US Treasuries

January 16 – Daily Market Update

16 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad Market Update Market Snapshot (as of 06:25 am ET; levels may be delayed) Nasdaq 100 futures: 25861.25 (+0.60%) Stoxx Europe 600: 614.1 (-0.07%) Hang Seng: 26844.96 (-0.29%) Bitcoin: 95314.2 (-0.25%) Spot gold: 4609.59 (-0.13%) What’s moving markets Equities: A renewed bid for large-cap technology is lifting US futures, with strength spilling over from Asia where a regional tech gauge set a fresh high. Europe is more mixed: broad indices are flat to slightly lower, but semiconductor supply-chain names continue to attract buyers on signs of sustained spending across advanced chip manufacturing. Credit: Risk appetite remains firm. Credit spreads are hovering near multi‑year tights and primary issuance is running at a brisk pace as companies lock in funding early in the year. While carry remains attractive, tighter premia leave less cushion if growth or inflation surprises. Rates: US Treasuries are stuck in a notably narrow range, with the 10‑year yield little changed over the past several weeks. Such periods of low volatility have previously preceded larger moves; investors are watching incoming data and policy signals for a catalyst. Commodities: Precious metals are slightly softer alongside firmer risk sentiment. Industrial metals are steady, while crude holds in a tight band amid balanced supply headlines and demand expectations. Digital assets: Bitcoin is consolidating after a strong multi‑week run. Volatility remains elevated relative to traditional asset classes, and correlation to equities has ticked higher recently. Regional highlights United States: Tech leadership is back in focus ahead of a heavy stretch of corporate results. Positioning is skewed toward firms levered to AI infrastructure and cloud demand, while cyclicals are trading in line with growth expectations. Markets continue to price an easing path for policy rates over 2026, with timing and pace sensitive to inflation prints and labor trends. Europe: Technology is the standout sector year‑to‑date, helped by chip‑equipment suppliers tied to capacity expansion. Banks and energy are range‑bound as investors weigh margins, capital returns, and commodity stability. Auto sentiment remains uneven amid shifting EV demand and promotional activity. Asia: Equity performance is mixed. Strength in technology offsets softness in select consumer and property pockets. Policy support and trade signals are in focus, with some indications of improved access and lower frictions in bilateral commerce. Earnings and issuance lens Financials, transports, and health care guide the earnings calendar over the coming sessions. Results will be parsed for margin resilience, loan growth, credit normalization, and capex intentions for 2026. Primary bond markets are active across investment‑grade and leveraged finance. Persistent demand is meeting elevated supply, supporting refinancing but compressing compensation for risk. Selectivity by sector and tenor remains key as liquidity conditions ebb and flow. Themes to watch AI and semiconductors: Upbeat capital‑spending plans across advanced nodes and memory are supporting upstream equipment providers and specialty materials. Watch order backlogs and delivery timelines as a gauge of durability. Credit tightness: With spreads near cycle lows, portfolio construction is increasingly about quality differentiation, structure, and liquidity management rather than reaching further out the risk curve. Rangebound rates: A breakout from the recent Treasury yield corridor could reset cross‑asset correlations. Data surprises on inflation, growth, or employment are the likely triggers. Global trade and industrial policy: Evolving tariff and subsidy frameworks continue to shape capital allocation in autos, energy, and technology supply chains. Market positioning takeaways Equities: Leadership remains narrow but broadening attempts continue beneath the surface. Watch for earnings revisions and guidance on pricing power and inventories. Fixed income: Carry is constructive, but with limited spread buffer. Duration neutrality with tactical flexibility has been favored in recent weeks as the curve fluctuates. Alternatives and commodities: Gold’s drift lower mirrors firmer risk tone; longer‑term hedging demand persists. Energy markets remain headline‑sensitive; positioning is balanced. The week ahead Key data in the days ahead includes inflation updates, housing indicators, business surveys, and jobless claims in the US; sentiment gauges and final price readings in Europe; and activity indicators across Asia. Central‑bank speakers and corporate guidance may offer the catalysts rates markets have been waiting for. Note: This commentary is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation of any security, strategy, or product. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. January 16 – Daily Market Update January 16, 2026 16 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More january 15 – Daily Market Update January 15, 2026 15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More january 14 – Daily Market Update January 14, 2026 14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More january 13 – Daily Market Update January 13, 2026 13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market… Read More Jan 12 – Daily Market Update January 12, 2026

