PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Jan 09 – Daily Market Update

09 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Market at a glance (as of ~6:00 a.m. ET) US equity futures: slightly higher (about +0.1%) as traders position for key data Europe: broader benchmarks firmer (roughly +0.4% to +0.5%) Asia: Japan outperformed (up around +1.6%) with tech and exporters in the lead US dollar: modestly stronger versus major peers (about +0.2%) US 10-year Treasury yield: near 4.19%, up a couple of basis points What’s moving markets All eyes on the US labor report: Today’s payrolls, unemployment rate, and wage growth will help shape expectations for the next steps in monetary policy. A steady hiring pace with contained wage pressures would support a “hold and assess” stance from the Fed, while any upside surprise in wages or core employment could nudge yields higher and firm the dollar. Trade policy watch: A potential legal decision related to tariffs is on investors’ radar. Any shift that lowers import costs could buoy risk appetite, particularly for import-reliant industries, while also complicating the rates outlook if the growth impulse and fiscal math are perceived to worsen. Rotation under the surface: Early-year flows show renewed interest in equities, with investors balancing quality growth exposures against more cyclical, trade-sensitive areas. Defensive pockets (health care, staples) continue to draw interest as a ballast against policy and macro uncertainty. Equities United States: Futures are little changed to slightly positive ahead of the data. A soft-landing narrative remains intact but fragile—labor and wages will be the tie-breaker. Within sectors, trade-sensitive consumer names and capital goods could react most to any tariff-related headlines, while rate-sensitive groups (housing, utilities) will take their cue from the move in yields. Europe: Regional indices are firmer, supported by a blend of defensives and economically sensitive names. A stable dollar and incremental improvement in external demand hopes are helping exporters. Financials remain leveraged to the path of long-end yields and curve shape. Asia: Japan led gains as chip-adjacent names and exporters extended momentum amid a firmer risk tone. Elsewhere in the region, sentiment remains selective: China-linked assets are weighed by ongoing property-sector restructuring efforts, while broader Asia benefits from steady global tech demand. Fixed income and FX Rates: Treasuries are marking time into the data with the 10-year yield hovering around 4.18%–4.20%. A hotter wage print or strong headline jobs number could push yields higher and steepen the curve; a downside surprise may extend the recent range trade and take some pressure off real rates. Dollar: The greenback is slightly firmer, reflecting cautious pre-data positioning. A benign payrolls outcome could cap further dollar gains, while any upside wage surprise would likely support the currency versus low-yielders. Commodities Energy: Crude is steady within recent ranges as supply headlines and risk sentiment offset one another. Demand signals from global PMI data and US inventory trends remain the key swing factors. Metals: Industrial metals are underpinned by consolidation talk in the mining space and hopes for eventual stabilization in construction demand, tempered by ongoing balance-sheet repair in parts of China’s property sector. Gold is little changed, with moves in real yields and the dollar in the driver’s seat. Themes to watch Tariffs and margins: Any reduction or uncertainty around import levies could influence input costs and pricing power across retail, apparel, home goods, machinery, and select technology hardware. Market reaction may be uneven, with beneficiaries on the cost side but potential push-pull on rates. Housing and rates: Policy efforts aimed at supporting mortgage markets can be a near-term tailwind for housing activity and related equities, but the durability of any boost will depend on the path of long-term yields. Electric vehicles and capital discipline: Slower EV adoption in select markets is prompting reassessments of production schedules and investment timelines across the auto-battery supply chain. China property stabilization: Restructuring steps remain in focus. The pace and scope of policy support will be key for credit sentiment, commodities demand, and regional risk assets. Scenario map for today’s US jobs data Stronger jobs and wages: Equities mixed (cyclicals up, rate-sensitives down), yields up, dollar firmer. In-line report with contained wages: Risk assets supported, yields range-bound, dollar stable to softer. Weaker jobs or softer wages: Duration bid (yields lower), dollar eases, equities lean positive for long-duration growth but may see some cyclical underperformance. The day ahead United States: Nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings. Also watching any developments on trade policy/legal rulings and Fed-speak for rate-path hints. Corporate: M&A chatter in natural resources remains a swing factor for global miners; ongoing updates from autos/EV and housing-related firms may steer sector dispersion. Risk considerations Policy path ambiguity (monetary, fiscal, and trade) Geopolitical and supply-chain frictions affecting energy and freight Earnings revision risk if growth cools faster than expected Liquidity conditions as issuance and buybacks restart into earnings season Risk considerations Policy path ambiguity (monetary, fiscal, and trade) Geopolitical and supply-chain frictions affecting energy and freight Earnings revision risk if growth cools faster than expected Liquidity conditions as issuance and buybacks restart into earnings season Markets are marking time into the labor report and potential policy headlines. A balanced stance—maintaining quality exposure while keeping an eye on rate sensitivity and trade-linked cyclicals—remains prudent until the data reset the macro narrative. This commentary is for information only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market levels are approximate and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any

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Short-Term, Intermediate, and Long-Term Bonds

