Commodities

Jan 09 – Daily Market Update

09 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Market at a glance (as of ~6:00 a.m. ET) US equity futures: slightly higher (about +0.1%) as traders position for key data Europe: broader benchmarks firmer (roughly +0.4% to +0.5%) Asia: Japan outperformed (up around +1.6%) with tech and exporters in the lead US dollar: modestly stronger versus major peers (about +0.2%) US 10-year Treasury yield: near 4.19%, up a couple of basis points What’s moving markets All eyes on the US labor report: Today’s payrolls, unemployment rate, and wage growth will help shape expectations for the next steps in monetary policy. A steady hiring pace with contained wage pressures would support a “hold and assess” stance from the Fed, while any upside surprise in wages or core employment could nudge yields higher and firm the dollar. Trade policy watch: A potential legal decision related to tariffs is on investors’ radar. Any shift that lowers import costs could buoy risk appetite, particularly for import-reliant industries, while also complicating the rates outlook if the growth impulse and fiscal math are perceived to worsen. Rotation under the surface: Early-year flows show renewed interest in equities, with investors balancing quality growth exposures against more cyclical, trade-sensitive areas. Defensive pockets (health care, staples) continue to draw interest as a ballast against policy and macro uncertainty. Equities United States: Futures are little changed to slightly positive ahead of the data. A soft-landing narrative remains intact but fragile—labor and wages will be the tie-breaker. Within sectors, trade-sensitive consumer names and capital goods could react most to any tariff-related headlines, while rate-sensitive groups (housing, utilities) will take their cue from the move in yields. Europe: Regional indices are firmer, supported by a blend of defensives and economically sensitive names. A stable dollar and incremental improvement in external demand hopes are helping exporters. Financials remain leveraged to the path of long-end yields and curve shape. Asia: Japan led gains as chip-adjacent names and exporters extended momentum amid a firmer risk tone. Elsewhere in the region, sentiment remains selective: China-linked assets are weighed by ongoing property-sector restructuring efforts, while broader Asia benefits from steady global tech demand. Fixed income and FX Rates: Treasuries are marking time into the data with the 10-year yield hovering around 4.18%–4.20%. A hotter wage print or strong headline jobs number could push yields higher and steepen the curve; a downside surprise may extend the recent range trade and take some pressure off real rates. Dollar: The greenback is slightly firmer, reflecting cautious pre-data positioning. A benign payrolls outcome could cap further dollar gains, while any upside wage surprise would likely support the currency versus low-yielders. Commodities Energy: Crude is steady within recent ranges as supply headlines and risk sentiment offset one another. Demand signals from global PMI data and US inventory trends remain the key swing factors. Metals: Industrial metals are underpinned by consolidation talk in the mining space and hopes for eventual stabilization in construction demand, tempered by ongoing balance-sheet repair in parts of China’s property sector. Gold is little changed, with moves in real yields and the dollar in the driver’s seat. Themes to watch Tariffs and margins: Any reduction or uncertainty around import levies could influence input costs and pricing power across retail, apparel, home goods, machinery, and select technology hardware. Market reaction may be uneven, with beneficiaries on the cost side but potential push-pull on rates. Housing and rates: Policy efforts aimed at supporting mortgage markets can be a near-term tailwind for housing activity and related equities, but the durability of any boost will depend on the path of long-term yields. Electric vehicles and capital discipline: Slower EV adoption in select markets is prompting reassessments of production schedules and investment timelines across the auto-battery supply chain. China property stabilization: Restructuring steps remain in focus. The pace and scope of policy support will be key for credit sentiment, commodities demand, and regional risk assets. Scenario map for today’s US jobs data Stronger jobs and wages: Equities mixed (cyclicals up, rate-sensitives down), yields up, dollar firmer. In-line report with contained wages: Risk assets supported, yields range-bound, dollar stable to softer. Weaker jobs or softer wages: Duration bid (yields lower), dollar eases, equities lean positive for long-duration growth but may see some cyclical underperformance. The day ahead United States: Nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings. Also watching any developments on trade policy/legal rulings and Fed-speak for rate-path hints. Corporate: M&A chatter in natural resources remains a swing factor for global miners; ongoing updates from autos/EV and housing-related firms may steer sector dispersion. Risk considerations Policy path ambiguity (monetary, fiscal, and