Semiconductor Industry

Weekly Global Market News – Jan 12

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Weekly Global Market News – Jan 12 Week Ahead: Markets focus on bank earnings, inflation updates and Arctic geopolitics Welcome to the new trading week. Activity picks up sharply with US bank results, a dense inflation calendar across major economies and a geopolitical storyline in the far north that could shape defence and energy narratives. Below is your concise roadmap for the week with potential market implications, a day-by-day agenda and the corporate names to watch. As market volatility adjusts to these shifting macro drivers, maintaining a disciplined focus on sector dispersion and policy signals will be essential for navigating the sessions ahead. Top themes to watch 1) US–Denmark–Greenland talks move into focus Why it matters: A high-level meeting involving the US Secretary of State, Denmark and Greenland is expected this week. Beyond the headlines, investors will consider implications for Arctic security, shipping routes, critical minerals and defense co-operation. Any signals around US presence or infrastructure in Greenland could filter into defense names, shipping insurers and the wider energy transition supply chain. Market angle: Defence contractors, specialty mining, marine insurers, Arctic shipping exposure, and to a lesser extent Nordic/EU policy risk. Keep an eye on oil and gas rhetoric if Arctic exploration or logistics are discussed. 2) France’s political risk radar France’s far-right leader Marine Le Pen begins an appeal in Paris over an EU funds case. While the legal process is the headline, markets will watch for any polling ripples that could influence OAT–Bund spreads, bank equities and the euro’s political risk premium. 3) Wall Street earnings season begins Banks in the spotlight: JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley report through midweek and Thursday. What to listen for: Investment banking: Is the M&A and equity underwriting recovery broadening or still concentrated in megacaps and AI-adjacent sectors? Markets divisions: Equities vs. FICC revenue mix, client activity, VaR trends and commentary on structured products. Net interest income: Trajectory as rate expectations evolve; deposit betas and mix shift. Credit quality: Card and auto delinquencies, office CRE, reserve builds/releases. Capital return: Buybacks/dividend intentions under current capital rules and balance sheet buffers. Read-throughs: Results will set the tone for US cyclicals, financials and broader risk appetite. 4) Inflation and growth check-ins United States: CPI (Tue) and PPI (Wed) should steer front-end rates, the dollar and rate-cut timelines. Markets will focus on services inflation, shelter components, and any re-acceleration signals. Euro area: France CPI (Thu) and Germany CPI (Fri) anchor the regional disinflation picture; Germany also publishes its preliminary estimate of last year’s GDP (Thu), giving a reality check on Europe’s growth pulse. United Kingdom: Monthly GDP for November (Thu), plus construction and production data. UK assets will be sensitive to any surprise that alters the path for BoE policy expectations. 5) Oil and Asia central banking OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report (Wed) lands amid ongoing supply discipline and demand questions. Watch revisions to demand growth and non-OPEC supply. South Korea: Policy decision (Thu). KRW, KOSPI and Asia credit spreads can be sensitive to tone changes on growth, housing and inflation. Day-by-day calendar Monday Central banks and surveys: Bank of England officials join the Bellagio Group meetings in London. Japan observes Coming of Age Day (markets closed). UK KPMG/REC jobs report. US Conference Board Employment Trends Index. Earnings: HCL Technologies (Q3), Tata Consultancy Services (Q3), Oxford Nanopore (FY trading update), Plus500 (FY post-close update). Tuesday Macro: US CPI and real earnings; Germany producer prices for agricultural products; UK BRC retail sales monitor. Corporate events and votes: Denny’s shareholder vote on proposed buyout. Earnings: JPMorgan (Q4/FY), Bank of New York Mellon (Q4), Delta Air Lines (Q4/FY), Games Workshop (HY), Gamma Communications (trading update), Grafton (trading update), Gym Group (FY pre-close), Hunting (trading statement), IntegraFin (Q1), PageGroup (Q4), Persimmon (trading update), SIG (trading update), Trustpilot (trading update), Whitbread (Q3). Wednesday Central banks: Fed Beige Book; speeches from Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson; Bank of England speakers in London and Singapore. Commodities: OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. Macro: US PPI. Earnings: Bank of America (Q4), Citigroup (Q4), Wells Fargo (Q4), Infosys (Q3), Diploma (Q1), Hays (Q2), Liontrust (9M), Nichols (trading update), Pearson (FY trading update), Vistry (trading update). Thursday Macro: France CPI; Germany preliminary full-year GDP; UK monthly GDP (Nov), UK construction output and industrial production; South Korea policy decision. Policy and events: Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr on stablecoins at Wharton. Earnings: Goldman Sachs (Q4), Morgan Stanley (Q4), BlackRock (Q4), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (Q4), Taylor Wimpey (trading update), Ashmore (Q2 AUM), Brooks Macdonald (Q2 FUMA), CAB Payments (trading update), Dunelm (Q2), Fuller Smith & Turner (trading update), Hostelworld (trading update), OMV (Q4 trading update), Oxford Instruments (trading update), Rathbones (Q4), Robert Walters (Q4), Safestore (FY). Friday Macro: Germany CPI/HICP. Policy: Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speaks at a monetary conference in Florida. Earnings: State Street (Q4/FY), M&T Bank (Q4/FY), PNC Financial (Q4), Regions Financial (Q4), Reliance Industries (Q3/9M), MJ Gleeson (HY update). Earnings spotlight beyond the banks Asset managers: BlackRock’s flows and fee rates will inform passive/ETF growth momentum and appetite for private markets strategies. Semiconductors: TSMC’s capex plans, advanced-node utilization and AI/HPC commentary will set the tone for the chip supply chain. Airlines: Delta’s forward bookings, corporate travel mix and fuel cost guidance feed into transport cyclicality. UK cyclicals and housing: Trading updates from homebuilders and retailers (Taylor Wimpey, Persimmon, Dunelm, Whitbread) provide a read on consumer resilience, build cost inflation and housing transactions. India IT: TCS, Infosys and HCL Tech on deal pipelines, pricing and generative AI services mix. Cross-asset playbook Rates and FX A hotter US CPI/PPI tilt: Front-end yields up, curve bear-flattens, USD firmer, equities wobbly, gold softer. A cooler read: Duration bid, USD eases, risk assets supported, rate-cut expectations pull forward. Europe: Softer German/French inflation strengthens the disinflation narrative and supports peripherals; upside surprises reprice ECB paths and can widen spreads. UK: A strong GDP print could lift gilt yields and GBP; weakness would do the opposite. Equities Financials: IB/trading strength points

