S&P 500

February 25 – Daily Market Update

25 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad Market Update Market snapshot (as of 06:15 a.m. ET; subject to change) S&P 500 futures: 6912.25 (+0.12%) Stoxx Europe 600: 632.14 (+0.48%) Nikkei 225: 58583.12 (+2.20%) Kospi: 6083.86 (+1.91%) Dollar index proxy: 1190.04 (+0.02%) Top takeaways Risk tone improves: Global equities are firmer with modest gains in US futures, a steady advance in Europe, and strong follow‑through in Asia led by semiconductor and hardware names. Rotation within the AI trade: Investors continue to favor upstream beneficiaries such as chip foundries, memory, and equipment over capital‑intensive hyperscale spenders and select software, keeping regional indices with heavy hardware weightings in the lead. Earnings and data in focus: Another wave of large‑cap results and a dense macro calendar (consumer spending/inflation gauges and growth revisions later in the week) keep positioning cautious and intraday volatility elevated. Rates steady, dollar flat: Government bond yields are little changed in early trade while the dollar index is marginally higher, reflecting a wait‑and‑see stance on the policy path. Crypto remains choppy: Digital assets continue to see rallies fade as participants use strength to reduce risk; liquidity pockets and headline sensitivity remain key features. Global equity overview United States: Futures edge higher as investors digest a heavy slate of corporate updates and look ahead to key inflation readings later this week. Leadership remains narrow, but breadth has improved versus last week with cyclical sectors finding some support. Europe: Major benchmarks are up, helped by banks and industrials. Energy is mixed as crude stabilizes. Defensive groups underperform in early action. Asia‑Pacific: North Asia outperformed overnight with strong gains in Japan and Korea on continued enthusiasm around the chip cycle, capacity additions, and improving export orders. Broader regional indices benefited from tech hardware strength. Rates and policy Developed‑market yields are broadly unchanged into the open. Markets continue to price a gradual policy easing path, highly contingent on incoming inflation and labor data. Later this week, attention turns to consumer spending and the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, along with updated growth estimates. Any upside surprise in core inflation would likely support front‑end yields and a firmer dollar; downside surprises could steepen curves and aid high‑beta equities. Currencies The dollar is fractionally stronger against major peers. EUR is steady in a tight range with limited data catalysts today but important inflation prints on deck later in the week. JPY is little changed; rate differentials and policy normalization expectations remain the primary drivers. High‑beta FX is firmer alongside the stronger risk backdrop. Commodities Oil is range‑bound as supply headlines offset mixed demand signals; price action remains sensitive to inventory data and geopolitical developments. Gold is flat with real yields stable; dips continue to attract interest as a portfolio hedge. Industrial metals are slightly higher on improved risk sentiment and optimism around tech‑driven demand and selective policy support in Asia. Crypto Major tokens are mixed after recent volatility. Flows suggest rallies are meeting supply as traders manage risk around event‑driven headlines. Expect wider intraday ranges and momentum‑driven price action. The day ahead: what we’re watching US: Consumer confidence; regional manufacturing updates; housing indicators; later this week—personal income/spending and PCE inflation, GDP revisions, and ISM. Europe: Confidence surveys and inflation snapshots across core economies; central‑bank speakers. Asia: Trade and production updates; official and private PMIs later in the week. Strategy thoughts Equities: Momentum remains intact but narrow; consider balancing growth exposure with quality cyclicals and maintaining some volatility protection around key data prints. Fixed income: With policy expectations finely balanced, duration neutrality with an eye toward opportunistic adds on yield spikes remains prudent. Multi‑asset: Correlations are shifting; diversifiers (cash, high‑quality bonds, and select commodities) can help buffer headline‑driven moves. Risk management: Event risk remains elevated. Use disciplined entry/exit levels and avoid excessive concentration in single themes. Important information This commentary is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, index, currency, or digital asset. Market prices and returns are indicative and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and local regulations before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. February 25 – Daily Market Update February 26, 2026 25 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More February 24 – Daily Market Update February 24, 2026 24 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Opening… Read More February 23 – Daily Market Update February 23, 2026 23 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More February 20 – Daily Market Update February 20, 2026 20 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More February 19 – Daily Market Update February 19, 2026 19 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More February 18 – Daily Market

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February 20 – Daily Market Update

