 A holiday-shortened start and Asia’s festive calendar will thin liquidity early in the week, but the macro and earnings flow intensifies from Tuesday onward. Headline drivers include a heavy slate of inflation prints across advanced economies, the latest read on the US policy outlook via FOMC minutes, flash PMIs on Friday, and China’s loan prime rate decision. On the corporate side, global miners dominate with results that will ripple across iron ore, copper, and gold, while selected tech, consumer, industrials, and energy names provide important micro clues on demand, pricing power, and capital allocation. Market conditions and closures US: Presidents’ Day on Monday; cash equities, Treasuries, and futures observe holiday hours. Latin America: Brazil and Argentina are closed Monday and Tuesday for Carnival. Asia: Lunar New Year-related closures keep mainland China shut most of the week; Hong Kong runs a half-day Monday then resumes Friday. South Korea observes Seollal for three days. Key themes to watch 1.Inflation pulse and policy path UK CPI and PPI (Wed): Services inflation stickiness vs base effects is central to the BoE’s cut timeline. A firm print would support front-end gilt yields and underpin GBP into week’s end retail sales. Euro area components (Germany, France; Tue/Wed): January readings help refine the ECB’s handoff from disinflation to timing cuts in H2. Japan CPI (Fri) and Q4 GDP (Mon): A firm core outcome and resilient growth bolster the case for the BoJ’s eventual policy normalization; watch JGB term premium and yen sensitivity. Canada CPI (Tue): Core measures and shelter components are pivotal for the BoC’s mid-year easing narrative. Germany PPI (Fri): Producer prices continue to guide margin dynamics and potential disinflation carry-through. 2. Central bank signals FOMC minutes (Wed): Market focus on balance between patience and data dependence on cuts. Any color on QT glidepath and inflation risk asymmetry will steer the front end of the US curve and the dollar. China LPR decision (Fri): With growth support in focus, watch for a targeted easing bias; credit impulse implications are key for copper, iron ore, and China-sensitive equities. 3. Global growth nowcast Flash PMIs (Fri, US/UK/Eurozone/Japan/others): Manufacturing stabilization vs services resilience; new orders and prices-paid subindices will be read for margin and inventory signals. UK retail sales and public finances (Fri): Consumption breadth after the holiday period; implications for domestic cyclicals and gilts. EU industrial production (Mon) and construction output (Thu): Capex temperature check across the bloc. 4. Earnings: Miners lead, with cross-asset read-throughs Diversified miners: BHP, Rio Tinto, Glencore, Anglo American, Antofagasta, Newmont, Kinross, Pan African Resources (Tue–Fri). Focus on: Price decks and sensitivity to iron ore, copper, and gold. Capex discipline vs growth optionality; decarbonization and permitting updates. Unit costs, FX tailwinds, logistics and energy inputs. Dividend and buyback frameworks amid volatile commodity strips. Energy: Occidental, Repsol (Thu). Watch capex, shale productivity, free cash flow allocation, and commentary on supply discipline. Industrials/building materials: CRH, Deere & Co, Airbus, Mondi, Renault (Thu). Construction volumes, backlogs, and pricing carry; aero supply chain cadence. Consumer and staples: Walmart, Nestlé, Carrefour, Pernod Ricard, Moncler, InterContinental