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Jan 05 – Daily Market Update

05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Market snapshot (as of ~6:35 a.m. ET) US equity futures: higher; tech leading gains while broader benchmarks grind up US 10-year Treasury: yield modestly lower near the mid‑4.1% area as haven demand persists Crude oil: little changed, WTI hovering in the high‑$50s US dollar: firmer versus majors; safe‑haven tone evident Precious metals: gold and silver extend recent strength Overnight and early session A risk-on tone is carrying into the new week, with global equities advancing despite a concurrent bid for traditional havens. Investors appear to be balancing geopolitical headlines with resilient earnings expectations and ongoing enthusiasm around AI-related capex. The result: tech-heavy benchmarks are outpacing broader indices, while defensives and commodity-linked names also attract interest. Rates and policy US Treasuries: The long end is slightly richer as investors weigh geopolitical developments and upcoming labor-market data. The curve is broadly steady, with modest bull-flattening bias. Policy outlook: Markets remain data-dependent. Softening inflation trends and mixed growth signals keep the door open to incremental easing later this year, but timing and pace will hinge on jobs, wages, and services inflation in the weeks ahead. Equities Leadership: Semiconductors and AI-adjacent hardware continue to power gains on expectations of robust data center and memory demand. Defense and aerospace stocks are bid amid geopolitical tension. Select energy names are supported by potential upstream investment narratives even as spot crude remains range-bound. Breadth: Participation is improving, though leadership remains concentrated in tech and a handful of cyclicals tied to infrastructure and industrial automation. Earnings lens: Early preannouncements suggest a bifurcation—AI-driven capex beneficiaries and productivity enablers are guiding firmly, while consumer-exposed names are more mixed given uneven discretionary demand. Commodities Crude oil: Prices are steady as the market weighs supply risk headlines against ample spare capacity elsewhere and a still-gradual demand trajectory. Near-term balances look manageable, keeping volatility subdued unless supply disruptions broaden. Precious metals: Gold’s uptrend reflects a mix of geopolitical hedging, firm central-bank buying, and lower real yields. Silver is tracking higher alongside, aided by industrial demand themes. Currencies and crypto FX: The dollar is modestly stronger, aligned with a cautious global bid for safety and slightly softer non-US growth data. High-beta currencies are under pressure, with select Latin American FX volatile on regional political risk. Digital assets: Major tokens are firmer, with sentiment supported by risk appetite in tech and ongoing institutional interest, though day-to-day moves remain headline-sensitive. What’s driving the tape Geopolitics: Developments in Latin America have stoked haven flows without materially denting the global growth outlook. Markets are assessing whether the situation alters energy supply paths or financing conditions—so far, the impact looks contained. AI investment cycle: The multi-year infrastructure build (compute, memory, networking, power) continues to underpin tech multiples and capex visibility across the supply chain. Fed path: With inflation progress uneven but improving, investors are focused on the upcoming US labor data and services gauges to refine expectations for the timing of any policy easing. The week ahead: key catalysts to watch US: ISM manufacturing/services, JOLTS, ADP, factory orders, weekly jobless claims, and the December payrolls report plus wage growth and participation. Consumer confidence and housing indicators round out the macro picture. Europe: Country-level inflation updates, unemployment, producer prices, and industrial production will guide the ECB outlook. Watch Germany and France CPI prints and Eurozone confidence surveys. Asia: China CPI/PPI and trade-related readings for demand signals; Japan household spending and leading indicators; Taiwan and regional CPI releases. Events: A packed tech calendar around major industry showcases and company updates may influence sector positioning and supply-chain sentiment. Positioning and levels to monitor US 10-year yield: 4.0%–4.3% zone remains pivotal for risk appetite and equity multiples. Equities: Momentum favoring large-cap tech persists; watch whether breadth improves into payrolls. Pullbacks toward recent support have been well-bid. Oil: A sustained break from the mid‑$50s to low‑$60s range would likely require clearer evidence of supply disruption or demand acceleration. Risks to the outlook Geopolitical escalation that materially impacts energy supply or shipping lanes Upside surprises in services inflation or wages that push back rate-cut timelines Profit margin pressure from rising input or financing costs Liquidity pockets and year-start positioning amplifying volatility Markets are threading the needle between robust tech-driven earnings narratives and a cautious macro backdrop. Geopolitical uncertainty is lifting havens but hasn’t derailed the equity bid. This week’s US jobs and global inflation updates are the next major checkpoints for rates and risk assets. This publication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market levels are approximate and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update