trade) Geopolitical and supply-chain frictions affecting energy and freight Earnings revision risk if growth cools faster than expected Liquidity conditions as issuance and buybacks restart into earnings season Risk considerations Policy path ambiguity (monetary, fiscal, and trade) Geopolitical and supply-chain frictions affecting energy and freight Earnings revision risk if growth cools faster than expected Liquidity conditions as issuance and buybacks restart into earnings season Markets are marking time into the labor report and potential policy headlines. A balanced stance—maintaining quality exposure while keeping an eye on rate sensitivity and trade-linked cyclicals—remains prudent until the data reset the macro narrative. This commentary is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market levels are approximate and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any

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Jan 02 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Global risk appetite is firm to start the year, with technology leadership back in focus and commodities diverging. Below is a concise look at what’s moving markets and what to watch next. Market snapshot (as of 06:25 am ET) S&P 500 futures: 6936.2 Nasdaq 100 futures: 25736.25 US 10-year Treasury yield: 4.155% (-1 bp) Broad dollar index: +0.10% WTI crude (front-month): 57.40 What’s driving the tone Tech-led risk-on: Enthusiasm around artificial intelligence and semiconductor demand is lifting global equities. US futures are higher, and European benchmarks are testing new highs, while Asia’s session benefited from upbeat headlines tied to chips and AI infrastructure. Metals bid, oil softer: Precious metals are extending last year’s strong run, while industrial metals are firmer on hopes for improving manufacturing demand. Crude is weaker as ample supply and cautious demand expectations outweigh headline risks. Yields edge down: US Treasuries are slightly firmer in early trading, reflecting cooler inflation trends and expectations that major central banks will have room to ease later this year if growth moderates. Equities US: Mega-cap tech and semiconductor names are pacing gains in premarket trading, with data center suppliers and AI-adjacent hardware/software names outperforming. Cyclical sectors are mixed as investors balance the growth impulse from tech with still-tight valuations across parts of the market. Europe: Broad strength across large caps, with chip equipment, industrials, and select financials firm. A softer oil tape is a mild headwind for energy shares. Asia: High-beta tech and internet groups led advances. Select listings connected to AI chips and cloud infrastructure drew strong interest, underscoring ongoing capital expenditure plans tied to compute and networking. Rates and credit US Treasuries: The 10-year yield is hovering near 4.16%, down modestly on the session, with the curve little changed. Markets continue to price a gradual path toward easier policy later in 2026, contingent on labor and inflation data. Credit: Primary issuance is expected to reopen as the calendar turns, with spreads remaining tight versus long-run averages—a sign of healthy risk appetite but a reminder that compensation for credit risk is slim if growth disappoints. FX The dollar is marginally stronger versus a broad basket as rate differentials remain supportive. High-beta currencies are stable to firmer on improved equity sentiment, while commodity FX is capped by softer crude. Commodities Energy: Crude is under pressure amid signs of comfortable supply and uneven demand growth. Refining margins are mixed; product cracks vary by region as winter demand patterns take hold. Metals: Gold and silver extend gains, supported by lower real yields and ongoing diversification flows. Industrial metals such as copper and aluminum are firmer on hopes of steady capex in electrification, grid, and data center build-outs. Sectors and themes to watch AI and semiconductors: Momentum remains concentrated in compute, memory, and power/cooling infrastructure tied to data centers. Watch for updates on capacity expansions, supply constraints, and pricing power along the chip supply chain. EVs and autos: Delivery and production updates are in focus. Investors are watching how US and Chinese manufacturers navigate pricing, inventory, and model cycles, as well as how software/autonomy roadmaps influence valuation. Energy: Policy headlines and OPEC+ signals remain near-term catalysts, but physical balances and inventory trajectories are driving price action day to day. Macro and policy backdrop Inflation is trending lower from prior peaks, helping central banks pivot toward a more flexible stance. That said, policymakers remain data dependent, and the timing/scale of any rate cuts will likely hinge on labor market resilience. Fiscal support varies by region, with targeted measures aimed at growth and industrial policy. Trade frictions and regulatory shifts remain watchpoints for cross-border flows and supply chains. The day and week ahead Data: Manufacturing surveys, early reads on global PMIs, and high-frequency labor indicators will shape rate