Hotels, Live Nation (Tue–Thu). Volumes vs price/mix, private-label trade-up/down, travel and events momentum, China reopening after holidays. Tech and payments-adjacent: Palo Alto Networks, Analog Devices, Cadence, eBay, DoorDash, Etsy, Akamai (Tue–Thu). Cybersecurity budget resilience, AI hardware cycle timing, inventory normalization in semis, e-commerce take rates and cost discipline. Financials and utilities/insurance: Zurich Insurance, Centrica, Consolidated Edison, Aegon, Suncorp (Wed–Thu). Cat losses, solvency metrics, rate sensitivity, retail energy margins. Asset-class playbook FX USD: Range-bound into Wednesday’s minutes; upside risks if growth momentum remains firm. GBP: Two-way risk around CPI/retail sales; firmer data would support sterling and front-end gilt yields. JPY: Sensitive to Japan CPI/GDP; hawkish BoJ expectations could re-steepen JGBs and buoy yen. CAD: CPI surprise steers BoC cut probabilities; watch CAD crosses for volatility. AUD: Labor force data (Thu) in focus; a firm print tempers early cuts pricing. CNH: Holiday-thinned flows; LPR bias and any growth guidance could set the tone into month-end. Rates US: Curve dynamics hinge on minutes and Friday’s GDP update; stickier inflation favors bear-flattener risk. UK: Gilts vulnerable to services CPI; pay attention to breakevens. Euro area: Bunds track core inflation and PMIs; construction/IP softness still a support tailwind. Japan: JGB term premium sensitive to CPI and policy normalization chatter. Equities Expect dispersion: commodity producers, AI-adjacent names, and defensives may decouple. Low Monday liquidity can amplify moves in Europe; watch for gap risk when US reopens Tuesday. Commodities Iron ore and copper: Guided by miners’ capex/cost outlooks and China tone post-holidays. Gold: Real-yield path and central bank demand remain supportive on dips. Oil: Macro growth tone and inventory data to drive spreads; energy equities guided by capital return commentary. Event radar India’s AI Impact Summit in New Delhi (Mon–Fri): High-profile tech and industry leaders discuss AI deployment and infrastructure. Semis, hyperscale capex, and enterprise software guidance will be parsed for spend intentions and timelines. Political and geopolitical watch: Developments in the Middle East and broader US policy headlines may add episodic risk to energy and haven flows. The week’s calendar at a glance Monday Market closures: US (Presidents’ Day), Brazil and Argentina (Carnival), South Korea (Seollal), China (Lunar New Year week), Hong Kong (half-day). Data: EU industrial production (Dec), India WPI (Jan); Japan and Switzerland Q4 GDP first estimates; UK Rightmove house prices (Feb). Earnings: Bridgestone (FY). Tuesday  Data: Canada CPI (Jan); Germany CPI/HICP (Jan); UK labor market stats, flash productivity (Q4), ONS housebuilding; US Conference Board Employment Trends Index. Earnings: Antofagasta (FY), BHP (HY), Cadence Design Systems (Q4/FY), Caesars Entertainment (Q4/FY), Carrefour (FY), DTE Energy (Q4/FY), Fluor (Q4/FY), Genuine Parts (Q4/FY), Havas (FY), InterContinental Hotels (FY), Kenvue (Q4/FY), Kerry Group (FY), Medtronic (Q3), Palo Alto Networks (Q2), Vulcan Materials (Q4/FY). Wednesday Data: France CPI (Jan); Germany labor market (Q4); UK CPI and PPI (Jan), UK house price indices and private rents (Feb). Central banks: FOMC minutes (Jan meeting). Earnings: Analog Devices (Q1), BAE Systems (FY), Celanese (Q4/FY), Conduit Re (FY),

