Daily Market Updates

January 16 – Daily Market Update

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16 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad Market Update Market Snapshot (as of 06:25 am ET; levels may be delayed) Nasdaq 100 futures: 25861.25 (+0.60%) Stoxx Europe 600: 614.1 (-0.07%) Hang Seng: 26844.96 (-0.29%) Bitcoin: 95314.2 (-0.25%) Spot gold: 4609.59 (-0.13%) What’s moving markets Equities: A renewed bid for large-cap technology is lifting US futures, with strength spilling over from Asia where a regional tech gauge set a fresh high. Europe is more mixed: broad indices are flat to slightly lower, but semiconductor supply-chain names continue to attract buyers on signs of sustained spending across advanced chip manufacturing. Credit: Risk appetite remains firm. Credit spreads are hovering near multi‑year tights and primary issuance is running at a brisk pace as companies lock in funding early in the year. While carry remains attractive, tighter premia leave less cushion if growth or inflation surprises. Rates: US Treasuries are stuck in a notably narrow range, with the 10‑year yield little changed over the past several weeks. Such periods of low volatility have previously preceded larger moves; investors are watching incoming data and policy signals for a catalyst. Commodities: Precious metals are slightly softer alongside firmer risk sentiment. Industrial metals are steady, while crude holds in a tight band amid balanced supply headlines and demand expectations. Digital assets: Bitcoin is consolidating after a strong multi‑week run. Volatility remains elevated relative to traditional asset classes, and correlation to equities has ticked higher recently. Regional highlights United States: Tech leadership is back in focus ahead of a heavy stretch of corporate results. Positioning is skewed toward firms levered to AI infrastructure and cloud demand, while cyclicals are trading in line with growth expectations. Markets continue to price an easing path for policy rates over 2026, with timing and pace sensitive to inflation prints and labor trends. Europe: Technology is the standout sector year‑to‑date, helped by chip‑equipment suppliers tied to capacity expansion. Banks and energy are range‑bound as investors weigh margins, capital returns, and commodity stability. Auto sentiment remains uneven amid shifting EV demand and promotional activity. Asia: Equity performance is mixed. Strength in technology offsets softness in select consumer and property pockets. Policy support and trade signals are in focus, with some indications of improved access and lower frictions in bilateral commerce. Earnings and issuance lens Financials, transports, and health care guide the earnings calendar over the coming sessions. Results will be parsed for margin resilience, loan growth, credit normalization, and capex intentions for 2026. Primary bond markets are active across investment‑grade and leveraged finance. Persistent demand is meeting elevated supply, supporting refinancing but compressing compensation for risk. Selectivity by sector and tenor remains key as liquidity conditions ebb and flow. Themes to watch AI and semiconductors: Upbeat capital‑spending plans across advanced nodes and memory are supporting upstream equipment providers and specialty materials. Watch order backlogs and delivery timelines as a gauge of durability. Credit tightness: With spreads near cycle lows, portfolio construction is increasingly about quality differentiation, structure, and liquidity management rather than reaching further out the risk curve. Rangebound rates: A breakout from the recent Treasury yield corridor could reset cross‑asset correlations. Data surprises on inflation, growth, or employment are the likely triggers. Global trade and industrial policy: Evolving tariff and subsidy frameworks continue to shape capital allocation in autos, energy, and technology supply chains. Market positioning takeaways Equities: Leadership remains narrow but broadening attempts continue beneath the surface. Watch for earnings revisions and guidance on pricing power and inventories. Fixed income: Carry is constructive, but with limited spread buffer. Duration neutrality with tactical flexibility has been favored in recent weeks as the curve fluctuates. Alternatives and commodities: Gold’s drift lower mirrors firmer risk tone; longer‑term hedging demand persists. Energy markets remain headline‑sensitive; positioning is balanced. The week ahead Key data in the days ahead includes inflation updates, housing indicators, business surveys, and jobless claims in the US; sentiment gauges and final price readings in Europe; and activity indicators across Asia. Central‑bank speakers and corporate guidance may offer the catalysts rates markets have been waiting for. Note: This commentary is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation of any security, strategy, or product. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. January 16 – Daily Market Update January 16, 2026 16 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More january 15 – Daily Market Update January 15, 2026 15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More january 14 – Daily Market Update January 14, 2026 14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More january 13 – Daily Market Update January 13, 2026 13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market… Read More Jan 12 – Daily Market Update January 12, 2026

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january 15 – Daily Market Update

