WTI Crude

February 20 – Daily Market Update

20 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Market Snapshot (as of 06:09 am ET; pricing may be delayed) S&P 500 Futures: 6884.5 (+0.11%) Stoxx Europe 600: 628.37 (+0.49%) Hang Seng: 26413.35 (-1.10%) WTI Crude (front-month): 66.06 (-0.56%) Bitcoin: 67914.55 (+1.54%) Global overview US: Equity futures are steady as investors await fresh economic readings and weigh ongoing geopolitical risks. The debate around the pace and scale of Federal Reserve easing continues, with firmer growth and resilient hiring tempering expectations for multiple cuts. Treasury yields are little changed to slightly higher and the US dollar remains broadly firm as rate differentials support the greenback. Europe: Stocks advanced after stronger-than-expected activity surveys pointed to improving momentum, led by a rebound in manufacturing. While sentiment has improved, the region’s benchmark has rallied for months and aggregate valuations have crept higher, leaving performance more sensitive to earnings delivery and guidance. Asia: Trading was mixed. Hong Kong lagged amid weakness in select growth and technology names, while other regional markets were more balanced as investors assessed the global interest-rate path and local earnings updates. Rates and currencies Government bonds: Core yields are edging up as investors scale back aggressive easing timelines, with attention on incoming inflation and activity data to confirm disinflation’s durability. Foreign exchange: The dollar is firmer on the week as markets reassess the odds of near-term rate cuts. Cyclical currencies are range-bound; the euro is supported by improving survey data but capped by relative rate dynamics. Commodities and digital assets Energy: Crude prices softened as supply dynamics and demand concerns offset geopolitical risk premiums. Refining margins and inventory trends remain in focus into month-end. Metals: Industrial metals were mixed alongside shifting global growth signals. Crypto: Bitcoin advanced toward the high-$60,000s, with broader digital assets steady on constructive risk sentiment. Corporate highlights Technology and software: Select names came under pressure after conservative outlooks raised questions about near-term growth trajectories and spending priorities. Health care and biotech: Clinical news flow sparked notable single-name volatility, highlighting trial and regulatory risk in the sector. Consumer and luxury: European luxury leaders outperformed following robust results from a marquee outerwear brand, underscoring resilient high-end demand. Earnings cadence: The reporting season is past its peak; further updates from utilities, payments, and communications services companies are due, with guidance and cashflow discipline in focus. Key themes we’re watching Policy path: Markets are balancing solid growth and sticky services inflation against the Fed’s desire to normalize policy. Fewer cuts priced for this year support the dollar and weigh on duration. Profit cycle: After a strong run, equity multiples leave less room for error. Delivery on earnings, AI-related capex payoffs, and margin resilience are crucial swing factors. Positioning and flows: Elevated cash yields continue to anchor short-duration allocations, while any sign of durable disinflation could extend risk appetite into cyclicals and small/mid caps. Geopolitics: Ongoing tensions in the Middle East and election-year policy noise may periodically lift volatility across energy, rates, and FX. Today’s watch list US: Preliminary business activity surveys, housing indicators, and regional manufacturing readings Europe: Follow-through from PMI surprises and any guidance from central bank speakers Commodities: Weekly inventory data and refinery utilization trends Corporate: Updates on capex plans, AI spend, and buyback intentions as management teams refine 2026 outlooks Risk considerations Upside risks: Faster productivity gains tied to technology investment, positive earnings revisions, and orderly disinflation. Downside risks: Stickier inflation prompting a slower easing path, growth disappointments in China or Europe, and escalation in geopolitical hotspots. Disclosure This material is provided for general information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, sector, or strategy. Market levels are as noted above and may have changed since the time of publication. Investors should consider their individual circumstances and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. February 20 – Daily Market Update February 20, 2026 20 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More February 19 – Daily Market Update  February 19, 2026 19 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More February 18 – Daily Market Update February 18, 2026 18 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily A… Read More February 17 – Daily Market Update February 17, 2026 17 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More February 16 – Daily Market Update  February 16, 2026 16 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More February 13 – Daily Market Update February 13, 2026 13 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More February 12 – Daily Market Update  February 12, 2026 12 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More February 11 – Daily Market Update February 11, 2026 11 February 2026 – Daily Market

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February 19 – Daily Market Update 