Leave a Comment / Educational Blogs, Bond Basics, Fixed Income / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Bond Maturities Short-Term, Intermediate, and Long-Term Bonds Table of Contents What Are Bond Maturities and Why Do They Matter? What Defines a Short-Term Bond? How Do Intermediate-Term Bonds Balance Risk and Reward? When Should Investors Consider Long-Term Bonds? How Does the Yield Curve Impact Bond Maturity Choices? Which Bond Duration Fits Your Investment Portfolio? Conclusion What Are Bond Maturities and Why Do They Matter? In the world of fixed-income investing, maturity is more than just a date on a calendar; it is the primary driver of a bond’s risk profile and potential return. When you purchase a bond, you are essentially lending capital to an issuer—be it a government or a corporation—for a specific period. The “maturity date” is the deadline by which that issuer must repay your principal investment. Understanding maturity is crucial because it dictates how sensitive your investment is to interest rate fluctuations and inflation. A well-structured fixed income portfolio often utilizes a mix of maturities to smooth out volatility. Whether you are preserving wealth through sovereign debt or seeking higher yields in the corporate sector, the timeline of your bond investment defines your liquidity and expected cash flow. What Defines a Short-Term Bond? Short-term bonds are generally defined as debt securities with maturities ranging from one to three years. These instruments are often favored by conservative investors or those managing near-term liquidity needs. Because the capital is tied up for a relatively brief period, the risk of default and the impact of interest rate changes are significantly lower compared to longer-dated securities. Key Characteristics: Lower Volatility: Short-term bonds are less sensitive to interest rate hikes. If rates rise, the price of a short-term bond drops less than that of a long-term bond. High Liquidity: These assets can often be converted to cash quickly with minimal price impact, making them a staple in wealth management strategies for holding operating cash. Modest Yields: In exchange for safety and liquidity, investors typically accept lower yields compared to longer-term options. Who is this for? Short-term bonds are ideal for investors who need to access their funds in the near future or those who wish to “park” capital safely while waiting for market volatility to settle. Secure Your Liquidity Explore Short-Term Opportunities Discover stable, high-quality fixed-income assets tailored for capital preservation. Explore Global Bonds How Do Intermediate-Term Bonds Balance Risk and Reward? Intermediate-term bonds typically have maturities between three and ten years. They serve as the “middle ground” in a portfolio, offering a compelling compromise between the low yields of short-term debt and the high volatility of long-term debt. For many sophisticated investors, this category represents the core of a diversified income strategy. Intermediate bonds usually capture a significant portion of the yield available in the market without exposing the investor to extreme duration risk. If interest rates rise, these bonds will experience moderate price fluctuations, but the higher coupon payments can help cushion the blow over time. Investors utilizing our global markets trading platforms often allocate to intermediate treasuries or investment-grade corporate bonds to anchor their portfolios. This “laddering” approach allows them to lock in respectable rates while maintaining a degree of flexibility. When Should Investors Consider Long-Term Bonds? Long-term bonds are securities that mature in 10 to 30 years (or more). These are the heavyweights of the fixed-income world, offering the highest potential yields to compensate investors for locking away their capital for decades. The Duration Factor: The defining feature of long-term bonds is their high duration. Duration measures a bond’s sensitivity to interest rate changes. A 30-year bond will see its price swing dramatically if interest rates move even a small amount. This makes long-term bonds a tool for investors with a strong conviction about the future direction of the economy—specifically, those who believe inflation and interest rates will decline. The Role in a Portfolio: While volatile, long-term bonds often have a low correlation with equities. During periods of economic deflation or recession, when stock markets may struggle, high-quality long-term government bonds often rally, providing a critical hedge. Accessing these specific durations requires a robust partner capable of navigating complex global bond markets. Optimize Your Yield Plan for Long-Term Growth Access premium long-term sovereign and corporate bonds to boost your portfolio yield. Contact Now How Does the Yield Curve Impact Bond Maturity Choices? The yield curve is a graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities. In a healthy economy, the curve slopes upward, meaning long-term bonds yield more than short-term bonds. This “term premium” rewards investors for the risk of holding debt over time. However, the shape of the curve changes. Steep Curve: Suggests rapid economic growth; long-term bonds offer much higher yields. Flat Curve: Suggests uncertainty; yields are similar across maturities. Inverted Curve: Occurs when short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, historically a signal of an impending recession. Monitoring the yield curve is essential for tactical asset allocation. For instance, if the curve is inverted, an investor might prefer structured investment solutions or short-term notes rather than locking in lower rates for the long haul. Which Bond Duration Fits Your Investment Portfolio? Selecting the right maturity is not a binary choice; it is a strategic decision based on your financial horizon and risk tolerance. For Capital Preservation: If your goal is to protect principal for a purchase in the next 12-24 months, focus on short-term government securities. For Income Generation: If you need a steady income stream to fund living expenses or other liabilities, an intermediate-term ladder provides a reliable blend of yield and stability. For Aggressive Total Return: If you are managing a long-horizon fund or family office capital and anticipate a drop in interest rates, long-term bonds offer significant capital appreciation potential. Investors should also consider the tax implications and currency exposure when trading international debt. Utilizing institutional brokerage services can provide the necessary access to diverse markets, ensuring that your duration strategy is executed efficiently across different jurisdictions. Conclusion The distinction between short-term, intermediate, and long-term

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Jan 08 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

