PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Jan 02 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized /

Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Global risk appetite is firm to start the year, with technology leadership back in focus and commodities diverging. Below is a concise look at what’s moving markets and what to watch next. Market snapshot (as of 06:25 am ET) S&P 500 futures: 6936.2   Nasdaq 100 futures: 25736.25 US 10-year Treasury yield: 4.155% (-1 bp) Broad dollar index: +0.10% WTI crude (front-month): 57.40 What’s driving the tone Tech-led risk-on: Enthusiasm around artificial intelligence and semiconductor demand is lifting global equities. US futures are higher, and European benchmarks are testing new highs, while Asia’s session benefited from upbeat headlines tied to chips and AI infrastructure. Metals bid, oil softer: Precious metals are extending last year’s strong run, while industrial metals are firmer on hopes for improving manufacturing demand. Crude is weaker as ample supply and cautious demand expectations outweigh headline risks. Yields edge down: US Treasuries are slightly firmer in early trading, reflecting cooler inflation trends and expectations that major central banks will have room to ease later this year if growth moderates. Equities US: Mega-cap tech and semiconductor names are pacing gains in premarket trading, with data center suppliers and AI-adjacent hardware/software names outperforming. Cyclical sectors are mixed as investors balance the growth impulse from tech with still-tight valuations across parts of the market. Europe: Broad strength across large caps, with chip equipment, industrials, and select financials firm. A softer oil tape is a mild headwind for energy shares. Asia: High-beta tech and internet groups led advances. Select listings connected to AI chips and cloud infrastructure drew strong interest, underscoring ongoing capital expenditure plans tied to compute and networking. Rates and credit US Treasuries: The 10-year yield is hovering near 4.16%, down modestly on the session, with the curve little changed. Markets continue to price a gradual path toward easier policy later in 2026, contingent on labor and inflation data. Credit: Primary issuance is expected to reopen as the calendar turns, with spreads remaining tight versus long-run averages—a sign of healthy risk appetite but a reminder that compensation for credit risk is slim if growth disappoints. FX The dollar is marginally stronger versus a broad basket as rate differentials remain supportive. High-beta currencies are stable to firmer on improved equity sentiment, while commodity FX is capped by softer crude. Commodities Energy: Crude is under pressure amid signs of comfortable supply and uneven demand growth. Refining margins are mixed; product cracks vary by region as winter demand patterns take hold. Metals: Gold and silver extend gains, supported by lower real yields and ongoing diversification flows. Industrial metals such as copper and aluminum are firmer on hopes of steady capex in electrification, grid, and data center build-outs. Sectors and themes to watch AI and semiconductors: Momentum remains concentrated in compute, memory, and power/cooling infrastructure tied to data centers. Watch for updates on capacity expansions, supply constraints, and pricing power along the chip supply chain. EVs and autos: Delivery and production updates are in focus. Investors are watching how US and Chinese manufacturers navigate pricing, inventory, and model cycles, as well as how software/autonomy roadmaps influence valuation. Energy: Policy headlines and OPEC+ signals remain near-term catalysts, but physical balances and inventory trajectories are driving price action day to day. Macro and policy backdrop Inflation is trending lower from prior peaks, helping central banks pivot toward a more flexible stance. That said, policymakers remain data dependent, and the timing/scale of any rate cuts will likely hinge on labor market resilience. Fiscal support varies by region, with targeted measures aimed at growth and industrial policy. Trade frictions and regulatory shifts remain watchpoints for cross-border flows and supply chains. The day and week ahead Data: Manufacturing surveys, early reads on global PMIs, and high-frequency labor indicators will shape rate expectations. Later in the week, look for minutes and speeches from key central banks for guidance on the pace of any 2026 policy recalibration. Corporate: A steady stream of trading updates and guidance resets is expected as companies exit blackout windows. Watch capex commentary tied to AI infrastructure, grid upgrades, and logistics. Positioning thoughts Equities: Leadership remains narrow; consider balancing AI beneficiaries with quality cyclicals and defensives to mitigate concentration risk. Fixed income: With yields off the highs and inflation easing, selectively extending duration may improve portfolio ballast, while staying discerning in lower-quality credit where spreads are thin. Commodities and FX: Expect episodic volatility around policy and geopolitics; risk management and diversification remain key. This material is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 –

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Long vs Short Positions in Derivatives

Leave a Comment / Educational Blogs, Derivatives Basics, Exchange Traded Derivatives /