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15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Tone at a glance Risk appetite is firmer in early US hours as technology strength and improving breadth underpin equities, while commodities trade mixed and volatility remains contained. Market snapshot Nasdaq 100 futures: 25837.75 (+0.81%) WTI crude (front-month): 59.77 (-3.53%) Stoxx Europe 600: 613.88 (+0.38%) Nikkei 225: 54110.5 (-0.42%) Spot silver: 91.26 (-2.04%) Note: Market data may be delayed and is for informational purposes only. Global overview Equities: Technology-led gains are supporting US futures, with investors rotating selectively into growth areas tied to compute, data infrastructure, and semiconductors. Europe is modestly higher, paced by cyclicals and select financials, while Japan eased after a strong multi-month run as investors reassess valuations and currency moves. Commodities: Crude oil is lower as geopolitical risk premiums ebb and supply expectations stabilize; refined products are mixed. Precious metals are softer alongside a steady dollar and firmer real yields, while industrial metals show a slight bid on incremental signs of demand resilience. Breadth and style: After a period of improved participation across sectors, leadership remains a tug-of-war between mega-cap tech and economically sensitive groups. Small and mid caps have shown better relative tone lately, helped by easing credit anxieties and hopes for durable earnings improvement, but momentum still gravitates to AI-linked beneficiaries. Volatility: Implied volatility across major equity benchmarks remains subdued, consistent with a “climb the wall of worry” backdrop. Low vol can amplify reactions to data surprises, earnings guidance, or policy headlines. US session focus Earnings: Early results from large financial institutions and bellwethers across technology hardware and software will anchor the narrative on credit quality, deposit trends, AI-related capex, and enterprise demand. Management guidance on margins and capex plans is a key swing factor for sentiment. Data and policy: Investors are watching weekly labor indicators, housing and production updates, and any central bank commentary for clues on the path of growth, inflation, and policy rates. The market remains sensitive to shifts in rate-cut expectations and to evidence of either reacceleration or cooling in activity. Europe and UK European shares are supported by a mix of industrials, financials, and healthcare. Recent data suggest tentative stabilization in activity, though margin commentary remains front of mind in consumer and luxury segments. In the UK, manufacturing and services readings are being watched for confirmation of a gradual improvement in output and pricing pressures. Asia-Pacific Japan’s equity benchmark dipped modestly after a significant year-to-date advance, with investors weighing earnings revisions against currency dynamics and potential policy normalization. In broader Asia, tech supply-chain names continue to benefit from resilient demand for compute and memory, while exporters monitor global orders and shipping costs. Sectors to watch Semiconductors and equipment: Upbeat capex intentions across the compute/AI stack continue to filter through to suppliers, sustaining order backlogs and utilization outlooks. Watch commentary on lead times, tool deliveries, and supply normalization. Energy: Crude weakness reflects shifting risk premiums and balanced supply expectations. Keep an eye on inventory trends, OPEC+ signals, and refining margins for clues on near-term direction. Financials: Funding costs, loan growth, fee income, and credit provisions are the key watchpoints. Capital return plans and expense discipline remain catalysts. Consumer and discretionary: Margin resilience versus promotional activity is in focus. Travel, leisure, and luxury are sensitive to high-end demand and FX. What could move markets next Earnings guidance: Forward-looking commentary on demand, pricing, and margin structure may matter more than backward-looking beats/misses. Rate expectations: Any change in the timing or pace of anticipated policy adjustments can ripple through duration-sensitive equities and credit. Geopolitics and commodities: Headline risk around supply routes and regional tensions can quickly alter energy and freight pricing. Market internals: Watch breadth, new highs/lows, and factor dispersion to gauge the durability of the current advance. Risk radar Concentration risk in mega-cap leaders despite improving breadth Sensitivity to input costs and wage dynamics as pricing power normalizes Liquidity pockets in credit and private markets amid evolving rate paths Event risk around data releases and policy communication House view (tactical) Constructive but selective on risk assets near term, favoring high-quality balance sheets and cash-flow visibility. Prefer exposure to structural growth themes in compute/AI and automation while balancing with cyclicals tied to steady global demand. Maintain diversification with an eye on duration risk and potential volatility spikes around key events. Important information This newsletter is a general market commentary prepared for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, sector, or strategy. Market levels shown above were provided by the user and may be delayed. Always evaluate investments in light of your objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. january 15 – Daily Market Update January 15, 2026 15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More january 14 –

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january 14 – Daily Market Update

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14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as of early US morning) S&P 500 futures: 6972.5 (-0.42%) Stoxx Europe 600: 610.96 (+0.09%) Nikkei 225: 54341.2 (+1.48%) China CSI 300: 4741.9 (-0.40%) Bitcoin: 94935.56 (+0.92%) Global overview US: Equity futures edge lower as investors weigh a firmer labor backdrop against shifting interest-rate expectations. Options and rates pricing continue to lean toward a prolonged Fed pause, with markets trimming the odds of near-term cuts after resilient employment data. Europe: Regional benchmarks are modestly higher, led by defensives and select growth names. Focus remains on earnings season and sovereign funding conditions as governments ramp up issuance. Asia: Japan outperformed with the Nikkei setting fresh records amid optimism around policy support and corporate profitability. Mainland Chinese shares eased following steps to curb leverage in stock trading, tempering a powerful recent rally. Commodities Precious and industrial metals extended an early-year surge, with several benchmarks notching new highs. Tailwinds include: Expectations that global financial conditions will remain supportive even if the Fed stays patient. A bid for portfolio diversifiers amid geopolitical unease and concerns over sovereign debt loads. Improved sentiment toward manufacturing demand, including investment tied to data centers, electrification and automation. Ongoing supply frictions at mines and smelters that keep inventories tight. While momentum is strong, positioning has become crowded, leaving the complex sensitive to shifts in the dollar, policy signals, or evidence of demand cooling. Rates and currencies US rate markets reflect a higher-for-longer narrative relative to earlier assumptions, with some participants positioning for no additional policy easing this year. The debate now centers on how long the Fed can hold policy steady while inflation trends lower only gradually. The US dollar is broadly steady, limiting commodity tailwinds but not reversing them. European yields remain range-bound as investors monitor issuance and fiscal trajectories. Corporate and sector highlights Select megacap technology, semiconductor, and AI-adjacent infrastructure names remain in focus as capital expenditure plans for computing and power build-outs continue to scale. Auto and EV shares are mixed on shifting expectations for new model launches and profitability timelines. Consumer and luxury names are steady to firmer in Europe on optimism around wearable tech and premium accessories. Large European defense suppliers continue to explore primary listings and capital-raising options amid elevated demand visibility. In the US, major banks are set to report, offering a read on net interest income, credit normalization, deposit trends, and capital return plans. Policy and macro themes The central-bank outlook has become more nuanced: resilient jobs data reduce urgency for additional easing, but inflation progress remains key. Market-implied paths now cluster around a longer pause scenario with a narrower distribution of potential cuts. Policy headlines tied to elections and regulatory priorities are adding idiosyncratic risk, particularly for financials, defense, and consumer credit. Expect periodic volatility as proposals surface, even without immediate legislative traction. In Asia, selective regulatory tightening in equity financing aims to stabilize recent rapid gains, while pro-growth signals in Japan continue to underpin risk appetite. Digital assets Bitcoin gained modestly, extending a steady start to the week. Flows remain driven by broader risk sentiment and positioning rather than a single catalyst. What we’re watching Bank earnings for guidance on credit quality, charge-offs, and capital deployment. Corporate updates from AI, cloud, and power-equipment ecosystems for evidence of sustained capex. Any shifts in Fed communications or data that alter the implied rate path. Developments in Asian equity-market regulation and their impact on trading leverage and turnover. Primary issuance and IPO pipelines in Europe, notably in industrials and defense. Thoughts for investors Broader cross-asset leadership is constructive, but crowded trades in metals and AI-linked thematics increase the premium on risk management. With policy risk rising into an election-heavy year, sector diversification and attention to headline sensitivity are prudent. In rates, the distribution of outcomes has tightened around “steady for longer,” raising the importance of carry, curve positioning, and relative value rather than big directional bets. Disclosure This material is a general market commentary for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, asset class, or strategy. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. january 13 – Daily Market Update January 14, 2026 14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More january 13 – Daily Market Update January 13, 2026 13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market… Read More Jan 12 – Daily Market Update January 12, 2026 12 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily Your… Read More Jan 09 – Daily Market Update January 9, 2026 09 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Market at a… Read More Jan 08 – Daily Market Update January 8, 2026 08 Jan 26 – Daily

