Market Updates

January 19 – Daily Market Update

19 January 2026 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily: Risk appetite cools as trade tensions resurface; earnings and central banks in focus At a glance Equities: European benchmarks slipped and US equity futures tracked lower; Asia finished mixed with Japan softer. Rates and FX: Short-dated core yields eased; haven currencies outperformed while the dollar was little changed on balance. Commodities: Precious metals advanced to new highs; energy prices were range-bound. Global overview A cautious tone gripped markets to start the week as investors weighed renewed trade rhetoric between the US and Europe alongside uneven global growth signals. With US cash equities closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday, price action was led by Europe and Asia. Cyclical pockets most exposed to transatlantic trade—autos, luxury and select industrials—lagged, while defensives and commodity-linked names found support. The bid for safety was evident in firmer precious metals, modest strength in the Swiss franc, and a small rally in front-end European government bonds. Credit risk gauges ticked wider, reflecting a tentative pullback in risk appetite rather than broad stress. Regional highlights Europe: Stocks declined broadly, led by export-heavy sectors. A handful of company-specific downgrades and cautious outlooks added to pressure in consumer discretionary. Semicap equipment outperformed after strong order indications from one supplier, bucking the tech-sector drift. US: Futures pointed lower with volumes thinner into the holiday. Earnings season accelerates this week, and guidance tone will be key given elevated valuation starting points. Asia: Japan underperformed on political headlines and higher-rate concerns ahead of the central bank meeting later in the week. China-related assets were mixed after data signaled slower momentum into year-end, reinforcing the picture of uneven domestic demand. Policy and macro Trade: European officials signaled they are preparing responses should broad new US import levies materialize. Markets are watching for any move from rhetoric to policy that could ripple through supply chains and margins. Growth: Recent Chinese figures showed moderation, consistent with a gradual, bumpy post-pandemic normalization amid global protectionism. In Japan, a snap election call injected uncertainty into the policy outlook, with bonds softening on the risk of looser fiscal settings. Central banks: The Bank of Japan meets Friday with markets parsing any tweaks to guidance. Several smaller central banks in Europe and Asia also decide policy this week. Earnings lens The next leg of the rally hinges on delivery. With indices near highs, there’s less room for earnings misses or cautious outlooks. Focus areas: Top-line resilience vs. FX headwinds in Europe Margin trends in consumer and industrials given input-cost normalization AI- and cloud-driven capex durability for semis and software Credit quality and deposit dynamics for US regional banks Week ahead: key markers to watch Monday: US markets closed (MLK Day); Canada inflation. Tuesday: Euro-area and Germany surveys; UK labor data; early US bank and travel/streaming results. Wednesday: UK inflation; US housing and construction indicators; high-profile policy and corporate appearances at the annual business forum in Switzerland. Thursday: US GDP (advance), personal income and PCE inflation; labor-market claims; multiple EM/DM rate decisions. Friday: Japan CPI and policy decision; preliminary PMIs across major economies; UK and Canada retail updates; US consumer sentiment. Cross-asset moves Equities: Pullback concentrated in trade-sensitive sectors; defensives and selected commodity names fared better. Expect positioning to rebalance around earnings beats/misses and guidance. Rates: Front-end core yields dipped as growth and policy uncertainty nudged duration buyers back in; long-end moves were contained. FX: Dollar mixed; CHF and JPY found support on haven demand; high-beta FX lagged. Commodities: Gold and silver extended gains on geopolitical and policy hedging; oil held in a tight band as supply risks met soft demand signals. What matters from here Policy path vs. rhetoric: Concrete steps on tariffs would have broader implications for inflation, margins and central bank reaction functions; headlines alone can keep volatility elevated. Earnings credibility: With lofty multiples, guidance for 2026 profit trajectories may steer leadership more than backward-looking beats. Liquidity and flows: Recent months have seen strong inflows into US equity funds, cushioning dips; a reversal would amplify any earnings disappointments. Credit as a canary: Monitoring spread moves in sub-investment grade as a real-time gauge of risk tolerance. The market is treating trade salvos as a tail risk rather than a base case, but pricing in a higher risk premium across trade-exposed equities and credit. Near term, earnings and central bank messaging are likely to dominate. Expect choppy trading around guidance, with quality balance sheets and visible cash flows better positioned if volatility persists. This publication is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets are volatile and past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. January 19 – Daily Market Update January 19, 2026 19 January 2026 –

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Weekly Global Market News – January 19