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February 13 – Daily Market Update

13 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad Market Update Overview Global markets are treading cautiously ahead of a key US inflation print. US equity futures are slightly lower, European stocks are softer, and the dollar is a touch firmer. Asian trading was mixed, with Hong Kong underperforming. Bond markets are steady to marginally weaker as traders balance hopes for rate cuts later this year against signs that underlying price pressures may prove stickier than previously assumed. Crypto assets are firmer, and select commodity prices are consolidating. Snapshot (approximate, 06:20 ET) US equity futures: modestly lower (around -0.3%) Europe: Stoxx 600 slightly in the red (about -0.3%) US dollar: marginally stronger (roughly +0.1% on a broad index) Asia: Hong Kong notably weaker (down nearly 1.7%) Bitcoin: higher (around +1.5%–2%) What’s driving markets All eyes on inflation: Today’s US consumer price reading is poised to set the near-term tone for rates and risk assets. An upside surprise could challenge the consensus for multiple rate cuts later this year, while a softer print would likely revive the “soft-landing” narrative. Rates debate: Front-end yields remain sensitive to data surprises. While markets still discount rate reductions this year, the path and timing remain in flux amid resilient growth and evidence of lingering services inflation. Dollar bid, commodities mixed: The greenback’s mild strength reflects pre-data caution. Base metals are consolidating amid shifting policy headlines, while energy prices are range-bound as supply dynamics offset demand questions. AI jitters cool, but rotations persist: After a bout of AI-driven volatility and sharp factor rotations, equity markets stabilized. Still, investor positioning remains highly responsive to headlines about automation and productivity, with periodic knock-on effects across software, logistics, financial services, and professional industries. Equities US: The tape is balanced ahead of the data. Semiconductor equipment names have benefited from constructive guidance tied to capacity and AI-related demand. By contrast, some ad-driven internet platforms have faced pressure on softer revenue commentary, while select streaming and connected-TV names saw relief on better-than-feared results. An EV manufacturer’s progress toward profitability has supported sentiment in that niche. Europe: Consumer and luxury-linked names lagged after softer sales updates in select categories, reinforcing a defensive tone. Broader indices remain range-bound as investors await US macro catalysts.  Asia: Hong Kong underperformed on renewed growth concerns, while other regional markets were mixed as earnings season and global rate expectations guided flows. Fixed income and FX Treasuries: Yields are little changed to slightly higher into the CPI release. The curve remains in a holding pattern, with two- to five-year maturities most sensitive to any re-pricing of the Fed path. Global bonds: Core European yields track US moves; peripheral spreads are stable. Credit markets remain orderly, though bid-offer typically widens around major data. FX: The dollar firmed modestly on event risk hedging. High-beta and cyclical currencies are range-trading; the yen remains driven by relative policy expectations and US yield direction. Commodities and crypto Commodities: Industrial metals are steady to softer amid trade-policy headlines and growth worries. Oil holds in a tight band as supply risks offset macro caution. Gold is little changed, reflecting the push-pull between real yields and hedging demand. Digital assets: Crypto benchmarks are firmer after recent volatility. Institutional interest and flows remain supportive, but positioning is highly reactive to macro data and regulatory developments. Primary markets and corporate flow New issuance: Signs of select US IPO postponements and resized offerings reflect a more discerning tone on valuations and near-term demand. Seasoned issuers in investment-grade and high yield continue to access markets, but windows may narrow around data prints. Earnings pulse: Reporting volume is slowing into the long weekend. A handful of consumer and healthcare names report before the open; guidance and margin commentary remain the key swing factors for single-stock moves. The day ahead — key things to watch US CPI: Core services momentum, shelter disinflation pace, and goods pricing will be dissected for clues on the durability of progress toward target. Rate expectations: Watch front-end yields, Fed-dated OIS, and terminal-rate pricing post-release. Equity leadership: Semis and AI-adjacent beneficiaries versus defensives; any rotation after the data could set the tone into month-end. Liquidity: Expect wider spreads and quicker price gaps around the print; levels may normalize into the afternoon if outcomes meet consensus. Risk considerations Event risk: Macro surprises can prompt outsized moves in rates, FX, and cyclicals. Hedging and disciplined risk limits are advisable around releases. Policy and trade: Shifts in tariff frameworks and industrial policy can influence metals, industrials, and global supply-chain plays. Earnings and guidance: With macro uncertainty elevated, forward guidance remains a primary driver of dispersion across sectors. This material is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Markets are volatile and may move quickly following economic data or policy developments. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and

February 13 – Daily Market Update Read More »

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February 12 – Daily Market Update 