20 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Market Snapshot (as of 06:09 am ET; pricing may be delayed) S&P 500 Futures: 6884.5 (+0.11%) Stoxx Europe 600: 628.37 (+0.49%) Hang Seng: 26413.35 (-1.10%) WTI Crude (front-month): 66.06 (-0.56%) Bitcoin: 67914.55 (+1.54%) Global overview US: Equity futures are steady as investors await fresh economic readings and weigh ongoing geopolitical risks. The debate around the pace and scale of Federal Reserve easing continues, with firmer growth and resilient hiring tempering expectations for multiple cuts. Treasury yields are little changed to slightly higher and the US dollar remains broadly firm as rate differentials support the greenback. Europe: Stocks advanced after stronger-than-expected activity surveys pointed to improving momentum, led by a rebound in manufacturing. While sentiment has improved, the region’s benchmark has rallied for months and aggregate valuations have crept higher, leaving performance more sensitive to earnings delivery and guidance. Asia: Trading was mixed. Hong Kong lagged amid weakness in select growth and technology names, while other regional markets were more balanced as investors assessed the global interest-rate path and local earnings updates. Rates and currencies Government bonds: Core yields are edging up as investors scale back aggressive easing timelines, with attention on incoming inflation and activity data to confirm disinflation’s durability. Foreign exchange: The dollar is firmer on the week as markets reassess the odds of near-term rate cuts. Cyclical currencies are range-bound; the euro is supported by improving survey data but capped by relative rate dynamics. Commodities and digital assets Energy: Crude prices softened as supply dynamics and demand concerns offset geopolitical risk premiums. Refining margins and inventory trends remain in focus into month-end. Metals: Industrial metals were mixed alongside shifting global growth signals. Crypto: Bitcoin advanced toward the high-$60,000s, with broader digital assets steady on constructive risk sentiment. Corporate highlights Technology and software: Select names came under pressure after conservative outlooks raised questions about near-term growth trajectories and spending priorities. Health care and biotech: Clinical news flow sparked notable single-name volatility, highlighting trial and regulatory risk in the sector. Consumer and luxury: European luxury leaders outperformed following robust results from a marquee outerwear brand, underscoring resilient high-end demand. Earnings cadence: The reporting season is past its peak; further updates from utilities, payments, and communications services companies are due, with guidance and cashflow discipline in focus. Key themes we’re watching Policy path: Markets are balancing solid growth and sticky services inflation against the Fed’s desire to normalize policy. Fewer cuts priced for this year support the dollar and weigh on duration. Profit cycle: After a strong run, equity multiples leave less room for error. Delivery on earnings, AI-related capex payoffs, and margin resilience are crucial swing factors. Positioning and flows: Elevated cash yields continue to anchor short-duration allocations, while any sign of durable disinflation could extend risk appetite into cyclicals and small/mid caps. Geopolitics: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East and election-year policy noise may periodically lift volatility across energy, rates, and FX. Today’s watch list US: Preliminary business activity surveys, housing indicators, and regional manufacturing readings Europe: Follow-through from PMI surprises and any guidance from central bank speakers Commodities: Weekly inventory data and refinery utilization trends Corporate: Updates on capex plans, AI spend, and buyback intentions as management teams refine 2026 outlooks Risk considerations Upside risks: Faster productivity gains tied to technology investment, positive earnings revisions, and orderly disinflation. Downside risks: Stickier inflation prompting a slower easing path, growth disappointments in China or Europe, and escalation in geopolitical hotspots. Disclosure This material is provided for general information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, sector, or strategy. Market levels are as noted above and may have changed since the time of publication. Investors should consider their individual circumstances and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. 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February 3 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Daily Market Updates, Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

3 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as of 6:49 a.m. ET; market data may be delayed) S&P 500 Futures: 7008.25 (+0.08%) Nasdaq 100 Futures: 25938.5 (+0.34%) US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.285% (+0.8 bps) Gold: 4,908.37 (+5.30%) Morning rundown Risk appetite is stabilizing after a volatile stretch. US equity futures are firmer, led by technology, while core yields edge higher and the dollar eases. Precious metals are rebounding sharply, reversing part of the previous session’s slide. The tone across Asia was broadly constructive, with Korea leading gains and semiconductors among the standouts. Europe opened higher, echoing the recovery in cyclicals and AI-linked names. Commodities Precious metals: Gold and silver are bouncing as bargain-hunters and short-covering meet ongoing longer-term interest from asset allocators. The speed of the move underscores how leveraged positioning can amplify swings in both directions. Energy and industrial metals: A modest risk-on mood is supporting pro-cyclical commodities, though traders remain sensitive to macro headlines and policy signals. Equities US: Futures point to gains with the AI/data-center complex back in focus. Investors are watching whether beaten-down groups from the prior selloff extend their recovery and whether earnings guidance validates recent multiple expansion. Asia: Major benchmarks advanced, with Korea outperforming on a broad tech rally. Japan and Hong Kong saw more measured rebounds as investors weigh currency dynamics and policy uncertainty. Europe: Early strength is broad-based, with defensives participating alongside cyclicals. Market depth remains thinner than usual around headline risk, keeping intraday volatility elevated. Rates and FX Sovereigns: The 10-year Treasury yield is little changed, holding near recent ranges as markets balance resilient growth indicators with sticky services inflation. Curves remain biased toward slight bear-steepening on any upside data surprises. Currencies: The dollar is marginally softer against a basket of peers. Cross-asset correlations suggest a modest reversion to risk-taking, with higher-beta FX stabilizing. Central banks: A major Asia-Pacific central bank lifted its policy rate, the first notable developed-market hike of the year, citing persistent price pressures. Markets are reassessing the global policy path, with timing and pace of eventual easing remaining data-dependent. Corporate calendar and flows Earnings: A busy slate spans consumer staples, healthcare, payments, and restaurants before and after the US market close. Key themes to monitor: pricing power, volume elasticity, cost discipline, and AI-related capex/commentary from enterprise-facing firms. Deal and listing watch: Headlines around a prominent private space-and-AI combination are fueling discussion of a potential landmark listing later this year. Any formal timeline or structure could influence sentiment in growth equities and late-stage private markets. Credit: Investment-grade spreads remain tight by historical standards, reflecting strong technicals. With valuations rich, investors are attentive to any wobble in AI-led growth narratives or earnings misses that could widen risk premia. What to watch next Macro: Upcoming labor, inflation, and activity data across major economies will frame the near-term path for yields and the dollar. Micro: Guidance from AI-adjacent hardware, cloud, and semiconductor supply chains will be scrutinized for signs of demand normalization versus continued buildout. Positioning: After outsized moves in metals and tech, liquidity pockets and options flows may continue to amplify intraday swings. House view summary Near-term tone: Cautiously risk-on, but fragile given tight credit spreads and elevated expectations. Key swing factors: Central bank communication, earnings quality, and the durability of AI-driven capex. Portfolio considerations: Diversification and attention to liquidity remain prudent amid fast-moving cross-asset rotations. Notes All market levels are for information only and subject to change. This commentary is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. February 3 – Daily Market Update February 3, 2026 3 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More February 2 – Daily Market Update February 2, 2026 2 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Volatility… Read More January 30 – Daily Market Update January 30, 2026 30 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Risk-off… Read More January 29 – Daily Market Update January 29, 2026 29 January 2026- Daily Market Updates Quick take Metals rally… Read More January 28 – Daily Market Update January 28, 2026 28 January 2026 Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Global Risk… Read More January 27 – Daily Market Update January 27, 2026 27 january 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market overview Equities:… Read More January 26 – Daily Market Update January 26, 2026 26 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily –… Read More January 23 – Daily Market Update January 23, 2026 23 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More January 22 – Daily Market Update January 22, 2026 22 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More January 21 – Daily Market Update January 21, 2026 21 january 2026 – Daily Market Updates Daily Markets Briefing… Read More January 20 – Daily Market