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Jan 06 – Daily Market Update

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06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk appetite stayed resilient overnight. Asia extended its New Year upswing, led by Hong Kong, as investors rotated toward markets with lower valuations and improving growth signals. Europe opened slightly firmer, while US equity futures were broadly flat. The US dollar remains soft against major peers, a trend many investors expect could continue if global growth broadens and US rate differentials narrow. Crypto eased from recent highs, while industrial metals stayed supported. Macro and policy Washington signaled potential support for private-sector efforts to rebuild Venezuela’s oil sector following the recent change in leadership. Markets are assessing implications for heavy crude supply, US Gulf refiners, and the medium‑term path of sanctions policy. Beijing introduced tighter controls on shipments to Japan with potential military end‑use, keeping attention on supply-chain security in electronics and advanced manufacturing. Investor surveys continue to show optimism on US equities after multiple strong years, with growing debate about market leadership and the durability of AI‑related trades. Equities Asia: Rotational buying into North Asia and Hong Kong persisted, aided by discounted valuations and policy hopes. Mainland China shares were mixed, with defensives and exporters relatively steady. Europe: Stocks edged higher at the open, with miners and industrials benefiting from firm metals prices. Energy shares were supported by geopolitics and crude’s bid. US: Futures were little changed. Semiconductors remain in focus after updates from leading chipmakers on data‑center roadmaps and AI hardware competition. Select analog and embedded-chip names outperformed after upbeat guidance. M&A chatter in enterprise software added to single‑name dispersion. Commodities Copper extended its rally after clearing a major psychological threshold on the global benchmark, supported by tight refined supply, robust power-transition demand expectations, and talk of potential US trade measures on refined metal. The move has favored diversified miners and select smelter plays, while raising input‑cost questions for capital goods makers. Crude traded with a modest bid as markets weighed Venezuela headlines alongside ongoing shipping and geopolitical risks. Product cracks and heavy‑sour differentials remain areas to watch if flows shift. Gold was steady, balancing lower real yields against firmer risk sentiment. FX and rates The dollar drifted lower on a trade‑weighted basis. Higher‑beta FX and select Asia EM currencies benefited from improved risk tone and carry. Sovereign yields were little changed in early trading. Primary markets were active: global dollar bond issuance just posted its busiest session in roughly a year, signaling healthy risk appetite and favorable funding windows. Digital assets Bitcoin eased modestly after recent gains. Broader crypto performance was mixed, with market attention rotating to liquidity conditions and regulatory developments. Key themes we’re watching Leadership and breadth: Can cyclicals and non‑US markets take the baton if mega‑cap tech momentum cools? AI supply chain: Intensifying competition in accelerated computing, with implications for GPU vendors, memory, networking, and data‑center power infrastructure. Commodities tightness: Copper’s squeeze highlights the interplay of trade policy, inventories, and capex cycles across miners and manufacturers. Policy and geopolitics: Energy policy toward Venezuela, Asia export controls, and shipping lanes remain key swing factors for commodities and global trade. Funding conditions: A robust start for primary debt markets supports the soft‑landing narrative; watch for duration appetite and pricing as issuance continues. The day ahead Data and events: Focus remains on global PMIs, US labor and inflation updates later this week, and central bank speakers for guidance on the timing and pace of policy easing. Earnings: Early-cycle updates from chipmakers, cloud/data‑center suppliers, and select consumer names will inform views on 2026 growth and margins. Portfolio considerations Diversification across regions and factors can help if leadership rotates. For equities, watch the balance between quality growth and cyclicals tied to industrial activity and metals. In credit, strong new-issue demand favors active selection on structure and covenants as spreads remain tight. Commodity users may consider hedging strategies given copper and energy volatility. This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Markets are volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. Market levels referenced are indicative and subject to change.   Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 06 – Daily Market Update January 6, 2026 06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk… Read More Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 30 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 30 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Morning… Read More Dec 29 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 29 – Daily

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