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january 13 – Daily Market Update

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13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market Update Market at a glance (as of 06:07 am ET; levels and changes are indicative) Nikkei 225: 53549.16 (+3.10%) S&P 500 Futures: 7005 (-0.16%) Stoxx Europe 600: 609.75 (-0.20%) Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index: 1210.5 (+0.08%) Bitcoin: 92011.56 (+1.14%) Global market wrap Asia: Japanese equities surged to fresh highs, led by cyclical and export-oriented names as investors priced in prospects for pro-growth policy and a supportive domestic backdrop. Broader Asian benchmarks were mixed, with pockets of strength in autos, semiconductors, and industrial technology. Europe: Major European indices are modestly softer in early trade after a strong multi-month run. Momentum indicators signal stretched conditions for some benchmarks, prompting talk of a near-term consolidation even as earnings expectations remain constructive. US: Equity futures are edging lower ahead of a key US inflation reading. Rate-sensitive sectors are in focus as markets assess the timing and extent of policy easing later this year. The broader tone remains constructive but data-dependent. Macro and policy Inflation watch: A closely watched US price report due today will help confirm whether disinflation is progressing smoothly or encountering a temporary bump. A firmer print could nudge yields higher and test risk appetite; a softer outcome would likely support duration and rate-sensitive equities. Central banks: Recent commentary from major central bank officials points to a preference for staying patient, keeping policy restrictive long enough to ensure inflation returns to target. Markets continue to balance that stance against an improving growth pulse. Policy and geopolitics: Headlines around trade, elections, and global security continue to inject episodic volatility into FX, rates, and energy. Investors remain alert to any policy shifts that could affect supply chains, tariffs, or the cost of capital. Earnings season: the next catalyst US financials open the season: Large banks kick off results with attention on investment banking pipelines, trading revenue normalization, net interest income trends, credit quality, and capital return frameworks. Forward guidance for 2026 will likely carry more weight than backward-looking beats or misses. Rotation vs. leadership: The recent tilt toward cyclicals, small caps, and value is being tested by earnings. While economically sensitive groups may benefit from firmer growth, mega-cap technology remains a major driver of index-level profit growth. For the rotation to endure, management teams across industrials, consumer, and financials will need to deliver confident outlooks and margin discipline. Rates, FX, and commodities Bonds: Treasury yields are steady to slightly higher into the data print, with the curve sensitive to any surprise in core inflation. European sovereigns are consolidating after a strong rally, and Japanese yields remain influenced by domestic policy expectations. Currencies: The US dollar is fractionally stronger on cautious pre-data positioning. The yen is softer on policy and political speculation, while the euro trades narrowly as markets await fresh macro signals. Energy and metals: Crude is rangebound as supply-risk headlines are weighed against demand and inventory dynamics. Industrial metals are steady, supported by signs of improving global manufacturing activity. Digital assets: Crypto benchmarks are firmer, with buyers stepping in on dips amid ongoing institutional interest and liquidity improvements. Sectors and notable themes Semiconductors: Positive broker commentary and capacity outlooks are supporting select chipmakers, particularly those tied to foundry, AI, and high-performance compute end markets. Health care/biotech: Regulatory headlines are creating dispersion, with approval timelines and data readouts driving stock-specific moves. Software and services: Contract wins and platform adoptions continue to differentiate among providers as enterprises optimize tech spending. Renewables and utilities: Policy and legal clarity are incremental tailwinds for selected projects, while execution and financing conditions remain key watch items. Autos and industrial tech: Investor enthusiasm around automation, robotics, and next-gen manufacturing continues to buoy select names. The day ahead Data: A key US inflation report, followed by labor and housing indicators later in the week. Abroad, focus remains on European confidence measures and Asia’s activity data. Earnings: Large US banks today, with more financials, consumer staples, and industrials through the week. Guidance on demand elasticity, pricing power, and cost control will be closely parsed. Events: Ongoing central bank appearances and policy remarks may influence rate expectations and cross-asset volatility. What we’re watching Can cyclicals extend their relative outperformance if inflation runs a bit hotter, or does that re-tighten financial conditions and favor defensives? Do banks point to a broadening M&A pipeline and a healthier primary market, supporting a more durable recovery in fees? Will management teams emphasize inventory normalization and productivity gains that sustain margins even if pricing power fades? Risk radar Policy shifts in trade and tariffs that affect global supply chains and input costs Inflation persistence that delays or reduces the scale of policy easing Geopolitical tensions that sway energy, shipping, and FX markets Liquidity pockets and positioning extremes after a strong year-end rally Portfolio considerations (general, not advice) Maintain diversification across styles and market caps given crosscurrents between growth leadership and cyclical catch-up. Consider the balance between duration exposure and inflation hedges around key data. Emphasize quality balance sheets and cash flow resilience as earnings season tests narratives. Disclosure This communication is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Please consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Data and pricing are indicative and may differ from real-time quotes. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding

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Jan 12 – Daily Market Update

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12 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily Your broad market briefing for the trading day Market at a glance Equities: US index futures softer; European benchmarks slightly lower after an uneven open; Asia mixed with Japan closed for a holiday. Rates: Long-dated US Treasury yields edging higher; global curves exhibiting a mild steepening bias. FX: The US dollar pulls back against major peers as investors reassess policy and growth trajectories. Commodities: Gold and silver extend gains on safe-haven demand; oil trades in a tight range amid crosscurrents in supply and demand. What’s moving markets Policy uncertainty and central bank signaling are back in focus. Markets are weighing the implications of potential shifts in the path of interest rates and the broader debate around monetary policy independence, keeping volatility elevated in rates, FX, and precious metals. Positioning and concentration risk remain key themes in equities. With leadership narrowing at times over recent months, investors are paying closer attention to earnings breadth, guidance quality, and cash flow durability rather than headline growth alone. Safe-haven flows are noticeable. A softer dollar alongside strength in bullion suggests some preference for diversification, particularly as investors hedge against inflation and policy surprises. Credit and consumer finance sentiment is cautious. Headlines and regulatory discussions around consumer lending and pricing are creating short-term pressure across select financials, while the broader credit market remains orderly. Equities US: Futures point to a weaker start as investors brace for a dense macro and earnings calendar. Dispersion within large-cap tech persists; stock selection remains critical as spending on new technologies meets more rigorous profitability scrutiny. Europe: Regional indices are modestly lower, with defensives and commodity-linked names outperforming cyclical pockets. M&A interest and corporate restructuring remain supportive for select sectors. Asia: Performance was mixed in a thin session. Mainland China and parts of North Asia are digesting fresh trade and price data later this week; liquidity conditions and policy communication remain near-term catalysts. Fixed income Treasuries: The curve is tilting steeper as markets weigh near-term easing expectations against longer-run term premium and fiscal dynamics. Duration has been choppy; many are favoring barbell or laddered approaches to manage reinvestment and volatility risk. Global rates: Core European yields are little changed to slightly higher; UK gilts underperform on supply and wage/inflation sensitivity. In credit, primary issuance remains active with mostly stable spreads, though lower-quality tiers could see more differentiation into earnings. Currencies The dollar index softens as rate differentials narrow at the margin. Pro-cyclical pairs are mixed; haven FX is steady. Investors continue to explore diversification across G10 and select EM currencies, balancing carry with liquidity and policy credibility. Commodities Precious metals: Gold and silver advance on a combination of real-yield moves, dollar softness, and hedging demand. Positioning is elevated; pullbacks may be tactical in nature given ongoing macro uncertainty. Energy: Crude trades sideways as supply risks are balanced by uneven demand indicators. Time spreads remain range-bound; refinery margins and inventory data later in the week are in focus. Industrials: Base metals are mixed, with growth-sensitive contracts awaiting clearer signals from global manufacturing and construction data. The week ahead: what to watch US: Inflation (CPI/PPI), retail sales, housing activity, and the Fed’s Beige Book. A full slate of public remarks from policymakers may shed light on the reaction function and outlook for rates. Big banks and bellwethers kick off a heavy earnings stretch; investors will watch net interest income trends, credit provisioning, trading revenues, and forward guidance. Europe/UK: Industrial production, trade balances, and central bank commentary. Bank earnings and corporate updates will help gauge demand, cost pressures, and pricing power into the first quarter. Asia: China trade data and regional labor/price prints; a key policy rate decision in North Asia. Semiconductor and technology supply-chain updates remain a driver for sentiment. Canada: Housing indicators and existing home sales; Bank commentary on growth and inflation mix. Strategy snapshots Equities: Expect higher dispersion. Emphasize quality balance sheets, consistent free cash flow, and pricing power. Within tech, differentiate between long-duration R&D stories and firms showing near-term monetization. Consider global diversification as non-US markets screen more attractively on relative valuation and earnings revision trends. Rates: Curve risk is back. Investors concerned about steepening may look at intermediate tenors and add hedges where appropriate. For income, maintain flexibility to add duration on weakness; consider credit selection over beta in tighter-spread areas. FX: With the dollar softer, selectively add to non-USD exposures where policy credibility is firm and growth is stable. Maintain liquidity and avoid crowded carry where volatility could force quick reversals. Commodities: For hedgers, staggered entries in precious metals may help manage momentum-driven swings. In energy, focus on balance sheets of producers with disciplined capex and robust cash returns. Risk management checklist Track real yields and breakevens for clues on inflation psychology. Watch credit conditions and bank earnings for early reads on the consumer and corporate funding costs. Use scenario analysis around key data releases; adjust stops and position sizes to account for event risk. Maintain diversification across regions, styles, and factors to mitigate concentration risk. Housekeeping and disclosures This material is a general market commentary prepared for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Markets are volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to