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February 2 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

2 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Volatility returns as crowded trades reset; central banks and jobs data in focus Market Snapshot (as of 06:52 am ET) S&P 500 Futures: 6933.5 (-0.46%) Nasdaq 100 Futures: 25466.25 (-0.79%) Bitcoin: 77851.5 (+1.86%) Gold: 4774.16 (-2.45%) Opening take Risk appetite softened to start the week as investors trimmed popular long positions across equities and commodities. US equity futures point lower for a fourth session, the dollar is little changed, and rate markets are steady ahead of a dense macro calendar that includes major central bank decisions in Europe and the US January employment report. The notable outlier is crypto, where prices stabilized after a volatile weekend. Today’s key themes Commodities swing: Precious metals and energy retreated sharply, reflecting a combination of profit-taking, position de-risking, and idiosyncratic liquidity stresses in parts of Asia. Intraday moves have been wide, a hallmark of thin conditions into regional holidays and tighter margins for leveraged positions. Dip-buying interest is emerging in physical markets, but price discovery remains unsettled. Tech-led equity pullback: After a strong run, high-beta segments—particularly AI-adjacent semiconductor names in Asia—saw outsized declines, with spillovers to Europe and US futures. The catalyst mix includes lofty positioning, shifting expectations around capex plans, and a broader “take profits first, ask questions later” mindset into the macro-heavy week. Crypto steadies: Digital assets found a footing after recent losses, trading more in line with broader risk tone rather than in isolation. Correlations with high-growth equities remain elevated, and crypto-exposed equities are seeing pressure in premarket trade despite the rebound in headline tokens. FX and rates: The dollar is marginally softer against majors, with yields largely unchanged as investors await guidance from the ECB and BoE and Friday’s US jobs report. Expect limited directional conviction until those catalysts land. Across regions Asia: Equities weakened, led by technology hardware and semiconductors. A combination of profit-taking and local market liquidity dynamics amplified the moves. Commodity-related shares lagged amid the metals pullback. Europe: Stocks opened mixed-to-lower, with miners and energy underperforming. Defensive sectors held up better as investors positioned for Thursday’s central bank decisions. Sovereign bonds were steady. US: Futures are lower, with cyclical and momentum cohorts indicated down more than the broader tape. Volatility is ticking up from subdued levels as options markets price wider ranges into Friday’s payrolls. Corporate and sector highlights Metals and mining: Gold and silver volatility weighed on producers; beta to spot prices remains high after a strong year-to-date run. Position-sensitive names are seeing outsized moves. Energy: Crude softness and headline risk around geopolitics dragged the complex. Integrateds and E&Ps are indicated lower premarket. AI and cloud: A large enterprise software provider flagged sizable funding plans to expand cloud/AI infrastructure capacity, underscoring the ongoing capex race. Markets continue to debate the durability and timing of returns on hyperscale spend. Media and consumer: A prominent media conglomerate’s leadership planning remains in focus alongside earnings. Consumer and staples bellwethers will offer read-throughs on pricing power and volumes this week. Crypto-linked equities: Miners, exchanges, and infrastructure plays are under pressure despite stabilization in major tokens, reflecting sensitivity to recent drawdowns and hash-price dynamics. The week ahead: macro diary Monday: Global manufacturing PMIs; selected central bank speakers. Earnings from large-cap consumer, entertainment, and software names. Tuesday: Australia policy decision; Eurozone bank lending survey; France/South Korea/Turkey CPI; Spain unemployment; US JOLTS and vehicle sales. US earnings heavy in payments, beverages, pharma, and semis. Wednesday: Services PMIs (selected regions); US ADP employment and ISM services; US Treasury financing outlook. Earnings include a major US search/advertising platform and a global bank. Thursday: Policy decisions from the ECB, BoE, and Mexico; Germany factory orders; France industrial production; US initial jobless claims. Private equity, energy, and ecommerce names report. Friday: US nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, and consumer sentiment; Canada jobs; Germany industrial production; India policy decision; Japan household spending and leading index. What we’re watching next Crowding unwind: The rotation out of year-to-date winners suggests positioning rather than macro alone is driving price action. Watch for signs of stabilization in flows before chasing reversals. Central bank tone: Any updates on balance sheet plans and inflation assessment from the ECB/BoE could steer duration and FX into the weekend. US payrolls: After resilient labor prints, any shift in wage growth or participation could influence the timing and magnitude of rate-cut expectations. Earnings breadth: Guideposts from mega-cap tech, semis, payments, and energy will shape the narrative on AI monetization, consumer health, and capex cycles. Risk management considerations Elevated intraday swings in commodities and high-beta equities argue for disciplined sizing and wider stop tolerances. Into Friday’s data, consider scenario planning around labor-market surprises and the knock-on to front-end rates, tech multiples, and USD direction. For hedgers, skew in index options has richened modestly; cross-asset hedges (gold, USD, duration) have been inconsistent—diversification across hedges may be prudent. This material is provided for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and local regulations before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high