Weekly Global Market News – Jan 19 Week Ahead: Davos diplomacy, IMF growth call, Japan’s snap election signal, and a heavy earnings slate Welcome to your weekly market briefing. The next five days pack in global policy theater, first-tier macro releases, and bellwether corporate updates. Below is a concise roadmap for clients as you position across equities, rates, FX, and commodities. Top themes to watch Davos sets the policy toneGlobal leaders and CEOs converge on the World Economic Forum with industrial policy, supply chain security, AI, and geopolitics in focus. A large US delegation, Ukraine’s leadership, and senior European officials raise odds of headlines on Ukraine support and European economic integration. Markets will parse any hints on trade restrictions, critical minerals access, and defense spending. Japan: election timing and the BoJLocal media expect Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to announce the dissolution of the lower house, paving the way for an early general election (watch for Feb 8 or 15 as possible dates). Political risk can amplify yen and JGB volatility. The Bank of Japan follows at week’s end with a policy decision after December’s move to 0.75%. Key questions: pace of normalization, balance-sheet run-off, and guidance on wage-price dynamics. IMF World Economic OutlookThe Fund’s winter update lands Monday. Focus points: global growth downgrades/upgrades, US resilience, China’s trajectory, eurozone stagnation risk, and inflation persistence. Expect market sensitivity to revisions in 2026 growth and trade forecasts. Inflation and activity data blitzPrice prints from the UK, euro area, Germany, and Japan will update the disinflation narrative; flash PMIs on Friday will offer a timely read on demand, pricing, and hiring across major economies. China and the US release headline GDP updates—vital for cyclicals, commodities, and duration trades. Earnings season acceleratesStreaming, semiconductors, miners, airlines, rails, and oilfield services all report. Management tone on pricing, inventories, capex, and 2026 margin outlook will steer factor leadership. Macro and policy calendar Monday IMF World Economic Outlook update China Q4 GDP estimate Euro area December HICP (final) Canada CPI US: Martin Luther King Jr Day (markets closed) Tuesday Bank of England Financial Policy Committee testimony in Parliament China policy rate announcement Euro area Q3 GDP update Germany PPI UK labor market report (jobs, wages) Wednesday IEA Oil Market Report UK CPI and PPI Thursday ECB minutes from the latest meeting UK public finances US Q3 GDP update (third estimate) Australia labor force report Friday Japan: BoJ rate decision and CPI Flash PMIs: euro area, Germany, France, UK, US, India UK retail sales Corporate earnings and events (highlights) Tuesday Netflix (Q4): Watch ad-tier traction, paid sharing durability, ARPU momentum, free cash flow, and commentary on content spend. Media deal chatter persists around studio assets; any M&A hints could move streaming peers. US regionals: US Bancorp, Fifth Third Bancorp Industrials/consumer: 3M; DFS Furniture (UK) Wednesday Rio Tinto (Q4 operations): Pilbara shipments, iron ore price assumptions, opex/capex guidance, decarbonization spend, copper growth optionality. Johnson & Johnson; Halliburton; Charles Schwab; United Airlines; Prologis; Burberry (trading); Experian (Q3) Thursday Intel (Q4): Gross margin bridge, foundry roadmap, AI PC adoption, DCG trends, 2026 capex steers; read-through across semis. Procter & Gamble; GE Aerospace; Abbott Laboratories; Capital One; Northern Trust; Freeport-McMoRan; Alcoa; CSX; McCormick; AJ Bell; B&M; ABF Friday SLB (Schlumberger); Ericsson; SSP; Record Geopolitics and policy diary UK planning decision on China’s proposed London embassy site is due Tuesday—a bilateral signal to watch for sterling-sensitive risk. NATO military chiefs meet midweek with Ukraine on the agenda. Vietnam’s Communist Party Congress runs through the week (supply-chain diversification lens). Market implications and positioning thoughts Equities US: Earnings breadth vs. margin resilience is the swing factor. Watch communication services (streaming consolidation narrative), semis (AI PC cycle and capex), industrials/aerospace (backlogs, pricing), energy services (international/offshore cycle). Europe/UK: Consumer discretionary and luxury exposed to China demand; UK retailers and staples trade on pricing power vs. volume. Financials sensitive to rate path implied by CPI/PMIs and ECB minutes. Materials: Iron ore and copper leverage China GDP and Rio/Freeport guidance; monitor capex discipline signals. Rates US Treasuries: Thin Monday; then GDP/PMIs drive the belly. A firmer growth mix supports term premia; softer PMIs revive duration bids. Gilts: UK CPI and labor data set tone for front-end repricing; retail sales can tweak the curve into week’s end. Bunds/OATs: Euro HICP and PMIs to guide ECB cut probability; minutes may show tolerance for slower cuts. JGBs: BoJ communication risk is elevated; any hawkish tilt (wages, inflation persistence, balance-sheet runoff) could steepen. FX JPY: Event-rich week (election signal + BoJ) raises realized vol; stay nimble around policy headlines. GBP: CPI/labor/PMI trio could whipsaw sterling; embassy decision is a secondary geopolitical watch. EUR: Sensitive to PMIs and ECB tone; crosses likely trade on relative growth momentum. AUD: Labor print and China data shape AUD-beta to global growth. Commodities Energy: IEA OMR plus US macro should frame demand; services earnings (HAL/SLB) inform offshore/international activity. Metals: China GDP is the primary driver; Rio/FCX guidance adds micro detail on supply, grades, and capex. Gold: Real yields and dollar path remain decisive; watch for haven bids if policy/geopolitics surprise. Five quick checkpoints for clients IMF growth revisions: Does the Fund ratify “soft-landing + slow disinflation,” or lean more cautious on 2026? UK CPI: Does services inflation ease enough to keep BoE cuts in play for mid‑year? BoJ: Any shift in language on wage settlements or QT could reset JPY and global rates correlations. China GDP: Is the print and commentary consistent with metals pricing and miners’ guidance? Netflix/Intel/Rio: Three bellwethers for digital media, AI hardware, and old-economy cyclicals—tone will steer sector leadership. Key risks Policy surprises from Davos comments on trade/industrial policy Faster/slower disinflation altering rate-cut timelines Japan policy/election uncertainty whipsawing JPY and global duration Earnings guidance resets, particularly around 2026 margin and capex Client note This publication is provided for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Markets involve risk, including the possible loss of principal. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance, and consult a licensed

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January 16 – Daily Market Update