expectations. Later in the week, look for minutes and speeches from key central banks for guidance on the pace of any 2026 policy recalibration. Corporate: A steady stream of trading updates and guidance resets is expected as companies exit blackout windows. Watch capex commentary tied to AI infrastructure, grid upgrades, and logistics. Positioning thoughts Equities: Leadership remains narrow; consider balancing AI beneficiaries with quality cyclicals and defensives to mitigate concentration risk. Fixed income: With yields off the highs and inflation easing, selectively extending duration may improve portfolio ballast, while staying discerning in lower-quality credit where spreads are thin. Commodities and FX: Expect episodic volatility around policy and geopolitics; risk management and diversification remain key. This material is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 –

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Weekly Global Market News – Dec 30

Leave a Comment / Weekly Global Market Update, Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Weekly Global Market News – Dec 30 Weekly Markets Brief – Year-End Edition Overview Markets wrapped up the holiday-shortened week with a cautious tone as investors balanced resilient growth signals against the prospect of slower, but still positive, disinflation. Liquidity remained thin into year-end, amplifying intraday swings across equities, bonds, and commodities. While headline indices hovered near recent ranges, leadership continued to rotate beneath the surface—benefiting quality balance sheets and companies with clear cash flow visibility, while more speculative pockets saw mixed participation. Quick take Macro: Disinflation continues to trend gradually lower in major economies, while labor markets show signs of cooling without a sharp deterioration. Policy: Central banks remain data-dependent; markets are still calibrating the timing and pace of eventual rate cuts rather than debating further hikes. Equities: Breadth is improving but uneven; quality growth, selected cyclicals, and capital-light business models retain a premium. Fixed income: Front-end yields are sensitive to each macro print; curve shape remains a focal point for duration decisions. Credit: Investment-grade spreads remain resilient; high yield and loans are more idiosyncratic as refinancing calendars pick up. Commodities: Energy trades the push-pull of supply discipline versus growth expectations; precious metals track real yields. Currencies: Dollar direction is tied to relative rate expectations; yen remains sensitive to any normalization cues from the BoJ. Risks: Policy missteps, sticky services inflation, and geopolitical headlines are the key swing factors as we turn the calendar. Equities Global stocks were range-bound into the holiday period, with thin volumes masking notable factor rotation. Investors favored: Quality earnings and free cash flow over high beta. Businesses with pricing power as input costs normalize but wage trends remain steady. Select cyclicals tied to infrastructure, AI-related capex, and industrial automation. Healthcare and staples for defensiveness where valuations remain reasonable. Technology leadership broadened beyond megacaps in places, with semiconductors and software tied to AI infrastructure continuing to draw capital. That said, valuation discipline mattered: companies pairing growth with improving margins saw the most durable follow-through. Small and mid-caps showed intermittent strength as rate expectations eased, but dispersion within those cohorts stayed elevated. Fixed income Rate markets spent the week consolidating prior moves. The front end remains anchored to incoming inflation and employment data, while the long end is responding to growth expectations and term premia. Duration: With policy rates near a peak in many jurisdictions, selectively extending duration remains a live debate, particularly for investors underweight high-quality core bonds. Credit: Investment-grade corporate bonds continue to benefit from balance sheet conservatism and terming-out of debt. High yield is more bifurcated; credits with near-term maturities and weaker cash generation face a tougher refinancing backdrop even if all-in yields remain attractive. Municipals: Seasonals can be supportive into year-end, though individual credit fundamentals and tax positioning remain key. Commodities Crude oil: Prices are oscillating as production discipline and inventory draws square off against moderate demand growth and an uncertain global growth outlook. Geopolitical risk premia can spike quickly in thin markets. Gold: Supported by a softer trajectory in real yields and ongoing central bank demand; pullbacks have found buyers on dips. Industrial metals: Copper and related metals are tracking China’s policy impulses and global manufacturing momentum. Any pickup in capex and grid investment is a medium-term tailwind. Currencies US dollar: The path is driven by relative rate differentials and growth surprises. A measured glide path lower in US inflation relative to peers typically weighs on the dollar, but any growth outperformance can offset. Euro: Sensitive to Eurozone