Long vs Short Positions in Derivatives A Complete Guide for UAE Investors In the dynamic landscape of global finance, market volatility is the only constant. For traditional investors, a market downturn often signals a period of waiting or potential loss. However, for sophisticated traders using derivatives, market movement in any direction—whether up or down—presents an opportunity. Understanding the mechanics of Long vs Short positions is the watershed moment for many investors in the UAE. It transforms a one-dimensional investment approach into a versatile strategy capable of navigating complex economic cycles. Whether you are trading on the Dubai Gold and Commodities Exchange (DGCX) or exploring global Forex markets, mastering these positions allows you to hedge risks and capitalize on trends that others might fear. At Phillip Capital DIFC, we believe that educated traders are successful traders. This guide breaks down the technicalities of going long and short into clear, actionable insights, helping you utilize derivatives to their full potential. Table of Contents What is the fundamental difference between “Going Long” and “Going Short”? How does a Long Position work specifically within Derivatives? What is the mechanism behind a Short Position? What are the risks associated with Long vs Short positions? When should I choose a Long Strategy versus a Short Strategy? What is the fundamental difference between “Going Long” and “Going Short”? In the world of financial markets, the concepts of “long” and “short” are the two sides of the trading coin. At its simplest, going long reflects the traditional investing mindset: you buy an asset today with the expectation that its price will rise in the future. For example, if you purchase Equities or Shares in a blue-chip company listed on the DFM (Dubai Financial Market), you are taking a long position. You profit if the price goes up. Going short, or “short selling,” is the inverse. It is a strategy used when you anticipate that the price of an asset will fall. In derivatives trading—such as Futures and Options or CFDs (Contracts for Difference)—you can sell an asset you do not technically own (or sell a contract) with the intent to buy it back later at a lower price. The difference between the higher selling price and the lower buying price becomes your profit. This ability to profit from falling markets is what makes derivatives a powerful tool for sophisticated traders in the DIFC and beyond. How does a Long Position work specifically within Derivatives? While a long position in physical stocks involves ownership, a long position in derivatives is about exposure to the price movement without necessarily owning the underlying asset. When you go long on a derivative contract, such as a DGCX Gold Future, you are agreeing to buy the asset at a specific price on a future date. If the market price of gold rises above your agreed price by the time the contract expires (or when you choose to close the trade), your position gains value. This is particularly popular in Spot FX trading. If you go long on the EUR/USD pair, you are buying Euros and selling US Dollars, expecting the Euro to strengthen. The key advantage here is leverage; you can control a large position with a relatively small initial margin, amplifying potential returns (though also amplifying risks). Ready to Capitalize on Market Rises? Access global markets with competitive spreads and advanced trading tools. Open an account Contact us What is the mechanism behind a Short Position? Short positions in derivatives are often misunderstood. You aren’t “losing” an asset; you are entering a contract to sell. In an Exchange-Traded Derivative (ETD) like a future, “going short” simply means you are the seller of the contract. You agree to sell the asset at today’s price in the future. If the market price drops, the value of your contract increases because you have secured a selling price that is higher than the current market rate. In OTC (Over-the-Counter) markets like CFDs, shorting is even more seamless. You simply click “Sell” on your platform. The broker effectively lends you the asset to sell at the current high price. When you close the position, you “buy” it back. If the price has dropped, you keep the difference. This is widely used by traders to hedge portfolios—for instance, if you own physical stocks but fear a short-term market dip, you might short a stock index to offset potential losses in your physical holdings. What are the risks associated with Long vs Short positions? This is the most critical aspect for any trader to understand. Risk in Long Positions: The risk is generally capped. If you buy a crude oil contract at $80, the worst-case scenario (theoretically) is that the price falls to zero. You cannot lose more than the value of the asset (assuming no leverage). Risk in Short Positions: The risk is theoretically unlimited. If you short a stock at $100, expecting it to drop to $80, but a sudden positive news event pushes the price to $200, $300, or higher, you are responsible for covering that difference. Since there is no ceiling on how high a price can rise, losses on a short position can exceed your initial investment if not managed with strict Stop-Loss orders. At Phillip Capital DIFC, we emphasize risk management. Whether you are long or short, utilizing tools like stop-losses and understanding margin requirements is non-negotiable for sustainable trading. Master Your Risk Management Learn how to protect your capital with our expert educational resources. Speak to an Expert When should I choose a Long Strategy versus a Short Strategy? The decision depends entirely on your market outlook and your broader financial goals. Choose Long When: You identify strong fundamentals, positive economic data, or a “bullish” technical trend. It is also the primary strategy for long-term wealth accumulation in assets like equities or gold. Choose Short When: You believe an asset is overvalued (a bubble), the economic outlook is “bearish,” or you need to hedge an existing investment. For example, if you

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Investment Grade vs Non-Investment Grade Bonds