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Jan 09 – Daily Market Update

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09 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Market at a glance (as of ~6:00 a.m. ET) US equity futures: slightly higher (about +0.1%) as traders position for key data Europe: broader benchmarks firmer (roughly +0.4% to +0.5%) Asia: Japan outperformed (up around +1.6%) with tech and exporters in the lead US dollar: modestly stronger versus major peers (about +0.2%) US 10-year Treasury yield: near 4.19%, up a couple of basis points What’s moving markets All eyes on the US labor report: Today’s payrolls, unemployment rate, and wage growth will help shape expectations for the next steps in monetary policy. A steady hiring pace with contained wage pressures would support a “hold and assess” stance from the Fed, while any upside surprise in wages or core employment could nudge yields higher and firm the dollar. Trade policy watch: A potential legal decision related to tariffs is on investors’ radar. Any shift that lowers import costs could buoy risk appetite, particularly for import-reliant industries, while also complicating the rates outlook if the growth impulse and fiscal math are perceived to worsen. Rotation under the surface: Early-year flows show renewed interest in equities, with investors balancing quality growth exposures against more cyclical, trade-sensitive areas. Defensive pockets (health care, staples) continue to draw interest as a ballast against policy and macro uncertainty. Equities United States: Futures are little changed to slightly positive ahead of the data. A soft-landing narrative remains intact but fragile—labor and wages will be the tie-breaker. Within sectors, trade-sensitive consumer names and capital goods could react most to any tariff-related headlines, while rate-sensitive groups (housing, utilities) will take their cue from the move in yields. Europe: Regional indices are firmer, supported by a blend of defensives and economically sensitive names. A stable dollar and incremental improvement in external demand hopes are helping exporters. Financials remain leveraged to the path of long-end yields and curve shape. Asia: Japan led gains as chip-adjacent names and exporters extended momentum amid a firmer risk tone. Elsewhere in the region, sentiment remains selective: China-linked assets are weighed by ongoing property-sector restructuring efforts, while broader Asia benefits from steady global tech demand. Fixed income and FX Rates: Treasuries are marking time into the data with the 10-year yield hovering around 4.18%–4.20%. A hotter wage print or strong headline jobs number could push yields higher and steepen the curve; a downside surprise may extend the recent range trade and take some pressure off real rates. Dollar: The greenback is slightly firmer, reflecting cautious pre-data positioning. A benign payrolls outcome could cap further dollar gains, while any upside wage surprise would likely support the currency versus low-yielders. Commodities Energy: Crude is steady within recent ranges as supply headlines and risk sentiment offset one another. Demand signals from global PMI data and US inventory trends remain the key swing factors. Metals: Industrial metals are underpinned by consolidation talk in the mining space and hopes for eventual stabilization in construction demand, tempered by ongoing balance-sheet repair in parts of China’s property sector. Gold is little changed, with moves in real yields and the dollar in the driver’s seat. Themes to watch Tariffs and margins: Any reduction or uncertainty around import levies could influence input costs and pricing power across retail, apparel, home goods, machinery, and select technology hardware. Market reaction may be uneven, with beneficiaries on the cost side but potential push-pull on rates. Housing and rates: Policy efforts aimed at supporting mortgage markets can be a near-term tailwind for housing activity and related equities, but the durability of any boost will depend on the path of long-term yields. Electric vehicles and capital discipline: Slower EV adoption in select markets is prompting reassessments of production schedules and investment timelines across the auto-battery supply chain. China property stabilization: Restructuring steps remain in focus. The pace and scope of policy support will be key for credit sentiment, commodities demand, and regional risk assets. Scenario map for today’s US jobs data Stronger jobs and wages: Equities mixed (cyclicals up, rate-sensitives down), yields up, dollar firmer. In-line report with contained wages: Risk assets supported, yields range-bound, dollar stable to softer. Weaker jobs or softer wages: Duration bid (yields lower), dollar eases, equities lean positive for long-duration growth but may see some cyclical underperformance. The day ahead United States: Nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings. Also watching any developments on trade policy/legal rulings and Fed-speak for rate-path hints. Corporate: M&A chatter in natural resources remains a swing factor for global miners; ongoing updates from autos/EV and housing-related firms may steer sector dispersion. Risk considerations Policy path ambiguity (monetary, fiscal, and trade) Geopolitical and supply-chain frictions affecting energy and freight Earnings revision risk if growth cools faster than expected Liquidity conditions as issuance and buybacks restart into earnings season Risk considerations Policy path ambiguity (monetary, fiscal, and trade) Geopolitical and supply-chain frictions affecting energy and freight Earnings revision risk if growth cools faster than expected Liquidity conditions as issuance and buybacks restart into earnings season Markets are marking time into the labor report and potential policy headlines. A balanced stance—maintaining quality exposure while keeping an eye on rate sensitivity and trade-linked cyclicals—remains prudent until the data reset the macro narrative. This commentary is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market levels are approximate and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any

Jan 09 – Daily Market Update Read More »