12 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Overview Global equities are starting the day with a constructive tone as gains in Europe and across much of Asia set the stage for a modestly higher US open. Leadership continues to broaden beyond the US, with several Asian markets and select Latin American benchmarks outpacing major US indices so far this year. A softer dollar and steady credit conditions are supporting risk appetite, while investors continue to rotate toward cyclicals and rate‑sensitive areas alongside ongoing interest in AI‑linked beneficiaries. Equities US: Futures signal a firmer open, with breadth improving beyond mega-cap tech. Transports, industrials and select financials have shown relative strength as freight volumes, travel demand, and capital spending expectations stabilize. Software and certain ad-tech names remain more mixed as investors sort through AI-related competitive dynamics. Europe: Regional indices are higher on a wave of company updates, with beats and improved guidance out of several sectors helping sentiment. Defensives remain well bid, but cyclical groups tied to logistics, travel, and manufacturing have led recent outperformance. Asia: Markets broadly advanced, with North Asia continuing to benefit from demand across the semiconductor and AI supply chains. Corporate reforms and shareholder-return initiatives remain supportive in parts of the region. ASEAN and India trade mixed as valuations and policy outlooks are reassessed following a strong multi‑year run. Style and factors: Momentum has cooled at the very top of US tech while value, quality, and income factors gain traction. Earnings revision breadth is improving outside the US, adding to the case for regional diversification. Rates and Credit Sovereigns: US Treasury yields are little changed in early trade, with the curve holding recent ranges as markets await the next round of inflation and activity data. European core yields are steady to slightly higher alongside firmer risk sentiment. Credit: Investment-grade spreads remain tight and high-yield risk premiums are stable. Primary issuance is active, with healthy order books pointing to robust demand for carry. Currencies The dollar index is edging lower, aiding risk assets and commodities. High-beta FX is firmer on the back of stronger global growth expectations, while the yen remains sensitive to policy signaling and rate differentials. Select EM currencies are steady, with idiosyncratic drivers continuing to dominate. Commodities Energy: Crude is rangebound as supply developments offset demand optimism tied to improved growth signals in Asia. Refining margins and inventory trends remain in focus. Metals: Industrial metals are mixed; copper and aluminum find support on infrastructure and data-center buildout demand, while near-term macro uncertainty caps rallies. Precious: Gold is steady, with real yields and dollar moves remaining the key drivers. Digital Assets Major tokens are modestly higher. Liquidity thins into weekends and during off-hours, which can amplify moves; positioning and options expiries remain important near-term catalysts. Corporate and Deal Flow Themes Asset management consolidation continues to gather pace as firms seek scale, distribution reach, and technology investment. AI remains a capital magnet, with large private funding rounds underscoring investor conviction in foundational models and enterprise adoption. Health care news flow is active, with leadership changes and regulatory milestones producing outsized single‑stock moves. Payments and fintech updates highlight a recalibration of revenue growth expectations; unit economics and international expansion are key differentiators. Consumer staples and food brands are under scrutiny as portfolio reshaping and pricing power normalize post‑pandemic. Travel, logistics, and freight have re-rated higher on improving demand data and efficiency gains. Key Themes We’re Watching Regional rotation: Outperformance outside the US suggests a broader leadership handoff. Valuations, earnings revisions, and currency dynamics support a case for diversified exposure. Cyclicals vs. secular growth: AI-related beneficiaries remain core to long-term tech spending, but cyclical groups tied to transport, capital goods, and travel are capturing incremental flows as growth expectations stabilize. Policy path: Central bank communication and incoming inflation prints remain pivotal for duration, rate-sensitive equities, and FX trends. Liquidity and market structure: Thinner trading conditions during off-hours can exacerbate swings in crypto and smaller-cap equities; be mindful of leverage and key technical levels. Earnings quality over headlines: Cash flow durability, pricing power, and balance sheet strength are being rewarded more consistently than top-line beats alone. What’s Ahead Macro: Inflation, retail sales, and housing updates across major economies; central bank speakers and minutes. Micro: A busy earnings slate across airlines, payments, semiconductors, travel platforms, and select industrials. Guidance on 2026 capex, AI monetization, and margin trajectories will be in focus. Portfolio Considerations Diversification: Rebalance US-heavy allocations to include select Asia and Europe exposures where earnings revisions and policy tailwinds look favorable. Quality bias: Favor companies with strong free cash flow, resilient margins, and reasonable leverage. Balance secular and cyclical: Pair AI and cloud infrastructure beneficiaries with transportation, logistics, and other economically sensitive names showing improving demand. Currency: Consider hedging where dollar softness or volatility could materially impact returns. Risk management: Use disciplined position sizing and stop‑loss protocols, especially into low‑liquidity windows. This material is for information purposes only and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Markets are volatile; consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment dec Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and

February 12 – Daily Market Update  Read More »

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February 11 – Daily Market Update