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16 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily | Broad Market Update Market Snapshot (as of 06:25 am ET; levels may be delayed) Nasdaq 100 futures: 25861.25 (+0.60%) Stoxx Europe 600: 614.1 (-0.07%) Hang Seng: 26844.96 (-0.29%) Bitcoin: 95314.2 (-0.25%) Spot gold: 4609.59 (-0.13%) What’s moving markets Equities: A renewed bid for large-cap technology is lifting US futures, with strength spilling over from Asia where a regional tech gauge set a fresh high. Europe is more mixed: broad indices are flat to slightly lower, but semiconductor supply-chain names continue to attract buyers on signs of sustained spending across advanced chip manufacturing. Credit: Risk appetite remains firm. Credit spreads are hovering near multi‑year tights and primary issuance is running at a brisk pace as companies lock in funding early in the year. While carry remains attractive, tighter premia leave less cushion if growth or inflation surprises. Rates: US Treasuries are stuck in a notably narrow range, with the 10‑year yield little changed over the past several weeks. Such periods of low volatility have previously preceded larger moves; investors are watching incoming data and policy signals for a catalyst. Commodities: Precious metals are slightly softer alongside firmer risk sentiment. Industrial metals are steady, while crude holds in a tight band amid balanced supply headlines and demand expectations. Digital assets: Bitcoin is consolidating after a strong multi‑week run. Volatility remains elevated relative to traditional asset classes, and correlation to equities has ticked higher recently. Regional highlights United States: Tech leadership is back in focus ahead of a heavy stretch of corporate results. Positioning is skewed toward firms levered to AI infrastructure and cloud demand, while cyclicals are trading in line with growth expectations. Markets continue to price an easing path for policy rates over 2026, with timing and pace sensitive to inflation prints and labor trends. Europe: Technology is the standout sector year‑to‑date, helped by chip‑equipment suppliers tied to capacity expansion. Banks and energy are range‑bound as investors weigh margins, capital returns, and commodity stability. Auto sentiment remains uneven amid shifting EV demand and promotional activity. Asia: Equity performance is mixed. Strength in technology offsets softness in select consumer and property pockets. Policy support and trade signals are in focus, with some indications of improved access and lower frictions in bilateral commerce. Earnings and issuance lens Financials, transports, and health care guide the earnings calendar over the coming sessions. Results will be parsed for margin resilience, loan growth, credit normalization, and capex intentions for 2026. Primary bond markets are active across investment‑grade and leveraged finance. Persistent demand is meeting elevated supply, supporting refinancing but compressing compensation for risk. Selectivity by sector and tenor remains key as liquidity conditions ebb and flow. Themes to watch AI and semiconductors: Upbeat capital‑spending plans across advanced nodes and memory are supporting upstream equipment providers and specialty materials. Watch order backlogs and delivery timelines as a gauge of durability. Credit tightness: With spreads near cycle lows, portfolio construction is increasingly about quality differentiation, structure, and liquidity management rather than reaching further out the risk curve. Rangebound rates: A breakout from the recent Treasury yield corridor could reset cross‑asset correlations. Data surprises on inflation, growth, or employment are the likely triggers. Global trade and industrial policy: Evolving tariff and subsidy frameworks continue to shape capital allocation in autos, energy, and technology supply chains. Market positioning takeaways Equities: Leadership remains narrow but broadening attempts continue beneath the surface. Watch for earnings revisions and guidance on pricing power and inventories. Fixed income: Carry is constructive, but with limited spread buffer. Duration neutrality with tactical flexibility has been favored in recent weeks as the curve fluctuates. Alternatives and commodities: Gold’s drift lower mirrors firmer risk tone; longer‑term hedging demand persists. Energy markets remain headline‑sensitive; positioning is balanced. The week ahead Key data in the days ahead includes inflation updates, housing indicators, business surveys, and jobless claims in the US; sentiment gauges and final price readings in Europe; and activity indicators across Asia. Central‑bank speakers and corporate guidance may offer the catalysts rates markets have been waiting for. Note: This commentary is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation of any security, strategy, or product. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. January 16 – Daily Market Update January 16, 2026 16 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily |… Read More january 15 – Daily Market Update January 15, 2026 15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More january 14 – Daily Market Update January 14, 2026 14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More january 13 – Daily Market Update January 13, 2026 13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market… Read More Jan 12 – Daily Market Update January 12, 2026

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january 15 – Daily Market Update

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15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Tone at a glance Risk appetite is firmer in early US hours as technology strength and improving breadth underpin equities, while commodities trade mixed and volatility remains contained. Market snapshot Nasdaq 100 futures: 25837.75 (+0.81%) WTI crude (front-month): 59.77 (-3.53%) Stoxx Europe 600: 613.88 (+0.38%) Nikkei 225: 54110.5 (-0.42%) Spot silver: 91.26 (-2.04%) Note: Market data may be delayed and is for informational purposes only. Global overview Equities: Technology-led gains are supporting US futures, with investors rotating selectively into growth areas tied to compute, data infrastructure, and semiconductors. Europe is modestly higher, paced by cyclicals and select financials, while Japan eased after a strong multi-month run as investors reassess valuations and currency moves. Commodities: Crude oil is lower as geopolitical risk premiums ebb and supply expectations stabilize; refined products are mixed. Precious metals are softer alongside a steady dollar and firmer real yields, while industrial metals show a slight bid on incremental signs of demand resilience. Breadth and style: After a period of improved participation across sectors, leadership remains a tug-of-war between mega-cap tech and economically sensitive groups. Small and mid caps have shown better relative tone lately, helped by easing credit anxieties and hopes for durable earnings improvement, but momentum still gravitates to AI-linked beneficiaries. Volatility: Implied volatility across major equity benchmarks remains subdued, consistent with a “climb the wall of worry” backdrop. Low vol can amplify reactions to data surprises, earnings guidance, or policy headlines. US session focus Earnings: Early results from large financial institutions and bellwethers across technology hardware and software will anchor the narrative on credit quality, deposit trends, AI-related capex, and enterprise demand. Management guidance on margins and capex plans is a key swing factor for sentiment. Data and policy: Investors are watching weekly labor indicators, housing and production updates, and any central bank commentary for clues on the path of growth, inflation, and policy rates. The market remains sensitive to shifts in rate-cut expectations and to evidence of either reacceleration or cooling in activity. Europe and UK European shares are supported by a mix of industrials, financials, and healthcare. Recent data suggest tentative stabilization in activity, though margin commentary remains front of mind in consumer and luxury segments. In the UK, manufacturing and services readings are being watched for confirmation of a gradual improvement in output and pricing pressures. Asia-Pacific Japan’s equity benchmark dipped modestly after a significant year-to-date advance, with investors weighing earnings revisions against currency dynamics and potential policy normalization. In broader Asia, tech supply-chain names continue to benefit from resilient demand for compute and memory, while exporters monitor global orders and shipping costs. Sectors to watch Semiconductors and equipment: Upbeat capex intentions across the compute/AI stack continue to filter through to suppliers, sustaining order backlogs and utilization outlooks. Watch commentary on lead times, tool deliveries, and supply normalization. Energy: Crude weakness reflects shifting risk premiums and balanced supply expectations. Keep an eye on inventory trends, OPEC+ signals, and refining margins for clues on near-term direction. Financials: Funding costs, loan growth, fee income, and credit provisions are the key watchpoints. Capital return plans and expense discipline remain catalysts. Consumer and discretionary: Margin resilience versus promotional activity is in focus. Travel, leisure, and luxury are sensitive to high-end demand and FX. What could move markets next Earnings guidance: Forward-looking commentary on demand, pricing, and margin structure may matter more than backward-looking beats/misses. Rate expectations: Any change in the timing or pace of anticipated policy adjustments can ripple through duration-sensitive equities and credit. Geopolitics and commodities: Headline risk around supply routes and regional tensions can quickly alter energy and freight pricing. Market internals: Watch breadth, new highs/lows, and factor dispersion to gauge the durability of the current advance. Risk radar Concentration risk in mega-cap leaders despite improving breadth Sensitivity to input costs and wage dynamics as pricing power normalizes Liquidity pockets in credit and private markets amid evolving rate paths Event risk around data releases and policy communication House view (tactical) Constructive but selective on risk assets near term, favoring high-quality balance sheets and cash-flow visibility. Prefer exposure to structural growth themes in compute/AI and automation while balancing with cyclicals tied to steady global demand. Maintain diversification with an eye on duration risk and potential volatility spikes around key events. Important information This newsletter is a general market commentary prepared for informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, sector, or strategy. Market levels shown above were provided by the user and may be delayed. Always evaluate investments in light of your objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. january 15 – Daily Market Update January 15, 2026 15 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More january 14 –