08 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates A broad market briefing As of 06:22 am ET Market snapshot S&P 500 futures: 6950.75 Stoxx Europe 600: 602.9 Nikkei 225: 51117.26 Bitcoin: 89977.04 Broad dollar gauge: 1207.84 Global wrap Asia: Equities retreated, led by Japan, as investors took profits in technology and cyclicals following a strong run into year-end. Semiconductor sentiment was mixed: optimism around AI-related demand persists, but positioning remains elevated and sensitive to policy headlines and supply-chain updates. Europe: Stocks are softer with defensives outperforming cyclicals. Energy is under pressure after a weaker quarter for some integrated oils, while select retailers lag on tepid holiday read‑throughs. Core rates are little changed ahead of a heavy sovereign supply slate. US pre-market: Futures are modestly lower as policy noise and valuation concerns stir a more selective tone. Recent social-media commentary around residential real estate investment and defense capital returns injected volatility across homebuilders and defense contractors, underscoring headline sensitivity at stretched multiples. Policy and macro Policy signaling remains a key swing factor. Markets are weighing potential curbs on institutional purchases of single-family homes, as well as proposed conditions on defense-sector payouts and spending. These headlines contributed to sector churn and a mild de‑risking in momentum pockets. Trade and tech: Reports that China may allow limited imports of advanced AI accelerators later this quarter supported sentiment around parts of the chip complex, though details and scope remain fluid. Rates backdrop: Robust primary issuance continues globally as issuers front‑load funding ahead of earnings blackouts and central-bank speak. Despite the deluge, credit spreads remain tight, highlighting sustained demand for high-quality paper and, increasingly, longer-dated maturities. Credit and rates Busiest start to the year for global bonds in recent memory, with US IG, euro IG, and selected sovereigns tapping markets at scale. New deals are generally meeting strong books and modest concessions, although a heavy calendar raises the risk of near-term indigestion. Treasury curve: Little net change pre‑open. Duration demand is firm from liability-driven buyers, while macro funds remain tactical into supply and data. Equities Technology: AI remains the dominant investment theme. Memory suppliers continue to benefit from data‑center demand and firmer pricing, though near-term consolidation is not surprising after outsized 2025 gains. Industrials/Defense: Policy proposals around buybacks/dividends and capex drove outsized moves. After-hours and cross‑region trading showed two-way flows as investors recalibrated for potential spending trajectories. Consumer: Select big-box and beverage names posted resilient holiday updates, contrasting with softer results from some European apparel and grocery chains. The divergence underscores a cautious consumer with a tilt toward value and staples. Financials: Card and co‑brand partnerships remain in focus with changes among large US banks and consumer-tech platforms. Funding costs and credit normalization are key watch items into earnings season. Commodities Crude: Range-bound as the market balances softening recent prices against geopolitical developments and any potential shifts in sanctioned barrels. Positioning is light into upcoming OPEC/non‑OPEC headlines. Industrial metals: Elevated activity in China’s onshore markets has fueled speculative interest in copper, nickel, and lithium. Fundamentals are improving but volatility is rising alongside leverage. Gold: Steady to slightly firmer on safe-haven interest and stable real yields. Currencies and digital assets US dollar: Fractionally stronger on haven flows and relative growth momentum. Most G10 pairs are confined to recent ranges. Crypto: Bitcoin is consolidating below the 90k mark after a strong multi-month run. Liquidity pockets around round numbers continue to drive short-term swings. Corporate highlights to watch Semiconductors/AI: Potential incremental access for advanced chips to China would be a notable demand tailwind for selected suppliers; clarity on compliance and volumes will matter. Hardware/Memory: A large Asian electronics leader reported a record quarter on AI server demand, reinforcing the memory upcycle narrative. Consumer finance: A major US bank is set to replace a rival as the issuing partner for a prominent tech company’s credit-card program, signaling continued shake-ups in co‑brand relationships. Energy majors: Trading updates flag softer Q4 oil marketing results amid declining crude prices; focus shifts to capex discipline and shareholder returns through earnings season. Key themes we’re tracking Valuation sensitivity: With broad US multiples above long-run averages, headlines that challenge “perfection” are producing outsized sector moves. Issuance wave: The combination of heavy corporate and sovereign supply with still-tight spreads is supportive near term, but leaves little cushion if growth or policy surprises materialize. AI capex cycle: Data-center buildouts and memory pricing underpin tech leadership, but the market will increasingly differentiate winners based on margins, supply response, and exposure to export regimes. Policy unpredictability: Rapid-fire proposals touching housing, defense, trade, and tariffs raise the risk premium and can compress risk appetite episodically. Market breadth: Leadership remains narrow; sustained rallies likely require broader participation from cyclicals and mid/small caps. The day ahead Focus: Central-bank speakers, primary market supply, and any incremental policy developments. Corporate pre-announcements and early earnings season guidance will set tone for margins and capex. Risk radar Policy shocks across trade/defence/housing Supply-driven hiccups in credit markets Geopolitical flare-ups affecting energy and shipping lanes Narrow market leadership and crowded positions in AI beneficiaries This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Market data are subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should

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Sector Rotation Strategy

Leave a Comment / Trading Strategies, Beginner, Educational Blogs / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Sector Rotation A Strategic Guide to Investing Through Economic Cycles Table of Contents What is Sector Rotation and why is it a critical strategy for professional investors? How does the Economic Business Cycle dictate market performance? The Early Cycle (Recovery) The Mid Cycle (Expansion) The Late Cycle (Moderation) The Recession Phase (Contraction) What are the most effective instruments for executing Sector Rotation? How can investors mitigate the specific risks associated with Sector Rotation? Conclusion What is Sector Rotation and why is it a critical strategy for professional investors? Sector rotation is an active investment strategy that involves moving capital from one industry sector to another in anticipation of the next stage of the economic cycle. Unlike a passive “buy and hold” strategy, sector rotation assumes that the economy moves in predictable patterns—and that specific sectors perform better during different phases of those patterns. For investors utilizing global market access, the primary objective is to capture “alpha”—excess returns above a benchmark—by overweighting sectors expected to outperform and underweighting those expected to lag. For instance, holding high-growth technology stocks during an economic boom and shifting toward defensive utilities during a slowdown. This strategy requires a “top-down” approach. Investors must first analyze macroeconomic indicators—such as interest rates, inflation data, and GDP growth—before selecting individual equities. By leveraging the research and analysis available through sophisticated trading platforms, investors can identify which sectors are gaining momentum and which are losing steam, allowing for more dynamic portfolio management. How does the Economic Business Cycle dictate market performance? The premise of sector rotation relies heavily on the four distinct stages of the business cycle. Understanding where the global economy sits within this cycle is paramount for successful execution. The Early Cycle (Recovery) The early cycle marks the turnaround from a recession. Economic activity picks up, credit conditions loosen, and consumer confidence begins to rebound. Historically, this is often the most robust phase for equity performance. During this phase, interest rates are typically low, encouraging borrowing and expansion. Investors often find that Consumer Discretionary and Financials outperform, as banks benefit from increased lending and consumers return to spending on non-essential goods. The Mid Cycle (Expansion) This is typically the longest phase of the business cycle. Growth is consistent, but the explosive momentum of the recovery phase stabilizes. The economy is healthy, but inflation may start creeping up, prompting central banks to consider tightening monetary policy. In this environment, market leadership often shifts toward Information Technology and Industrials. These sectors thrive on consistent corporate spending and global demand. Investors utilizing Contracts for Difference (CFDs) can effectively trade the volatility that often accompanies the transition from early to mid-cycle. The Late Cycle (Moderation) As the economy overheats, inflation pressures rise, and growth rates slow. Central banks usually raise interest rates to cool the economy, which tightens liquidity. This environment favors inflation-sensitive sectors. Energy and Materials often outperform here, as commodity prices tend to peak late in the cycle. Conversely, high-valuation growth stocks may suffer as the cost of capital increases. The Recession Phase (Contraction) Economic activity shrinks, corporate profits decline, and the market often enters a bearish trend. The goal here is capital preservation. Investors typically flock to “defensive” sectors—industries that provide essential services regardless of the economic climate. Consumer Staples, Health Care, and Utilities become the safe havens of choice. Because demand for food, medicine, and electricity remains constant, these sectors tend to offer dividends and stability when the broader market falls. Align Your Portfolio with Market Cycles Access global exchanges and trade diverse sectors with Phillip Capital’s advanced platforms. Contact Now What are the most effective instruments for executing Sector Rotation? Executing a sector rotation strategy requires instruments that offer liquidity, low transaction costs, and broad exposure. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): For most investors, ETFs are the primary vehicle for sector rotation. Rather than buying 20 different utility companies, an investor can purchase a single Utilities Select Sector ETF. This provides instant diversification within the specific sector. Individual Equities: For those seeking higher potential returns, selecting top-performing stocks within a favored sector is a viable approach. This requires deeper fundamental analysis but allows for greater precision. Futures and Options: Sophisticated investors often use Futures to hedge exposure or bet on the direction of a sector index without owning the underlying assets. This is particularly useful during the recession phase to hedge against downside risk. CFDs (Contracts for Difference): CFDs allow traders to speculate on the price movements of sector indices or specific stocks without owning the asset. This is crucial for sector rotation because it allows for short-selling. If an investor believes the Tech sector is overvalued, they can short a Tech CFD to profit from the decline. Investors trading through Phillip Capital DIFC gain access to these diverse asset classes, ensuring they have the right tools to execute a rotation strategy efficiently across US, Asian, and European markets. Trade Global ETFs and CFDs Get competitive spreads and institutional-grade execution on sector-specific instruments Explore How can investors mitigate the specific risks associated with Sector Rotation? While sector rotation offers the potential for significant returns, it is an active strategy that carries inherent risks, primarily centered around timing and transaction costs. Timing Risk: The market looks forward, while economic data looks backward. If an investor waits for official GDP data to confirm a recession, the market may have already priced it in. Successful rotation requires analyzing leading indicators. False Signals: Economic cycles do not always follow a smooth sine wave. A “soft landing” (where the economy slows but avoids recession) can catch defensive investors off guard as growth stocks rally unexpectedly. Transaction Costs: unlike a buy-and-hold strategy, frequent rotation incurs trading fees and spreads. It is vital to use a broker that offers competitive pricing structures to ensure that transaction costs do not erode the alpha generated by the strategy. Over-concentration: Shifting too heavily into a single sector violates the principles of diversification. Even if the macro analysis is correct, a regulatory change or natural disaster could impact