11 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Market snapshot (as of 6:06 a.m. ET) US equity futures: flat to slightly lower (S&P 500 futures near 6961, -0.01%) Europe: Stoxx 600 around 619.6, -0.22% Asia: Hang Seng closed up roughly 0.3% near 27266 US dollar: softer by about 0.3% on a broad trade-weighted basis Bitcoin: near $66600, down roughly 2.9% US Treasuries: yields edging lower across the curve Macro and policy “Bad news is good news” is back in focus. Softer data have reinforced expectations that major central banks, led by the Fed, could begin easing later this year. Markets are leaning toward multiple rate cuts in 2026, though timing remains data-dependent. Today’s US labor-market update will be pivotal. Traders will watch headline payrolls, the unemployment rate, participation, average hourly earnings, and—critically—revisions to prior months. A cooler set of numbers would bolster the case for earlier policy support; an upside surprise could push back those timelines. Global growth signals are mixed: Europe continues to show uneven momentum, while Asia’s tech‑heavy markets have benefited from the weaker dollar and ongoing demand for semiconductors and AI infrastructure. Equities US: Index futures are steady as investors balance resilient mega-cap tech leadership with late‑cycle dynamics favoring quality balance sheets and cash flow. Rate‑sensitive segments tend to benefit when yields fall, while small caps remain more volatile around macro surprises. Europe: Modest declines in early trade as investors digest earnings, cost‑reduction plans, and guidance resets. Defensive pockets (utilities, staples, healthcare) are finding support when bond yields ease, while cyclicals trade more on growth and China‑linked headlines. Asia: Mixed session. Tech‑oriented markets continue to attract flows on AI hardware demand, while parts of Greater China remain range‑bound amid policy and property‑sector uncertainty. Rates and credit US Treasuries are firmer, with the belly of the curve leading on softer growth signals. A cool employment print would likely extend the rally and favor a bull‑steepening bias; a hotter release risks a reversal with front‑end yields most sensitive. Investment‑grade credit spreads are broadly stable; high yield trades in a tight range but remains sensitive to earnings surprises and any pickup in default chatter. Currencies The dollar is easing for a fourth session as rate‑cut probabilities firm. A benign wage‑inflation number would likely keep the pressure on the greenback; stronger earnings growth could flip the script. G10: Euro and pound are firmer against the dollar; yen steadies as US yields dip. Select commodity currencies are consolidating after recent gains. Commodities and crypto Oil: Range‑bound as supply risks and inventory dynamics offset growth concerns. Positioning remains cautious ahead of key macro prints. Gold: Supported by lower real yields and a softer dollar; ETF flows remain the swing factor. Digital assets: Bitcoin is retracing after a strong multi‑week run; intra‑day volatility remains elevated around liquidity pockets and risk sentiment. Theme to watch: The AI dispersion Markets are recalibrating winners and potential laggards from rapid AI adoption. Hardware beneficiaries and energy‑efficient infrastructure remain in focus, while parts of software, services, and select financial niches face headline‑driven volatility. Expect continued differentiation at the single‑name level as business models adapt and pricing power is tested. Event radar US labor market report: headline jobs, unemployment rate, participation, average hourly earnings, and prior‑month revisions Central bank speakers and minutes across major economies Corporate earnings: watch forward‑guidance language, cost discipline, AI investment pacing, and capital‑return updates Trading lens: What could move markets today Weaker‑than‑expected jobs/wage data: likely bullish duration, softer dollar, supportive for rate‑sensitives and quality growth Stronger‑than‑expected jobs/wage data: potential bear‑flattening in rates, dollar bounce, factor rotation toward cyclical/value and financials Big revisions: could meaningfully reshape the narrative even if the headline meets estimates House view highlights Macro remains a tug‑of‑war between cooling growth and prospective policy support. Near term, data beats/misses will likely drive sharp, factor‑level rotations more than index‑directional trends. Stay selective within equities, with an emphasis on quality balance sheets and durable cash flow. In fixed income, carry remains attractive, but duration should be sized with event risk in mind. Important information This material is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Markets are volatile and can move quickly around economic releases and company news. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and local regulations before making investment decisions. Market levels and performance figures referenced above are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. February 11 – Daily Market Update February 11, 2026 11 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More February 10 – Daily Market Update February 10, 2026 10 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Caution… Read More February 4 – Daily Market Update February 4, 2026 4 february 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad… Read More February 3 –

February 11 – Daily Market Update Read More »

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February 10 – Daily Market Update