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January 28 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

28 January 2026 Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Global Risk Tone Mixed as Investors Await Central Bank Signals and Big Tech Earnings Overview Global markets are starting the week split between optimism in Asia and caution in Europe, while US equity futures edge higher ahead of a heavy earnings slate and a closely watched central bank decision. The dollar is firmer, gold continues to climb, and bond yields are steady in a tight range. Leadership remains concentrated in technology and AI-linked supply chains, with notable rotation toward semiconductor equipment and memory producers across Asia and Europe. Market at a glance US: Equity futures are modestly higher, led by tech and chips, with traders focused on results from mega-cap names and policy guidance from the central bank. Europe: Benchmarks are softer amid uneven earnings updates; luxury and select consumer shares lag, while semiconductor suppliers outperform. Asia: Hong Kong and South Korea led gains on strength in hardware, semis, and supply-chain beneficiaries; Japan was mixed, China steady-to-better on policy support signals. FX: The dollar index is up, reflecting relative growth and rate differentials; the euro and yen are modestly weaker; commodity FX is mixed. Rates: US Treasury yields are little changed across the curve ahead of today’s decision; volatility is subdued and the curve is broadly stable. Commodities: Gold extends its advance as investors hedge policy and geopolitical risks; crude trades in a tight band, with OPEC+ dynamics and US supply holding prices range-bound; industrial metals are steady. Key drivers today Policy in focus: The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged. Markets will parse the statement and press conference for clues on timing and pace of any eventual easing, balance-sheet runoff, and the assessment of growth and inflation risks. Traders are sensitive to any shift in the reaction function that could influence front-end rates and risk appetite. Earnings heavyweights: Mega-cap tech and AI bellwethers report today and this week. Beyond the headline prints, investors want clarity on cloud demand, AI infrastructure spending, capital intensity, and monetization timelines. Guidance and capex plans will likely matter more than backward-looking results. AI supply chain leadership: Robust order books at chip-equipment makers and strength in memory and storage continue to validate the capex cycle around AI infrastructure. This has supported outperformance in select European and Asian technology shares, even as US mega-cap valuations remain elevated. Cross-asset positioning: With equities near highs and volatility low, positioning feels extended in favored themes. Month-end and central bank communications could catalyze rebalancing across equities, duration, and FX, particularly if guidance diverges from current market pricing. Equities United States: Futures point to a firmer open for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. Pre-market tone is constructive in semiconductors and hardware, while software and communication services are in focus given upcoming reports. Financials and defensives are mixed as yields tread water. Europe: The region trades lower with dispersion across sectors. Luxury and discretionary names are soft after cautious holiday updates, while semiconductor equipment and select industrial technology outperform on improving demand signals. Banks are broadly steady. Asia-Pacific: Hong Kong and South Korea outperformed on technology leadership and continued interest in AI-linked exporters. Taiwan supply-chain names were bid, while Japan saw a more balanced session with gains in chips offset by consolidation in cyclicals. Fixed income US Treasuries are flat-to-slightly softer, with the front end anchored into the policy decision and the long end holding recent ranges. Any hawkish inflection in guidance could nudge terminal-rate expectations higher and weigh on risk assets; dovish-leaning language would likely support duration and higher-beta credit. European sovereigns are mixed, with core yields marginally higher and peripherals stable. Supply dynamics and upcoming inflation prints remain key near-term catalysts. Currencies The dollar is modestly stronger versus G10 peers. The euro is softer on mixed data and cautious risk tone, while the yen remains sensitive to yield differentials and policy expectations. Emerging-market FX is mixed, with higher-beta currencies tracking equities and commodities. Commodities Gold advances as investors seek portfolio ballast amid policy uncertainty and geopolitical risks. Real yields and the dollar will remain the key near-term drivers. Oil is range-bound, balancing steady demand expectations against ample non-OPEC supply and OPEC+ discipline. Time spreads and inventory trends suggest a well-supplied but not oversupplied market. Industrial metals are steady, supported by infrastructure demand and policy support signals, offset by inventory normalization. The day ahead Policy: Federal Reserve rate decision and press conference. Markets will watch for commentary on inflation progress, labor-market cooling, and the threshold for considering rate cuts or balance-sheet adjustments. Earnings: A busy slate featuring mega-cap technology, alongside major industrials, telecom, and consumer names. Watch guidance on AI-related capex, margins, and cost discipline. Data: A light-to-moderate macro calendar in the US and Europe, with attention on growth, confidence, and labor indicators that can shape near-term rate expectations. Themes to monitor Guidance over beats: With valuations full in leadership groups, forward guidance on capex, AI monetization, and margins will likely drive stock reactions more than headline beats. Broadening leadership: Continued outperformance in global semiconductor equipment, memory, and storage suggests AI’s benefits are spreading across regions and sub-industries. Policy path and liquidity: The balance between disinflation progress and growth resilience will influence the timing and pace of any easing cycle, shaping cross-asset correlations and liquidity conditions. Earnings dispersion: Expect wider single-stock moves as results and guidance diverge, particularly in sectors tied to AI spend, consumer demand, and China exposure. Risk radar Policy miscommunication or a shift in reaction function that reprices the rate path Earnings or guidance disappointments from AI and cloud bellwethers Geopolitical flare-ups affecting energy and supply chains Liquidity pockets into month-end and during blackout periods This publication is for information purposes only and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market conditions can change quickly; consider confirming levels with live data before making decisions. If you have questions or wish to discuss positioning and risk management, please contact your account representative. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts

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January 26 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

26 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad Market Update Overview Risk appetite softened to start the week as investors balanced haven demand with a busy slate of central bank meetings and corporate earnings. Precious metals rallied, natural gas spiked on extreme weather, the dollar eased, and Japanese equities underperformed following recent volatility in local rates. Market snapshot (as of 05:11 am ET; levels subject to change) Spot gold: 5084.96 (+1.95%) NYMEX natural gas: 6.21 (+17.74%) S&P 500 futures: 6928.5 (-0.25%) Nikkei 225: 52885.25 (-1.79%) What’s driving markets Haven bid lifts gold: Bullion’s latest surge reflects a mix of softer dollar, ongoing geopolitical unease, and demand for portfolio hedges amid uncertain policy paths. Lower real yields and continued diversification flows from global reserve managers have also supported prices. Energy price spike: US natural gas jumped on widespread cold weather, stronger heating demand, and pockets of supply disruption. The move puts utilities, independent gas producers, and weather‑sensitive industries in focus, while airlines monitor operational impacts. Dollar retreats, yen firms: The greenback slipped for a third session as traders assessed interest‑rate differentials and potential policy signaling. The yen’s rebound keeps markets attentive to possible official measures to curb excessive FX volatility. Equities tread carefully: US equity futures are slightly lower as investors await mega‑cap tech results and key policy decisions. In Asia, Japan lagged amid rate‑market swings; broader regional performance was mixed. European trade opened cautiously with defensive tilts evident. Policy and politics: A US government funding deadline looms, adding another layer of near‑term uncertainty to the macro backdrop. This week’s key events Central banks: The Federal Reserve is widely expected to leave rates unchanged, with guidance on balance‑sheet policy and the path of cuts in focus. Other decisions and updates are due across Canada, Brazil, and parts of Asia and Europe. Data watch: Global releases include measures of consumer confidence, manufacturing activity, inflation, labor conditions, trade, and orders. In the US, durable goods, jobless claims, producer prices, and regional manufacturing surveys will help refine growth and inflation narratives. Earnings: A heavy reporting calendar spans technology, financials, industrials, and consumer sectors. Results and guidance from large‑cap platforms and payments networks will help set the tone for profit growth, capex, and AI‑related demand through mid‑year. Asset class highlights Commodities: Gold’s momentum underscores ongoing demand for hedges. The natural gas rally tightens winter margins and could add short‑term volatility to power markets. Industrial metals remain sensitive to AI‑driven demand expectations and China growth signals. Currencies: A softer dollar aided commodities and select EM FX, while the yen’s strength and intervention watch dominated G10 headlines. FX volatility remains elevated into central bank meetings. Rates: Sovereign curves are choppy as investors weigh policy paths against growth risks. Moves in Japanese government bonds continue to ripple across global duration, reinforcing the need to monitor cross‑market correlations. Credit: Primary issuance remains active, with spreads broadly stable. Any sustained uptick in rates volatility or shutdown headlines could test risk appetite near‑term. Sectors to watch Precious metals miners on bullion strength. Energy: natural gas‑levered producers and utilities; weather risk for airlines and logistics. Technology and semiconductors ahead of major earnings. Defense, aerospace, and industrials tied to order backlogs and supply‑chain normalization. Consumer discretionary for signs of demand resilience into spring. Risk considerations Policy uncertainty around US funding and fiscal negotiations. Rate‑sensitive volatility tied to central bank decisions and guidance. Weather‑related disruptions affecting energy and transportation. Geopolitical developments and FX intervention risk. House view With policy, earnings, and macro data colliding in a single week, expect higher‑than‑usual headline sensitivity. Many investors are emphasizing liquidity buffers, diversified hedges, and disciplined rebalancing while awaiting clearer signals on growth, inflation, and the timing of rate cuts. Important information This material is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Market prices and data are subject to change. Consider your financial circumstances and objectives before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. January 26 – Daily Market Update January 26, 2026 26 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily –… Read More January 23 – Daily Market Update January 23, 2026 23 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More January 22 – Daily Market Update January 22, 2026 22 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More January 21 – Daily Market Update January 21, 2026 21 january 2026 – Daily Market Updates Daily Markets Briefing… Read More January 20 – Daily Market Update January 20, 2026 20 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Daily Market Briefing… Read More January 19 – Daily Market Update January 19, 2026 19 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Risk… Read More January 16 – Daily Market Update January 16, 2026 16 January 26 – Daily Market Updates

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January 23 – Daily Market Update