inflation prints and growth downgrades; the policy narrative is balanced between caution and flexibility. Yen: Markets remain alert to signs of policy normalization; small shifts in guidance can result in outsized FX moves. EM FX: Country-specific fundamentals dominate. External balances, commodity exposure, and credible policy frameworks are differentiators. Corporate earnings The upcoming reporting season will refocus attention on: Margins: Relief from input costs versus sticky wage bills and opex normalization. Guidance: Demand visibility, backlog quality, and pricing power in 2025. Capex: Ongoing spend on AI infrastructure, supply-chain resiliency, and energy transition projects. Buybacks and dividends: Capital return remains a support, but management teams are increasingly selective. Policy and macro Inflation: Goods disinflation is largely advanced; the focus is on services categories tied to wages and shelter. The trajectory still points lower, but month-to-month noise remains. Growth: Soft landing remains the base case for many, with risks skewed by credit conditions and consumer excess savings that have normalized. Central banks: Messaging emphasizes flexibility. Markets are calibrating the timing of any policy easing, likely gradual and dependent on data. The week ahead: what matters Inflation gauges: National CPI/PPI prints and Eurozone flash estimates will set the tone for rate expectations. PMIs and ISM: Manufacturing and services surveys will help validate whether activity is stabilizing. Labor data: Payrolls, wage growth, and jobless claims will inform the “slow-cooling” narrative. Central bank minutes/speakers: Any hints on reaction functions, balance sheet plans, or tolerance for upside/downside surprises. China: Official and Caixin PMIs plus policy headlines around property and credit conditions. Corporate: Early preannouncements, buyback authorizations, and capital expenditure updates. Three things to watch Breadth and leadership: Can participation broaden beyond a handful of mega-caps on improving earnings visibility and easing financial conditions? Services inflation: Progress here is the swing factor for the timing of rate cuts in major economies. Credit conditions: Primary markets and refinancing activity will be a real-time stress test for lower-rated borrowers. Strategy corner (education only) Equities: Balance quality growth with selective cyclicals exposed to capex and infrastructure upgrades. Consider diversifying factor exposure to reduce reliance on a narrow leadership cohort. Fixed income: Reassess core duration after the past year’s moves; high-quality bonds have regained their hedging role. In credit, emphasize upgraded balance sheets and manageable maturity walls. Multi-asset: With cross-asset correlations falling from peak levels, a more balanced mix across equities, high-quality bonds, and select alternatives can improve risk-adjusted outcomes. Risk radar Policy error: Cutting too early or staying restrictive too long. Sticky services prices: Particularly shelter and labor-intensive categories. Geopolitics: Energy supply disruptions,

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Dec 29 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Dec 29 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update As year-end approaches in a holiday-shortened week, global markets are trading with a risk-trimming tone. Liquidity is thinner than usual, rebalancing flows are active, and headline sensitivity remains elevated across rates, commodities, and mega-cap technology. Market snapshot (as of 05:35 am ET; data provider times may vary) S&P 500 Futures: 6964 Stoxx Europe 600: 588.6 Nikkei 225: 50526.92 Spot Silver: 75.2 Bitcoin: 87888.95 Note: Market data may be delayed. Levels are for illustration and not tradeable quotes. What’s driving the tone Equities: US equity futures are modestly softer, led by a pullback in large-cap growth after an extended multi-quarter run. Europe is little changed, and Japan eased as investors continue to assess the path of domestic policy normalization and currency dynamics. Commodities: Precious metals are volatile with silver giving back part of recent outsized gains as profit-taking and position squaring set in. Industrial metals remain broadly supported by tightness narratives and infrastructure demand expectations. Digital assets: Major tokens are firmer after a choppy December, with interest supported by ongoing institutional product development and year-end positioning. Policy backdrop: Investors are parsing central bank communications for early-2026 guidance. In the US, attention is on recent meeting minutes and incoming labor and manufacturing signals. In Asia, policy normalization debates continue to shape rate and FX expectations. Geopolitics: Ongoing developments in key regions continue to influence defense, energy, and safe-haven flows. Markets are quick to reprice sector exposures on new headlines. Asset class roundup US: Futures softer with tech-heavy segments underperforming pre-market; defensives mixed. Year-end rebalancing and tax considerations are adding noise to intraday moves. Europe: Benchmark indices are flat to slightly lower. Cyclicals