Leave a Comment / Fixed Income, Bond Basics, Educational Blogs /

Investment Grade vs Non-Investment Grade Bonds A Guide for UAE Investors Fixed income securities remain a cornerstone of a well-balanced financial portfolio, especially in the dynamic economic landscape of the UAE. Whether you are looking to preserve capital or seeking higher yields to beat inflation, understanding the nuances of the bond market is critical. One of the first distinctions you will encounter when trading global bonds is the credit rating: Investment Grade versus Non-Investment Grade. But what do these labels actually mean for your money? In this guide, we break down the critical differences, risks, and rewards associated with these two bond categories to help you make informed investment decisions. Table of Contents What is the fundamental difference between Investment Grade and Non-Investment Grade bonds? How do Credit Ratings actually work? Why would an investor choose “Junk” (Non-Investment Grade) bonds? Which type of bond is more sensitive to the economy? What is the best strategy for a UAE-based investor? How can I trade these bonds in the UAE? What is the fundamental difference between Investment Grade and Non-Investment Grade bonds? The primary difference lies in credit quality—essentially, how likely the issuer is to pay you back. Investment Grade Bonds: These are issued by governments (like the US or UAE) or corporations with strong balance sheets and stable cash flows. They are viewed as “safer” bets. Because the risk of default is low, the interest rates (yields) they offer are typically lower. They act as the bedrock of stability in a portfolio. Non-Investment Grade Bonds: Often called “High Yield” or “Junk Bonds,” these are issued by companies with higher debt levels or volatile revenue streams. Because there is a higher risk that the company might default on its payments, they must offer significantly higher interest rates to attract investors. How do Credit Ratings actually work? Credit ratings are scores assigned by independent agencies—primarily Standard & Poor’s (S&P), Moody’s, and Fitch. They analyze the financial health of a bond issuer and assign a letter grade. Here is the breakdown of the dividing line: The Investment Grade Cut-off: S&P / Fitch: Ratings of BBB- and higher. Moody’s: Ratings of Baa3 and higher. Examples: Microsoft, Apple, and US Treasury Bonds. The Non-Investment Grade Zone: S&P / Fitch: Ratings of BB+ and lower. Moody’s: Ratings of Ba1 and lower. Examples: Start-ups, companies in distress, or firms in highly volatile sectors. If a company’s financial situation deteriorates, it can become a “Fallen Angel”—a company that was once Investment Grade but has been downgraded to Non-Investment Grade. Access the Global Bond Market Trade US Treasuries, UK Gilts, and Global Corporate Bonds with institutional-grade execution. Invest in Bonds Why would an investor choose “Junk” (Non-Investment Grade) bonds? The term “Junk” can be misleading. While they carry higher risk, they play a vital role in global finance and can be highly lucrative for the right investor. The main attraction is Yield. In an environment where Investment Grade bonds might pay 4% to 5%, a Non-Investment Grade bond might offer 8%, 9%, or even higher. For investors with a higher risk tolerance, or those looking to grow their capital rather than just preserve it, allocating a small portion of their portfolio to high-yield bonds can significantly boost overall returns. Furthermore, these bonds often have a lower correlation to interest rates compared to government bonds, behaving more like Global Equities  during economic booms. Which type of bond is more sensitive to the economy? This is a crucial distinction for timing your investments. Investment Grade (IG) Bonds: These are more sensitive to Interest Rate Risk. When central banks (like the Fed) raise interest rates, the price of existing IG bonds tends to fall. However, during a recession, investors flock to IG bonds for safety. Non-Investment Grade (High Yield) Bonds: These are more sensitive to Economic Risk (Default Risk). In a recession, these bonds suffer because investors worry the issuing companies will go bankrupt. However, when the economy is booming and corporate profits are high, High Yield bonds often outperform IG bonds. What is the best strategy for a UAE-based investor? There is no “one-size-fits-all,” but a diversified approach is usually best. Conservative Investors: Should focus primarily on Investment Grade sovereign and corporate bonds to ensure steady cash flow and capital preservation. Growth Investors: Might consider a “Core and Satellite” approach—keeping the core of the portfolio in high-quality IG bonds while allocating 10-20% to High Yield bonds to enhance returns. At Phillip Capital DIFC, we also offer Structured Notes, which can bridge the gap—offering the potential for higher yields while often including capital protection features that standard high-yield bonds lack. Not Sure Which Bond Suits You? Get a tailored consultation to align your fixed-income strategy with your risk profile Contact Now How can I trade these bonds in the UAE? Accessing the global bond market can be difficult for individual investors due to high minimum investment requirements. However, through a regulated broker like Phillip Capital DIFC, you can access a vast universe of fixed-income securities. We provide access to: Primary & Secondary Markets: Buy new issues or trade existing bonds. Global Reach: Access bonds from the US, Europe, Asia, and the GCC region. Professional Platforms: Monitor prices and manage your risk with advanced tools. Conclusion The choice between Investment Grade and Non-Investment Grade bonds ultimately comes down to your financial goals and risk tolerance. Investment Grade bonds offer the peace of mind of stability and capital preservation, making them ideal for long-term safety. Conversely, Non-Investment Grade bonds can serve as a powerful engine for income generation, provided you are willing to navigate the higher risks associated with them. For most UAE investors, the healthiest portfolio often contains a strategic mix of both. By balancing the safety of high-quality issuers with the yield potential of aggressive growth companies, you can build a portfolio that withstands market volatility while delivering consistent returns. Ready to start building your fixed-income portfolio? Contact Phillip Capital DIFC today to explore our global bond offerings. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

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Dec 30 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates /

Dec 30 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Morning Briefing At a glance Equities: US stock futures were little changed in early trade, Europe opened modestly higher, and most Asian benchmarks advanced with Hong Kong outperforming. Bonds: The US 10-year yield held near the low 4% area, steady on light year-end volumes. Commodities: Precious metals firmed after recent volatility, while industrial metals extended gains on supply concerns. Energy prices were mixed. FX: The US dollar was broadly range-bound against major peers, with select Asian currencies edging higher. Market overview Global markets are navigating the final stretch of the year with subdued volatility and thin liquidity. With few fresh catalysts on the docket, price action is being driven largely by rebalancing, positioning clean-up, and year-end window-dressing. Equities are consolidating near recent highs, sovereign yields are stable, and commodities are finding support as investors reassess the growth and policy backdrop heading into the new year. Equities US: Futures indicate a flat open as investors balance resilient earnings expectations against lingering macro and geopolitical uncertainties. Leadership remains concentrated but breadth has been improving, with a gradual rotation into cyclicals and select defensives. Europe: Stocks edged higher, supported by financials and industrials. The region continues to benefit from cooling inflation trends and the prospect of easier policy later in the cycle, though growth differentials versus the US remain in focus. Asia: Markets were mixed to higher, with Hong Kong leading on strength in technology and health care. Mainland China sentiment is cautious but stabilizing; elsewhere in the region, export-oriented markets benefited from firmer semiconductor and AI-related demand. Fixed income Treasuries: The curve was little changed, with the 10-year yield hovering just above 4%. Rate volatility has eased notably compared with earlier in the year as investors coalesce around a gradual policy-easing narrative, though the timing and pace remain data-dependent. Global rates: Core European yields drifted lower, while UK gilts were steady. In credit, spreads are tight versus historical averages, reflecting improved risk appetite and limited new issuance late in the year. Currencies The dollar traded in narrow ranges. High-beta FX was mixed, while select Asian currencies ticked higher on improved risk sentiment. Markets continue to weigh the path of US policy easing versus divergent central bank stances elsewhere. Commodities Precious metals: Gold recovered after a recent pullback as real yields steadied and safe-haven demand persisted into year-end. Silver tracked the move higher. Industrial metals: Copper extended a multi-week advance amid ongoing supply concerns and resilient end-demand linked to electrical infrastructure and data center build-outs. Energy: Crude prices were range-bound, with participants monitoring inventories, OPEC+ discipline, and any year-end shipping or geopolitical disruptions. Macro and policy watch Growth and inflation: The US economy continues to slow from a strong pace while maintaining signs of underlying resilience. Disinflation progress has allowed markets to pencil in policy easing next year, but central banks have kept a data-dependent tone. Geopolitics: Headlines remain a swing factor for risk sentiment, particularly around Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Energy and shipping lanes are key watchpoints. Policy outlook: Markets are pricing a cautious shift toward lower policy rates over the coming quarters. Communication from major central banks will be scrutinized for any pushback against the pace of cuts implied by futures. Positioning and flows With liquidity thin, intraday moves can be exaggerated. Rebalancing from balanced and target-date funds, as well as tax-loss harvesting and performance-chasing into year-end winners, may influence closing prints this week. Investor tone remains moderately risk-on, supported by expectations for earnings growth and lower rates, but hedging activity has increased around key index levels. The day ahead Data: A light calendar into the holiday period; any surprises in labor, housing, or sentiment indicators could move rates and beta. Corporate news: The pipeline is quiet, though AI- and semiconductor-related updates continue to draw attention. Technicals: Major US indices are consolidating just below recent highs; dips have been shallow, with buyers stepping in near short-term moving averages. What we’re watching into the new year Earnings breadth: Whether profit growth broadens beyond mega-cap technology remains central to the durability of the rally. Policy timing: The start, speed, and magnitude of global rate cuts will shape cross-asset performance and sector rotation. Supply chains: Any renewed bottlenecks could support industrial metals and rekindle goods-price pressures. Credit conditions: Funding costs, default trends in high yield, and issuance windows are important late-cycle signals. Markets are ending the year in a constructive but cautious stance. Equities are holding gains, yields are stable, and commodities are firmer. With catalysts scarce in the final sessions, positioning and liquidity will likely dictate near-term moves. Looking ahead, the interplay of earnings, disinflation, and measured policy easing remains the core driver of cross-asset returns. Note: This publication is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and