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Jan 02 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Global risk appetite is firm to start the year, with technology leadership back in focus and commodities diverging. Below is a concise look at what’s moving markets and what to watch next. Market snapshot (as of 06:25 am ET) S&P 500 futures: 6936.2 Nasdaq 100 futures: 25736.25 US 10-year Treasury yield: 4.155% (-1 bp) Broad dollar index: +0.10% WTI crude (front-month): 57.40 What’s driving the tone Tech-led risk-on: Enthusiasm around artificial intelligence and semiconductor demand is lifting global equities. US futures are higher, and European benchmarks are testing new highs, while Asia’s session benefited from upbeat headlines tied to chips and AI infrastructure. Metals bid, oil softer: Precious metals are extending last year’s strong run, while industrial metals are firmer on hopes for improving manufacturing demand. Crude is weaker as ample supply and cautious demand expectations outweigh headline risks. Yields edge down: US Treasuries are slightly firmer in early trading, reflecting cooler inflation trends and expectations that major central banks will have room to ease later this year if growth moderates. Equities US: Mega-cap tech and semiconductor names are pacing gains in premarket trading, with data center suppliers and AI-adjacent hardware/software names outperforming. Cyclical sectors are mixed as investors balance the growth impulse from tech with still-tight valuations across parts of the market. Europe: Broad strength across large caps, with chip equipment, industrials, and select financials firm. A softer oil tape is a mild headwind for energy shares. Asia: High-beta tech and internet groups led advances. Select listings connected to AI chips and cloud infrastructure drew strong interest, underscoring ongoing capital expenditure plans tied to compute and networking. Rates and credit US Treasuries: The 10-year yield is hovering near 4.16%, down modestly on the session, with the curve little changed. Markets continue to price a gradual path toward easier policy later in 2026, contingent on labor and inflation data. Credit: Primary issuance is expected to reopen as the calendar turns, with spreads remaining tight versus long-run averages—a sign of healthy risk appetite but a reminder that compensation for credit risk is slim if growth disappoints. FX The dollar is marginally stronger versus a broad basket as rate differentials remain supportive. High-beta currencies are stable to firmer on improved equity sentiment, while commodity FX is capped by softer crude. Commodities Energy: Crude is under pressure amid signs of comfortable supply and uneven demand growth. Refining margins are mixed; product cracks vary by region as winter demand patterns take hold. Metals: Gold and silver extend gains, supported by lower real yields and ongoing diversification flows. Industrial metals such as copper and aluminum are firmer on hopes of steady capex in electrification, grid, and data center build-outs. Sectors and themes to watch AI and semiconductors: Momentum remains concentrated in compute, memory, and power/cooling infrastructure tied to data centers. Watch for updates on capacity expansions, supply constraints, and pricing power along the chip supply chain. EVs and autos: Delivery and production updates are in focus. Investors are watching how US and Chinese manufacturers navigate pricing, inventory, and model cycles, as well as how software/autonomy roadmaps influence valuation. Energy: Policy headlines and OPEC+ signals remain near-term catalysts, but physical balances and inventory trajectories are driving price action day to day. Macro and policy backdrop Inflation is trending lower from prior peaks, helping central banks pivot toward a more flexible stance. That said, policymakers remain data dependent, and the timing/scale of any rate cuts will likely hinge on labor market resilience. Fiscal support varies by region, with targeted measures aimed at growth and industrial policy. Trade frictions and regulatory shifts remain watchpoints for cross-border flows and supply chains. The day and week ahead Data: Manufacturing surveys, early reads on global PMIs, and high-frequency labor indicators will shape rate expectations. Later in the week, look for minutes and speeches from key central banks for guidance on the pace of any 2026 policy recalibration. Corporate: A steady stream of trading updates and guidance resets is expected as companies exit blackout windows. Watch capex commentary tied to AI infrastructure, grid upgrades, and logistics. Positioning thoughts Equities: Leadership remains narrow; consider balancing AI beneficiaries with quality cyclicals and defensives to mitigate concentration risk. Fixed income: With yields off the highs and inflation easing, selectively extending duration may improve portfolio ballast, while staying discerning in lower-quality credit where spreads are thin. Commodities and FX: Expect episodic volatility around policy and geopolitics; risk management and diversification remain key. This material is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 –

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