are uneven; defense-related names and select resources are showing higher beta to headlines and commodity swings. Asia: Japan declined; broader Asia mixed. Currency-sensitive exporters and rate-sensitive domestic sectors are diverging as local bond yields and FX adjust. Rates and FX: Core yields are contained in subdued holiday trading; curve moves are modest. The dollar is broadly steady, with yen and euro traders focused on policy-path differentials and growth surprises. Commodities: Silver is retracing after a rapid ascent; copper remains resilient. Energy benchmarks are rangebound as traders weigh inventory trends against growth and geopolitical risk. Crypto: Price action is constructive but volatile into year-end; flows remain headline dependent and liquidity can be patchy around holidays. Today’s focus and near-term watchlist US: Pending home sales, regional manufacturing signals, and weekly energy inventories will help shape the near-term growth and inflation narrative. FOMC minutes later in the week are a key read for policy tone and balance-sheet nuances. Europe: Preliminary inflation and growth indicators continue to inform the pace and timing of 2026 policy adjustments. Asia: Manufacturing and services PMIs, along with select CPI prints, guide the discussion on domestic rate paths and currency stability. Market mechanics: Expect thinner liquidity, wider bid-ask spreads, and potentially outsized moves around the European and US session overlaps. Quarter- and year-end portfolio rebalancing can create transient price dislocations. The week ahead (holiday-adjusted) Early week: Housing and manufacturing readings in the US; select labor and inflation updates in Latin America and Europe. Mid-week: Major PMIs in Asia; US policy minutes; weekly jobless claims; several markets observing early closes. Late week: Regional manufacturing and retail data in Europe and Asia; most markets shut for New Year’s Day. Themes to monitor into 2026 Earnings durability vs. elevated valuations in mega-cap growth. The path of disinflation and real rates, and implications for duration and equity multiples. Supply-demand balances in key commodities after sharp fourth-quarter moves. Currency realignments as policy paths diverge. Liquidity conditions and the impact of tighter financial conditions on lower-quality credit. Risk management considerations Holiday trading can amplify volatility; use limit orders and be mindful of execution in thin markets. Diversification and position sizing are critical amid cross-asset correlations that can shift quickly. For longer-term investors, focus on fundamentals and cash-flow resilience rather than short-term price swings. Housekeeping and disclaimer This publication is a general market update intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 29 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 29 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates December 24, 2025 Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates December 23, 2025 Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market… Read More Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 –

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Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Overview Global markets are treading lightly into the holiday period. Equity futures in the US are little changed after a strong year-to-date run, European benchmarks are marginally firmer in thin trading, and Asia was mixed with mainland China edging higher. Bond markets are calm as traders wind down risk and liquidity thins. The US dollar remains softer on the year, while precious metals are firm as investors balance geopolitics and the prospect of further policy easing in 2026. Several exchanges are operating on shortened schedules around Christmas. Equities US: Futures are flat to slightly lower as investors weigh year-end rebalancing, a lighter data calendar, and a strong seasonal backdrop. The broader index remains near record territory after multiple weeks of gains. Europe: Stocks are fractionally higher in holiday-thinned volumes. Defensive sectors and select financials are supported by stable yields; cyclical exposures are mixed. Asia: Mainland China stabilized with a modest uptick, while other regional markets delivered a mixed performance amid cautious risk-taking. Rates US Treasuries are steady with the curve little changed. With few catalysts before year-end, ranges may remain tight, though liquidity could amplify intraday swings. Core European yields are broadly stable; peripherals are tracking risk sentiment. Currencies The dollar index is lower year-to-date, reflecting a shift toward a gentler policy trajectory and improving risk appetite. High-beta and commodity-linked currencies have firmed on the margin, while safe-haven FX is subdued. Commodities Precious metals extended gains, supported by geopolitical unease, softer real yields, and continued diversification flows. Industrial metals are holding recent advances on improving supply-demand expectations into the new year. Crude prices are range-bound as supply dynamics and growth expectations offset each other into year-end. ETFs: A blockbuster year, with