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Dividend Growth Investing

Leave a Comment / Trading Strategies, Beginner /

Dividend Growth Investing Mastering Dividend Growth Investing: The Strategy for Compounding Wealth In the volatile world of financial markets, consistency is a rare commodity. For investors seeking a blend of steady income and capital appreciation, Dividend Growth Investing stands out as a time-tested strategy. Unlike chasing the latest “hot stock,” this approach focuses on companies with a track record of not just paying dividends, but increasing them regularly. At PhillipCapital DIFC, we believe in empowering our clients with strategies that build long-term wealth. Below, we answer the most pressing questions about this strategy and how it can serve as a cornerstone of your investment portfolio. What exactly is Dividend Growth Investing? Dividend Growth Investing is a strategy where you invest in the shares of companies that have a history of paying out a portion of their earnings to shareholders—and more importantly, raising those payouts consistently year over year. These companies are often referred to as “Dividend Aristocrats” or “Dividend Kings” in the US markets. The core philosophy isn’t just about the current yield (how much cash you get today); it is about the growth of that income stream. When a company increases its dividend, it signals financial health, disciplined capital management, and confidence in future earnings. Over time, these incremental increases can turn a modest yield into a significant income generator on your original investment cost. Mastering Dividend Growth Investing: The Strategy for Compounding Wealth We call it a “dual-engine” because it drives returns from two sources simultaneously: Capital Appreciation: Companies that consistently raise dividends are typically high-quality, profitable businesses. As their earnings grow, their stock price usually follows suit over the long term. Rising Income: Even if the stock price stays flat for a period, your “paycheck” from the stock (the dividend) continues to grow. This duality helps reduce portfolio volatility. In bear markets, the dividends provide a cushion, effectively paying you to wait for the market to recover. It transforms investing from a purely speculative game into a business-like approach to wealth accumulation. Earn Through Global Dividends Discover established dividend leaders across major markets. Access Global Equities How does “Compounding” actually work in this scenario? Albert Einstein famously called compound interest the “eighth wonder of the world,” and it is the secret sauce of dividend growth investing. When you receive a dividend, you have two choices: spend it or reinvest it. The true power unlocks when you reinvest those dividends to buy more shares of the same company. Step 1: You own shares that pay a dividend. Step 2: You use that cash to buy more shares. Step 3: Now, you have more shares paying you dividends next quarter. Step 4: The company raises the dividend per share. This creates a snowball effect. You own more shares, and each share pays more than it did the previous year. Over 10, 15, or 20 years, this cycle can result in an income stream that far exceeds what you could achieve with fixed-income bonds or savings accounts. How do I select the right stocks for this strategy? Not every stock that pays a dividend is a good candidate. At PhillipCapital DIFC, we recommend looking for quality over high yield. Here are a few metrics savvy investors analyze: Payout Ratio: This is the percentage of earnings a company pays out as dividends. A ratio that is too high (e.g., over 80-90%) might be unsustainable. You want a company that retains enough earnings to grow its business. History of Increases: Look for companies with at least 5 to 10 years of consecutive dividend increases. This demonstrates resilience through different economic cycles. Earnings Growth: A company can only grow its dividend indefinitely if it grows its profit. Ensure the underlying business is healthy and expanding. Free Cash Flow: Dividends are paid from cash, not just accounting profits. Strong free cash flow is essential for safe payments. What are the risks, and how can I mitigate them? No investment is risk-free. The primary risk in dividend investing is a dividend cut. If a company runs into financial trouble, it may slash or eliminate its dividend, which usually causes the stock price to plummet simultaneously. Another risk is interest rate sensitivity. High-dividend stocks sometimes compete with bonds; if interest rates rise, dividend stocks might temporarily fall out of favor. How to mitigate: Diversification: Do not put all your capital into one sector (e.g., Utilities or Energy). Spread your investments across different industries using our global trading access. Avoid “Yield Traps”: Be wary of stocks with suspiciously high yields (e.g., 10%+). The market often discounts these stocks because a dividend cut is expected. Need help analyzing potential investments? Our Investment Advisory team can help you structure a diversified portfolio tailored to your risk profile. Contact Now How can I start Dividend Growth Investing with PhillipCapital DIFC? Starting is straightforward. You don’t need millions to begin; you need consistency and the right access. Open a Global Account: You need access to markets where dividend culture is strong, such as the US (NYSE, NASDAQ) or Europe. PhillipCapital DIFC provides Deliverable Equity access, meaning you own the actual shares and are entitled to the dividends they pay. Research & Select: Use our trading platforms to identify companies that fit the criteria mentioned above. Invest & Reinvest: Execute your trades. When dividends arrive in your account, you can choose to manually reinvest them into new opportunities to keep the compounding cycle going. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Do I need a large amount of capital to start this strategy? No. The “snowball effect” works regardless of your starting amount. By consistently reinvesting even small dividends to buy partial or full shares, you increase your future income stream. Many successful portfolios began with modest monthly contributions that compounded over decades. Should I pick individual stocks or just buy a Dividend ETF? It depends on your time and expertise. ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) offer instant diversification and safety, reducing the risk of a single company cutting its dividend. Individual stock picking offers