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Jan 07 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

07 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily – Broad Market Briefing Global mood Risk appetite stayed resilient overnight. Asia extended its New Year upswing, led by Hong Kong, as investors rotated toward markets with lower valuations and improving growth signals. Europe opened slightly firmer, while US equity futures were broadly flat. The US dollar remains soft against major peers, a trend many investors expect could continue if global growth broadens and US rate differentials narrow. Crypto eased from recent highs, while industrial metals stayed supported. Macro and policy Washington signaled potential support for private-sector efforts to rebuild Venezuela’s oil sector following the recent change in leadership. Markets are assessing implications for heavy crude supply, US Gulf refiners, and the medium‑term path of sanctions policy. Beijing introduced tighter controls on shipments to Japan with potential military end‑use, keeping attention on supply-chain security in electronics and advanced manufacturing. Investor surveys continue to show optimism on US equities after multiple strong years, with growing debate about market leadership and the durability of AI‑related trades. Equities Asia: Rotational buying into North Asia and Hong Kong persisted, aided by discounted valuations and policy hopes. Mainland China shares were mixed, with defensives and exporters relatively steady. Europe: Stocks edged higher at the open, with miners and industrials benefiting from firm metals prices. Energy shares were supported by geopolitics and crude’s bid. US: Futures were little changed. Semiconductors remain in focus after updates from leading chipmakers on data‑center roadmaps and AI hardware competition. Select analog and embedded-chip names outperformed after upbeat guidance. M&A chatter in enterprise software added to single‑name dispersion. Commodities Copper extended its rally after clearing a major psychological threshold on the global benchmark, supported by tight refined supply, robust power-transition demand expectations, and talk of potential US trade measures on refined metal. The move has favored diversified miners and select smelter plays, while raising input‑cost questions for capital goods makers. Crude traded with a modest bid as markets weighed Venezuela headlines alongside ongoing shipping and geopolitical risks. Product cracks and heavy‑sour differentials remain areas to watch if flows shift. Gold was steady, balancing lower real yields against firmer risk sentiment. FX and rates The dollar drifted lower on a trade‑weighted basis. Higher‑beta FX and select Asia EM currencies benefited from improved risk tone and carry. Sovereign yields were little changed in early trading. Primary markets were active: global dollar bond issuance just posted its busiest session in roughly a year, signaling healthy risk appetite and favorable funding windows. Digital assets Bitcoin eased modestly after recent gains. Broader crypto performance was mixed, with market attention rotating to liquidity conditions and regulatory developments. Key themes we’re watching Leadership and breadth: Can cyclicals and non‑US markets take the baton if mega‑cap tech momentum cools? AI supply chain: Intensifying competition in accelerated computing, with implications for GPU vendors, memory, networking, and data‑center power infrastructure. Commodities tightness: Copper’s squeeze highlights the interplay of trade policy, inventories, and capex cycles across miners and manufacturers. Policy and geopolitics: Energy policy toward Venezuela, Asia export controls, and shipping lanes remain key swing factors for commodities and global trade. Funding conditions: A robust start for primary debt markets supports the soft‑landing narrative; watch for duration appetite and pricing as issuance continues. The day ahead Data and events: Focus remains on global PMIs, US labor and inflation updates later this week, and central bank speakers for guidance on the timing and pace of policy easing. Earnings: Early-cycle updates from chipmakers, cloud/data‑center suppliers, and select consumer names will inform views on 2026 growth and margins. Portfolio considerations Diversification across regions and factors can help if leadership rotates. For equities, watch the balance between quality growth and cyclicals tied to industrial activity and metals. In credit, strong new-issue demand favors active selection on structure and covenants as spreads remain tight. Commodity users may consider hedging strategies given copper and energy volatility. This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Markets are volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. Market levels referenced are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 07 – Daily Market Update January 7, 2026 07 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily –… Read More Jan 06 – Daily Market Update January 6, 2026 06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk… Read More Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 30 – Daily Market Update December 30,