a note of caution US-listed ETFs are closing the year with standout net inflows, robust primary market activity, and elevated secondary trading. Product launches accelerated across both broad beta and thematic exposures. The backdrop—rising equities, easing-rate expectations, and active sector rotation—has been a tailwind for both equity and fixed income ETFs. Liquidity and tax efficiency continue to attract both retail and institutional users. Looking into next year, expect a more discerning environment: fee competition, product differentiation, and higher scrutiny on niche themes. If volatility picks up, flows may consolidate into core, low-cost exposures and high-quality bond sleeves. Corporate highlights (broad) Year-end dealmaking remains active with selective asset sales and bolt-on acquisitions across energy, healthcare, and infrastructure, underscoring ongoing portfolio optimization and balance-sheet discipline. Index changes and periodic reconstitutions are driving stock-specific flows. Buyback authorizations and insider purchases continue to offer signals on corporate confidence but effects are idiosyncratic. Geopolitics and regional themes Hopes for de-escalation in parts of Eastern Europe have supported regional assets, though positioning remains cautious given headline risk and uncertainty around the contours of any agreement. Developments in Latin America are contributing to commodity and FX volatility; policy continuity and fiscal signals will be closely watched in early 2026. Policy watch Debate around the appropriate inflation target framework has resurfaced in policy circles. While any formal change would be a multi-year process, markets are sensitive to signals on the tolerance band around inflation and the path for real rates. Into January, attention turns to the next set of inflation and labor data, and to central bank communications that could refine the pace and timing of potential rate cuts. What we’re watching next Liquidity and rebalancing effects through the final sessions of the year Early-January data on jobs, wages, and inflation expectations Q4 earnings season previews, with a focus on margins, capex discipline, and AI-related spend Credit market tone as new-issue windows reopen China’s policy signals and growth stabilization efforts Portfolio considerations (not investment advice) After a strong run for risk assets, consider balance across quality, duration, and liquidity. Core fixed income can provide ballast if growth slows more than expected. If volatility normalizes higher, systematic rebalancing and option-based hedges may help manage drawdowns. Within equities, earnings resilience and balance-sheet strength remain key differentiators; within credit, dispersion argues for careful issuer selection. Calendar (abridged) Holiday-shortened sessions in several major markets Light data slate into year-end; fuller macro calendar resumes in early January This publication is for information only and is not a recommendation or investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Please consider your objectives and risk tolerance and consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates December 24, 2025 Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates December 23, 2025 Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market… Read More Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 –

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Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market Update Overview US equity futures are flat to slightly higher after a strong recent stretch, with investors waiting on the next round of US growth and sentiment data. European equities are firmer in early trading, led by industrials and health care, while energy lags alongside softer crude. In Asia, performance was mixed: export- and tech-linked markets fared better, while Japan underperformed as the yen strengthened. The dollar is softer versus the yen following fresh signals from Japanese authorities about curbing disorderly currency moves. Gold remains well supported near record territory, while Bitcoin is modestly lower. Top themes shaping the session Data watch: Investors are focused on US growth revisions and consumer confidence for further clues on the timing and depth of 2025 rate cuts. Labor, housing, and spending data later this week will round out the macro picture into year-end. Cyclical rotation: Expectations for cooling inflation, potential policy easing, and relief from lower energy prices are encouraging a gradual shift toward economically sensitive areas such as financials, industrials, transport, and select consumer names. Leadership has broadened beyond mega-cap technology in recent weeks. Currency dynamics: The yen firmed after policymakers reiterated readiness to address excessive currency swings. With US yields consolidating and intervention risk top of mind, FX volatility could remain elevated into quarter-end. Policy and geopolitics: Traders continue to monitor headlines around trade, shipping routes, and regional tensions, all of which can influence energy, transport, and defense shares. Digital assets in focus: Institutional interest in crypto-related