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january 14 – Daily Market Update

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14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as of early US morning) S&P 500 futures: 6972.5 (-0.42%) Stoxx Europe 600: 610.96 (+0.09%) Nikkei 225: 54341.2 (+1.48%) China CSI 300: 4741.9 (-0.40%) Bitcoin: 94935.56 (+0.92%) Global overview US: Equity futures edge lower as investors weigh a firmer labor backdrop against shifting interest-rate expectations. Options and rates pricing continue to lean toward a prolonged Fed pause, with markets trimming the odds of near-term cuts after resilient employment data. Europe: Regional benchmarks are modestly higher, led by defensives and select growth names. Focus remains on earnings season and sovereign funding conditions as governments ramp up issuance. Asia: Japan outperformed with the Nikkei setting fresh records amid optimism around policy support and corporate profitability. Mainland Chinese shares eased following steps to curb leverage in stock trading, tempering a powerful recent rally. Commodities Precious and industrial metals extended an early-year surge, with several benchmarks notching new highs. Tailwinds include: Expectations that global financial conditions will remain supportive even if the Fed stays patient. A bid for portfolio diversifiers amid geopolitical unease and concerns over sovereign debt loads. Improved sentiment toward manufacturing demand, including investment tied to data centers, electrification and automation. Ongoing supply frictions at mines and smelters that keep inventories tight. While momentum is strong, positioning has become crowded, leaving the complex sensitive to shifts in the dollar, policy signals, or evidence of demand cooling. Rates and currencies US rate markets reflect a higher-for-longer narrative relative to earlier assumptions, with some participants positioning for no additional policy easing this year. The debate now centers on how long the Fed can hold policy steady while inflation trends lower only gradually. The US dollar is broadly steady, limiting commodity tailwinds but not reversing them. European yields remain range-bound as investors monitor issuance and fiscal trajectories. Corporate and sector highlights Select megacap technology, semiconductor, and AI-adjacent infrastructure names remain in focus as capital expenditure plans for computing and power build-outs continue to scale. Auto and EV shares are mixed on shifting expectations for new model launches and profitability timelines. Consumer and luxury names are steady to firmer in Europe on optimism around wearable tech and premium accessories. Large European defense suppliers continue to explore primary listings and capital-raising options amid elevated demand visibility. In the US, major banks are set to report, offering a read on net interest income, credit normalization, deposit trends, and capital return plans. Policy and macro themes The central-bank outlook has become more nuanced: resilient jobs data reduce urgency for additional easing, but inflation progress remains key. Market-implied paths now cluster around a longer pause scenario with a narrower distribution of potential cuts. Policy headlines tied to elections and regulatory priorities are adding idiosyncratic risk, particularly for financials, defense, and consumer credit. Expect periodic volatility as proposals surface, even without immediate legislative traction. In Asia, selective regulatory tightening in equity financing aims to stabilize recent rapid gains, while pro-growth signals in Japan continue to underpin risk appetite. Digital assets Bitcoin gained modestly, extending a steady start to the week. Flows remain driven by broader risk sentiment and positioning rather than a single catalyst. What we’re watching Bank earnings for guidance on credit quality, charge-offs, and capital deployment. Corporate updates from AI, cloud, and power-equipment ecosystems for evidence of sustained capex. Any shifts in Fed communications or data that alter the implied rate path. Developments in Asian equity-market regulation and their impact on trading leverage and turnover. Primary issuance and IPO pipelines in Europe, notably in industrials and defense. Thoughts for investors Broader cross-asset leadership is constructive, but crowded trades in metals and AI-linked thematics increase the premium on risk management. With policy risk rising into an election-heavy year, sector diversification and attention to headline sensitivity are prudent. In rates, the distribution of outcomes has tightened around “steady for longer,” raising the importance of carry, curve positioning, and relative value rather than big directional bets. Disclosure This material is a general market commentary for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security, asset class, or strategy. Market levels are indicative and subject to change. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. january 13 – Daily Market Update January 14, 2026 14 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Market snapshot (as… Read More january 13 – Daily Market Update January 13, 2026 13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market… Read More Jan 12 – Daily Market Update January 12, 2026 12 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily Your… Read More Jan 09 – Daily Market Update January 9, 2026 09 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Market at a… Read More Jan 08 – Daily Market Update January 8, 2026 08 Jan 26 – Daily

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january 13 – Daily Market Update