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How Structured Products Work

Leave a Comment / Educational Blogs, Structured Products, Structured Products Basics / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

How Structured Products Work A Complete Guide for Investors Table of Contents What Is a Structured Product and How Is It Created? What Are the Key Components of a Structured Note? How Do Structured Products Protect Capital or Enhance Yields? What Are the Most Common Types of Structured Products? What Are the Main Risks Investors Should Be Aware Of? Who Should Invest in Structured Products? Conclusion What Is a Structured Product and How Is It Created? A structured product is a pre-packaged investment strategy that typically combines two distinct financial instruments into a single unit. Unlike buying a standard stock or bond, where your returns are directly tied to the asset’s price movement, a structured product essentially “engineers” a specific risk-return payoff. These products are created by investment banks to meet specific investor needs that traditional markets cannot satisfy alone. For example, an investor might want the growth potential of the S&P 500 but with the safety of a government bond. To achieve this, the issuer combines a zero-coupon bond (for capital protection) with an option component (for market participation). By customizing these elements, issuers can create products that offer capital protection, yield enhancement, or access to hard-to-reach asset classes. For a foundational understanding of these instruments and how we approach them at Phillip Capital, you can review our introduction to structured products. What Are the Key Components of a Structured Note? To understand how these products work, it helps to deconstruct them into their two primary “building blocks.” The Note (Debt Component): This is the “safe” part of the structure. It is essentially a bond issued by a financial institution. Its primary job is to protect your principal. In a capital-protected product, the issuer invests a large portion of your capital (e.g., 80-90%) into a zero-coupon bond that will mature at the full face value of your investment after a set period. The Derivative (Investment Component): The remaining capital is used to purchase a derivative, such as a call or put option. This component is linked to an “underlying asset”—which could be a single stock, a basket of equities, an index like the Nasdaq, or even a currency pair. Understanding what derivatives are and their purpose is crucial, as the performance of this specific component determines the “extra” return or coupon you receive. By adjusting the ratio between the note and the derivative, issuers can tailor the product to be conservative (more bond, less option) or aggressive (less bond, more option). Designed for Your Financial Objectives Get access to global structured notes designed for your risk profile. Learn More How Do Structured Products Protect Capital or Enhance Yields? The “magic” of structured products lies in their ability to reshape risk. They typically fall into two main strategic goals: Capital Protection: In uncertain markets, investors prioritize safety. A capital-protected note guarantees the return of 100% (or a partial percentage) of your initial investment at maturity, provided the issuer remains solvent. Even if the stock market crashes, your principal is safe because it is secured by the bond component. If the market rises, you participate in the gains through the option component. This allows conservative investors to gain exposure to volatile assets like US Equities & ETFs while strictly managing their downside risk. Yield Enhancement: In low-interest-rate environments, traditional bonds may offer unattractive returns. Yield enhancement products, such as Reverse Convertibles, offer significantly higher coupon payments (e.g., 8-12% p.a.). The trade-off is that you take on more risk; if the underlying asset falls below a certain “barrier” level, your capital may be at risk What Are the Most Common Types of Structured Products? While the possibilities are endless, most structured products in the UAE market fall into a few popular categories: Principal Protected Notes (PPNs): Ideal for conservative investors who want exposure to markets like Gold or the S&P 500 without risking their initial capital. Autocallables: These are very popular for generating income. The product has set observation dates. If the underlying asset is above a certain level on that date, the product “automatically calls” (matures early), paying you your capital plus a predefined bonus coupon. Reverse Convertibles: These pay a high fixed coupon regardless of market movement, but your principal repayment depends on the asset not falling below a specific “knock-in” barrier. Participation Notes: These offer 1:1 exposure to an asset (like a foreign index) but without the need for complex foreign exchange accounts or international brokerage setups. You can even structure notes around commodities; checking our available DGCX products can give you an idea of how gold and other local commodities are traded. What Are the Main Risks Investors Should Be Aware Of? Despite their benefits, structured products are not risk-free. It is vital to look beyond the headline return: Credit Risk: This is the most critical risk. When you buy a structured note, you are essentially lending money to the issuing bank (e.g., Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, or similar). If that bank goes bankrupt, you could lose your entire investment, even if the “underlying asset” performed well. Liquidity Risk: These products are designed to be held until maturity (e.g., 1 to 5 years). While a secondary market often exists, selling early might result in selling at a discount. Market Risk: In yield enhancement products, if the barrier is breached (e.g., the stock drops by 40%), you may lose capital. Complexity: The terms can be complicated. For those who prefer more liquid, transparent trading options without lock-in periods or complex barriers, exchange-traded futures and options might be a more suitable alternative. Navigate Risks with Confidence Expert guidance to help you choose the right issuer with confidence. Contact Now Who Should Invest in Structured Products? Structured products are generally best suited for Sophisticated or Professional Investors who have a clear view of the market and want to express it precisely. The “Range-Bound” Investor: If you think the market will stay flat, a standard stock purchase won’t make money. A structured note can pay a coupon even in a flat