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23 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Global Morning Brief As of 06:17 am ET S&P 500 futures: 6939.5 (-0.08%) Stoxx Europe 600: 607.46 (-0.23%) Nikkei 225: 53846.87 (+0.29%) Spot silver: 98.56 (+2.40%) Bitcoin: 89105.96 (-0.07%) Overnight and early-session tone Equities: US futures ease slightly, Europe is softer, and Asia finished mixed. The S&P 500 is tracking a second straight weekly pullback as investors digest earnings and shifting rate expectations. Currencies: The yen strengthened notably versus the dollar after a volatile week in Japanese assets, keeping FX volatility in focus and weighing on broader dollar sentiment. Rates: Yield curves have been steepening in several major markets as longer-dated bonds underperform. That reflects ongoing debate over fiscal paths and policy normalization timelines. Commodities: Precious metals remain firm, with silver extending gains and gold holding near recent highs as investors seek ballast amid policy and geopolitical uncertainty. Digital assets: Bitcoin is little changed, consolidating after recent swings. What’s moving the tape Rotation under the surface: Flows continue to show a bid for non-US risk, with emerging-market equities and hard assets attracting attention while some US-focused funds see outflows. Diversification away from concentrated exposures remains a recurring theme this month. Japan in focus: A rapid repricing in Japanese government bonds has challenged the long-held “low-for-long” narrative. Higher yields and currency strength are reverberating across global rate markets and equities tied to Japan’s growth and export dynamics. Curve trades reappear: With long-end yields leading, investors have revisited strategies that benefit from a steeper curve. The move underscores sensitivity to deficits, supply, and the path of policy rates across regions. Sector dispersion: Equipment and hardware names are seeing disparate results around earnings updates and guidance, while select health-tech and telecom-equipment reports point to resilient demand in core segments. Defense-related listings in Europe drew strong interest, highlighting ongoing support for that theme. Today’s key drivers to watch Earnings: Another heavy slate across tech, industrials, financials, and energy. Commentary on capex, AI-related spending, supply chains, and pricing power will be key for margins and guidance. Macro: US and European data drops on growth and inflation remain in focus ahead of major central bank meetings. Market-implied paths for policy continue to shift as incoming data challenge the pace and depth of any future rate moves. Policy and geopolitics: Headlines around trade, supply chains, and regional tensions are feeding into currency and commodity volatility. Stay mindful of headline risk into the weekend. Portfolio considerations Duration and curve: With long-end rates more volatile, consider how portfolio duration and curve exposure align with risk tolerance. Hedging rate sensitivity and stress-testing scenarios remains prudent. Diversification: Cross-asset moves this month have rewarded diversified exposures across regions and factors. Keep an eye on concentration risk, particularly within mega-cap tech and single-factor tilts. Liquidity: Elevated intraday swings in FX, rates, and commodities argue for maintaining ample liquidity and disciplined rebalancing protocols. Market wrap at a glance Equities: Cautious tone, modest declines in US/Europe, Asia mixed. FX: Dollar softer on the week; yen strength notable. Rates: Long-end under pressure; global curves steeper. Commodities: Precious metals bid; energy mixed. Crypto: Consolidation mode. Note: Market levels are indicative and subject to change Important disclosures This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Markets involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified financial professional before making investment decisions. Market data may be delayed or updated without notice. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. January 23 – Daily Market Update January 23, 2026 23 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More January 22 – Daily Market Update January 22, 2026 22 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More January 21 – Daily Market Update January 21, 2026 21 january 2026 – Daily Market Updates Daily Markets Briefing… Read More January 20 – Daily Market Update January 20, 2026 20 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Daily Market Briefing… Read More January 19 – Daily Market Update January 19, 2026 19 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Risk… Read More January 16 – Daily Market Update January 16, 2026 16 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More january 15 – Daily Market Update January 15, 2026 15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More january 14 – Daily Market Update January 14, 2026 14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More january 13 – Daily Market Update January 13, 2026 13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market… Read More Jan 12 – Daily Market Update January 12, 2026 12 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily Your… Read More Jan 09 – Daily Market

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January 22 – Daily Market Update

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22 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as of 06:21 am ET; pricing may be delayed) S&P 500 futures: 6953.5 (+0.63%) Stoxx Europe 600: 609.96 (+1.21%) Nikkei 225: 53688.89 (+1.73%) Spot gold: 4828.54 (-0.06%) Bitcoin: 89878.29 (-0.34%) Global overview Risk appetite improved across regions, with equity markets extending gains and leadership concentrated in technology, semiconductors, and other AI‑linked beneficiaries. European benchmarks advanced broadly, while Japan’s main equity index outperformed in Asia amid ongoing enthusiasm for capex tied to data center build-outs and next‑generation compute. US equity futures point to a firmer open, continuing a rebound that began earlier in the week. Under the surface, the tone remains selective. Growth and quality factors are in favor, while defensive areas lag. Price action continues to be driven by expectations for a resilient global demand backdrop, tempered by elevated rates volatility following recent swings in long‑dated sovereign bonds. Equities US: Futures suggest a second straight session of gains, led by large‑cap tech and hardware suppliers leveraged to cloud and AI infrastructure. Earnings season is in focus, with investors scrutinizing guidance on margins, inventory, and capex plans. Watch commentary on supply chain normalization, the pace of enterprise IT spending, and the durability of pricing power. Europe: The region outperformed with cyclicals (autos, industrials) and technology ahead, while select consumer and healthcare names traded mixed on stock‑specific news. The breadth of the move improved versus earlier in the month, a constructive sign for risk appetite if sustained. Asia: Japanese equities rallied, supported by exporters and manufacturers tied to semiconductor equipment and components. Elsewhere in the region, performance was uneven as investors balanced supportive policy signals against concerns about growth differentials. Rates and FX Sovereign bonds: Following a bout of volatility in parts of the global rates complex, yields were little changed to slightly lower in early US trading. Curves remain modestly steeper versus recent tights, reflecting uncertainty around the timing and extent of policy easing this year. Liquidity and positioning in longer‑dated maturities bear watching after recent outsized moves. Currencies: The dollar traded mixed, modestly softer against pro‑cyclical peers and steadier versus traditional havens. The yen remained choppy as rate differentials and bond market dynamics offset each other. The euro ticked higher alongside firmer European risk assets. Commodities Precious metals: Gold consolidated near recent highs, holding the bulk of its multi‑week advance despite calmer headlines. Support continues to stem from central‑bank purchases, portfolio diversification flows, and lingering macro hedging demand. Energy: Crude was range‑bound, with traders weighing supply developments against signs of steady demand. Refining margins and inventory data remain near-term catalysts. Natural gas pricing was mixed as seasonal patterns meet variable weather forecasts. Industrial metals: Copper and related metals were mixed, reflecting a tug‑of‑war between constructive medium‑term electrification trends and near‑term growth and inventory considerations. Digital assets Crypto prices were slightly softer in early dealings. Flows into major tokens have moderated, with market depth and implied volatility stabilizing after recent bouts of activity. Correlations to equities remain episodic and sector‑specific rather than market‑wide. Themes to watch AI‑driven capex cycle: Hardware suppliers across memory, storage, networking, and power components continue to benefit from sustained orders tied to data centers and edge compute. Investors are watching for evidence that demand is broadening beyond hyperscalers into enterprise and telecom verticals. Earnings quality over quantity: With valuations elevated in select segments, guidance on free cash flow conversion, pricing discipline, and working‑capital management may matter as much as headline beats. Expect dispersion to remain high. Rates path and liquidity: Markets are reassessing the glide path for global policy rates. Any renewed stress in long‑maturity bonds could spill over into risk assets and FX, making auction outcomes and central‑bank communication particularly important in the weeks ahead. Market breadth: Participation outside mega‑cap leadership is improving but remains inconsistent. Sustained breadth would bolster the durability of the rally. Today’s calendar and catalysts Corporate earnings: A heavy slate from technology, industrials, materials, and consumer staples. Focus on demand outlooks, backlog health, and 2026 capex intentions. Data and policy: Later‑week releases on growth and labor, plus appearances from central‑bank officials, will help refine expectations for the policy path. Auction schedules in major bond markets are also on the radar. Positioning lens Sentiment: Short‑term sentiment indicators have moved back toward neutral from cautious, with downside hedging demand easing. That said, the options market still prices meaningful event risk around earnings. Flows: ETFs tied to technology and broad beta saw net inflows, while defensive sector funds experienced modest outflows. Credit markets remain orderly with healthy primary issuance. Bottom line Markets are leaning risk‑on, powered by ongoing optimism around the multi‑year investment cycle in AI infrastructure and a still‑constructive growth backdrop. The main pivots for direction near term are corporate guidance, the evolution of rate expectations, and the stability of longer‑dated bond markets. Maintaining diversification across factors and regions remains prudent as cross‑asset volatility ebbs and flows. Important notice: This content is provided for information only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Market prices are illustrative, may be delayed, and are subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a