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13 January 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily—Broad Market Update Market at a glance (as of 06:07 am ET; levels and changes are indicative) Nikkei 225: 53549.16 (+3.10%) S&P 500 Futures: 7005 (-0.16%) Stoxx Europe 600: 609.75 (-0.20%) Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index: 1210.5 (+0.08%) Bitcoin: 92011.56 (+1.14%) Global market wrap Asia: Japanese equities surged to fresh highs, led by cyclical and export-oriented names as investors priced in prospects for pro-growth policy and a supportive domestic backdrop. Broader Asian benchmarks were mixed, with pockets of strength in autos, semiconductors, and industrial technology. Europe: Major European indices are modestly softer in early trade after a strong multi-month run. Momentum indicators signal stretched conditions for some benchmarks, prompting talk of a near-term consolidation even as earnings expectations remain constructive. US: Equity futures are edging lower ahead of a key US inflation reading. Rate-sensitive sectors are in focus as markets assess the timing and extent of policy easing later this year. The broader tone remains constructive but data-dependent. Macro and policy Inflation watch: A closely watched US price report due today will help confirm whether disinflation is progressing smoothly or encountering a temporary bump. A firmer print could nudge yields higher and test risk appetite; a softer outcome would likely support duration and rate-sensitive equities. Central banks: Recent commentary from major central bank officials points to a preference for staying patient, keeping policy restrictive long enough to ensure inflation returns to target. Markets continue to balance that stance against an improving growth pulse. Policy and geopolitics: Headlines around trade, elections, and global security continue to inject episodic volatility into FX, rates, and energy. Investors remain alert to any policy shifts that could affect supply chains, tariffs, or the cost of capital. Earnings season: the next catalyst US financials open the season: Large banks kick off results with attention on investment banking pipelines, trading revenue normalization, net interest income trends, credit quality, and capital return frameworks. Forward guidance for 2026 will likely carry more weight than backward-looking beats or misses. Rotation vs. leadership: The recent tilt toward cyclicals, small caps, and value is being tested by earnings. While economically sensitive groups may benefit from firmer growth, mega-cap technology remains a major driver of index-level profit growth. For the rotation to endure, management teams across industrials, consumer, and financials will need to deliver confident outlooks and margin discipline. Rates, FX, and commodities Bonds: Treasury yields are steady to slightly higher into the data print, with the curve sensitive to any surprise in core inflation. European sovereigns are consolidating after a strong rally, and Japanese yields remain influenced by domestic policy expectations. Currencies: The US dollar is fractionally stronger on cautious pre-data positioning. The yen is softer on policy and political speculation, while the euro trades narrowly as markets await fresh macro signals. Energy and metals: Crude is rangebound as supply-risk headlines are weighed against demand and inventory dynamics. Industrial metals are steady, supported by signs of improving global manufacturing activity. Digital assets: Crypto benchmarks are firmer, with buyers stepping in on dips amid ongoing institutional interest and liquidity improvements. Sectors and notable themes Semiconductors: Positive broker commentary and capacity outlooks are supporting select chipmakers, particularly those tied to foundry, AI, and high-performance compute end markets. Health care/biotech: Regulatory headlines are creating dispersion, with approval timelines and data readouts driving stock-specific moves. Software and services: Contract wins and platform adoptions continue to differentiate among providers as enterprises optimize tech spending. Renewables and utilities: Policy and legal clarity are incremental tailwinds for selected projects, while execution and financing conditions remain key watch items. Autos and industrial tech: Investor enthusiasm around automation, robotics, and next-gen manufacturing continues to buoy select names. The day ahead Data: A key US inflation report, followed by labor and housing indicators later in the week. Abroad, focus remains on European confidence measures and Asia’s activity data. Earnings: Large US banks today, with more financials, consumer staples, and industrials through the week. Guidance on demand elasticity, pricing power, and cost control will be closely parsed. Events: Ongoing central bank appearances and policy remarks may influence rate expectations and cross-asset volatility. What we’re watching Can cyclicals extend their relative outperformance if inflation runs a bit hotter, or does that re-tighten financial conditions and favor defensives? Do banks point to a broadening M&A pipeline and a healthier primary market, supporting a more durable recovery in fees? Will management teams emphasize inventory normalization and productivity gains that sustain margins even if pricing power fades? Risk radar Policy shifts in trade and tariffs that affect global supply chains and input costs Inflation persistence that delays or reduces the scale of policy easing Geopolitical tensions that sway energy, shipping, and FX markets Liquidity pockets and positioning extremes after a strong year-end rally Portfolio considerations (general, not advice) Maintain diversification across styles and market caps given crosscurrents between growth leadership and cyclical catch-up. Consider the balance between duration exposure and inflation hedges around key data. Emphasize quality balance sheets and cash flow resilience as earnings season tests narratives. Disclosure This communication is for information purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Markets are volatile and subject to change. Please consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Data and pricing are indicative and may differ from real-time quotes. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding

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Jan 12 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Daily Market Updates, Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

12 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily Your broad market briefing for the trading day Market at a glance Equities: US index futures softer; European benchmarks slightly lower after an uneven open; Asia mixed with Japan closed for a holiday. Rates: Long-dated US Treasury yields edging higher; global curves exhibiting a mild steepening bias. FX: The US dollar pulls back against major peers as investors reassess policy and growth trajectories. Commodities: Gold and silver extend gains on safe-haven demand; oil trades in a tight range amid crosscurrents in supply and demand. What’s moving markets Policy uncertainty and central bank signaling are back in focus. Markets are weighing the implications of potential shifts in the path of interest rates and the broader debate around monetary policy independence, keeping volatility elevated in rates, FX, and precious metals. Positioning and concentration risk remain key themes in equities. With leadership narrowing at times over recent months, investors are paying closer attention to earnings breadth, guidance quality, and cash flow durability rather than headline growth alone. Safe-haven flows are noticeable. A softer dollar alongside strength in bullion suggests some preference for diversification, particularly as investors hedge against inflation and policy surprises. Credit and consumer finance sentiment is cautious. Headlines and regulatory discussions around consumer lending and pricing are creating short-term pressure across select financials, while the broader credit market remains orderly. Equities US: Futures point to a weaker start as investors brace for a dense macro and earnings calendar. Dispersion within large-cap tech persists; stock selection remains critical as spending on new technologies meets more rigorous profitability scrutiny. Europe: Regional indices are modestly lower, with defensives and commodity-linked names outperforming cyclical pockets. M&A interest and corporate restructuring remain supportive for select sectors. Asia: Performance was mixed in a thin session. Mainland China and parts of North Asia are digesting fresh trade and price data later this week; liquidity conditions and policy communication remain near-term catalysts. Fixed income Treasuries: The curve is tilting steeper as markets weigh near-term easing expectations against longer-run term premium and fiscal dynamics. Duration has been choppy; many are favoring barbell or laddered approaches to manage reinvestment and volatility risk. Global rates: Core European yields are little changed to slightly higher; UK gilts underperform on supply and wage/inflation sensitivity. In credit, primary issuance remains active with mostly stable spreads, though lower-quality tiers could see more differentiation into earnings. Currencies The dollar index softens as rate differentials narrow at the margin. Pro-cyclical pairs are mixed; haven FX is steady. Investors continue to explore diversification across G10 and select EM currencies, balancing carry with liquidity and policy credibility. Commodities Precious metals: Gold and silver advance on a combination of real-yield moves, dollar softness, and hedging demand. Positioning is elevated; pullbacks may be tactical in nature given ongoing macro uncertainty. Energy: Crude trades sideways as supply risks are balanced by uneven demand indicators. Time spreads remain range-bound; refinery margins and inventory data later in the week are in focus. Industrials: Base metals are mixed, with growth-sensitive contracts awaiting clearer signals from global manufacturing and construction data. The week ahead: what to watch US: Inflation (CPI/PPI), retail sales, housing activity, and the Fed’s Beige Book. A full slate of public remarks from policymakers may shed light on the reaction function and outlook for rates. Big banks and bellwethers kick off a heavy earnings stretch; investors will watch net interest income trends, credit provisioning, trading revenues, and forward guidance. Europe/UK: Industrial production, trade balances, and central bank commentary. Bank earnings and corporate updates will help gauge demand, cost pressures, and pricing power into the first quarter. Asia: China trade data and regional labor/price prints; a key policy rate decision in North Asia. Semiconductor and technology supply-chain updates remain a driver for sentiment. Canada: Housing indicators and existing home sales; Bank commentary on growth and inflation mix. Strategy snapshots Equities: Expect higher dispersion. Emphasize quality balance sheets, consistent free cash flow, and pricing power. Within tech, differentiate between long-duration R&D stories and firms showing near-term monetization. Consider global diversification as non-US markets screen more attractively on relative valuation and earnings revision trends. Rates: Curve risk is back. Investors concerned about steepening may look at intermediate tenors and add hedges where appropriate. For income, maintain flexibility to add duration on weakness; consider credit selection over beta in tighter-spread areas. FX: With the dollar softer, selectively add to non-USD exposures where policy credibility is firm and growth is stable. Maintain liquidity and avoid crowded carry where volatility could force quick reversals. Commodities: For hedgers, staggered entries in precious metals may help manage momentum-driven swings. In energy, focus on balance sheets of producers with disciplined capex and robust cash returns. Risk management checklist Track real yields and breakevens for clues on inflation psychology. Watch credit conditions and bank earnings for early reads on the consumer and corporate funding costs. Use scenario analysis around key data releases; adjust stops and position sizes to account for event risk. Maintain diversification across regions, styles, and factors to mitigate concentration risk. Housekeeping and disclosures This material is a general market commentary prepared for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or strategy. Markets are volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to