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Weekly Global Market News – Dec 30

Leave a Comment / Weekly Global Market Update, Market Updates /

Weekly Global Market News – Dec 30 Weekly Markets Brief – Year-End Edition Overview Markets wrapped up the holiday-shortened week with a cautious tone as investors balanced resilient growth signals against the prospect of slower, but still positive, disinflation. Liquidity remained thin into year-end, amplifying intraday swings across equities, bonds, and commodities. While headline indices hovered near recent ranges, leadership continued to rotate beneath the surface—benefiting quality balance sheets and companies with clear cash flow visibility, while more speculative pockets saw mixed participation. Quick take Macro: Disinflation continues to trend gradually lower in major economies, while labor markets show signs of cooling without a sharp deterioration. Policy: Central banks remain data-dependent; markets are still calibrating the timing and pace of eventual rate cuts rather than debating further hikes. Equities: Breadth is improving but uneven; quality growth, selected cyclicals, and capital-light business models retain a premium. Fixed income: Front-end yields are sensitive to each macro print; curve shape remains a focal point for duration decisions. Credit: Investment-grade spreads remain resilient; high yield and loans are more idiosyncratic as refinancing calendars pick up. Commodities: Energy trades the push-pull of supply discipline versus growth expectations; precious metals track real yields. Currencies: Dollar direction is tied to relative rate expectations; yen remains sensitive to any normalization cues from the BoJ. Risks: Policy missteps, sticky services inflation, and geopolitical headlines are the key swing factors as we turn the calendar. Equities Global stocks were range-bound into the holiday period, with thin volumes masking notable factor rotation. Investors favored: Quality earnings and free cash flow over high beta. Businesses with pricing power as input costs normalize but wage trends remain steady. Select cyclicals tied to infrastructure, AI-related capex, and industrial automation. Healthcare and staples for defensiveness where valuations remain reasonable. Technology leadership broadened beyond megacaps in places, with semiconductors and software tied to AI infrastructure continuing to draw capital. That said, valuation discipline mattered: companies pairing growth with improving margins saw the most durable follow-through. Small and mid-caps showed intermittent strength as rate expectations eased, but dispersion within those cohorts stayed elevated. Fixed income Rate markets spent the week consolidating prior moves. The front end remains anchored to incoming inflation and employment data, while the long end is responding to growth expectations and term premia. Duration: With policy rates near a peak in many jurisdictions, selectively extending duration remains a live debate, particularly for investors underweight high-quality core bonds. Credit: Investment-grade corporate bonds continue to benefit from balance sheet conservatism and terming-out of debt. High yield is more bifurcated; credits with near-term maturities and weaker cash generation face a tougher refinancing backdrop even if all-in yields remain attractive. Municipals: Seasonals can be supportive into year-end, though individual credit fundamentals and tax positioning remain key. Commodities Crude oil: Prices are oscillating as production discipline and inventory draws square off against moderate demand growth and an uncertain global growth outlook. Geopolitical risk premia can spike quickly in thin markets. Gold: Supported by a softer trajectory in real yields and ongoing central bank demand; pullbacks have found buyers on dips. Industrial metals: Copper and related metals are tracking China’s policy impulses and global manufacturing momentum. Any pickup in capex and grid investment is a medium-term tailwind. Currencies US dollar: The path is driven by relative rate differentials and growth surprises. A measured glide path lower in US inflation relative to peers typically weighs on the dollar, but any growth outperformance can offset. Euro: Sensitive to Eurozone inflation prints and growth downgrades; the policy narrative is balanced between caution and flexibility. Yen: Markets remain alert to signs of policy normalization; small shifts in guidance can result in outsized FX moves. EM FX: Country-specific fundamentals dominate. External balances, commodity exposure, and credible policy frameworks are differentiators. Corporate earnings The upcoming reporting season will refocus attention on: Margins: Relief from input costs versus sticky wage bills and opex normalization. Guidance: Demand visibility, backlog quality, and pricing power in 2025. Capex: Ongoing spend on AI infrastructure, supply-chain resiliency, and energy transition projects. Buybacks and dividends: Capital return remains a support, but management teams are increasingly selective. Policy and macro Inflation: Goods disinflation is largely advanced; the focus is on services categories tied to wages and shelter. The trajectory still points lower, but month-to-month noise remains. Growth: Soft landing remains the base case for many, with risks skewed by credit conditions and consumer excess savings that have normalized. Central banks: Messaging emphasizes flexibility. Markets are calibrating the timing of any policy easing, likely gradual and dependent on data. The week ahead: what matters Inflation gauges: National CPI/PPI prints and Eurozone flash estimates will set the tone for rate expectations. PMIs and ISM: Manufacturing and services surveys will help validate whether activity is stabilizing. Labor data: Payrolls, wage growth, and jobless claims will inform the “slow-cooling” narrative. Central bank minutes/speakers: Any hints on reaction functions, balance sheet plans, or tolerance for upside/downside surprises. China: Official and Caixin PMIs plus policy headlines around property and credit conditions. Corporate: Early preannouncements, buyback authorizations, and capital expenditure updates. Three things to watch Breadth and leadership: Can participation broaden beyond a handful of mega-caps on improving earnings visibility and easing financial conditions? Services inflation: Progress here is the swing factor for the timing of rate cuts in major economies. Credit conditions: Primary markets and refinancing activity will be a real-time stress test for lower-rated borrowers. Strategy corner (education only) Equities: Balance quality growth with selective cyclicals exposed to capex and infrastructure upgrades. Consider diversifying factor exposure to reduce reliance on a narrow leadership cohort. Fixed income: Reassess core duration after the past year’s moves; high-quality bonds have regained their hedging role. In credit, emphasize upgraded balance sheets and manageable maturity walls. Multi-asset: With cross-asset correlations falling from peak levels, a more balanced mix across equities, high-quality bonds, and select alternatives can improve risk-adjusted outcomes. Risk radar Policy error: Cutting too early or staying restrictive too long. Sticky services prices: Particularly shelter and labor-intensive categories. Geopolitics: Energy supply disruptions,