10 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Caution returns as rates nudge higher, Japan surges, and AI-driven dispersion deepens Global markets are mixed to start the day, with a guarded tone across risk assets as investors weigh shifting rate expectations, fresh politics in Japan, and a still-evolving narrative around artificial intelligence and software Market snapshot US equity futures: slightly lower, pointing to a softer Wall Street open after last week’s late rebound Europe: little changed overall, with sector rotation rather than clear index direction Rates: US 10-year Treasury yields are edging up, reflecting a modest back-up in real rates into a heavy data week Asia: Japan’s major equity benchmark leapt to new highs following a strong electoral outcome that reinforced policy continuity and reform momentum Commodities: gold is firmer after recent volatility; crude is steady ahead of industry outlooks due later in the week FX: the dollar is broadly steady; sterling remains sensitive to UK political headlines Top themes today Higher-for-longer jitters creep back in: A small rise in Treasury yields is keeping risk appetite in check. With key US data approaching, investors are reluctant to chase equities after last week’s swift recovery. Implied equity volatility remains above its recent average, a sign that hedging demand persists. AI is no longer a tide that lifts all boats: The market’s AI trade is becoming more selective. Instead of a broad-based lift across software and tech, leadership is narrowing to firms with clear monetization paths, defensible data, or infrastructure advantages. This is creating wider performance gaps both within tech and across adjacent sectors exposed to automation themes. Japan’s equity momentum strengthens: A decisive political result has bolstered expectations for continued pro-growth policy, corporate governance improvements, and capital efficiency gains. Earnings revisions and buyback activity remain key supports. Currency dynamics and the domestic rate path are additional levers to watch. China’s gradual reserve diversification draws muted market reaction: Reports that Chinese authorities are encouraging banks to trim concentrations in US government debt elicited only a modest move in Treasuries. The long-running trend of diversified reserve management has been offset over time by buying from other foreign investors and domestic demand, helping contain market impact. Commodities and positioning: Gold’s sharp swings last week underlined how crowded positioning and macro hedging can amplify moves. Oil traders will look to upcoming producer and agency reports for fresh guidance on balances, non-OPEC supply, and demand resilience. US session setup Equities: Futures point to a consolidation day. Under the surface, factor and sector dispersion remains elevated, with short covering having contributed to last week’s rebound in some of the most volatile names. Turnover trends suggest investors are adding selectively rather than re-risking broadly. Credit: Primary markets remain open, but rate volatility argues for opportunistic issuance windows and continued focus on balance-sheet quality. Rates: The modest bear-steepening bias into data is consistent with cautious duration positioning. FX: The dollar is stable; idiosyncratic political risks keep select European currencies on watch. The week ahead: data, policy, and earnings to watch Monday: Mexico inflation prints; comments expected from US and European central bank officials. Tuesday: US retail sales, small business sentiment, and employment cost data will provide a read on the consumer and wage trends; several large-cap companies in banking, beverages, autos, and media report results. Wednesday: China inflation data and producer prices; US nonfarm payrolls, jobless rate, and the federal budget update; energy market outlook from producers. Corporate updates include hospitality and enterprise tech. Thursday: Inflation releases from parts of Asia and Europe; UK growth and industrial production; US jobless claims and existing home sales; additional central bank speakers; global oil market outlook from international agencies; select crypto and fintech earnings. Friday: China home-price data; euro-area growth and country-level inflation updates; US consumer inflation—the key macro highlight into the weekend. What we’re watching Breadth and leadership: Can cyclical sectors and small/mid caps participate, or does performance remain concentrated in a handful of mega-cap and infrastructure plays? Earnings guidance vs. multiples: With rates elevated, the bar for richly valued names is higher. Watch free-cash-flow trajectories and margin commentary. Labor-market signals: Wage metrics and participation will help shape the path of services inflation and central-bank reaction functions. Duration and curve: A hotter CPI would likely keep the front end anchored higher-for-longer while challenging longer maturities; a cooler print could revive soft-landing positioning. FX spillovers: Political headlines and relative growth surprises may drive cross-currency volatility even if the broad dollar remains range-bound. Portfolio considerations (not investment advice) Quality bias: Favor stronger balance sheets, consistent cash generation, and pricing power while rates remain elevated. Diversify AI exposure: Consider a balanced approach across infrastructure, enablers, and proven applications rather than a blanket sector bet. Manage rate risk: For fixed income, a staggered-duration or barbell approach can help navigate data volatility. Hedging discipline: Elevated dispersion argues for keeping risk controls and hedges in place around major macro releases. Global mix: Japan’s reform and shareholder-return story remains a constructive long-term theme; monitor currency and policy dynamics. Key risks Upside inflation surprises or stickier services inflation Policy miscommunication amid a crowded central-bank speaker slate Geopolitical or election-related volatility spilling into rates and FX Liquidity pockets and mechanically driven flows (e.g., systematic or passive rebalancing) amplifying short-term swings This material is provided for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, sector, or strategy. Markets are volatile and past performance is not indicative of future results. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed

February 10 – Daily Market Update Read More »

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February 4 – Daily Market Update