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January 21 – Daily Market Update

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21 january 2026 – Daily Market Updates Daily Markets Briefing Market Snapshot (as of 06:16 am EST; values may be delayed) S&P 500 Futures: 6842 (+0.18%) Stoxx Europe 600: 600.03 (-0.46%) US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.281% (down ~0.01) Nikkei 225: 52774.64 (-0.41%) Spot Gold: 4866.3 (+2.16%) Overview US equity futures are stabilizing after a sharp risk-off session, while Europe trades softer and Asia finished mixed. Government bond yields are easing at the margin as investors reassess growth and policy expectations, and safe-haven bids remain evident in precious metals. Weather-driven energy dynamics and a busy corporate earnings slate are in focus. Equities United States: Futures indicate a modest rebound following the largest S&P 500 pullback in several months. The tone remains headline-sensitive with investors weighing earnings updates, policy chatter from global forums, and the path for growth-sensitive sectors. Market breadth and factor rotations bear watching after a burst of volatility. Europe: The region’s benchmark is lower, led by consumer and health care laggards, while select luxury and industrial names outperform on company-specific updates. Energy and utilities see support from higher fuel price expectations into a colder weather pattern. Asia: Japanese stocks slipped as recent rate and currency volatility kept risk appetite in check, though losses were contained by a pullback in long-dated yields. Other major regional markets were mixed, with pockets of strength in technology and internet names. Rates and Credit US Treasuries: The 10-year yield is edging lower, reflecting a small bid for duration after yesterday’s equity selloff. The curve remains sensitive to incoming growth data, earnings guidance on capex and labor, and evolving central-bank rhetoric. Global sovereigns: Longer-maturity Japanese bonds recovered some ground after a volatile stretch, helping to soothe broader rate jitters. European core yields are steady to slightly lower, with peripheral spreads broadly contained. Credit: Investment-grade and high-yield spreads widened modestly with the equity drawdown but remain within recent ranges. Primary issuance is active into earnings season, with investors selective on leverage and interest coverage profiles. FX and Commodities Gold: The metal extends gains on haven demand and lower real-yield impulses. Flows into precious metals remain supported by diversification and geopolitical hedging. Energy: Natural gas prices are elevated as forecasts point to an intense cold spell across key North American demand and production hubs. Winter reliability and storage draws are back in focus for utilities and upstream names. Crude is firmer but range-bound as supply discipline and demand seasonality offset growth and policy uncertainties. FX: The dollar is mixed against majors, with rate differentials and risk sentiment driving intraday swings. Yen and select European currencies are stable after the latest moves in global bonds. Corporate Highlights Airlines: A leading US carrier posted better-than-expected quarterly results, lifting the group on improving revenue trends and disciplined capacity plans. Investors are watching commentary on business travel and fuel hedging into late winter. Media and Streaming: A major streaming platform is under pressure premarket after issuing a cautious outlook and pausing buybacks amid higher content and integration spending. Markets are parsing visibility on subscriber growth, pricing, and cash-flow timing. Consumer Staples: A large packaged-food company is weaker after a significant shareholder registered stock for potential sale, reviving focus on portfolio mix, pricing power, and margins. Health Care, Financials, Insurance: Several bellwethers report before the US open. Watch loan growth and deposit costs for financials, medical device and pharma pipelines in health care, and catastrophe loss trends for insurers. Europe: A diagnostics firm rallied on reports of strategic review considerations, while a UK luxury brand gained after signs of early progress in a turnaround plan. Key Drivers to Watch Earnings season: Guidance on 2026 capex, AI-related spend, operating leverage, and margin durability is likely to set the tone for sector rotations. Macro and policy: Remarks from global policy gatherings, central-bank speakers, and upcoming data on growth and inflation will shape rate expectations and the risk premium across assets. Weather and infrastructure: The impending cold snap may ripple through energy markets, midstream logistics, and short-term industrial output. Market structure: Elevated options activity and systematic flows can amplify intraday volatility; monitor positioning, skew, and realized vs. implied vol. Takeaways for Investors Quality bias and liquidity discipline remain important as markets navigate cross-currents from policy headlines, earnings dispersion, and winter energy dynamics. Balance duration and equity risk: modest duration exposure can buffer equity drawdowns if growth scares resurface, while selective cyclical exposure can benefit from resilient demand pockets. Focus on cash flow visibility: companies demonstrating pricing power, cost control, and clear capital-return frameworks may be rewarded as the bar for guidance rises. Calendar (near term) US corporate earnings: Health care, financials, industrials, and tech updates throughout the week. Global data: Preliminary manufacturing and services readings, housing indicators, and weekly labor prints in the US. Policy watch: Central-bank commentary and fiscal headlines from global forums. Disclosure This material is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Market data are subject to change and may be delayed. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high