Jan 08 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates /

08 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates A broad market briefing As of 06:22 am ET Market snapshot S&P 500 futures: 6950.75 Stoxx Europe 600: 602.9 Nikkei 225: 51117.26 Bitcoin: 89977.04 Broad dollar gauge: 1207.84 Global wrap Asia: Equities retreated, led by Japan, as investors took profits in technology and cyclicals following a strong run into year-end. Semiconductor sentiment was mixed: optimism around AI-related demand persists, but positioning remains elevated and sensitive to policy headlines and supply-chain updates. Europe: Stocks are softer with defensives outperforming cyclicals. Energy is under pressure after a weaker quarter for some integrated oils, while select retailers lag on tepid holiday read‑throughs. Core rates are little changed ahead of a heavy sovereign supply slate. US pre-market: Futures are modestly lower as policy noise and valuation concerns stir a more selective tone. Recent social-media commentary around residential real estate investment and defense capital returns injected volatility across homebuilders and defense contractors, underscoring headline sensitivity at stretched multiples. Policy and macro Policy signaling remains a key swing factor. Markets are weighing potential curbs on institutional purchases of single-family homes, as well as proposed conditions on defense-sector payouts and spending. These headlines contributed to sector churn and a mild de‑risking in momentum pockets. Trade and tech: Reports that China may allow limited imports of advanced AI accelerators later this quarter supported sentiment around parts of the chip complex, though details and scope remain fluid. Rates backdrop: Robust primary issuance continues globally as issuers front‑load funding ahead of earnings blackouts and central-bank speak. Despite the deluge, credit spreads remain tight, highlighting sustained demand for high-quality paper and, increasingly, longer-dated maturities. Credit and rates Busiest start to the year for global bonds in recent memory, with US IG, euro IG, and selected sovereigns tapping markets at scale. New deals are generally meeting strong books and modest concessions, although a heavy calendar raises the risk of near-term indigestion. Treasury curve: Little net change pre‑open. Duration demand is firm from liability-driven buyers, while macro funds remain tactical into supply and data. Equities Technology: AI remains the dominant investment theme. Memory suppliers continue to benefit from data‑center demand and firmer pricing, though near-term consolidation is not surprising after outsized 2025 gains. Industrials/Defense: Policy proposals around buybacks/dividends and capex drove outsized moves. After-hours and cross‑region trading showed two-way flows as investors recalibrated for potential spending trajectories. Consumer: Select big-box and beverage names posted resilient holiday updates, contrasting with softer results from some European apparel and grocery chains. The divergence underscores a cautious consumer with a tilt toward value and staples. Financials: Card and co‑brand partnerships remain in focus with changes among large US banks and consumer-tech platforms. Funding costs and credit normalization are key watch items into earnings season. Commodities Crude: Range-bound as the market balances softening recent prices against geopolitical developments and any potential shifts in sanctioned barrels. Positioning is light into upcoming OPEC/non‑OPEC headlines. Industrial metals: Elevated activity in China’s onshore markets has fueled speculative interest in copper, nickel, and lithium. Fundamentals are improving but volatility is rising alongside leverage. Gold: Steady to slightly firmer on safe-haven interest and stable real yields. Currencies and digital assets US dollar: Fractionally stronger on haven flows and relative growth momentum. Most G10 pairs are confined to recent ranges. Crypto: Bitcoin is consolidating below the 90k mark after a strong multi-month run. Liquidity pockets around round numbers continue to drive short-term swings. Corporate highlights to watch Semiconductors/AI: Potential incremental access for advanced chips to China would be a notable demand tailwind for selected suppliers; clarity on compliance and volumes will matter. Hardware/Memory: A large Asian electronics leader reported a record quarter on AI server demand, reinforcing the memory upcycle narrative. Consumer finance: A major US bank is set to replace a rival as the issuing partner for a prominent tech company’s credit-card program, signaling continued shake-ups in co‑brand relationships. Energy majors: Trading updates flag softer Q4 oil marketing results amid declining crude prices; focus shifts to capex discipline and shareholder returns through earnings season. Key themes we’re tracking Valuation sensitivity: With broad US multiples above long-run averages, headlines that challenge “perfection” are producing outsized sector moves. Issuance wave: The combination of heavy corporate and sovereign supply with still-tight spreads is supportive near term, but leaves little cushion if growth or policy surprises materialize. AI capex cycle: Data-center buildouts and memory pricing underpin tech leadership, but the market will increasingly differentiate winners based on margins, supply response, and exposure to export regimes. Policy unpredictability: Rapid-fire proposals touching housing, defense, trade, and tariffs raise the risk premium and can compress risk appetite episodically. Market breadth: Leadership remains narrow; sustained rallies likely require broader participation from cyclicals and mid/small caps. The day ahead Focus: Central-bank speakers, primary market supply, and any incremental policy developments. Corporate pre-announcements and early earnings season guidance will set tone for margins and capex. Risk radar Policy shocks across trade/defence/housing Supply-driven hiccups in credit markets Geopolitical flare-ups affecting energy and shipping lanes Narrow market leadership and crowded positions in AI beneficiaries This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Market data are subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should

Jan 08 – Daily Market Update Read More »