4 february 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Markets Steady, Rotation Theme Persists Market overview US equity futures are mixed in early trade as investors balance resilient economic data with a busy stretch of corporate results. Large-cap benchmarks are little changed overall, with growth-oriented indexes lagging value and cyclical segments. Treasury yields are hovering near recent ranges as markets reassess the timing and pace of potential policy easing this year. Rate-sensitive sectors remain choppy while financials and industrials show relative stability. The US dollar is firmer against most major peers, reflecting cautious risk sentiment and interest-rate differentials. Commodity-linked currencies are uneven. Commodities are broadly supported. Crude is up for a second session on ongoing geopolitical tensions and supply headlines, while gold extends its rebound amid a mix of haven demand and currency moves. Themes in focus Rotation toward cash-generative, economically sensitive companies has continued. Staples, energy, and select materials have outperformed high-multiple growth shares at the margin, helped by solid nominal growth and rising capital discipline across cyclicals. Software and some richly valued technology pockets remain volatile as investors scrutinize monetization timelines and profit leverage around artificial intelligence spending. Hardware and infrastructure providers tied to AI demand are seeing more differentiation based on guidance and capacity plans. Healthcare is in the spotlight as competitive dynamics intensify across certain therapy categories, with pricing and market-share expectations being recalibrated. Dispersion within the group remains high. M&A chatter and strategic portfolio moves are picking up into earnings season, adding stock-specific swings without altering the broader macro tone. Rates, FX, and credit Front-end yields reflect a later start and shallower path for policy easing compared with earlier expectations, while longer maturities are anchored by stable inflation breakevens. The curve remains relatively flat. Credit markets are orderly. Investment-grade spreads are steady and high-yield risk appetite is selective, with quality continuing to command a premium. Primary issuance remains active when windows are open. Commodities Oil prices are supported by geopolitical risk and cautious supply expectations. Any confirmed changes in export flows or shipping routes could inject additional volatility. Precious metals are bid as investors seek diversification and as real yields consolidate. Flows into hedging and allocation strategies remain a driver alongside currency moves. Industrial metals are mixed, reflecting a tug-of-war between inventory normalization and uneven global manufactuing data. Earnings landscape The heart of reporting season is delivering wide dispersion. Companies beating on both revenue and margins are being rewarded, while cautious outlooks are drawing outsized reactions. Mega-cap technology, chipmakers tied to AI infrastructure, select consumer names, and large-cap healthcare feature prominently this week. Guidance around capital expenditure, pricing, and cost control remains the dominant catalyst for single-stock moves. Digital assets Major cryptocurrencies are softer overall, with leverage and liquidity conditions amplifying moves. Correlations with risk assets remain inconsistent day to day, but macro headlines and dollar strength continue to influence direction. What to watch next Corporate guidance: Commentary on AI-related spending, inventory management, and demand elasticity across consumer categories will shape sector leadership. Inflation and growth signals: Upcoming labor and services activity data, along with central bank remarks, will inform the path of rates and the durability of the current rotation. Positioning and liquidity: With volatility clustering around earnings and geopolitical headlines, intraday liquidity can vary; expect wider moves on stock-specific news. Portfolio considerations Maintain balance between quality growth and resilient value exposures; emphasize free cash flow, pricing power, and healthy balance sheets. In fixed income, a laddered approach can help navigate path uncertainty for policy rates, while maintaining attention to credit quality. Consider risk management tools where appropriate, as dispersion remains elevated and headline sensitivity can produce abrupt swings. This commentary is a general market update intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Markets are fluid and conditions may change without notice. Clients should assess their individual circumstances and consult a financial professional before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. February 4 – Daily Market Update February 4, 2026 4 february 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad… Read More February 3 – Daily Market Update  February 3, 2026 3 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More February 2 – Daily Market Update February 2, 2026 2 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Volatility… Read More January 30 – Daily Market Update  January 30, 2026 30 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Risk-off… Read More January 29 – Daily Market Update January 29, 2026 29 January 2026- Daily Market Updates Quick take Metals rally… Read More January 28 – Daily Market Update January 28, 2026 28 January 2026 Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Global Risk… Read More January 27 – Daily Market Update January 27, 2026 27 january 2026 – Daily Market

February 4 – Daily Market Update Read More »

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February 3 – Daily Market Update 