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january 14 – Daily Market Update

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14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as of early US morning) S&P 500 futures: 6972.5 (-0.42%) Stoxx Europe 600: 610.96 (+0.09%) Nikkei 225: 54341.2 (+1.48%) China CSI 300: 4741.9 (-0.40%) Bitcoin: 94935.56 (+0.92%) Global overview US: Equity futures edge lower as investors weigh a firmer labor backdrop against shifting interest-rate expectations. Options and rates pricing continue to lean toward a prolonged Fed pause, with markets trimming the odds of near-term cuts after resilient employment data. Europe: Regional benchmarks are modestly higher, led by defensives and select growth names. Focus remains on earnings season and sovereign funding conditions as governments ramp up issuance. Asia: Japan outperformed with the Nikkei setting fresh records amid optimism around policy support and corporate profitability. Mainland Chinese shares eased following steps to curb leverage in stock trading, tempering a powerful recent rally. Commodities Precious and industrial metals extended an early-year surge, with several benchmarks notching new highs. Tailwinds include: Expectations that global financial conditions will remain supportive even if the Fed stays patient. A bid for portfolio diversifiers amid geopolitical unease and concerns over sovereign debt loads. Improved sentiment toward manufacturing demand, including investment tied to data centers, electrification and automation. Ongoing supply frictions at mines and smelters that keep inventories tight. While momentum is strong, positioning has become crowded, leaving the complex sensitive to shifts in the dollar, policy signals, or evidence of demand cooling. Rates and currencies US rate markets reflect a higher-for-longer narrative relative to earlier assumptions, with some participants positioning for no additional policy easing this year. The debate now centers on how long the Fed can hold policy steady while inflation trends lower only gradually. The US dollar is broadly steady, limiting commodity tailwinds but not reversing them. European yields remain range-bound as investors monitor issuance and fiscal trajectories. Corporate and sector highlights Select megacap technology, semiconductor, and AI-adjacent infrastructure names remain in focus as capital expenditure plans for computing and power build-outs continue to scale. Auto and EV shares are mixed on shifting expectations for new model launches and profitability timelines. Consumer and luxury names are steady to firmer in Europe on optimism around wearable tech and premium accessories. Large European defense suppliers continue to explore primary listings and capital-raising options amid elevated demand visibility. In the US, major banks are set to report, offering a read on net interest income, credit normalization, deposit trends, and capital return plans. Policy and macro themes The central-bank outlook has become more nuanced: resilient jobs data reduce urgency for additional easing, but inflation progress remains key. Market-implied paths now cluster around a longer pause scenario with a narrower distribution of potential cuts. Policy headlines tied to elections and regulatory priorities are adding idiosyncratic risk, particularly for financials, defense, and consumer credit. Expect periodic volatility as proposals surface, even without immediate legislative traction. In Asia, selective regulatory tightening in equity financing aims to stabilize recent rapid gains, while pro-growth signals in Japan continue to underpin risk appetite. Digital assets Bitcoin gained modestly, extending a steady start to the week. Flows remain driven by broader risk sentiment and positioning rather than a single catalyst. What we’re watching Bank earnings for guidance on credit quality, charge-offs, and capital deployment. Corporate updates from AI, cloud, and power-equipment ecosystems for evidence of sustained capex. Any shifts in Fed communications or data that alter the implied rate path. Developments in Asian equity-market regulation and their impact on trading leverage and turnover. Primary issuance and IPO pipelines in Europe, notably in industrials and defense. Thoughts for investors Broader cross-asset leadership is constructive, but crowded trades in metals and AI-linked thematics increase the premium on risk management. With policy risk rising into an election-heavy year, sector diversification and attention to headline sensitivity are prudent. In rates, the distribution of outcomes has tightened around “steady for longer,” raising the importance of carry, curve positioning, and relative value rather than big directional bets. Disclosure This material is a general market commentary for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, asset class, or strategy. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. january 13 – Daily Market Update January 14, 2026 14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More january 13 – Daily Market Update January 13, 2026 13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market… Read More Jan 12 – Daily Market Update January 12, 2026 12 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily Your… Read More Jan 09 – Daily Market Update January 9, 2026 09 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Market at a… Read More Jan 08 – Daily Market Update January 8, 2026 08 Jan 26 – Daily

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