19 February 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Tone check Risk appetite is taking a breather. US equity futures are a touch softer as investors weigh the timing of policy easing against still-sturdy inflation readings, while Europe trades lower on mixed earnings and cyclical weakness. Asia finished mostly firmer, led by Japan’s tech-heavy benchmarks. Oil extends its rebound on heightened geopolitical jitters, and digital assets are steadier after recent volatility. Market snapshot (as of 06:06 a.m. ET; levels provided) S&P 500 Futures: 6871.75 (-0.33%) Stoxx Europe 600: 624.62 (-0.65%) Nikkei 225: 57467.83 (+0.57%) WTI Crude (front-month): 66.12 (+1.43%) Bitcoin: 66813.69 (+0.77%) Note: Market data may be delayed depending on provider agreements. What’s driving the tape Policy recalibration: Central bank officials remain cautious about declaring victory on inflation, keeping the market’s rate-cut timetable in flux. The result: a tug-of-war between resilient growth data and lingering price pressures, with yields and risk assets chopping in ranges. Earnings season crosscurrents: Guidance is taking center stage. Companies with clear margin visibility and pricing power are being rewarded, while those citing cost creep or supply constraints are seeing quick reratings. Dispersion across sectors remains high. AI and capex arithmetic: Investors continue to debate the balance between heavy infrastructure spend and the timing of monetization. That has introduced periodic volatility across semis, cloud, and software, even as long-term demand narratives remain intact. Geopolitics and commodities: Crude is firmer as traders price a higher risk premium. Broader commodity moves are uneven, with energy leading and industrial inputs mixed. Crypto steadies: After outsized swings, the major coin is firmer. Participation trends have shifted between offshore venues and US-listed products, contributing to episodic liquidity pockets and basis moves. Regional wrap US: Futures drift lower as equities digest a powerful multi-month advance. Quality growth and balance-sheet strength continue to command a premium. Bond markets are in wait-and-see mode ahead of upcoming data and central bank commentary. Europe: Benchmarks are lower, paced by cyclicals and select industrials facing supply chain and cost headwinds. Defensive groups and cash-generative staples are relatively resilient. Asia: Japan outperformed, helped by tech and exporters. The broader region was mixed as investors balanced a constructive earnings outlook with a cautious global policy backdrop. Fixed income and FX Rates: Treasury yields are range-bound as the market toggles between soft-landing hopes and sticky-services-inflation concerns. Curves are relatively steady with modest intra-day swings around data releases and speeches. Currencies: The dollar trades in a tight range versus major peers. Rate differentials remain the key driver, while commodity-linked FX is taking its cue from energy markets. Commodities Energy: Oil extends gains amid geopolitical concerns and signs of improving demand in pockets of the global economy. Refining margins and inventory trends are in focus for energy equities. Metals: Price action is mixed as growth-sensitive metals track the global activity pulse while precious metals trade alongside real yields and haven flows. Flows and positioning Global allocations: International appetite for US assets has remained robust, supported by relative growth, deep markets, and currency dynamics. Valuation shifts over the past year have also encouraged selective rebalancing into US equities and Treasuries. Equity style tilt: Investors continue to favor profitability, free cash flow, and balance-sheet durability. Factor leadership can rotate quickly around policy headlines; maintaining diversification across styles has helped dampen volatility. Sector highlights (broad) Tech and AI ecosystem: Ongoing reassessment of near-term spend versus earnings impact keeps volatility elevated, but secular demand drivers remain a tailwind. Consumer and services: Companies with strong customer retention and pricing discipline are outperforming; those exposed to higher delivery, labor, or input costs face a tougher setup. Industrials and transportation: Order books are healthy in places, but supply bottlenecks and component availability are a watch item. Energy: Higher crude supports upstream and select service names; integrateds benefit from cash generation and capital discipline. The day ahead Focus: Corporate updates from large retailers, industrials, and travel/leisure; central bank speakers; and upcoming inflation and activity data later in the week. What to watch: Guidance quality, margin commentary, inventory management, and any shifts in capex plans. Portfolio considerations Equities: Favor quality balance sheets and sustainable cash flows; keep diversification across growth and value to manage factor swings. Fixed income: With policy uncertainty persisting, a barbell across short/intermediate duration can help manage rate risk while capturing carry in higher-quality credit. Commodities: Consider energy’s role as both a cyclical and geopolitical hedge; monitor refinery and inventory trends. Risk management: Maintain hedges where appropriate; volatility remains event-driven and can spike around data or headlines. Levels at a glance (as provided) S&P 500 Futures: 6871.75 (-0.33%) Stoxx Europe 600: 624.62 (-0.65%) Nikkei 225: 57467.83 (+0.57%) WTI Crude: 66.12 (+1.43%) Bitcoin: 66813.69 (+0.77%) This material is a broad market update for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and

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january 15 – Daily Market Update