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Jan 06 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk appetite stayed resilient overnight. Asia extended its New Year upswing, led by Hong Kong, as investors rotated toward markets with lower valuations and improving growth signals. Europe opened slightly firmer, while US equity futures were broadly flat. The US dollar remains soft against major peers, a trend many investors expect could continue if global growth broadens and US rate differentials narrow. Crypto eased from recent highs, while industrial metals stayed supported. Macro and policy Washington signaled potential support for private-sector efforts to rebuild Venezuela’s oil sector following the recent change in leadership. Markets are assessing implications for heavy crude supply, US Gulf refiners, and the medium‑term path of sanctions policy. Beijing introduced tighter controls on shipments to Japan with potential military end‑use, keeping attention on supply-chain security in electronics and advanced manufacturing. Investor surveys continue to show optimism on US equities after multiple strong years, with growing debate about market leadership and the durability of AI‑related trades. Equities Asia: Rotational buying into North Asia and Hong Kong persisted, aided by discounted valuations and policy hopes. Mainland China shares were mixed, with defensives and exporters relatively steady. Europe: Stocks edged higher at the open, with miners and industrials benefiting from firm metals prices. Energy shares were supported by geopolitics and crude’s bid. US: Futures were little changed. Semiconductors remain in focus after updates from leading chipmakers on data‑center roadmaps and AI hardware competition. Select analog and embedded-chip names outperformed after upbeat guidance. M&A chatter in enterprise software added to single‑name dispersion. Commodities Copper extended its rally after clearing a major psychological threshold on the global benchmark, supported by tight refined supply, robust power-transition demand expectations, and talk of potential US trade measures on refined metal. The move has favored diversified miners and select smelter plays, while raising input‑cost questions for capital goods makers. Crude traded with a modest bid as markets weighed Venezuela headlines alongside ongoing shipping and geopolitical risks. Product cracks and heavy‑sour differentials remain areas to watch if flows shift. Gold was steady, balancing lower real yields against firmer risk sentiment. FX and rates The dollar drifted lower on a trade‑weighted basis. Higher‑beta FX and select Asia EM currencies benefited from improved risk tone and carry. Sovereign yields were little changed in early trading. Primary markets were active: global dollar bond issuance just posted its busiest session in roughly a year, signaling healthy risk appetite and favorable funding windows. Digital assets Bitcoin eased modestly after recent gains. Broader crypto performance was mixed, with market attention rotating to liquidity conditions and regulatory developments. Key themes we’re watching Leadership and breadth: Can cyclicals and non‑US markets take the baton if mega‑cap tech momentum cools? AI supply chain: Intensifying competition in accelerated computing, with implications for GPU vendors, memory, networking, and data‑center power infrastructure. Commodities tightness: Copper’s squeeze highlights the interplay of trade policy, inventories, and capex cycles across miners and manufacturers. Policy and geopolitics: Energy policy toward Venezuela, Asia export controls, and shipping lanes remain key swing factors for commodities and global trade. Funding conditions: A robust start for primary debt markets supports the soft‑landing narrative; watch for duration appetite and pricing as issuance continues. The day ahead Data and events: Focus remains on global PMIs, US labor and inflation updates later this week, and central bank speakers for guidance on the timing and pace of policy easing. Earnings: Early-cycle updates from chipmakers, cloud/data‑center suppliers, and select consumer names will inform views on 2026 growth and margins. Portfolio considerations Diversification across regions and factors can help if leadership rotates. For equities, watch the balance between quality growth and cyclicals tied to industrial activity and metals. In credit, strong new-issue demand favors active selection on structure and covenants as spreads remain tight. Commodity users may consider hedging strategies given copper and energy volatility. This material is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. Markets are volatile; past performance is not indicative of future results. Consider your objectives, risk tolerance, and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. Market levels referenced are indicative and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 06 – Daily Market Update January 6, 2026 06 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Global mood Risk… Read More Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update January 2, 2026 Jan 02 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad… Read More Dec 30 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 30 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Morning… Read More Dec 29 – Daily Market Update December 30, 2025 Dec 29 – Daily

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Stock Valuation Methods

Leave a Comment / Deliverable Equities, Educational Blogs, Stock Valuations / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Stock Valuation Methods A Comprehensive Guide to Estimating Fair Value Table of Contents Unlocking the True Worth of Your Investments What exactly is stock valuation, and why is it critical for investors? What is the difference between Absolute and Relative valuation methods? How does the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model work? What are the most reliable Relative Valuation ratios? Is there a specific method for valuing dividend-paying stocks? How do I choose the right valuation method for my trade? Can valuation methods be applied to other assets like Futures or Options? Unlocking the True Worth of Your Investments In the dynamic world of financial markets, the difference between price and value is the cornerstone of successful investing. Whether you are eyeing high-growth tech giants in the US markets or stable dividend-paying companies in the GCC region, understanding stock valuation methods is essential. It transforms you from a speculator into an informed investor. At PhillipCapital DIFC, we believe that empowering our clients with deep market knowledge is as important as providing a robust trading platform. Below, we answer the most critical questions regarding how to value stocks effectively. What exactly is stock valuation, and why is it critical for investors? Stock valuation is the process of determining the intrinsic value (or “fair value”) of a company’s share. It is the financial detective work that tells you what a stock is actually worth, regardless of its current price on the ticker. The market price of a stock is driven by supply and demand, news cycles, and investor sentiment. Often, this price deviates significantly from the company’s fundamental health. Undervalued: If the calculated intrinsic value is higher than the current market price, the stock may be a buying opportunity. Overvalued: If the market price is higher than the intrinsic value, it might be time to sell or avoid the asset. For investors trading Global Stocks or Deliverable Equities through PhillipCapital DIFC, mastering valuation helps in building a portfolio that can withstand market volatility. It anchors your decisions in data rather than emotion, ensuring you don’t overpay for hype. What is the difference between Absolute and Relative valuation methods? Valuation strategies generally fall into two primary categories: Absolute and Relative. Understanding the distinction is vital for applying the right tool to the right asset. Absolute Valuation: This approach attempts to find a company’s intrinsic value based solely on its own fundamentals—specifically its cash flows, dividends, and growth rates. It does not worry about how other companies are performing. The most common model here is the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis. It is purely data-driven and focuses on the “present value” of the money the company will generate in the future. Relative Valuation: This method compares a company’s value to its competitors or industry peers. It asks, “Is this bank cheap compared to other banks in the UAE?” Investors use ratios/multiples like the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) or Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio to gauge value. This is faster and often more useful for short-term trading or when comparing stocks within the same sector, such as GCC Stocks or US Tech ETFs. How does the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model work? The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is arguably the gold standard for absolute valuation. It operates on the principle that the value of a company today is the sum of all the cash it will generate in the future, discounted back to today’s dollars. Forecasting Free Cash Flow (FCF): An analyst projects the company’s revenue, expenses, and capital expenditures for the next 5 to 10 years to determine how much cash will be left over for shareholders. The Discount Rate: Future money is worth less than current money due to inflation and opportunity cost. We apply a discount rate (often the Weighted Average Cost of Capital, or WACC) to these future cash flows. Terminal Value: Since companies theoretically last forever, a “terminal value” is calculated to account for all cash flows beyond the forecast period. While powerful, DCF is sensitive. A small change in your growth assumptions or discount rate can drastically change the final valuation. It is best used for stable, mature companies with predictable cash flows. Ready to Apply These Strategies? Access over 1 million stocks across global exchanges with a regulated broker. Open an account Contact us What are the most reliable Relative Valuation ratios? Relative valuation relies on “multiples.” Here are the three most widely used ratios for comparing stocks: Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Calculated by dividing the share price by the Earnings Per Share (EPS). It tells you how much you are paying for every $1 of earnings. A high P/E usually suggests high growth expectations (common in US Tech stocks), while a low P/E might indicate a value bargain or a struggling company. Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: This compares the market value to the company’s book value (assets minus liabilities). It is exceptionally useful for valuing financial institutions and banks, which are prominent in the GCC Markets. A P/B under 1.0 can imply the stock is trading for less than the value of its assets. Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA): This looks at the entire value of the firm (including debt) relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. It is often used for companies with heavy debt loads or large infrastructure assets, allowing for a cleaner comparison than the P/E ratio Is there a specific method for valuing dividend-paying stocks? Yes, for investors focused on income—such as those holding blue-chip stocks in our Wealth Management portfolios—the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is highly effective. The DDM (specifically the Gordon Growth Model) assumes that a stock is worth the sum of all its future dividend payments, discounted back to their present value. Formula: Value = Expected Dividend / (Required Rate of Return – Dividend Growth Rate). This method is ideal for stable utility companies, REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts), or established banks that have a long history of consistent dividend payouts. However, it is ineffective for high-growth tech companies that reinvest their profits rather