Jan 07 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates /

07 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad Market Briefing Global mood Risk appetite stayed resilient overnight. Asia extended its New Year upswing, led by Hong Kong, as investors rotated toward markets with lower valuations and improving growth signals. Europe opened slightly firmer, while US equity futures were broadly flat. The US dollar remains soft against major peers, a trend many investors expect could continue if global growth broadens and US rate differentials narrow. Crypto eased from recent highs, while industrial metals stayed supported. Macro and policy Washington signaled potential support for private-sector efforts to rebuild Venezuela’s oil sector following the recent change in leadership. Markets are assessing implications for heavy crude supply, US Gulf refiners, and the medium‑term path of sanctions policy. Beijing introduced tighter controls on shipments to Japan with potential military end‑use, keeping attention on supply-chain security in electronics and advanced manufacturing. Investor surveys continue to show optimism on US equities after multiple strong years, with growing debate about market leadership and the durability of AI‑related trades. Equities Asia: Rotational buying into North Asia and Hong Kong persisted, aided by discounted valuations and policy hopes. Mainland China shares were mixed, with defensives and exporters relatively steady. Europe: Stocks edged higher at the open, with miners and industrials benefiting from firm metals prices. Energy shares were supported by geopolitics and crude’s bid. US: Futures were little changed. Semiconductors remain in focus after updates from leading chipmakers on data‑center roadmaps and AI hardware competition. Select analog and embedded-chip names outperformed after upbeat guidance. M&A chatter in enterprise software added to single‑name dispersion. Commodities Copper extended its rally after clearing a major psychological threshold on the global benchmark, supported by tight refined supply, robust power-transition demand expectations, and talk of potential US trade measures on refined metal. The move has favored diversified miners and select smelter plays, while raising input‑cost questions for capital goods makers. Crude traded with a modest bid as markets weighed Venezuela headlines alongside ongoing shipping and geopolitical risks. Product cracks and heavy‑sour differentials remain areas to watch if flows shift. Gold was steady, balancing lower real yields against firmer risk sentiment. FX and rates The dollar drifted lower on a trade‑weighted basis. Higher‑beta FX and select Asia EM currencies benefited from improved risk tone and carry. Sovereign yields were little changed in early trading. Primary markets were active: global dollar bond issuance just posted its busiest session in roughly a year, signaling healthy risk appetite and favorable funding windows. Digital assets Bitcoin eased modestly after recent gains. Broader crypto performance was mixed, with market attention rotating to liquidity conditions and regulatory developments. Key themes we’re watching Leadership and breadth: Can cyclicals and non‑US markets take the baton if mega‑cap tech momentum cools? AI supply chain: Intensifying competition in accelerated computing, with implications for GPU vendors, memory, networking, and data‑center power infrastructure. Commodities tightness: Copper’s squeeze highlights the interplay of trade policy, inventories, and capex cycles across miners and manufacturers. Policy and geopolitics: Energy policy toward Venezuela, Asia export controls, and shipping lanes remain key swing factors for commodities and global trade. Funding conditions: A robust start for primary debt markets supports the soft‑landing narrative; watch for duration appetite and pricing as issuance continues. The day ahead Data and events: Focus remains on global PMIs, US labor and inflation updates later this week, and central bank speakers for guidance on the timing and pace of policy easing. Earnings: Early-cycle updates from chipmakers, cloud/data‑center suppliers, and select consumer names will inform views on 2026 growth and margins. Portfolio considerations Diversification across regions and factors can help if leadership rotates. For equities, watch the balance between quality growth and cyclicals tied to industrial activity and metals. In credit, strong new-issue demand favors active selection on structure and covenants as spreads remain tight. Commodity users may consider hedging strategies given copper and energy volatility. This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Markets are volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. Market levels referenced are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 07 – Daily Market Update January 7, 2026 07 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily –… Read More Jan 06 – Daily Market Update January 6, 2026 06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk… Read More Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 30 – Daily Market Update December 30,

Jan 07 – Daily Market Update Read More »

Jan 06 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates /

06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk appetite stayed resilient overnight. Asia extended its New Year upswing, led by Hong Kong, as investors rotated toward markets with lower valuations and improving growth signals. Europe opened slightly firmer, while US equity futures were broadly flat. The US dollar remains soft against major peers, a trend many investors expect could continue if global growth broadens and US rate differentials narrow. Crypto eased from recent highs, while industrial metals stayed supported. Macro and policy Washington signaled potential support for private-sector efforts to rebuild Venezuela’s oil sector following the recent change in leadership. Markets are assessing implications for heavy crude supply, US Gulf refiners, and the medium‑term path of sanctions policy. Beijing introduced tighter controls on shipments to Japan with potential military end‑use, keeping attention on supply-chain security in electronics and advanced manufacturing. Investor surveys continue to show optimism on US equities after multiple strong years, with growing debate about market leadership and the durability of AI‑related trades. Equities Asia: Rotational buying into North Asia and Hong Kong persisted, aided by discounted valuations and policy hopes. Mainland China shares were mixed, with defensives and exporters relatively steady. Europe: Stocks edged higher at the open, with miners and industrials benefiting from firm metals prices. Energy shares were supported by geopolitics and crude’s bid. US: Futures were little changed. Semiconductors remain in focus after updates from leading chipmakers on data‑center roadmaps and AI hardware competition. Select analog and embedded-chip names outperformed after upbeat guidance. M&A chatter in enterprise software added to single‑name dispersion. Commodities Copper extended its rally after clearing a major psychological threshold on the global benchmark, supported by tight refined supply, robust power-transition demand expectations, and talk of potential US trade measures on refined metal. The move has favored diversified miners and select smelter plays, while raising input‑cost questions for capital goods makers. Crude traded with a modest bid as markets weighed Venezuela headlines alongside ongoing shipping and geopolitical risks. Product cracks and heavy‑sour differentials remain areas to watch if flows shift. Gold was steady, balancing lower real yields against firmer risk sentiment. FX and rates The dollar drifted lower on a trade‑weighted basis. Higher‑beta FX and select Asia EM currencies benefited from improved risk tone and carry. Sovereign yields were little changed in early trading. Primary markets were active: global dollar bond issuance just posted its busiest session in roughly a year, signaling healthy risk appetite and favorable funding windows. Digital assets Bitcoin eased modestly after recent gains. Broader crypto performance was mixed, with market attention rotating to liquidity conditions and regulatory developments. Key themes we’re watching Leadership and breadth: Can cyclicals and non‑US markets take the baton if mega‑cap tech momentum cools? AI supply chain: Intensifying competition in accelerated computing, with implications for GPU vendors, memory, networking, and data‑center power infrastructure. Commodities tightness: Copper’s squeeze highlights the interplay of trade policy, inventories, and capex cycles across miners and manufacturers. Policy and geopolitics: Energy policy toward Venezuela, Asia export controls, and shipping lanes remain key swing factors for commodities and global trade. Funding conditions: A robust start for primary debt markets supports the soft‑landing narrative; watch for duration appetite and pricing as issuance continues. The day ahead Data and events: Focus remains on global PMIs, US labor and inflation updates later this week, and central bank speakers for guidance on the timing and pace of policy easing. Earnings: Early-cycle updates from chipmakers, cloud/data‑center suppliers, and select consumer names will inform views on 2026 growth and margins. Portfolio considerations Diversification across regions and factors can help if leadership rotates. For equities, watch the balance between quality growth and cyclicals tied to industrial activity and metals. In credit, strong new-issue demand favors active selection on structure and covenants as spreads remain tight. Commodity users may consider hedging strategies given copper and energy volatility. This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Markets are volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. Market levels referenced are indicative and subject to change.   Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 06 – Daily Market Update January 6, 2026 06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk… Read More Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 30 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 30 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Morning… Read More Dec 29 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 29 – Daily