services is re-emerging as parts of the regulatory landscape take shape, even as spot prices consolidate. Equities United States: Futures suggest a cautious open as investors digest strong year-to-date gains and await macro catalysts. Breadth has improved, with cyclicals and small/mid caps catching a bid, while large-cap tech remains supported by earnings durability and AI demand. Participation may thin into the holiday period, raising the potential for outsized moves on incremental news. Europe: Broad gains led by industrials and health care. Retail and consumer discretionary are mixed, with balance sheets and holiday-season commentary in focus. Energy trails as crude eases. Asia-Pacific: Japan’s benchmarks slipped as a stronger yen weighed on exporters. Korea and Taiwan outperformed on continued demand along the AI and semiconductor supply chain. Hong Kong and mainland China were mixed, with policy support expectations offset by ongoing property and growth concerns. Rates US Treasuries are steady ahead of growth and sentiment prints. The front end continues to reflect expectations for rate reductions next year, while the long end consolidates after the autumn rally. Auction dynamics and year-end liquidity conditions are important near-term drivers. European sovereigns are little changed; traders are weighing softening inflation trends against cautious central bank guidance. Foreign exchange The dollar is broadly steady but weaker against the yen following official rhetoric about curbing excess volatility. The euro is range-bound. Emerging-market FX is mixed, tracking risk sentiment and commodity moves. Commodities Crude oil is modestly lower as supply resilience and demand worries offset geopolitical risk. Gold is firm near highs, supported by lower real yields, diversification flows, and geopolitical hedging. Industrial metals are mixed; China growth signals and global manufacturing trends remain the swing factors. Digital assets Bitcoin and major tokens are slightly lower, continuing a consolidation phase after a strong multi-month advance. Headlines around institutional participation and evolving regulation remain key to sentiment. Corporate and sector roundup Health care: Weight-management and metabolic therapies are again in focus following regulatory developments, supporting select pharma and biotech names. Renewables: Offshore wind projects remain under scrutiny amid permitting and regulatory reviews, weighing on some developers. Shipping and logistics: Deal interest and capacity discussions are buoying select carriers; transport and logistics also benefit from the cyclical rotation theme. Defence and aerospace: Contract wins and funding visibility continue to support the group against a backdrop of elevated geopolitical risk. Retail: Balance-sheet health and holiday traffic are under the microscope; credit conditions are diverging across traditional and online models. Financials: Banks and brokers are benefiting from improved risk appetite, steepening tendencies in the curve, and a potential pickup in trading activity. The day ahead: what we’re watching United States: Growth revision, consumer confidence, housing updates, energy inventories, and Treasury supply. Europe: Confidence surveys and central bank speakers. Asia: Inflation prints and policy commentary from Japan and China later in the week. Cross-asset: Year-end liquidity, rebalancing flows, and potential currency intervention headlines. Risk radar Policy path uncertainty: The pace and timing of rate cuts could shift with incoming data. Geopolitical developments: Energy supply routes and regional tensions may introduce episodic volatility. Liquidity conditions: Thinner year-end trading can amplify market moves. Currency swings: Elevated FX volatility—particularly in USD/JPY—can spill over into global risk assets. Desk view Market tone is constructive but selective. Participation is broadening beyond mega-cap leaders, with cyclicals drawing interest as disinflation progresses. We favor maintaining diversification across styles and regions, watching FX volatility and liquidity into the final trading days of the year. This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets are volatile and subject to change without notice. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on

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Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: A Broad, Unbiased Look at Global Markets At a glance (as of 06:22 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: 6,864.25 (-0.24%) Stoxx Europe 600: 581.41 (-0.19%) Hang Seng: 25,235.41 (-1.54%) Bitcoin: 86,986.56 (+0.92%) WTI crude (front-month): 55.80 (-1.80%) Global mood Risk appetite eased to start the day as investors await a key US labor update. Equity futures in the US are a touch softer, Europe is modestly lower, and Asia ended mixed with notable weakness in Hong Kong. The dollar remains subdued near recent lows, oil extends its slide on signs of ample supply, and digital assets are firmer. What’s driving the session US labor print in focus: Markets are positioning cautiously into today’s employment report, which will shape expectations for the trajectory