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Dec 29 – Daily Market Update

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Dec 29 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update As year-end approaches in a holiday-shortened week, global markets are trading with a risk-trimming tone. Liquidity is thinner than usual, rebalancing flows are active, and headline sensitivity remains elevated across rates, commodities, and mega-cap technology. Market snapshot (as of 05:35 am ET; data provider times may vary) S&P 500 Futures: 6964 Stoxx Europe 600: 588.6 Nikkei 225: 50526.92 Spot Silver: 75.2 Bitcoin: 87888.95 Note: Market data may be delayed. Levels are for illustration and not tradeable quotes. What’s driving the tone Equities: US equity futures are modestly softer, led by a pullback in large-cap growth after an extended multi-quarter run. Europe is little changed, and Japan eased as investors continue to assess the path of domestic policy normalization and currency dynamics. Commodities: Precious metals are volatile with silver giving back part of recent outsized gains as profit-taking and position squaring set in. Industrial metals remain broadly supported by tightness narratives and infrastructure demand expectations. Digital assets: Major tokens are firmer after a choppy December, with interest supported by ongoing institutional product development and year-end positioning. Policy backdrop: Investors are parsing central bank communications for early-2026 guidance. In the US, attention is on recent meeting minutes and incoming labor and manufacturing signals. In Asia, policy normalization debates continue to shape rate and FX expectations. Geopolitics: Ongoing developments in key regions continue to influence defense, energy, and safe-haven flows. Markets are quick to reprice sector exposures on new headlines. Asset class roundup US: Futures softer with tech-heavy segments underperforming pre-market; defensives mixed. Year-end rebalancing and tax considerations are adding noise to intraday moves. Europe: Benchmark indices are flat to slightly lower. Cyclicals are uneven; defense-related names and select resources are showing higher beta to headlines and commodity swings. Asia: Japan declined; broader Asia mixed. Currency-sensitive exporters and rate-sensitive domestic sectors are diverging as local bond yields and FX adjust. Rates and FX: Core yields are contained in subdued holiday trading; curve moves are modest. The dollar is broadly steady, with yen and euro traders focused on policy-path differentials and growth surprises. Commodities: Silver is retracing after a rapid ascent; copper remains resilient. Energy benchmarks are rangebound as traders weigh inventory trends against growth and geopolitical risk. Crypto: Price action is constructive but volatile into year-end; flows remain headline dependent and liquidity can be patchy around holidays. Today’s focus and near-term watchlist US: Pending home sales, regional manufacturing signals, and weekly energy inventories will help shape the near-term growth and inflation narrative. FOMC minutes later in the week are a key read for policy tone and balance-sheet nuances. Europe: Preliminary inflation and growth indicators continue to inform the pace and timing of 2026 policy adjustments. Asia: Manufacturing and services PMIs, along with select CPI prints, guide the discussion on domestic rate paths and currency stability. Market mechanics: Expect thinner liquidity, wider bid-ask spreads, and potentially outsized moves around the European and US session overlaps. Quarter- and year-end portfolio rebalancing can create transient price dislocations. The week ahead (holiday-adjusted) Early week: Housing and manufacturing readings in the US; select labor and inflation updates in Latin America and Europe. Mid-week: Major PMIs in Asia; US policy minutes; weekly jobless claims; several markets observing early closes. Late week: Regional manufacturing and retail data in Europe and Asia; most markets shut for New Year’s Day. Themes to monitor into 2026 Earnings durability vs. elevated valuations in mega-cap growth. The path of disinflation and real rates, and implications for duration and equity multiples. Supply-demand balances in key commodities after sharp fourth-quarter moves. Currency realignments as policy paths diverge. Liquidity conditions and the impact of tighter financial conditions on lower-quality credit. Risk management considerations Holiday trading can amplify volatility; use limit orders and be mindful of execution in thin markets. Diversification and position sizing are critical amid cross-asset correlations that can shift quickly. For longer-term investors, focus on fundamentals and cash-flow resilience rather than short-term price swings. Housekeeping and disclaimer This publication is a general market update intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 29 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 29 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates December 24, 2025 Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates December 23, 2025 Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market… Read More Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 –

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Dec 26 – Daily Market Updates