3 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as of 6:49 a.m. ET; market data may be delayed) S&P 500 Futures: 7008.25 (+0.08%) Nasdaq 100 Futures: 25938.5 (+0.34%) US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.285% (+0.8 bps) Gold: 4,908.37 (+5.30%) Morning rundown Risk appetite is stabilizing after a volatile stretch. US equity futures are firmer, led by technology, while core yields edge higher and the dollar eases. Precious metals are rebounding sharply, reversing part of the previous session’s slide. The tone across Asia was broadly constructive, with Korea leading gains and semiconductors among the standouts. Europe opened higher, echoing the recovery in cyclicals and AI-linked names. Commodities Precious metals: Gold and silver are bouncing as bargain-hunters and short-covering meet ongoing longer-term interest from asset allocators. The speed of the move underscores how leveraged positioning can amplify swings in both directions. Energy and industrial metals: A modest risk-on mood is supporting pro-cyclical commodities, though traders remain sensitive to macro headlines and policy signals. Equities US: Futures point to gains with the AI/data-center complex back in focus. Investors are watching whether beaten-down groups from the prior selloff extend their recovery and whether earnings guidance validates recent multiple expansion. Asia: Major benchmarks advanced, with Korea outperforming on a broad tech rally. Japan and Hong Kong saw more measured rebounds as investors weigh currency dynamics and policy uncertainty. Europe: Early strength is broad-based, with defensives participating alongside cyclicals. Market depth remains thinner than usual around headline risk, keeping intraday volatility elevated. Rates and FX Sovereigns: The 10-year Treasury yield is little changed, holding near recent ranges as markets balance resilient growth indicators with sticky services inflation. Curves remain biased toward slight bear-steepening on any upside data surprises. Currencies: The dollar is marginally softer against a basket of peers. Cross-asset correlations suggest a modest reversion to risk-taking, with higher-beta FX stabilizing. Central banks: A major Asia-Pacific central bank lifted its policy rate, the first notable developed-market hike of the year, citing persistent price pressures. Markets are reassessing the global policy path, with timing and pace of eventual easing remaining data-dependent. Corporate calendar and flows Earnings: A busy slate spans consumer staples, healthcare, payments, and restaurants before and after the US market close. Key themes to monitor: pricing power, volume elasticity, cost discipline, and AI-related capex/commentary from enterprise-facing firms. Deal and listing watch: Headlines around a prominent private space-and-AI combination are fueling discussion of a potential landmark listing later this year. Any formal timeline or structure could influence sentiment in growth equities and late-stage private markets. Credit: Investment-grade spreads remain tight by historical standards, reflecting strong technicals. With valuations rich, investors are attentive to any wobble in AI-led growth narratives or earnings misses that could widen risk premia. What to watch next Macro: Upcoming labor, inflation, and activity data across major economies will frame the near-term path for yields and the dollar. Micro: Guidance from AI-adjacent hardware, cloud, and semiconductor supply chains will be scrutinized for signs of demand normalization versus continued buildout. Positioning: After outsized moves in metals and tech, liquidity pockets and options flows may continue to amplify intraday swings. House view summary Near-term tone: Cautiously risk-on, but fragile given tight credit spreads and elevated expectations. Key swing factors: Central bank communication, earnings quality, and the durability of AI-driven capex. Portfolio considerations: Diversification and attention to liquidity remain prudent amid fast-moving cross-asset rotations. Notes All market levels are for information only and subject to change. This commentary is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. February 3 – Daily Market Update  February 3, 2026 3 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More February 2 – Daily Market Update February 2, 2026 2 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Volatility… Read More January 30 – Daily Market Update  January 30, 2026 30 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Risk-off… Read More January 29 – Daily Market Update January 29, 2026 29 January 2026- Daily Market Updates Quick take Metals rally… Read More January 28 – Daily Market Update January 28, 2026 28 January 2026 Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Global Risk… Read More January 27 – Daily Market Update January 27, 2026 27 january 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market overview Equities:… Read More January 26 – Daily Market Update January 26, 2026 26 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily –… Read More January 23 – Daily Market Update January 23, 2026 23 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More January 22 – Daily Market Update  January 22, 2026 22 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More January 21 – Daily Market Update January 21, 2026 21 january 2026 – Daily Market Updates Daily Markets Briefing… Read More January 20 – Daily Market

February 3 – Daily Market Update  Read More »