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Weekly Global Market News – Jan 12

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Weekly Global Market Update / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Weekly Global Market News – Jan 12 Week Ahead: Markets focus on bank earnings, inflation updates and Arctic geopolitics Welcome to the new trading week. Activity picks up sharply with US bank results, a dense inflation calendar across major economies and a geopolitical storyline in the far north that could shape defence and energy narratives. Below is your concise roadmap for the week with potential market implications, a day-by-day agenda and the corporate names to watch. As market volatility adjusts to these shifting macro drivers, maintaining a disciplined focus on sector dispersion and policy signals will be essential for navigating the sessions ahead. Top themes to watch 1) US–Denmark–Greenland talks move into focus Why it matters: A high-level meeting involving the US Secretary of State, Denmark and Greenland is expected this week. Beyond the headlines, investors will consider implications for Arctic security, shipping routes, critical minerals and defense co-operation. Any signals around US presence or infrastructure in Greenland could filter into defense names, shipping insurers and the wider energy transition supply chain. Market angle: Defence contractors, specialty mining, marine insurers, Arctic shipping exposure, and to a lesser extent Nordic/EU policy risk. Keep an eye on oil and gas rhetoric if Arctic exploration or logistics are discussed. 2) France’s political risk radar France’s far-right leader Marine Le Pen begins an appeal in Paris over an EU funds case. While the legal process is the headline, markets will watch for any polling ripples that could influence OAT–Bund spreads, bank equities and the euro’s political risk premium. 3) Wall Street earnings season begins Banks in the spotlight: JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley report through midweek and Thursday. What to listen for: Investment banking: Is the M&A and equity underwriting recovery broadening or still concentrated in megacaps and AI-adjacent sectors? Markets divisions: Equities vs. FICC revenue mix, client activity, VaR trends and commentary on structured products. Net interest income: Trajectory as rate expectations evolve; deposit betas and mix shift. Credit quality: Card and auto delinquencies, office CRE, reserve builds/releases. Capital return: Buybacks/dividend intentions under current capital rules and balance sheet buffers. Read-throughs: Results will set the tone for US cyclicals, financials and broader risk appetite. 4) Inflation and growth check-ins United States: CPI (Tue) and PPI (Wed) should steer front-end rates, the dollar and rate-cut timelines. Markets will focus on services inflation, shelter components, and any re-acceleration signals. Euro area: France CPI (Thu) and Germany CPI (Fri) anchor the regional disinflation picture; Germany also publishes its preliminary estimate of last year’s GDP (Thu), giving a reality check on Europe’s growth pulse. United Kingdom: Monthly GDP for November (Thu), plus construction and production data. UK assets will be sensitive to any surprise that alters the path for BoE policy expectations. 5) Oil and Asia central banking OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report (Wed) lands amid ongoing supply discipline and demand questions. Watch revisions to demand growth and non-OPEC supply. South Korea: Policy decision (Thu). KRW, KOSPI and Asia credit spreads can be sensitive to tone changes on growth, housing and inflation. Day-by-day calendar Monday Central banks and surveys: Bank of England officials join the Bellagio Group meetings in London. Japan observes Coming of Age Day (markets closed). UK KPMG/REC jobs report. US Conference Board Employment Trends Index. Earnings: HCL Technologies (Q3), Tata Consultancy Services (Q3), Oxford Nanopore (FY trading update), Plus500 (FY post-close update). Tuesday Macro: US CPI and real earnings; Germany producer prices for agricultural products; UK BRC retail sales monitor. Corporate events and votes: Denny’s shareholder vote on proposed buyout. Earnings: JPMorgan (Q4/FY), Bank of New York Mellon (Q4), Delta Air Lines (Q4/FY), Games Workshop (HY), Gamma Communications (trading update), Grafton (trading update), Gym Group (FY pre-close), Hunting (trading statement), IntegraFin (Q1), PageGroup (Q4), Persimmon (trading update), SIG (trading update), Trustpilot (trading update), Whitbread (Q3). Wednesday Central banks: Fed Beige Book; speeches from Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson; Bank of England speakers in London and Singapore. Commodities: OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report. Macro: US PPI. Earnings: Bank of America (Q4), Citigroup (Q4), Wells Fargo (Q4), Infosys (Q3), Diploma (Q1), Hays (Q2), Liontrust (9M), Nichols (trading update), Pearson (FY trading update), Vistry (trading update). Thursday Macro: France CPI; Germany preliminary full-year GDP; UK monthly GDP (Nov), UK construction output and industrial production; South Korea policy decision. Policy and events: Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr on stablecoins at Wharton. Earnings: Goldman Sachs (Q4), Morgan Stanley (Q4), BlackRock (Q4), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (Q4), Taylor Wimpey (trading update), Ashmore (Q2 AUM), Brooks Macdonald (Q2 FUMA), CAB Payments (trading update), Dunelm (Q2), Fuller Smith & Turner (trading update), Hostelworld (trading update), OMV (Q4 trading update), Oxford Instruments (trading update), Rathbones (Q4), Robert Walters (Q4), Safestore (FY). Friday Macro: Germany CPI/HICP. Policy: Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson speaks at a monetary conference in Florida. Earnings: State Street (Q4/FY), M&T Bank (Q4/FY), PNC Financial (Q4), Regions Financial (Q4), Reliance Industries (Q3/9M), MJ Gleeson (HY update). Earnings spotlight beyond the banks Asset managers: BlackRock’s flows and fee rates will inform passive/ETF growth momentum and appetite for private markets strategies. Semiconductors: TSMC’s capex plans, advanced-node utilization and AI/HPC commentary will set the tone for the chip supply chain. Airlines: Delta’s forward bookings, corporate travel mix and fuel cost guidance feed into transport cyclicality. UK cyclicals and housing: Trading updates from homebuilders and retailers (Taylor Wimpey, Persimmon, Dunelm, Whitbread) provide a read on consumer resilience, build cost inflation and housing transactions. India IT: TCS, Infosys and HCL Tech on deal pipelines, pricing and generative AI services mix. Cross-asset playbook Rates and FX A hotter US CPI/PPI tilt: Front-end yields up, curve bear-flattens, USD firmer, equities wobbly, gold softer. A cooler read: Duration bid, USD eases, risk assets supported, rate-cut expectations pull forward. Europe: Softer German/French inflation strengthens the disinflation narrative and supports peripherals; upside surprises reprice ECB paths and can widen spreads. UK: A strong GDP print could lift gilt yields and GBP; weakness would do the opposite. Equities Financials: IB/trading strength points