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Dec 25- Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update As of 05:13 a.m. ET S&P 500 Futures: 6981 Spot Gold: 4,518.93 Nikkei 225: 50750.39 Bitcoin: 88818.9 WTI Crude Oil Futures: 58.48 Note: Pricing may be delayed depending on data provider agreements. Market overview A calm, holiday-thinned session is keeping risk appetite steady into year-end. US equity futures are essentially flat after a record-setting run, while Asia ended broadly higher led by Japan. Precious metals extended a powerful rally on safe-haven demand and a softer dollar tone, and crude is firmer as supply and geopolitical headlines keep a bid under energy markets. Digital assets are higher, with Bitcoin advancing back toward recent highs. Equities US: Futures are little changed after the Christmas break with the S&P 500 hovering near all-time highs. Light liquidity and year-end rebalancing flows may continue to dampen intraday volatility. Asia: The Nikkei rose, underpinned by exporters and financials as currency dynamics remain supportive for earnings. Trading volumes were subdued with several regional markets still on holiday schedules. Europe: A mixed open is likely as investors weigh gains in commodities against thin participation. With many bourses reopening from extended breaks, dispersion by sector remains a key theme. Commodities Precious metals: Gold, silver, and platinum are pushing deeper into record territory, supported by ongoing geopolitical unease, central-bank buying interest, and a modestly softer US dollar. Dip-buying and momentum participation continue to reinforce the trend late in the year. Energy: Crude is set for its strongest weekly advance since late October as traders monitor evolving supply constraints and regional security developments. Refining margins and product tightness are adding a layer of support, though headline sensitivity remains elevated. Foreign exchange Yen: The currency remains on the back foot despite the Bank of Japan’s recent rate move. Wide US–Japan yield differentials, negative real rates in Japan, and persistent overseas investment flows are keeping USD/JPY elevated near the mid-150s. Official rhetoric has turned more forceful, raising the possibility of episodic intervention, but lasting relief would likely require a more pronounced policy shift or a narrowing of global rate spreads. Dollar: The greenback is modestly softer against a basket of peers as commodities and high-beta FX catch a tailwind in quiet trade. Any shift in US rate expectations or a surprise in incoming data could reintroduce two-way risk into year-end. EM FX: Benefiting selectively from broader risk-on sentiment and firmer commodity prices, though liquidity constraints can magnify moves in either direction this week. Rates and credit Sovereign yields are steady to slightly higher at the long end as investors price a cautious path for global policy easing in 2026. In Japan, inflation running above the 2% objective continues to pressure government bond yields higher even as the BOJ signals gradualism. Credit markets remain resilient into the final stretch of the year; primary issuance is seasonally quiet, and secondary trading is characterized by tight bid-ask spreads in higher-quality paper. Digital assets Bitcoin is up about 1% near 88,800, tracking broader risk sentiment and lighter volumes. Volatility has compressed relative to earlier in the quarter, but catalysts around flows and regulatory developments can still drive abrupt moves. What we’re watching Liquidity: Holiday schedules and year-end portfolio adjustments can exaggerate intraday swings and momentum. Policy path: Market-based indicators suggest a measured trajectory for developed-market rate cuts next year; surprises in inflation or growth could reset expectations quickly. Geopolitics and supply: Energy and metals remain sensitive to headlines around shipping, sanctions, and regional security. Japan: The timing and pace of BOJ normalization vs. global easing cycles will be central to yen direction and long-end JGB dynamics. Positioning themes into year-end Quality leadership: Profitable large caps and balance-sheet strength continue to command premiums in a low-liquidity environment. Commodity resilience: Precious metals and energy have momentum support, though pullbacks are likely if the dollar firms or headline risk fades. FX dispersion: Yield differentials remain the dominant driver; intervention risk is highest where currency moves are deemed disorderly. This publication is a general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. All data is provided as of the timestamp above and may be subject to revision. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates December 24, 2025 Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates December 23, 2025 Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market… Read More Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 – Daily Market Updates December 19, 2025 Dec 19 – Daily Market Updates Market Snapshot (early US… Read More Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates December 18, 2025 Dec 18 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad… Read More Dec 17 – Daily Market Updates December 17,

Dec 26 – Daily Market Updates Read More »

Structured Notes

Leave a Comment / Structured Products, Educational Blogs, Structured Products Basics /

Structured Notes The Complete Guide to Tailored Wealth Management in Dubai In the dynamic financial landscape of the UAE, traditional investment vehicles like bonds and equities are often not enough to meet the specific risk-return appetites of sophisticated investors. Enter Structured Notes—a powerful tool in modern wealth management that bridges the gap between fixed income and market equity. At PhillipCapital DIFC, we believe in empowering our clients with knowledge. This guide answers your most pressing questions about Structured Notes, detailing how they can enhance yields and protect capital in uncertain markets. What Are Structured Notes and How Do They Fit into a Portfolio? A Structured Note is a hybrid financial instrument that combines the features of a traditional bond with those of a derivative (like an option). Think of it as a pre-packaged investment strategy. Unlike a standard stock that moves 1-to-1 with the market, a Structured Note allows you to customize your payout. Essentially, it is a debt obligation issued by a financial institution, but instead of paying a fixed interest rate, the return is linked to the performance of an underlying asset—such as a specific stock, a global index (like the S&P 500), commodities (like Gold), or even foreign currencies. This structure allows investors to achieve specific goals, such as generating higher yields than a bank deposit or protecting their initial capital against market downturns. Why are they considered a “flexible” investment solution? The beauty of Structured Notes lies in their versatility. They are not “one-size-fits-all.” At PhillipCapital DIFC, we can tailor these notes to match your specific market view. Bullish? You can structure a note to accelerate returns if the market rises. Sideways Market? You can generate high coupons (interest) even if the market stays flat. Bearish? You can build in “capital protection” buffers that ensure you don’t lose money even if the market drops by a certain percentage. Structured Investments, Designed Around You Bespoke Structured Notes designed to match your objectives, risk appetite, and market perspective Request a Consultation How Do Structured Notes Work? What are the main components that make up a Structured Note? A typical note is constructed using two main building blocks: The Zero-Coupon Bond: This component is used to protect the principal. It ensures that a portion of your capital is preserved or returned at maturity. The Derivative Option: This is the risky part of the note that provides the potential for higher returns. It tracks the underlying asset (e.g., Apple stock or the FTSE 100). When you invest, the issuer uses the majority of your funds to buy the bond and the remainder to purchase the option. The performance of that option determines your final payout. What happens if the market goes down? Do I lose my money? This depends entirely on the “protection barrier” set when you buy the note. This is a crucial concept for UAE investors to understand. Hard Protection: Some notes offer 100% capital protection. If the market crashes, you still get your initial investment back (subject to issuer credit risk). Soft Protection (Barriers): Many yield-enhancement notes have a “barrier,” often set at 60% or 70% of the initial price. As long as the underlying asset does not fall below this barrier during the term, you receive your full capital back plus your coupons. However, if the asset price breaches this barrier, your capital is at risk, similar to holding the stock directly. Types of Structured Notes Available in Dubai What are the most popular structures for investors at PhillipCapital DIFC? While there are limitless variations, three specific types are highly popular among our clients: Reverse Convertibles: These are designed for “yield hunters.” They offer a high coupon rate (often significantly higher than standard bonds) regardless of how the market performs, provided the underlying asset doesn’t drop below a specific barrier. Autocallables: These are the most common. An Autocallable note has specific observation dates. If the underlying asset is at or above a certain level on that date, the note “calls” (ends early), paying you your capital plus a predefined bonus coupon. It’s excellent for recycling capital quickly in positive markets. Participation Notes: These allow you to participate in the upside of an asset (like a foreign index) often with a degree of capital protection attached, reducing the fear of entering a volatile market. Not sure which structure suits your portfolio? Explore Our Range of Trading Products & Solutions View Trading Products Why should choose a Structured Note over buying the stock directly? Enhanced Yield: In low-interest environments, Structured Notes can offer double-digit coupons that traditional fixed-income assets cannot match. Defined Risk: You know your entry and exit scenarios before you invest. You know exactly how much the market can fall before your capital is touched. Access: They provide easy access to difficult-to-enter markets or asset classes (like commodities or specific foreign sectors) within a single instrument. What are the risks need to be aware of? Transparency is a core value at PhillipCapital. It is vital to understand the risks: Credit Risk: A Structured Note is an unsecured debt of the issuer. If the issuing bank goes bankrupt (like Lehman Brothers in 2008), you could lose your investment, regardless of how the underlying asset performs. Tip: Always check the credit rating of the issuer. Liquidity Risk: These notes are designed to be held until maturity. Selling them early on the secondary market can be difficult or result in a loss of value. Market Risk: If the protection barrier is breached, you are exposed to the full loss of the underlying asset. How do I start investing in Structured Notes in the UAE? Investing in Structured Notes requires a regulated, experienced partner. As a firm regulated by the DFSA (Dubai Financial Services Authority), PhillipCapital DIFC ensures that every product offered is appropriate for your classification as an investor. Consultation: We begin by understanding your risk profile. Are you preserving wealth or aggressively growing it? Selection: We source notes from top-tier global investment banks to mitigate credit risk.