15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Tone at a glance Risk appetite is firmer in early US hours as technology strength and improving breadth underpin equities, while commodities trade mixed and volatility remains contained. Market snapshot Nasdaq 100 futures: 25837.75 (+0.81%) WTI crude (front-month): 59.77 (-3.53%) Stoxx Europe 600: 613.88 (+0.38%) Nikkei 225: 54110.5 (-0.42%) Spot silver: 91.26 (-2.04%) Note: Market data may be delayed and is for informational purposes only. Global overview Equities: Technology-led gains are supporting US futures, with investors rotating selectively into growth areas tied to compute, data infrastructure, and semiconductors. Europe is modestly higher, paced by cyclicals and select financials, while Japan eased after a strong multi-month run as investors reassess valuations and currency moves. Commodities: Crude oil is lower as geopolitical risk premiums ebb and supply expectations stabilize; refined products are mixed. Precious metals are softer alongside a steady dollar and firmer real yields, while industrial metals show a slight bid on incremental signs of demand resilience. Breadth and style: After a period of improved participation across sectors, leadership remains a tug-of-war between mega-cap tech and economically sensitive groups. Small and mid caps have shown better relative tone lately, helped by easing credit anxieties and hopes for durable earnings improvement, but momentum still gravitates to AI-linked beneficiaries. Volatility: Implied volatility across major equity benchmarks remains subdued, consistent with a “climb the wall of worry” backdrop. Low vol can amplify reactions to data surprises, earnings guidance, or policy headlines. US session focus Earnings: Early results from large financial institutions and bellwethers across technology hardware and software will anchor the narrative on credit quality, deposit trends, AI-related capex, and enterprise demand. Management guidance on margins and capex plans is a key swing factor for sentiment. Data and policy: Investors are watching weekly labor indicators, housing and production updates, and any central bank commentary for clues on the path of growth, inflation, and policy rates. The market remains sensitive to shifts in rate-cut expectations and to evidence of either reacceleration or cooling in activity. Europe and UK European shares are supported by a mix of industrials, financials, and healthcare. Recent data suggest tentative stabilization in activity, though margin commentary remains front of mind in consumer and luxury segments. In the UK, manufacturing and services readings are being watched for confirmation of a gradual improvement in output and pricing pressures. Asia-Pacific Japan’s equity benchmark dipped modestly after a significant year-to-date advance, with investors weighing earnings revisions against currency dynamics and potential policy normalization. In broader Asia, tech supply-chain names continue to benefit from resilient demand for compute and memory, while exporters monitor global orders and shipping costs. Sectors to watch Semiconductors and equipment: Upbeat capex intentions across the compute/AI stack continue to filter through to suppliers, sustaining order backlogs and utilization outlooks. Watch commentary on lead times, tool deliveries, and supply normalization. Energy: Crude weakness reflects shifting risk premiums and balanced supply expectations. Keep an eye on inventory trends, OPEC+ signals, and refining margins for clues on near-term direction. Financials: Funding costs, loan growth, fee income, and credit provisions are the key watchpoints. Capital return plans and expense discipline remain catalysts. Consumer and discretionary: Margin resilience versus promotional activity is in focus. Travel, leisure, and luxury are sensitive to high-end demand and FX. What could move markets next Earnings guidance: Forward-looking commentary on demand, pricing, and margin structure may matter more than backward-looking beats/misses. Rate expectations: Any change in the timing or pace of anticipated policy adjustments can ripple through duration-sensitive equities and credit. Geopolitics and commodities: Headline risk around supply routes and regional tensions can quickly alter energy and freight pricing. Market internals: Watch breadth, new highs/lows, and factor dispersion to gauge the durability of the current advance. Risk radar Concentration risk in mega-cap leaders despite improving breadth Sensitivity to input costs and wage dynamics as pricing power normalizes Liquidity pockets in credit and private markets amid evolving rate paths Event risk around data releases and policy communication House view (tactical) Constructive but selective on risk assets near term, favoring high-quality balance sheets and cash-flow visibility. Prefer exposure to structural growth themes in compute/AI and automation while balancing with cyclicals tied to steady global demand. Maintain diversification with an eye on duration risk and potential volatility spikes around key events. Important information This newsletter is a general market commentary prepared for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, sector, or strategy. Market levels shown above were provided by the user and may be delayed. Always evaluate investments in light of your objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. january 15 – Daily Market Update January 15, 2026 15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More january 14 –

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Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates

Dec 16 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: A Broad, Unbiased Look at Global Markets At a glance (as of 06:22 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: 6,864.25 (-0.24%) Stoxx Europe 600: 581.41 (-0.19%) Hang Seng: 25,235.41 (-1.54%) Bitcoin: 86,986.56 (+0.92%) WTI crude (front-month): 55.80 (-1.80%) Global mood Risk appetite eased to start the day as investors await a key US labor update. Equity futures in the US are a touch softer, Europe is modestly lower, and Asia ended mixed with notable weakness in Hong Kong. The dollar remains subdued near recent lows, oil extends its slide on signs of ample supply, and digital assets are firmer. What’s driving the session US labor print in focus: Markets are positioning cautiously into today’s employment report, which will shape expectations for the trajectory of interest rates into year-end and early 2026. A cooler jobs backdrop would reinforce the view that policy easing can proceed without reigniting inflation pressures; a hot reading would challenge that narrative and could steepen the front end of the curve. Europe mixed as growth and policy diverge: European equities are treading water with defensives and income-oriented shares outperforming cyclicals. Softer UK labor signals and moderating wage growth have strengthened the case for near-term policy easing by the Bank of England. Asia skews lower: Chinese and Hong Kong benchmarks remain under pressure amid lingering growth concerns and a pullback in tech-heavy segments. Regional performance was uneven, with select exporters and energy importers cushioned by lower oil. Oil drifts lower: Crude extends losses as supply indicators and risk-off positioning weigh. Refining margins and inventories remain in focus; energy equities may lag broader benchmarks if crude stays capped. Equities US: Futures point to a mild pullback after a strong multi-week run. Breadth and leadership remain in focus: recent sessions have seen participation broaden beyond mega-cap tech, a constructive sign for durability of the uptrend. Into the data, expect lighter volumes and intraday swing risk. Europe: Benchmarks are slightly negative with rate-sensitive sectors mixed. Lower yields have supported parts of the market, but earnings revisions and policy signals remain the key swing factors. Asia: Hong Kong led declines; mainland shares were weaker, while Japan and parts of ASEAN were more resilient. Lower energy prices helped transport and power-heavy pockets of the market. Fixed income and FX Rates: Front-end yields are anchored ahead of the data, with the curve sensitive to any shift in labor demand and wage dynamics. Markets continue to price a path toward easier policy over the next year, but the pace remains data dependent. FX: The dollar is hovering near multi-week lows as rate cut expectations firm and growth differentials narrow. Sterling is steady with BoE expectations skewing dovish on softer labor signals; the euro is range-bound. Commodities Energy: WTI trades below $60, adding to recent declines on evidence of comfortable supply and cautious demand assumptions. If the trend persists, it could ease headline inflation but weigh on energy capex and sector earnings momentum. Metals: Industrial metals are mixed amid cross-currents from China growth headlines and a softer dollar. Precious metals are little changed as investors balance lower yields against shifting risk sentiment. Digital assets Bitcoin is firmer, extending an upward bias as broader risk sentiment stabilizes and liquidity improves. Volatility remains elevated relative to traditional assets; position sizing and risk controls remain crucial for crypto exposure. Earnings and corporate themes Consensus earnings view: Street expectations continue to imply resilient profit growth over the coming quarters, with improving breadth beyond the largest technology names. The durability of margins, capital spending discipline, and a modest pickup in cyclical sectors are central to that outlook. Sector narratives:  Autos and mobility are recalibrating electric-vehicle plans toward profitability and capital efficiency. Payments and fintech remain focused on licensing, compliance, and product expansion to drive engagement. IT services and consulting are emphasizing cost control and AI-enabled productivity to support margins. Structural watch: Europe’s long end European fixed income is preparing for portfolio shifts tied to pension and liability-hedging changes in parts of the region. Any rebalancing away from long-duration hedges could affect curve dynamics and relative-value relationships across maturities. Market depth is typically thinner into year-end, so execution and liquidity planning are key. Today’s key risks and watch list US employment report (08:30 a.m. ET): Jobs growth, unemployment rate, and wage trends will guide rate-path pricing and equity factor performance. Central bank signals: Messaging from major central banks this week will shape front-end rates, FX, and equity leadership. Liquidity/volatility: Year-end conditions can amplify moves; be mindful of wider bid-ask spreads and gap risk around data releases. Portfolio considerations Balance: Maintain diversified exposure across styles and regions; avoid concentration risk into binary macro events. Quality bias: In a slower growth, lower-yield setup, balance cyclicals with resilient cash flow and strong balance sheets. Duration and hedging: Consider whether current rate levels align with your duration targets; reassess hedges around key data. Market levels recap (06:22 a.m. ET) S&P 500 futures: 6,864.25 (-0.24%) Stoxx Europe 600: 581.41 (-0.19%) Hang Seng: 25,235.41 (-1.54%) Bitcoin: 86,986.56 (+0.92%) WTI crude (front-month): 55.80 (-1.80%) This publication is a general market update for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, asset class, or strategy. Market data may be delayed. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital

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