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Jan 09 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

09 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Market at a glance (as of ~6:00 a.m. ET) US equity futures: slightly higher (about +0.1%) as traders position for key data Europe: broader benchmarks firmer (roughly +0.4% to +0.5%) Asia: Japan outperformed (up around +1.6%) with tech and exporters in the lead US dollar: modestly stronger versus major peers (about +0.2%) US 10-year Treasury yield: near 4.19%, up a couple of basis points What’s moving markets All eyes on the US labor report: Today’s payrolls, unemployment rate, and wage growth will help shape expectations for the next steps in monetary policy. A steady hiring pace with contained wage pressures would support a “hold and assess” stance from the Fed, while any upside surprise in wages or core employment could nudge yields higher and firm the dollar. Trade policy watch: A potential legal decision related to tariffs is on investors’ radar. Any shift that lowers import costs could buoy risk appetite, particularly for import-reliant industries, while also complicating the rates outlook if the growth impulse and fiscal math are perceived to worsen. Rotation under the surface: Early-year flows show renewed interest in equities, with investors balancing quality growth exposures against more cyclical, trade-sensitive areas. Defensive pockets (health care, staples) continue to draw interest as a ballast against policy and macro uncertainty. Equities United States: Futures are little changed to slightly positive ahead of the data. A soft-landing narrative remains intact but fragile—labor and wages will be the tie-breaker. Within sectors, trade-sensitive consumer names and capital goods could react most to any tariff-related headlines, while rate-sensitive groups (housing, utilities) will take their cue from the move in yields. Europe: Regional indices are firmer, supported by a blend of defensives and economically sensitive names. A stable dollar and incremental improvement in external demand hopes are helping exporters. Financials remain leveraged to the path of long-end yields and curve shape. Asia: Japan led gains as chip-adjacent names and exporters extended momentum amid a firmer risk tone. Elsewhere in the region, sentiment remains selective: China-linked assets are weighed by ongoing property-sector restructuring efforts, while broader Asia benefits from steady global tech demand. Fixed income and FX Rates: Treasuries are marking time into the data with the 10-year yield hovering around 4.18%–4.20%. A hotter wage print or strong headline jobs number could push yields higher and steepen the curve; a downside surprise may extend the recent range trade and take some pressure off real rates. Dollar: The greenback is slightly firmer, reflecting cautious pre-data positioning. A benign payrolls outcome could cap further dollar gains, while any upside wage surprise would likely support the currency versus low-yielders. Commodities Energy: Crude is steady within recent ranges as supply headlines and risk sentiment offset one another. Demand signals from global PMI data and US inventory trends remain the key swing factors. Metals: Industrial metals are underpinned by consolidation talk in the mining space and hopes for eventual stabilization in construction demand, tempered by ongoing balance-sheet repair in parts of China’s property sector. Gold is little changed, with moves in real yields and the dollar in the driver’s seat. Themes to watch Tariffs and margins: Any reduction or uncertainty around import levies could influence input costs and pricing power across retail, apparel, home goods, machinery, and select technology hardware. Market reaction may be uneven, with beneficiaries on the cost side but potential push-pull on rates. Housing and rates: Policy efforts aimed at supporting mortgage markets can be a near-term tailwind for housing activity and related equities, but the durability of any boost will depend on the path of long-term yields. Electric vehicles and capital discipline: Slower EV adoption in select markets is prompting reassessments of production schedules and investment timelines across the auto-battery supply chain. China property stabilization: Restructuring steps remain in focus. The pace and scope of policy support will be key for credit sentiment, commodities demand, and regional risk assets. Scenario map for today’s US jobs data Stronger jobs and wages: Equities mixed (cyclicals up, rate-sensitives down), yields up, dollar firmer. In-line report with contained wages: Risk assets supported, yields range-bound, dollar stable to softer. Weaker jobs or softer wages: Duration bid (yields lower), dollar eases, equities lean positive for long-duration growth but may see some cyclical underperformance. The day ahead United States: Nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings. Also watching any developments on trade policy/legal rulings and Fed-speak for rate-path hints. Corporate: M&A chatter in natural resources remains a swing factor for global miners; ongoing updates from autos/EV and housing-related firms may steer sector dispersion. Risk considerations Policy path ambiguity (monetary, fiscal, and trade) Geopolitical and supply-chain frictions affecting energy and freight Earnings revision risk if growth cools faster than expected Liquidity conditions as issuance and buybacks restart into earnings season Risk considerations Policy path ambiguity (monetary, fiscal, and trade) Geopolitical and supply-chain frictions affecting energy and freight Earnings revision risk if growth cools faster than expected Liquidity conditions as issuance and buybacks restart into earnings season Markets are marking time into the labor report and potential policy headlines. A balanced stance—maintaining quality exposure while keeping an eye on rate sensitivity and trade-linked cyclicals—remains prudent until the data reset the macro narrative. This commentary is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market levels are approximate and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any