Structured Notes Read More »

Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates, Uncategorized /

Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Overview Global markets are treading lightly into the holiday period. Equity futures in the US are little changed after a strong year-to-date run, European benchmarks are marginally firmer in thin trading, and Asia was mixed with mainland China edging higher. Bond markets are calm as traders wind down risk and liquidity thins. The US dollar remains softer on the year, while precious metals are firm as investors balance geopolitics and the prospect of further policy easing in 2026. Several exchanges are operating on shortened schedules around Christmas. Equities US: Futures are flat to slightly lower as investors weigh year-end rebalancing, a lighter data calendar, and a strong seasonal backdrop. The broader index remains near record territory after multiple weeks of gains. Europe: Stocks are fractionally higher in holiday-thinned volumes. Defensive sectors and select financials are supported by stable yields; cyclical exposures are mixed. Asia: Mainland China stabilized with a modest uptick, while other regional markets delivered a mixed performance amid cautious risk-taking. Rates US Treasuries are steady with the curve little changed. With few catalysts before year-end, ranges may remain tight, though liquidity could amplify intraday swings. Core European yields are broadly stable; peripherals are tracking risk sentiment. Currencies The dollar index is lower year-to-date, reflecting a shift toward a gentler policy trajectory and improving risk appetite. High-beta and commodity-linked currencies have firmed on the margin, while safe-haven FX is subdued. Commodities Precious metals extended gains, supported by geopolitical unease, softer real yields, and continued diversification flows. Industrial metals are holding recent advances on improving supply-demand expectations into the new year. Crude prices are range-bound as supply dynamics and growth expectations offset each other into year-end. ETFs: A blockbuster year, with a note of caution US-listed ETFs are closing the year with standout net inflows, robust primary market activity, and elevated secondary trading. Product launches accelerated across both broad beta and thematic exposures. The backdrop—rising equities, easing-rate expectations, and active sector rotation—has been a tailwind for both equity and fixed income ETFs. Liquidity and tax efficiency continue to attract both retail and institutional users. Looking into next year, expect a more discerning environment: fee competition, product differentiation, and higher scrutiny on niche themes. If volatility picks up, flows may consolidate into core, low-cost exposures and high-quality bond sleeves. Corporate highlights (broad) Year-end dealmaking remains active with selective asset sales and bolt-on acquisitions across energy, healthcare, and infrastructure, underscoring ongoing portfolio optimization and balance-sheet discipline. Index changes and periodic reconstitutions are driving stock-specific flows. Buyback authorizations and insider purchases continue to offer signals on corporate confidence but effects are idiosyncratic. Geopolitics and regional themes Hopes for de-escalation in parts of Eastern Europe have supported regional assets, though positioning remains cautious given headline risk and uncertainty around the contours of any agreement. Developments in Latin America are contributing to commodity and FX volatility; policy continuity and fiscal signals will be closely watched in early 2026. Policy watch Debate around the appropriate inflation target framework has resurfaced in policy circles. While any formal change would be a multi-year process, markets are sensitive to signals on the tolerance band around inflation and the path for real rates. Into January, attention turns to the next set of inflation and labor data, and to central bank communications that could refine the pace and timing of potential rate cuts. What we’re watching next Liquidity and rebalancing effects through the final sessions of the year Early-January data on jobs, wages, and inflation expectations Q4 earnings season previews, with a focus on margins, capex discipline, and AI-related spend Credit market tone as new-issue windows reopen China’s policy signals and growth stabilization efforts Portfolio considerations (not investment advice) After a strong run for risk assets, consider balance across quality, duration, and liquidity. Core fixed income can provide ballast if growth slows more than expected. If volatility normalizes higher, systematic rebalancing and option-based hedges may help manage drawdowns. Within equities, earnings resilience and balance-sheet strength remain key differentiators; within credit, dispersion argues for careful issuer selection. Calendar (abridged) Holiday-shortened sessions in several major markets Light data slate into year-end; fuller macro calendar resumes in early January This publication is for information only and is not a recommendation or investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Please consider your objectives and risk tolerance and consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates December 24, 2025 Dec 24 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates December 23, 2025 Dec 23 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Broad Market… Read More Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates December 22, 2025 Dec 22 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad… Read More Dec 19 –

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