Jan 06 – Daily Market Update Read More »

Jan 05 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates /

05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Market snapshot (as of ~6:35 a.m. ET) US equity futures: higher; tech leading gains while broader benchmarks grind up US 10-year Treasury: yield modestly lower near the mid‑4.1% area as haven demand persists Crude oil: little changed, WTI hovering in the high‑$50s US dollar: firmer versus majors; safe‑haven tone evident Precious metals: gold and silver extend recent strength Overnight and early session A risk-on tone is carrying into the new week, with global equities advancing despite a concurrent bid for traditional havens. Investors appear to be balancing geopolitical headlines with resilient earnings expectations and ongoing enthusiasm around AI-related capex. The result: tech-heavy benchmarks are outpacing broader indices, while defensives and commodity-linked names also attract interest. Rates and policy US Treasuries: The long end is slightly richer as investors weigh geopolitical developments and upcoming labor-market data. The curve is broadly steady, with modest bull-flattening bias. Policy outlook: Markets remain data-dependent. Softening inflation trends and mixed growth signals keep the door open to incremental easing later this year, but timing and pace will hinge on jobs, wages, and services inflation in the weeks ahead. Equities Leadership: Semiconductors and AI-adjacent hardware continue to power gains on expectations of robust data center and memory demand. Defense and aerospace stocks are bid amid geopolitical tension. Select energy names are supported by potential upstream investment narratives even as spot crude remains range-bound. Breadth: Participation is improving, though leadership remains concentrated in tech and a handful of cyclicals tied to infrastructure and industrial automation. Earnings lens: Early preannouncements suggest a bifurcation—AI-driven capex beneficiaries and productivity enablers are guiding firmly, while consumer-exposed names are more mixed given uneven discretionary demand. Commodities Crude oil: Prices are steady as the market weighs supply risk headlines against ample spare capacity elsewhere and a still-gradual demand trajectory. Near-term balances look manageable, keeping volatility subdued unless supply disruptions broaden. Precious metals: Gold’s uptrend reflects a mix of geopolitical hedging, firm central-bank buying, and lower real yields. Silver is tracking higher alongside, aided by industrial demand themes. Currencies and crypto FX: The dollar is modestly stronger, aligned with a cautious global bid for safety and slightly softer non-US growth data. High-beta currencies are under pressure, with select Latin American FX volatile on regional political risk. Digital assets: Major tokens are firmer, with sentiment supported by risk appetite in tech and ongoing institutional interest, though day-to-day moves remain headline-sensitive. What’s driving the tape Geopolitics: Developments in Latin America have stoked haven flows without materially denting the global growth outlook. Markets are assessing whether the situation alters energy supply paths or financing conditions—so far, the impact looks contained. AI investment cycle: The multi-year infrastructure build (compute, memory, networking, power) continues to underpin tech multiples and capex visibility across the supply chain. Fed path: With inflation progress uneven but improving, investors are focused on the upcoming US labor data and services gauges to refine expectations for the timing of any policy easing. The week ahead: key catalysts to watch US: ISM manufacturing/services, JOLTS, ADP, factory orders, weekly jobless claims, and the December payrolls report plus wage growth and participation. Consumer confidence and housing indicators round out the macro picture. Europe: Country-level inflation updates, unemployment, producer prices, and industrial production will guide the ECB outlook. Watch Germany and France CPI prints and Eurozone confidence surveys. Asia: China CPI/PPI and trade-related readings for demand signals; Japan household spending and leading indicators; Taiwan and regional CPI releases. Events: A packed tech calendar around major industry showcases and company updates may influence sector positioning and supply-chain sentiment. Positioning and levels to monitor US 10-year yield: 4.0%–4.3% zone remains pivotal for risk appetite and equity multiples. Equities: Momentum favoring large-cap tech persists; watch whether breadth improves into payrolls. Pullbacks toward recent support have been well-bid. Oil: A sustained break from the mid‑$50s to low‑$60s range would likely require clearer evidence of supply disruption or demand acceleration. Risks to the outlook Geopolitical escalation that materially impacts energy supply or shipping lanes Upside surprises in services inflation or wages that push back rate-cut timelines Profit margin pressure from rising input or financing costs Liquidity pockets and year-start positioning amplifying volatility Markets are threading the needle between robust tech-driven earnings narratives and a cautious macro backdrop. Geopolitical uncertainty is lifting havens but hasn’t derailed the equity bid. This week’s US jobs and global inflation updates are the next major checkpoints for rates and risk assets. This publication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market levels are approximate and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update

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