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Jan 08 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

08 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates A broad market briefing As of 06:22 am ET Market snapshot S&P 500 futures: 6950.75 Stoxx Europe 600: 602.9 Nikkei 225: 51117.26 Bitcoin: 89977.04 Broad dollar gauge: 1207.84 Global wrap Asia: Equities retreated, led by Japan, as investors took profits in technology and cyclicals following a strong run into year-end. Semiconductor sentiment was mixed: optimism around AI-related demand persists, but positioning remains elevated and sensitive to policy headlines and supply-chain updates. Europe: Stocks are softer with defensives outperforming cyclicals. Energy is under pressure after a weaker quarter for some integrated oils, while select retailers lag on tepid holiday read‑throughs. Core rates are little changed ahead of a heavy sovereign supply slate. US pre-market: Futures are modestly lower as policy noise and valuation concerns stir a more selective tone. Recent social-media commentary around residential real estate investment and defense capital returns injected volatility across homebuilders and defense contractors, underscoring headline sensitivity at stretched multiples. Policy and macro Policy signaling remains a key swing factor. Markets are weighing potential curbs on institutional purchases of single-family homes, as well as proposed conditions on defense-sector payouts and spending. These headlines contributed to sector churn and a mild de‑risking in momentum pockets. Trade and tech: Reports that China may allow limited imports of advanced AI accelerators later this quarter supported sentiment around parts of the chip complex, though details and scope remain fluid. Rates backdrop: Robust primary issuance continues globally as issuers front‑load funding ahead of earnings blackouts and central-bank speak. Despite the deluge, credit spreads remain tight, highlighting sustained demand for high-quality paper and, increasingly, longer-dated maturities. Credit and rates Busiest start to the year for global bonds in recent memory, with US IG, euro IG, and selected sovereigns tapping markets at scale. New deals are generally meeting strong books and modest concessions, although a heavy calendar raises the risk of near-term indigestion. Treasury curve: Little net change pre‑open. Duration demand is firm from liability-driven buyers, while macro funds remain tactical into supply and data. Equities Technology: AI remains the dominant investment theme. Memory suppliers continue to benefit from data‑center demand and firmer pricing, though near-term consolidation is not surprising after outsized 2025 gains. Industrials/Defense: Policy proposals around buybacks/dividends and capex drove outsized moves. After-hours and cross‑region trading showed two-way flows as investors recalibrated for potential spending trajectories. Consumer: Select big-box and beverage names posted resilient holiday updates, contrasting with softer results from some European apparel and grocery chains. The divergence underscores a cautious consumer with a tilt toward value and staples. Financials: Card and co‑brand partnerships remain in focus with changes among large US banks and consumer-tech platforms. Funding costs and credit normalization are key watch items into earnings season. Commodities Crude: Range-bound as the market balances softening recent prices against geopolitical developments and any potential shifts in sanctioned barrels. Positioning is light into upcoming OPEC/non‑OPEC headlines. Industrial metals: Elevated activity in China’s onshore markets has fueled speculative interest in copper, nickel, and lithium. Fundamentals are improving but volatility is rising alongside leverage. Gold: Steady to slightly firmer on safe-haven interest and stable real yields. Currencies and digital assets US dollar: Fractionally stronger on haven flows and relative growth momentum. Most G10 pairs are confined to recent ranges. Crypto: Bitcoin is consolidating below the 90k mark after a strong multi-month run. Liquidity pockets around round numbers continue to drive short-term swings. Corporate highlights to watch Semiconductors/AI: Potential incremental access for advanced chips to China would be a notable demand tailwind for selected suppliers; clarity on compliance and volumes will matter. Hardware/Memory: A large Asian electronics leader reported a record quarter on AI server demand, reinforcing the memory upcycle narrative. Consumer finance: A major US bank is set to replace a rival as the issuing partner for a prominent tech company’s credit-card program, signaling continued shake-ups in co‑brand relationships. Energy majors: Trading updates flag softer Q4 oil marketing results amid declining crude prices; focus shifts to capex discipline and shareholder returns through earnings season. Key themes we’re tracking Valuation sensitivity: With broad US multiples above long-run averages, headlines that challenge “perfection” are producing outsized sector moves. Issuance wave: The combination of heavy corporate and sovereign supply with still-tight spreads is supportive near term, but leaves little cushion if growth or policy surprises materialize. AI capex cycle: Data-center buildouts and memory pricing underpin tech leadership, but the market will increasingly differentiate winners based on margins, supply response, and exposure to export regimes. Policy unpredictability: Rapid-fire proposals touching housing, defense, trade, and tariffs raise the risk premium and can compress risk appetite episodically. Market breadth: Leadership remains narrow; sustained rallies likely require broader participation from cyclicals and mid/small caps. The day ahead Focus: Central-bank speakers, primary market supply, and any incremental policy developments. Corporate pre-announcements and early earnings season guidance will set tone for margins and capex. Risk radar Policy shocks across trade/defence/housing Supply-driven hiccups in credit markets Geopolitical flare-ups affecting energy and shipping lanes Narrow market leadership and crowded positions in AI beneficiaries This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Market data are subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should

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