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Jan 05 – Daily Market Update

Leave a Comment / Market Updates, Daily Market Updates / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily — Broad Market Update Market snapshot (as of ~6:35 a.m. ET) US equity futures: higher; tech leading gains while broader benchmarks grind up US 10-year Treasury: yield modestly lower near the mid‑4.1% area as haven demand persists Crude oil: little changed, WTI hovering in the high‑$50s US dollar: firmer versus majors; safe‑haven tone evident Precious metals: gold and silver extend recent strength Overnight and early session A risk-on tone is carrying into the new week, with global equities advancing despite a concurrent bid for traditional havens. Investors appear to be balancing geopolitical headlines with resilient earnings expectations and ongoing enthusiasm around AI-related capex. The result: tech-heavy benchmarks are outpacing broader indices, while defensives and commodity-linked names also attract interest. Rates and policy US Treasuries: The long end is slightly richer as investors weigh geopolitical developments and upcoming labor-market data. The curve is broadly steady, with modest bull-flattening bias. Policy outlook: Markets remain data-dependent. Softening inflation trends and mixed growth signals keep the door open to incremental easing later this year, but timing and pace will hinge on jobs, wages, and services inflation in the weeks ahead. Equities Leadership: Semiconductors and AI-adjacent hardware continue to power gains on expectations of robust data center and memory demand. Defense and aerospace stocks are bid amid geopolitical tension. Select energy names are supported by potential upstream investment narratives even as spot crude remains range-bound. Breadth: Participation is improving, though leadership remains concentrated in tech and a handful of cyclicals tied to infrastructure and industrial automation. Earnings lens: Early preannouncements suggest a bifurcation—AI-driven capex beneficiaries and productivity enablers are guiding firmly, while consumer-exposed names are more mixed given uneven discretionary demand. Commodities Crude oil: Prices are steady as the market weighs supply risk headlines against ample spare capacity elsewhere and a still-gradual demand trajectory. Near-term balances look manageable, keeping volatility subdued unless supply disruptions broaden. Precious metals: Gold’s uptrend reflects a mix of geopolitical hedging, firm central-bank buying, and lower real yields. Silver is tracking higher alongside, aided by industrial demand themes. Currencies and crypto FX: The dollar is modestly stronger, aligned with a cautious global bid for safety and slightly softer non-US growth data. High-beta currencies are under pressure, with select Latin American FX volatile on regional political risk. Digital assets: Major tokens are firmer, with sentiment supported by risk appetite in tech and ongoing institutional interest, though day-to-day moves remain headline-sensitive. What’s driving the tape Geopolitics: Developments in Latin America have stoked haven flows without materially denting the global growth outlook. Markets are assessing whether the situation alters energy supply paths or financing conditions—so far, the impact looks contained. AI investment cycle: The multi-year infrastructure build (compute, memory, networking, power) continues to underpin tech multiples and capex visibility across the supply chain. Fed path: With inflation progress uneven but improving, investors are focused on the upcoming US labor data and services gauges to refine expectations for the timing of any policy easing. The week ahead: key catalysts to watch US: ISM manufacturing/services, JOLTS, ADP, factory orders, weekly jobless claims, and the December payrolls report plus wage growth and participation. Consumer confidence and housing indicators round out the macro picture. Europe: Country-level inflation updates, unemployment, producer prices, and industrial production will guide the ECB outlook. Watch Germany and France CPI prints and Eurozone confidence surveys. Asia: China CPI/PPI and trade-related readings for demand signals; Japan household spending and leading indicators; Taiwan and regional CPI releases. Events: A packed tech calendar around major industry showcases and company updates may influence sector positioning and supply-chain sentiment. Positioning and levels to monitor US 10-year yield: 4.0%–4.3% zone remains pivotal for risk appetite and equity multiples. Equities: Momentum favoring large-cap tech persists; watch whether breadth improves into payrolls. Pullbacks toward recent support have been well-bid. Oil: A sustained break from the mid‑$50s to low‑$60s range would likely require clearer evidence of supply disruption or demand acceleration. Risks to the outlook Geopolitical escalation that materially impacts energy supply or shipping lanes Upside surprises in services inflation or wages that push back rate-cut timelines Profit margin pressure from rising input or financing costs Liquidity pockets and year-start positioning amplifying volatility Markets are threading the needle between robust tech-driven earnings narratives and a cautious macro backdrop. Geopolitical uncertainty is lifting havens but hasn’t derailed the equity bid. This week’s US jobs and global inflation updates are the next major checkpoints for rates and risk assets. This publication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Market levels are approximate and subject to change. Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange and/or contracts for difference on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors as you could sustain losses in excess of deposits. The products are intended for retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. The content of the Website must not be construed as personal advice. For retail, professional and eligible counterparty clients. Before deciding to trade any products offered by PhillipCapital (DIFC) Private Limited you should carefully consider your objectives, financial situation, needs and level of experience. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading on margin. Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 78% of our retail client accounts lose money while trading with us. You should consider whether you understand how Rolling Spot Contracts and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Jan 05 – Daily Market Update January 5, 2026 05 Jan 26 – Daily Market Updates Markets Daily —… Read More Jan 02 – Daily Market Update