of interest rates into year-end and early 2026. A cooler jobs backdrop would reinforce the view that policy easing can proceed without reigniting inflation pressures; a hot reading would challenge that narrative and could steepen the front end of the curve. Europe mixed as growth and policy diverge: European equities are treading water with defensives and income-oriented shares outperforming cyclicals. Softer UK labor signals and moderating wage growth have strengthened the case for near-term policy easing by the Bank of England. Asia skews lower: Chinese and Hong Kong benchmarks remain under pressure amid lingering growth concerns and a pullback in tech-heavy segments. Regional performance was uneven, with select exporters and energy importers cushioned by lower oil. Oil drifts lower: Crude extends losses as supply indicators and risk-off positioning weigh. Refining margins and inventories remain in focus; energy equities may lag broader benchmarks if crude stays capped. Equities US: Futures point to a mild pullback after a strong multi-week run. Breadth and leadership remain in focus: recent sessions have seen participation broaden beyond mega-cap tech, a constructive sign for durability of the uptrend. Into the data, expect lighter volumes and intraday swing risk. Europe: Benchmarks are slightly negative with rate-sensitive sectors mixed. Lower yields have supported parts of the market, but earnings revisions and policy signals remain the key swing factors. Asia: Hong Kong led declines; mainland shares were weaker, while Japan and parts of ASEAN were more resilient. Lower energy prices helped transport and power-heavy pockets of the market. Fixed income and FX Rates: Front-end yields are anchored ahead of the data, with the curve sensitive to any shift in labor demand and wage dynamics. Markets continue to price a path toward easier policy over the next year, but the pace remains data dependent. FX: The dollar is hovering near multi-week lows as rate cut expectations firm and growth differentials narrow. Sterling is steady with BoE expectations skewing dovish on softer labor signals; the euro is range-bound. Commodities Energy: WTI trades below $60, adding to recent declines on evidence of comfortable supply and cautious demand assumptions. If the trend persists, it could ease headline inflation but weigh on energy capex and sector earnings momentum. Metals: Industrial metals are mixed amid cross-currents from China growth headlines and a softer dollar. Precious metals are little changed as investors balance lower yields against shifting risk sentiment. Digital assets Bitcoin is firmer, extending an upward bias as broader risk sentiment stabilizes and liquidity improves. Volatility remains elevated relative to traditional assets; position sizing and risk controls remain crucial for crypto exposure. Earnings and corporate themes Consensus earnings view: Street expectations continue to imply resilient profit growth over the coming quarters, with improving breadth beyond the largest technology names. The durability of margins, capital spending discipline, and a modest pickup in cyclical sectors are central to that outlook. Sector narratives: Autos and mobility are recalibrating electric-vehicle plans toward profitability and capital efficiency. Payments and fintech remain focused on licensing, compliance, and product expansion to drive engagement. IT services and consulting are emphasizing cost control and AI-enabled productivity to support margins. Structural watch: Europe’s long end European fixed income is preparing for portfolio shifts tied to pension and liability-hedging changes in parts of the region. Any rebalancing away from long-duration hedges could affect curve dynamics and relative-value relationships across maturities. Market depth is typically thinner into year-end, so execution and liquidity planning are key. Today’s key risks and watch list US employment report (08:30 a.m. ET): Jobs growth, unemployment rate, and wage trends will guide rate-path pricing and equity factor performance. Central bank signals: Messaging from major central banks this week will shape front-end rates, FX, and equity leadership. Liquidity/volatility: Year-end conditions can amplify moves; be mindful of wider bid-ask spreads and gap risk around data releases. Portfolio considerations Balance: Maintain diversified exposure across styles and regions; avoid concentration risk into binary macro events. Quality bias: In a slower growth, lower-yield setup, balance cyclicals with resilient cash flow and strong balance sheets. Duration and hedging: Consider whether current rate levels align with your duration targets; reassess hedges around key data. Market levels recap (06:22 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: 6,864.25 (-0.24%) Stoxx Europe 600: 581.41 (-0.19%) Hang Seng: 25,235.41 (-1.54%) Bitcoin: 86,986.56 (+0.92%) WTI crude (front-month): 55.80 (-1.80%) This publication is a general market update for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, asset class, or strategy. Market data may be delayed. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital

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