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Minor and Exotic Currency Pairs

Leave a Comment / Forex Basics, Educational Blogs, Spot FX and CFDs / PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Minor and Exotic Currency Pairs A Trader’s Guide to Global Opportunities While major currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD dominate the headlines, seasoned traders often look beyond the majors to find unique opportunities in the global market. Understanding Minor and Exotic Currency Pairs can open doors to high-volatility trading strategies and portfolio diversification. At Phillip Capital DIFC, we provide access to over 40 currency pairs, allowing you to trade the world’s most dynamic economies from our regulated hub in Dubai. Whether you are hedging exposure or seeking yield, understanding the nuances of these pairs is essential for navigating the forex landscape. Table of Contents What are Minor Currency Pairs? What Defines an Exotic Currency Pair? Why Should I Consider Trading Exotic Pairs with Phillip Capital DIFC? What Are the Key Risks of Trading Exotic Currency Pairs? How Do Interest Rates Affect Minor and Exotic Pairs? Which Exotic Pairs are Popular Among Dubai Traders? How Can I Start Trading These Pairs? Conclusion What are Minor Currency Pairs? Minor currency pairs, often referred to as “crosses,” are pairs that do not include the US Dollar (USD) but do contain major currencies from other significant economies. The most common minors involve the Euro (EUR), Japanese Yen (JPY), or British Pound (GBP). For example, EUR/GBP (Euro vs. British Pound) and EUR/JPY (Euro vs. Japanese Yen) are classic minor pairs. Unlike majors, which are heavily influenced by the US economy and Federal Reserve policy, minor pairs are driven by their respective local economic data. Trading minors allows you to speculate on the strength of one economy against another without the direct noise of the US dollar. They typically offer good liquidity, though spreads can be slightly wider than the majors. What Defines an Exotic Currency Pair? Exotic currency pairs consist of one major currency (like the USD or EUR) paired with the currency of a developing or emerging economy. Examples include USD/TRY (US Dollar vs. Turkish Lira), USD/ZAR (US Dollar vs. South African Rand), and USD/SGD (US Dollar vs. Singapore Dollar). These pairs are termed “exotic” not because they are unusual, but because they are traded in lower volumes compared to majors and minors. This lower liquidity often results in higher volatility and wider spreads. However, for the strategic trader, this volatility can present significant profit opportunities—provided the risks are well-managed. Exotics are often highly sensitive to political news and economic shifts within the emerging market country. Why Should I Consider Trading Exotic Pairs with Phillip Capital DIFC? Trading exotics offers a layer of diversification that majors simply cannot match. Because these currencies are tied to emerging markets, they often move independently of the G7 economies. For instance, if the US and Europe are in a period of stagnation, an emerging market might be experiencing a resource boom, creating a strong trend in its currency. At Phillip Capital DIFC, we offer a robust trading environment for these pairs. Our MetaTrader 5 (MT5) platform provides the advanced charting tools necessary to analyze the wild swings often seen in exotics. Furthermore, as a regulated entity in the DIFC, we offer the security and transparency you need when trading volatile assets. Ready to Diversify Your Portfolio? Access over 40 currency pairs including USD/SGD and USD/CNH today Open Your Live Account What Are the Key Risks of Trading Exotic Currency Pairs? While the potential for high returns exists, the risks are equally elevated. The primary risk is liquidity risk. Because fewer people trade these pairs, it can sometimes be difficult to enter or exit a position at your exact desired price, leading to slippage. Secondly, spreads are wider. The cost of doing business is higher for exotics than for majors like EUR/USD. This means scalping strategies (making many small trades) are generally less effective; exotics are better suited for swing trading where you aim to capture larger moves. Finally, political instability in emerging markets can cause massive, sudden gaps in price, bypassing stop-loss orders. Traders must keep a close eye on geopolitical news when holding these positions How Do Interest Rates Affect Minor and Exotic Pairs? Interest rates are the heartbeat of the forex market, and this is especially true for exotics. Many emerging economies have significantly higher interest rates than the US or Europe to attract foreign investment. This creates an opportunity for a strategy known as the “Carry Trade.” For example, if you buy a currency with a high interest rate (like the South African Rand) against a currency with a low interest rate (like the Japanese Yen), you may earn the difference in interest payments every day you hold the trade, assuming the exchange rate remains stable. However, if the high-yield currency crashes, the capital loss can quickly wipe out any interest gains. Which Exotic Pairs are Popular Among Dubai Traders? Given Dubai’s position as a global trade hub, we see significant interest in pairs that connect the East and West. USD/SGD (Singapore Dollar): Popular for those looking at Asian market exposure with a stable governance backdrop. USD/CNH (Offshore Renminbi): Essential for traders tracking the Chinese economy. USD/TRY (Turkish Lira): Known for its high volatility and interest among regional traders. Additionally, many local investors track the USD/AED peg closely, though for speculative trading, they often look to non-pegged regional currencies or broader Asian exotics offered on our platform. Trade with a Regulated Broker Experience secure trading with Phillip Capital DIFC. Open An Account How Can I Start Trading These Pairs? Starting is straightforward with Phillip Capital DIFC. First, you need to ensure your account type supports the full range of CFD and Forex products. Analyze the Pair: Don’t just jump in. Use the economic calendar to check for upcoming news in the specific country (e.g., Turkey or Singapore). Check the Spread: Be aware of the transaction cost before you trade. Size Your Position Correctly: Due to higher volatility, consider trading smaller sizes on exotics compared to what you would trade on EUR/USD. We recommend checking our Market Insights section regularly for updates on global economic

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PhillipCapital DIFC Research Team

Jan 09 – Daily Market Update

Short-Term, Intermediate, and Long-Term Bonds

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Sector Rotation Strategy

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How Structured Products Work

Jan 06 – Daily Market Update

Stock Valuation Methods

Jan 05 – Daily Market Update

Minor and Exotic Currency Pairs

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